Based on the observation data of meteorological stations in western Liaoning from 1971 to 2020,the trend,Morlet wavelet,MK mutation and other methods were used to analyze the data.The results show that the annual aver...Based on the observation data of meteorological stations in western Liaoning from 1971 to 2020,the trend,Morlet wavelet,MK mutation and other methods were used to analyze the data.The results show that the annual average temperature of western Liaoning was 9.29℃;the annual average precipitation was 542.2 mm,and the trend change was not obvious;the temperature had obvious quasi-13-year,quasi-19-year and quasi-45-year cycles,and the precipitation had quasi-3-year,quasi-6-year,quasi-14-year and quasi-29-year cycles;there was a sudden change in temperature in 1990,and the warming was significant after the sudden change;the typical abrupt changes of precipitation occurred in 1979 and 2000,but the abrupt changes were not significant.展开更多
Based on the daily data of visits for respiratory diseases in two grade A hospitals as well as meteorological factors and air pollution in Fuxin City from December 1, 2020 to November 31, 2021, PCA and RBF neural netw...Based on the daily data of visits for respiratory diseases in two grade A hospitals as well as meteorological factors and air pollution in Fuxin City from December 1, 2020 to November 31, 2021, PCA and RBF neural network were used to study the effects of meteorological factors and air pollution on respiratory diseases and predict them. The results showed that the number of daily visits was the largest in winter(accounting for 62.5%), followed by spring(15.2%), and it was the smallest in autumn(only 6.9%). The correlation between the number of daily visits and meteorological factors was higher than that of air pollution factors, and the correlation with temperature and ozone was the highest. The response coefficient of daily visits to each factor increased first and then decreased within 9 d, and the peak was 4-5 d behind. RBF and PCA-RBF neural network models were established to predict the number of daily visits, and the accuracy was 86.3% and 95.2%, respectively.展开更多
Based on the data of tornadoes in Liaoning Province from 1951 to 2005,the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of tornadoes were analyzed by means of moving average,Daniel trend test and other methods.The...Based on the data of tornadoes in Liaoning Province from 1951 to 2005,the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of tornadoes were analyzed by means of moving average,Daniel trend test and other methods.The results show that the frequency of tornadoes in coastal areas was obviously higher than that in land.Tornadoes mainly occurred in the central plains,the coastal areas of Liaodong Peninsula and the junction of plain and sea.The frequency of tornadoes was the highest in the 1980s and the lowest in the 1990s,and suddenly increased in 2005.The occurrence of tornadoes had an obvious seasonal change.They mainly happened in summer,peaking in September.During a day,most of them appeared from 13:00 to 21:00,and lasted for only a few minutes to dozens of minutes.The frequency of tornadoes showed a significant downward trend during 1991-2000 and a significant upward trend during 1961-1970 and 2001-2005.There were eight serious tornadoes in the 55 years,among which the tornado occurring in 1988 was the severest,and the number of deaths caused by the tornado in 1969 was the largest.展开更多
基金Supported by Science and Technology Program of Liaoning Province (2019-MZ-1992019-ZD-0859)+1 种基金Special Project for Climate Change of China Meteorological Administration (CCSF202013)Foundation of Institute of Atmospheric Environment,China Meteorological Administration (2020SYIAEY11)
文摘Based on the observation data of meteorological stations in western Liaoning from 1971 to 2020,the trend,Morlet wavelet,MK mutation and other methods were used to analyze the data.The results show that the annual average temperature of western Liaoning was 9.29℃;the annual average precipitation was 542.2 mm,and the trend change was not obvious;the temperature had obvious quasi-13-year,quasi-19-year and quasi-45-year cycles,and the precipitation had quasi-3-year,quasi-6-year,quasi-14-year and quasi-29-year cycles;there was a sudden change in temperature in 1990,and the warming was significant after the sudden change;the typical abrupt changes of precipitation occurred in 1979 and 2000,but the abrupt changes were not significant.
基金Supported by the Scientific Research Project of Liaoning Meteorological Bureau (ZD202208, ZD202257)Science and Technology Research Project of Fuxin Meteorological Bureau (FX2022-11, FX2022-13)。
文摘Based on the daily data of visits for respiratory diseases in two grade A hospitals as well as meteorological factors and air pollution in Fuxin City from December 1, 2020 to November 31, 2021, PCA and RBF neural network were used to study the effects of meteorological factors and air pollution on respiratory diseases and predict them. The results showed that the number of daily visits was the largest in winter(accounting for 62.5%), followed by spring(15.2%), and it was the smallest in autumn(only 6.9%). The correlation between the number of daily visits and meteorological factors was higher than that of air pollution factors, and the correlation with temperature and ozone was the highest. The response coefficient of daily visits to each factor increased first and then decreased within 9 d, and the peak was 4-5 d behind. RBF and PCA-RBF neural network models were established to predict the number of daily visits, and the accuracy was 86.3% and 95.2%, respectively.
基金Supported by the Science and Technology Program of Liaoning Province(2019-MZ-199 and 2019-ZD-0859)。
文摘Based on the data of tornadoes in Liaoning Province from 1951 to 2005,the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of tornadoes were analyzed by means of moving average,Daniel trend test and other methods.The results show that the frequency of tornadoes in coastal areas was obviously higher than that in land.Tornadoes mainly occurred in the central plains,the coastal areas of Liaodong Peninsula and the junction of plain and sea.The frequency of tornadoes was the highest in the 1980s and the lowest in the 1990s,and suddenly increased in 2005.The occurrence of tornadoes had an obvious seasonal change.They mainly happened in summer,peaking in September.During a day,most of them appeared from 13:00 to 21:00,and lasted for only a few minutes to dozens of minutes.The frequency of tornadoes showed a significant downward trend during 1991-2000 and a significant upward trend during 1961-1970 and 2001-2005.There were eight serious tornadoes in the 55 years,among which the tornado occurring in 1988 was the severest,and the number of deaths caused by the tornado in 1969 was the largest.