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非洲经济不断变化的结构
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作者 刁新申 肯尼斯·哈特根 玛格丽特·麦克米兰 《世界银行经济评论》 2017年第2期176-215,共40页
本文利用来自格罗宁根增长与发展中心非洲部的数据库,以及人口和健康调查的数据进行研究,发现非洲近期的经济增长和减贫成就大部分都与从事农业的劳动力比例大幅下降密切相关。对于仅接受过小学教育,且年龄大于25岁的农村女性来说,这一... 本文利用来自格罗宁根增长与发展中心非洲部的数据库,以及人口和健康调查的数据进行研究,发现非洲近期的经济增长和减贫成就大部分都与从事农业的劳动力比例大幅下降密切相关。对于仅接受过小学教育,且年龄大于25岁的农村女性来说,这一下降最为明显;同时,劳动生产力也相应呈现出了系统性的增长,部分劳动力从较低生产率的农业领域流向较高生产率的服务业和制造业。我们还发现,虽然制造业中就业率的增长并不十分迅速,但在大多数低收入非洲国家中,制造业中的就业比例远没有达到最高水平,且目前依然在不停增长,尽管它们的起点很低。为了理解就业比例变化对撒哈拉以南非洲未来增长与发展的含义,目前还需要开展更多的工作。 展开更多
关键词 非洲经济 撒哈拉以南非洲 结构 就业比例 农业领域 劳动生产力 制造业 发展中心
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The Impacts of COVID-19 on Migrants,Remittances,and Poverty in China:A Microsimulation Analysis 被引量:2
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作者 Yumei Zhang Yue Zhan +2 位作者 xinshen diao Kevin Z.Chen Sherman Robinson 《China & World Economy》 2021年第6期4-33,共30页
Chinese migrant workers are very exposed to the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.Falling remittances adversely affect their families who rely on remittance incomes.The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and remitta... Chinese migrant workers are very exposed to the shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.Falling remittances adversely affect their families who rely on remittance incomes.The impacts of COVID-19 on migrants and remittance-receiving households are assessed using a nationally representative household dataset and a microsimulation model.We found about 70 percent of migrant workers lost part of their wage income during the pandemic lockdown period and rural migrants working in small and medium enterprises were affected the most.This led to about 50 percent of remittance-receiving households being affected adversely by falling remittances,and the average decline in such income was more than 45 percent.Nearly 13 percent of pre-pandemic nonpoor remittance-receiving households could fall into poverty,raising the poverty rate among remittancereceiving households by 4 percentage points.Many households that were poor prior to the pandemic became more impoverished.The results indicate that social protection programs targeting vulnerable migrants and their families at home are important. 展开更多
关键词 China COVID-19 MICROSIMULATION migrants and remittances POVERTY
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