An improved echo extrapolation technology( MOD-COTREC) was introduced firstly,and then two plans for lightning nowcasting based on MOD-COTREC and both isothermal radar reflectivity and MOD-COTREC were proposed based o...An improved echo extrapolation technology( MOD-COTREC) was introduced firstly,and then two plans for lightning nowcasting based on MOD-COTREC and both isothermal radar reflectivity and MOD-COTREC were proposed based on the technology. Afterwards,the two plans for lightning nowcasting were tested by a case respectively. It is concluded that during the process of lightning nowcasting singly based on MOD-COTREC,the appearance and disappearance of lightning are not considered,and only lightning position is predicted when lightning density is constant,so the prediction error is big. The plan for lightning nowcasting based on both isothermal radar reflectivity and MOD-COTREC is still at an experimental stage,and the nowcasting products of cloud-to-ground lightning based on the plan are very different from the actual density and position of cloud-to-ground lightning,so it needs to be improved further.展开更多
文摘An improved echo extrapolation technology( MOD-COTREC) was introduced firstly,and then two plans for lightning nowcasting based on MOD-COTREC and both isothermal radar reflectivity and MOD-COTREC were proposed based on the technology. Afterwards,the two plans for lightning nowcasting were tested by a case respectively. It is concluded that during the process of lightning nowcasting singly based on MOD-COTREC,the appearance and disappearance of lightning are not considered,and only lightning position is predicted when lightning density is constant,so the prediction error is big. The plan for lightning nowcasting based on both isothermal radar reflectivity and MOD-COTREC is still at an experimental stage,and the nowcasting products of cloud-to-ground lightning based on the plan are very different from the actual density and position of cloud-to-ground lightning,so it needs to be improved further.