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食管鳞癌患者根治性放疗预后列线图模型的构建—泛京津冀多中心回顾分析(3JECROG R-03A)
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作者 林宇 王鑫 +26 位作者 王澜 章文成 赵一电 葛小林 沈文斌 王平 庞青松 王晓敏 孙新臣 张开贤 胡苗苗 李苓 郝崇礼 乔学英 李高峰 徐勇刚 刘妙玲 郄帅 王雅棣 韩春 祝淑钗 路娜 许元基 李伟光 张怡萍 陈俊强 肖泽芬 《中国肿瘤临床》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第12期595-600,共6页
目的:构建列线图(nomogram)模型以预测食管鳞癌患者的预后情况,指导个体化治疗。方法:回顾性分析2002年1月至2016年12月国内10家放疗中心(泛京津冀食管癌协作组-3JECROG)收治的2680例根治性放疗食管鳞癌患者资料,随机分为训练组和验证组... 目的:构建列线图(nomogram)模型以预测食管鳞癌患者的预后情况,指导个体化治疗。方法:回顾性分析2002年1月至2016年12月国内10家放疗中心(泛京津冀食管癌协作组-3JECROG)收治的2680例根治性放疗食管鳞癌患者资料,随机分为训练组和验证组,根据训练组的预后因素构建nomogram模型,并进行训练组内部和验证组外部验证。分别以nomogram模型与AJCC/UICC分期评估两组患者预后及临床获益。结果:全组1、3、5年生存率分别为69.0%、37.7%、31.0%。多因素分析肿瘤部位、TNM分期、原发肿瘤体积和是否同步化疗是影响食管癌的独立预后因素(均P<0.05)。在训练组和验证组中nomogram模型的一致性指数(C-index)、AUC值均高于AJCC/UICC分期(均P<0.001)。基于nomogram模型分为低、中、高风险亚组与AJCC/UICC分期比较,nomogram模型的生存曲线之间具有显著性差异(P<0.001),且1、3、5年的总生存临床决策曲线(decision curve analysis,DCA)下面积均具有显著性差异。结论:本研究构建的nomogram模型较AJCC/UICC分期具有更好的预测能力,有助于食管癌患者的预后判断及指导个体化治疗。 展开更多
关键词 食管鳞癌 根治性放疗 预后模型 危险分层
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Prognostic factors for patients with limited-stage small-cell lung cancer without receiving prophylactic cranial irradiation
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作者 Cuimin Ding Jing Li +6 位作者 Shuoshuo Wang Chen Yang Rui Zhang Wenwen Bai Ming Liu Chanjun Zhen xueying qiao 《Radiation Medicine and Protection》 2020年第2期88-93,共6页
Objective:This retrospective study aims to explore the risk factors for brain metastasis and the prognostic factors for overall survival(OS)in patients with limited-stage small-cell lung cancer(LS-SCLC)who have no bra... Objective:This retrospective study aims to explore the risk factors for brain metastasis and the prognostic factors for overall survival(OS)in patients with limited-stage small-cell lung cancer(LS-SCLC)who have no brain metastases according to magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)and have not received prophylactic cranial irradiation(PCI)after first-line chemoradiotherapy.Methods:A total of 107 patients who were treated in the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2013 to December 2017 were enrolled in this study.The patients were treated with etoposide/platinum chemotherapy and thoracic radiotherapy(TRT)with involved-field irradiation.The median dose of the radiotherapy was 60 Gy(50-64 Gy).The primary study endpoints include BMFS(brain-metastasis-free survival)and OS(overall survival).The Kaplan-Meier method was applied to estimate survival,with a log-rank test used to ascertain statistical significance.The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the prognostic factors for survival.Results:The median follow-up of all patients was 18.8 months(range:7.9–65.1 months)and the median follow-up of surviving patients was 26.7 months(range:18.8–65.1 months).The median OS of the whole cohort was 20.1 months,and the 1-,2-and 3-year OS rates were 84.9%,44.9%,and 25.9%,respectively.The 1-,2-,and 3-year BMFS rates were 69.0%,49.9%,and 40.7%,respectively.50 patients(46.7%)developed brain metastases during the follow-up period,and the median time from the start to brain metastasis was 10.7 months(range:4.8–31.1 months).As shown by multivariate analysis,independent prognostic factors of OS included cycles of chemotherapy(P=0.019),the response to initial treatment(P=0.011),and the start time of TRT(P=0.044).The independent prognostic factors of BMFS included the clinical stage(P=0.008),the response to initial treatment(P=0.024),and the start time of TRT(P=0.028).Conclusions:For patients with LS-SCLC who have not received PCI,favorable factors for lower brain metastasis and higher survival include early clinical stage,CR to initial chemoradiotherapy,early TRT,and adequate cycles of chemotherapy.PCI is still recommended as the standard modality since the incidence of brain metastases was high(46.7%). 展开更多
关键词 Limited-stage small-cell lung cancer(LS-SCLC) CHEMORADIOTHERAPY Prophylactic cranial irradiation(PCI) Prognostic factor Brain metastases
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