供热负荷预测是指导供热系统调控的重要手段。提高供热负荷预测精度十分重要,针对机器学习中输出目标的分解预测,提出了一种基于季节和趋势分解(seasonal and trend decomposition using loess,STL)的供热负荷预测方法,构建了适用于供...供热负荷预测是指导供热系统调控的重要手段。提高供热负荷预测精度十分重要,针对机器学习中输出目标的分解预测,提出了一种基于季节和趋势分解(seasonal and trend decomposition using loess,STL)的供热负荷预测方法,构建了适用于供热负荷预测的输出目标。首先利用STL算法将供热负荷时间序列数据分解为趋势分量、周期分量和残差分量,分别训练Informer、BiLSTM和XGB模型,将构建好的3个分量预测模型的输出叠加作为初步预测结果,分析误差序列,以BiLSTM预测误差提高模型精度,构建出STL-Informer-BiLSTM-XGB预测模型。将上述模型与常用预测模型进行对比,结果表明所构建的STL-Informer-BiLSTM-XGB模型的MAPE、MAE和MSE分别为0.871%、96.18和13202.2,预测效果最优,验证了所提出的方法具有较高的供热负荷预测精度。展开更多
Pullout resistance of a soil nail is a critical parameter in design and analysis for geotechnical engineers. Due to the complexity of field conditions, the pullout behaviour of cement grouted soil nail in field is not...Pullout resistance of a soil nail is a critical parameter in design and analysis for geotechnical engineers. Due to the complexity of field conditions, the pullout behaviour of cement grouted soil nail in field is not well investigated. In this work, a number of field pullout tests of pressure grouted soil nails were conducted to estimate the pullout resistance of soil nails. The effective bond lengths of field soil nails were accurately controlled by a new grouting packer system. Typical field test results and the related comparison with typical laboratory test results reveal that the apparent coefficient of friction （ACF） decreases with the increase of overburden soil pressure when grouting pressure is constant, but increases almost linearly with the increase of grouting pressure when overburden pressure （soil depth） is unchanged. Water contents of soil samples at soil nail surfaces show obvious reductions compared with the results of soil samples from drillholes. After soil nails were completely pulled out of the ground, surface conditions of the soil nails and surrounding soil were examined. It is found that the water content values of the soil at the soil/nail interfaces decrease substantially compared with those of soil samples extracted from drillholes. In addition, all soil nails expand significantly in the diametrical direction after being pulled out of ground, indicating that the pressurized cement grout compacts the soil and penetrates into soil voids, leading to a corresponding shift of failure surface into surrounding soil mass significantly.展开更多
文摘供热负荷预测是指导供热系统调控的重要手段。提高供热负荷预测精度十分重要,针对机器学习中输出目标的分解预测,提出了一种基于季节和趋势分解(seasonal and trend decomposition using loess,STL)的供热负荷预测方法,构建了适用于供热负荷预测的输出目标。首先利用STL算法将供热负荷时间序列数据分解为趋势分量、周期分量和残差分量,分别训练Informer、BiLSTM和XGB模型,将构建好的3个分量预测模型的输出叠加作为初步预测结果,分析误差序列,以BiLSTM预测误差提高模型精度,构建出STL-Informer-BiLSTM-XGB预测模型。将上述模型与常用预测模型进行对比,结果表明所构建的STL-Informer-BiLSTM-XGB模型的MAPE、MAE和MSE分别为0.871%、96.18和13202.2,预测效果最优,验证了所提出的方法具有较高的供热负荷预测精度。
基金Foundation item： Project（NTF 12015） supported by the Scientific Research Foundation for Talent of Shantou University, China Project（PolyU 5320107E） supported by the Research Grants Committee General Research Fund, China
文摘Pullout resistance of a soil nail is a critical parameter in design and analysis for geotechnical engineers. Due to the complexity of field conditions, the pullout behaviour of cement grouted soil nail in field is not well investigated. In this work, a number of field pullout tests of pressure grouted soil nails were conducted to estimate the pullout resistance of soil nails. The effective bond lengths of field soil nails were accurately controlled by a new grouting packer system. Typical field test results and the related comparison with typical laboratory test results reveal that the apparent coefficient of friction （ACF） decreases with the increase of overburden soil pressure when grouting pressure is constant, but increases almost linearly with the increase of grouting pressure when overburden pressure （soil depth） is unchanged. Water contents of soil samples at soil nail surfaces show obvious reductions compared with the results of soil samples from drillholes. After soil nails were completely pulled out of the ground, surface conditions of the soil nails and surrounding soil were examined. It is found that the water content values of the soil at the soil/nail interfaces decrease substantially compared with those of soil samples extracted from drillholes. In addition, all soil nails expand significantly in the diametrical direction after being pulled out of ground, indicating that the pressurized cement grout compacts the soil and penetrates into soil voids, leading to a corresponding shift of failure surface into surrounding soil mass significantly.
