Future of global governance and climate change action in a changing political landscape

On 30 November 2016, the Brookings-Tsinghua Center for Public Policy （BTC）, Caixin Video, and Columbia Global Centers （Beijing） jointly hosted a Seminar on the Future of Global Governance and Climate Change Action in a Changing Political Landscape. Leading experts on China＇s environmental policy and climate change strategy joined in this discussion.

全球化的内在紧张、急剧变化和应对战略

全球化不会消退世界政治中的矛盾和冲突。国家间的相互了解、相互依赖也不会产生国家间的共同价值观念,甚至不会产生共同利益感,多边合作前景黯淡。因此,强势者与弱势者之间的冲突、国家间在军事安全领域之外的'位子竞争'仍然存在。全球政治文化正在向本土主义——民粹主义——民族主义方向发生急剧的变化。今天,美国已把中国作为主要竞争对手并动员起来。中国应在今后的五六年间实施新形态的'韬光养晦'和'有所作为',尽最大努力减小甚至杜绝世界经济'两分'的可能性,以应对和化解世界政治中的矛盾和冲突。

新冠肺炎大流疫:决定乾坤但仍有限

新冠肺炎疫情在全球蔓延将深刻影响大国间政治,特别是中美关系。中国率先击退国内疫情,虽然付出重大经济及社会代价,但取得了阶段性的重大胜利。美国在疫情影响下,不得不在对华战略和经贸阵线上收缩。但疫情带来复杂性向中国提出了挑战——美国及其盟友正在逐渐恢复经济、中美脱钩的领域在扩大、美国及盟友对华饱含嫉妒和敌意。因此,中国应坚持对外军事和经济战略适当收缩,以恢复国内经济和防止国内疫情卷土重来为首要任务。

“Triumphalism” and Decision Making in China's Asia Policy

The recent years have seen the fading influence of China and the increasing role of the United States in East Asia.This situation is partly attributed to problems in China’s foreign policy orientation,diplomatic behaviors,and policy-making mechanism.In its relations with the East Asian neighbors,China has exhibited a kind of"triumphalism."The complex causes of this triumphalism include the conception of"G2 the Chinese version,"China’s rising popular nationalism,the less-regulated mass media and the coordination failure within the bureaucracy.Nevertheless,the Chinese top leaders have the final say and their role is always decisive.