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Prediction of ENSO using multivariable deep learning 被引量:1
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作者 Yue Chen Xiaomeng Huang +6 位作者 Jing-Jia luo Yanluan Lin Jonathon S.Wright youyu lu Xingrong Chen Hua Jiang Pengfei Lin 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2023年第4期51-56,共6页
本文基于残差神经网络和观测数据构建了一套深度学习多因子预报测模型,以改进厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)的预报.该模型基于最大信息系数进行因子时空特征提取,并根据泰勒图的评估标准可自动确定关键预报因子进行预报.该模型在超前8个月以... 本文基于残差神经网络和观测数据构建了一套深度学习多因子预报测模型,以改进厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)的预报.该模型基于最大信息系数进行因子时空特征提取,并根据泰勒图的评估标准可自动确定关键预报因子进行预报.该模型在超前8个月以内的预报性能要优于当前传统的业务预报模式.2011–2018年间,该模型的预报性能优于多模式集成预报的结果.在超前6个月预报时效上,模型预报相关性可达0.82,标准化后的均方根误差仅为0.58°C,多模式集成预报的相关性和标准化后的均方根误差分别为0.70和0.73°C.该模型春季预报障碍问题有所缓解,并且自动选取的关键预报因子可用于解释热带和副热带热动力过程对于ENSO变化的影响. 展开更多
关键词 ENSO预报 深度学习 春季预报障碍 多维时空预报因子
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Mathematical model and numerical investigation of the influence of spray drying parameters on granule sizes of mold powder 被引量:1
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作者 Fei Zhang youyu lu +4 位作者 Shaoyan Zhu Funian Han Guanghua Wen Ping Tang Zibing Hou 《Particuology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期280-295,共16页
In this work,the formation mechanism of the droplet-to-granule was investigated in detail based on mold powder manufacturing.A specific mathematical model of two-stage spray drying was established to describe droplet ... In this work,the formation mechanism of the droplet-to-granule was investigated in detail based on mold powder manufacturing.A specific mathematical model of two-stage spray drying was established to describe droplet and granule motion,heat and mass transfer,and granule morphology during spray drying.Then,the relationships between spray drying parameters(inlet temperature,atomization pres-sure,slurry mass flow rate)and the properties of the drying tower(temperature and velocity fields)and mold powder granules(temperature,evaporation rates,moisture content,and diameter)were simulated and calculated using ANSYS/Fluent software.To ensure that the granule size of mold powder was controlled within the ideal range(0.2-0.6 mm)for producing granules with appropriate mechanical and metallurgical properties,the following optimum spray drying parameters were chosen based on the results of the numerical simulation:inlet temperatures,873 K;slurry atomization pressure,1.8 MPa;slurry mass flow rate,0.05 kg s-1.Among these parameters,the slurry mass flow rate has the most significant effect on granule size. 展开更多
关键词 Mold powder slurry Spray drying parameters Mathematical model Numerical simulation Granule sizes
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Identification and Analysis of High-Frequency Oscillations in the Eyewalls of Tropical Cyclones 被引量:2
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作者 CHEN Shumin youyu lu +1 位作者 LI Weibiao WEN Zhiping 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第5期624-634,共11页
High-frequency oscillations, with periods of about 2 hours, are first identified by applying wavelet analysis to observed minutely wind speeds around the eye and eyewall of tropical cyclones(TCs). Analysis of a mode... High-frequency oscillations, with periods of about 2 hours, are first identified by applying wavelet analysis to observed minutely wind speeds around the eye and eyewall of tropical cyclones(TCs). Analysis of a model simulation of Typhoon Hagupit(2008) shows that the oscillations also occur in the TC intensity, vertical motion, convergence activity and air density around the eyewall. Sequences of oscillations in these variables follow a certain order. 展开更多
关键词 tropical cyclone high-frequency oscillations EYEWALL INTENSITY
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Variations in High-frequency Oscillations of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific 被引量:1
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作者 Shumin CHEN Weibiao LI +5 位作者 Zhiping WEN Mingsen ZHOU youyu lu Yu-Kun QIAN Haoya LIU Rong FANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第4期423-434,共12页
Variations in the high-frequency oscillations of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) are studied in numerical model simulations. Power spectrum analysis of maximum wind speeds at 10 m (MW... Variations in the high-frequency oscillations of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) are studied in numerical model simulations. Power spectrum analysis of maximum wind speeds at 10 m (MWS10) from an ensemble of 15 simulated TCs shows that oscillations are significant for all TCs. The magnitudes of oscillations in MWS10 are similar in the WNP and South China Sea (SCS); however, the mean of the averaged significant periods in the SCS (1.93 h) is shorter than that in the open water of the WNP (2.83 h). The shorter period in the SCS is examined through an ensemble of simulations, and a case simulation as well as a sensitivity experiment in which the continent is replaced by ocean for Typhoon Hagupit (2008). The analysis of the convergence efficiency within the boundary layer suggests that the shorter periods in the SCS are possibly due to the stronger terrain effect, which intensifies convergence through greater friction. The enhanced convergence strengthens the disturbance of the gradient and thermal wind balances, and then contributes to the shorter oscillation periods in the SCS. 展开更多
关键词 tropical cyclone high-frequency oscillation western North Pacific South China Sea
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