Development and validation of a predictive model for acute-onchronic liver failure after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

BACKGROUND Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)is a cause of acute-onchronic liver failure(ACLF).AIM To investigate the risk factors of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and construct a prediction model.METHODS In total,379 patients with decompensated cirrhosis treated with TIPS at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from 2017 to 2020 were selected as the training cohort,and 123 patients from Nanfang Hospital were included in the external validation cohort.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors.The prediction model was established based on the Akaike information criterion.Internal and external validation were conducted to assess the performance of the model.RESULTS Age and total bilirubin(TBil)were independent risk factors for the incidence of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS.We developed a prediction model comprising age,TBil,and serum sodium,which demonstrated good discrimination and calibration in both the training cohort and the external validation cohort.CONCLUSION Age and TBil are independent risk factors for the incidence of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.Our model showed satisfying predictive value.

Recognition and management of stent malposition in the portal vein during endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography:A case report

BACKGROUND Portal vein injury is an uncommon complication of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography(ERCP),for which stent malpositioning in the portal vein is very rare and can lead to fatal events.We report a case of biliary stent migration to the portal vein and a novel method for its safe removal under the guidance of portal angiography.Moreover,we reviewed the literature and summarized reports on the identification and management of this condition.CASE SUMMARY A 59-year-old woman with pancreatic cancer presented with abdominal pain and a high fever 20 days after the placement of two plastic biliary stents under the guidance of ERCP.Blood cultures and laboratory tests revealed sepsis,which was treated with antibiotics.A contrast-enhanced computed tomography scan revealed that one of the biliary stents in the main portal vein was malpositioned.To safely remove the stent,portal angiography was performed to visualize the portal vein and to allow the management of any bleeding.The two stents were removed without obvious bleeding,and an uncovered self-expanding metal stent was placed in the common bile duct for drainage.The patient had an uneventful 6-month follow-up period,except for self-resolving portal vein thrombosis.CONCLUSION The combination of endoscopic and angiographic techniques allowed uneventful management of stent malposition in the portal vein.

Prevalence of minimal hepatic encephalopathy and quality of life evaluations in hospitalized cirrhotic patients in China

AIM:To investigate the prevalence of minimal hepatic encephalopathy(MHE)and to assess corresponding health-related quality of life(HRQoL)in hospitalized cirrhotic patients in China.METHODS:This multi-center cross-sectional study included 16 teaching hospitals,which were members of "Hepatobiliary Cooperation Group,Society of Gastroenterology,Chinese Medical Association",from different areas of China carried out between June and October in 2011.All the eligible hospitalized cirrhotic patients(n = 538)were required to complete triplicate number connection tests combined with one digit symbol test for diagnosing MHE.Patients' clinical examination data were complemented by a modified questionnaire assessing HRQoL.Written informed consent was obtained from each patient.RESULTS:Male was predominant(68.6%)in 519 patients who met the criteria of the study,with a mean age of 49.17 ± 11.02 years.The most common cause of liver cirrhosis was chronic hepatitis B(55.9%).The prevalence of MHE was 39.9% and varied by ChildPugh-Classification score(CPC-A:24.8%,CPC-B:39.4% and CPC-C:56.1%,P < 0.01).MHE(P < 0.01)and higher CPC scores(P < 0.01)were associated with a high HRQoL scores(reflecting poorer quality of life).The prevalence of MHE was proportionate to CPC(P = 0.01)and high quality of life scores(P = 0.01).CONCLUSION:Hospitalized cirrhotic patients have a high prevalence of MHE that is proportionate to the degree of liver function and HRQoL impairment.

Big-data analysis: A clinical pathway on endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography for common bile duct stones

BACKGROUND A clinical pathway(CP)is a standardized approach for disease management.However,big data-based evidence is rarely involved in CP for related common bile duct(CBD)stones,let alone outcome comparisons before and after CP implementation.AIM To investigate the value of CP implementation in patients with CBD stones undergoing endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography(ERCP).METHODS This retrospective study was conducted at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital in patients with CBD stones undergoing ERCP from January 2007 to December 2017.The data and outcomes were compared by using univariate and multivariable regression/linear models between the patients who received conventional care(non-pathway group,n=467)and CP care(pathway group,n=2196).RESULTS At baseline,the main differences observed between the two groups were the percentage of patients with multiple stones(P<0.001)and incidence of cholangitis complication(P<0.05).The percentage of antibiotic use and complications in the CP group were significantly less than those in the nonpathway group[adjusted odds ratio(OR)=0.72,95%confidence interval(CI):0.55-0.93,P=0.012,adjusted OR=0.44,95%CI:0.33-0.59,P<0.001,respectively].Patients spent lower costs on hospitalization,operation,nursing,medication,and medical consumable materials(P<0.001 for all),and even experienced shorter length of hospital stay(LOHS)(P<0.001)after the CP implementation.No significant differences in clinical outcomes,readmission rate,or secondary surgery rate were presented between the patients in the non-pathway and CP groups.CONCLUSION Implementing a CP for patients with CBD stones is a safe mode to reduce the LOHS,hospital costs,antibiotic use,and complication rate.