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预测驱动最优化:不确定性、统计理论与管理应用
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作者 王曙明 毛宇晨 汪寿阳 《中国科学基金》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期750-761,共12页
现代管理决策面临着错综复杂的不确定性。随着大数据应用的不断深化,最优化技术与算力的持续提升,以及统计学与机器学习的蓬勃发展,预测驱动最优化正在成为应对复杂不确定决策问题的有力工具。预测驱动最优化通过整合统计预测建模与决... 现代管理决策面临着错综复杂的不确定性。随着大数据应用的不断深化,最优化技术与算力的持续提升,以及统计学与机器学习的蓬勃发展,预测驱动最优化正在成为应对复杂不确定决策问题的有力工具。预测驱动最优化通过整合统计预测建模与决策最优化,实现对不确定性与决策效能的联合统计管理,从而形成统计一致、有效的数据驱动型决策范式。本文聚焦于不确定环境下的统计预测建模与管理决策最优化,分别探讨分布已知(随机型)与分布未知(分布鲁棒型)条件下的预测驱动最优化模型框架。在此基础上,介绍预测驱动最优化在运营管理领域的前沿应用研究,并总结若干重要的未来研究方向与挑战。 展开更多
关键词 预测驱动最优化 不确定性 统计理论 管理应用
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Microstructures and soft magnetic properties of Fe_(73.5)Cu_(1)Nb_(3-x)Si_(13.5)B_(9)Yx(x=0-1.5)alloys 被引量:1
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作者 yuchen mao Zhenghou Zhu Hui Zhao 《Journal of Rare Earths》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第11期1402-1408,I0004,共8页
Based on composition of Finemet alloy,structures and soft magnetic properties of Fe_(73.5)Cu_(1)Nb_(3-x)Si_(13.5)B_(9)Yx(x=0,0.5,1.0,1.5)alloys formed by replacing Nb(niobium)by Y(yttrium)were studied in this paper.Th... Based on composition of Finemet alloy,structures and soft magnetic properties of Fe_(73.5)Cu_(1)Nb_(3-x)Si_(13.5)B_(9)Yx(x=0,0.5,1.0,1.5)alloys formed by replacing Nb(niobium)by Y(yttrium)were studied in this paper.The research results show that when x=0 or 0.5,rapidly solidified as-cast alloy is Fe amorphous single-phase structure,and Y atoms are dispersed in matrix;when x=1.0 or 1.5,crystalline phase precipitates.Fe_(73.5)Cu_(1)Nb_(3-x)Si_(13.5)B_(9)Yx(x=0,0.5,1.0,1.5)alloys begin to precipitateα-Fe(Si)solid solution phase after crystallization annealing above 480℃,when x=0.5,grain size is 12.6 nm,which shows that Y can replace Nb in small amount and refine grain size.Fe_(73.5)Cu_(1)Nb_(2.5)Si_(13.5)B_(9)Y_(0.5)alloy has excellent soft magnetic properties:μm value is 813.1×10^(3),which is 36%higher than that of Finemet alloy;μi value is 154.6×10^(3),close to that of Finemet alloy,and BS and Hc values are 1.24 T and 0.56 A/m,respectively,better than those of Finemet alloy.In addition,Fe_(73.5)Cu_(1)Nb_(2.5)Si_(13.5)B_(9)Y_(0.5)alloy has excellent soft magnetic properties at high temperature,μe value only reduces by 8.8%at 1 kHz with ambient temperature increased from 30 to150℃,andμe value is 128.02×10^(3)in 150℃,which is 15.74%higher than that of Finemet alloy. 展开更多
关键词 Iron-based amorphous alloys Soft magnetic properties Rare earth YTTRIUM
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