Optimization of the Classic Transfer-Stacking Model Migration Algorithm: A Way to Solve Time-Varying Performance Degradation of Acute Kidney Injury Clinical Prediction Model

Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) is one of the most common acute and critical illnesses in general wards and intensive care units. Its high morbidity and high fatality rate have become a major global public health problem. There are often serious lags in clinical diagnosis of AKI. Early diagnosis and timely intervention and effective care become critical. The use of electronic medical record data to build an AKI risk prediction model has been proven to help prevent the occurrence of AKI. However, in actual clinical applications, the distribution of historical data and new data will continue to vary over time, resulting in a significant decrease in the performance of the model. How to solve the problem of model performance degradation over time will be a core challenge for the long-term use of predictive models in clinical applications. Aiming at the above problems, this paper studies the classic Transfer-Stacking model migration algorithm. Aiming at the lack of this algorithm, such as the loss of a large amount of feature information of the target domain and poor fit when integrating the model of the target domain, the Accumulate-Transfer-Stacking algorithm is proposed to improve it. Improvements include: 1) Optimize the input vector and model integration algorithm of Transfer-Stacking’s target domain model. 2) Optimize Transfer-Stacking from a single-source domain model to a multi-source domain model. The experimental results show that for the improved algorithm proposed in this paper when the data is sufficient and insufficient, the average AUC value of the model on the data of subsequent years is 0.89 and 0.87, and the average F1 Score value is 0.45 and 0.36. Moreover, this method is significantly better than the unimproved Transfer-Stacking algorithm and baseline method, and can effectively overcome the problem of data distribution heterogeneity caused by time factors.

Solid-State Hydrogen Storage Properties of Ti-V-Nb-Cr High-Entropy Alloys and the Associated Effects of Transitional Metals(M=Mn,Fe,Ni)

Recently,high-entropy alloys(HEAs)designed by the concepts of unique entropy-stabilized mechanisms,started to attract widespread interests for their hydrogen storage properties.HEAs with body-centered cubic(BCC)structures present a high potential for hydrogen storage due to the high hydrogen-to-metal ratio(up to H/M=2)and vastness of compositions.Although many studies reported rapid absorption kinetics,the investigation of hydrogen desorption is missing,especially in BCC HEAs.We have investigated the crystal structure,microstructure and hydrogen storage performance of a series of HEAs in the Ti-V-Nb-Cr system.Three types of TiVCrNb HEAs(Ti_(4)V_(3)NbCr_(2),Ti_(3)V_(3)Nb2Cr_(2),Ti_(2)V_(3)Nb_(3)Cr_(2))with close atomic radii and different valence electron concentrations(VECs)were designed with single BCC phase by CALPHAD method.The three alloys with fast hydrogen absorption kinetics reach the H/M ratio up to 2.Particularly,Ti_(4)V_(3)NbCr_(2)alloy shows the hydrogen storage capacity of 3.7 wt%,higher than other HEAs ever reported.The dehydrogenation activation energy of HEAs’hydride has been proved to decrease with decreasing VEC,which may be due to the weakening of alloy atom and H atom.Moreover,Ti_(4)V_(3)NbCr_(2)M(M=Mn,Fe,Ni)alloys were also synthesized to destabilize hydrides.The addition of Mn,Fe and Ni lead to precipitation of Laves phase,however,the kinetics did not improve further because of their own excellent hydrogen absorption.With increasing the content of Laves phase,there appear more pathways for hydrogen desorption so that the hydrides are more easily dissociated,which may provide new insights into how to achieve hydrogen desorption in BCC HEAs at room temperature.

Dynamic Tensile Property of Zr-based Metallic Glass/Porous W Phase Composite

The dynamic tensile deformation and fracture behavior of the Zr-based metallic glass/porous W phase composite were investigated at room temperature by means of the Split Hopkinson Tension Bar （SHTB）.It was found that the composite exhibited no appreciable macroscopic plastic deformation prior to catastrophic fracture and the fracture surface was perpendicular to the axial direction.Substantive micro cracks were observed along the interface between W grains or the interface between the metallic glass phase and the W phase.Scanning electron microscopy （SEM） observations revealed that vein-like patterns,dimple-like patterns and substantive ridge-like structures were the typical fracture morphologies on the fracture surface for the metallic glass phase and the morphology of the W phase is a mixture of intergranular and transgranular fracture.Based on those results referred above,the dynamic tensile deformation and fracture mechanism of the Zr-based metallic glass/porous W phase composite were discussed in detail.

Thermal Residual Stresses in W Fibers/Zr-based Metallic Glass Composites by High-energy Synchrotron X-ray Diffraction

Thermal residual stresses in W fibers/Zr-based metallic glass composites were measured by in situ high energy synchrotron X-ray diffraction(HEXRD). The W fibers for the composites were 300,500,and 700 m m in diameter,respectively. Coaxial cylinder model(CCM) and finite element model(FEM) were employed to simulate the distribution of thermal residual stress,respectively. HEXRD results showed that the selected diameters of W fiber had little influence on the value of thermal residual stresses in the present composites. Thermal residual stresses simulated by CCM and FEM were in good agreement with HEXRD measured results. In addition,FEM results exhibited that thermal residual stress concentrated on interface between the two phases and area where the two W fibers were the closest ones to each other.

Ultrashort-time liquid phase sintering of high-performance fine-grain tungsten heavy alloys by laser additive manufacturing

Liquid phase sintering(LPS)is a proven technique for preparing large-size tungsten heavy alloys(WHAs).However,for densification,this processing requires that the matrix of WHAs keeps melting for a long time,which simultaneously causes W grain coarsening that degenerates the performance.This work develops a novel ultrashort-time LPS method to form bulk high-performance fine-grain WHAs based on the principle of laser additive manufacturing(LAM).During LAM,the high-entropy alloy matrix(Al_(0.5)Cr_(0.9)FeNi_(2.5)V_(0.2))and W powders were fed simultaneously but only the matrix was melted by laser and most W particles remained solid,and the melted matrix rapidly solidified with laser moving away,producing an ultrashort-time LPS processing in the melt pool,i.e.,laser ultrashort-time liquid phase sintering(LULPS).The extreme short dwell time in liquid(-1/10,000 of conventional LPS)can effectively suppress W grain growth,obtaining a small size of 1/3 of the size in LPS WHAs.Meanwhile,strong convection in the melt pool of LULPS enables a nearly full densification in such a short sintering time.Compared with LPS WHAs,the LULPS fine-grain WHAs present a 42%higher yield strength,as well as an enhanced susceptibility to adiabatic shear banding(ASB)that is important for strong armor-piercing capability,indicating that LULPS can be a promising pathway for forming high-performance WHAs that surpass those prepared by conventional LPS.

Structural Modification of Al65Cu16.5Ti18.5 Amorphous Powder through Annealing and Post Milling： Improving Thermal Stability

To improve thermal stability of the Al65Cu16.5Ti18.5 amorphous powder,structural modification of the amorphous powder was performed through annealing and post milling.Annealing above the crystallization temperature（Tx） not only induced nanoscale intermetallics to precipitate in the amorphous powder,but also increased Cu atomic percentage within the residual amorphous phase.Post milling induced the amorphization of the nanocrystal intermetallics and the formation of Cu9Al4 from the residual amorphous phase.Thus,a mixed structure consisting of amorphous phase and Cu9Al4 was obtained in the powder after annealing and post milling（the APMed powder）.The phase constituent in the APMed powder did not change during the post annealing,which exhibited significantly improved thermal stability in comparison with the as-milled amorphous powder.