Using daily precipitation data from 110 stations in Southeast China from 1960 to 2012,the extreme precipitation(EP)events associated with monsoon and tropical cyclones were examined using the Objective Synoptic Analys...Using daily precipitation data from 110 stations in Southeast China from 1960 to 2012,the extreme precipitation(EP)events associated with monsoon and tropical cyclones were examined using the Objective Synoptic Analysis Technique.In Southeast China,the extreme precipitation associated with tropical cyclones(TEP),which mainly occur in the summer(July–September),accounted for 27.9%of the total extreme precipitation amount,with 40–50%in the coastal regions.While the regional mean TEP amount showed an inconspicuous trend,total EP and monsoon EP(MEP)both showed an increasing trend,with the MEP trend being statistically significant.Although there was little change in the frequency of tropical cyclones affecting Southeast China,the TEP contribution to frequency increased with increasing EP threshold and the frequency of TEP with daily precipitation of more than 300 mm showed an increasing trend in the background of global climate change.The upward trend in the highest-threshold TEP events presents a challenge for mitigation of the damage associated with tropical cyclones.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41375056 and 91224004)the Meteorological Specialty Foundation of China (Grant No.GYHY201206013)
文摘Using daily precipitation data from 110 stations in Southeast China from 1960 to 2012,the extreme precipitation(EP)events associated with monsoon and tropical cyclones were examined using the Objective Synoptic Analysis Technique.In Southeast China,the extreme precipitation associated with tropical cyclones(TEP),which mainly occur in the summer(July–September),accounted for 27.9%of the total extreme precipitation amount,with 40–50%in the coastal regions.While the regional mean TEP amount showed an inconspicuous trend,total EP and monsoon EP(MEP)both showed an increasing trend,with the MEP trend being statistically significant.Although there was little change in the frequency of tropical cyclones affecting Southeast China,the TEP contribution to frequency increased with increasing EP threshold and the frequency of TEP with daily precipitation of more than 300 mm showed an increasing trend in the background of global climate change.The upward trend in the highest-threshold TEP events presents a challenge for mitigation of the damage associated with tropical cyclones.