情景分析作为一项应对发展不确定性的规划方法,1990年代起被系统运用于城市规划领域,随着城市发展所面临的环境愈加复杂,情景分析的作用将进一步凸显。采用CiteSpace分析工具,笔者对Web of Science和中国知网1991—2020年的文献数据进...情景分析作为一项应对发展不确定性的规划方法,1990年代起被系统运用于城市规划领域,随着城市发展所面临的环境愈加复杂,情景分析的作用将进一步凸显。采用CiteSpace分析工具,笔者对Web of Science和中国知网1991—2020年的文献数据进行计量分析,对国内外情景分析方法在城市规划中应用的进展、热点、趋势和应用领域进行总结。之后,对比国内外主要应用领域的差异,并对情景分析在我国城市规划实践中的应用进行了展望:拓展应用领域和理性规划研究方法,强化方案绩效评价和优化决策过程,综合智能规划技术构建推演分析平台,以及推动新技术在国土空间规划中的集成。展开更多
The reform of urban master planning should make continuous progress to meet the requirements of urban and rural spatial resource control in the urbanization transformation period, considering its role of both strategi...The reform of urban master planning should make continuous progress to meet the requirements of urban and rural spatial resource control in the urbanization transformation period, considering its role of both strategic guidance and rigid control. As urban development in Shanghai is entering the era of stock-based development, it is important for the Shanghai 2040 Master Plan to upgrade urban strategies to adapt to the transformation environment of urban development, and to adjust the master planning system in line with Shanghai's reality. This article analyzes the development environment and challenges faced by the Shanghai 2040 Master Plan and reflects on the limitations of traditional master planning. To facilitate the spatial development transformation and spatial governance, the article summarizes the innovation ideas of the Shanghai 2040 Master Plan from aspects of functions, outcome framework, control system, organization format, etc.展开更多
文摘情景分析作为一项应对发展不确定性的规划方法,1990年代起被系统运用于城市规划领域,随着城市发展所面临的环境愈加复杂,情景分析的作用将进一步凸显。采用CiteSpace分析工具,笔者对Web of Science和中国知网1991—2020年的文献数据进行计量分析,对国内外情景分析方法在城市规划中应用的进展、热点、趋势和应用领域进行总结。之后,对比国内外主要应用领域的差异,并对情景分析在我国城市规划实践中的应用进行了展望:拓展应用领域和理性规划研究方法,强化方案绩效评价和优化决策过程,综合智能规划技术构建推演分析平台,以及推动新技术在国土空间规划中的集成。
文摘The reform of urban master planning should make continuous progress to meet the requirements of urban and rural spatial resource control in the urbanization transformation period, considering its role of both strategic guidance and rigid control. As urban development in Shanghai is entering the era of stock-based development, it is important for the Shanghai 2040 Master Plan to upgrade urban strategies to adapt to the transformation environment of urban development, and to adjust the master planning system in line with Shanghai's reality. This article analyzes the development environment and challenges faced by the Shanghai 2040 Master Plan and reflects on the limitations of traditional master planning. To facilitate the spatial development transformation and spatial governance, the article summarizes the innovation ideas of the Shanghai 2040 Master Plan from aspects of functions, outcome framework, control system, organization format, etc.