Strip flatness prediction of cold rolling based on ensemble methods

Aiming at the problem of insufficient prediction accuracy of strip flatness at the outlet of cold tandem rolling,the prediction performance of strip flatness based on different ensemble methods was studied and a high-precision prediction ensemble model of strip flatness at the outlet was established.Firstly,based on linear regression(LR),K nearest neighbors(KNN),support vector regression,regression trees(RT),and backpropagation neural network(BPN),bagging,boosting,and stacking ensemble methods were used for ensemble experiments.Secondly,three existing ensemble models,i.e.,random forest,extreme random tree(ET)and extreme gradient boosting,were used to conduct experiments and compare the results.The research shows that bagging,boosting,and stacking three ensemble methods have the most significant improvement in the prediction accuracy of the regression trees model,which is increased by 5.28%,6.51%,and 5.32%,respectively.At the same time,the stacking ensemble method improves both the simple model and the complex model,and the improvement effect on the simple base model is the greatest,which is 4.69%higher than that of the base model KNN.Comparing all of the ensemble models,the stacking ensemble model of level-1(ET,AdaBoost-RT,LR,BPN)paired with level-2(LR)was discovered to be the best model(EALB-LR)and can be further studied for industrial applications.

Prediction of hot-rolled strip crown based on Boruta and extremely randomized trees algorithms

The quality of hot-rolled steel strip is directly affected by the strip crown.Traditional machine learning models have shown limitations in accurately predicting the strip crown,particularly when dealing with imbalanced data.This limitation results in poor production quality and efficiency,leading to increased production costs.Thus,a novel strip crown prediction model that uses the Boruta and extremely randomized trees(Boruta-ERT)algorithms to address this issue was proposed.To improve the accuracy of our model,we utilized the synthetic minority over-sampling technique to balance the imbalance data sets.The Boruta-ERT prediction model was then used to select features and predict the strip crown.With the 2160 mm hot rolling production lines of a steel plant serving as the research object,the experimental results showed that 97.01% of prediction data have an absolute error of less than 8 lm.This level of accuracy met the control requirements for strip crown and demonstrated significant benefits for the improvement in production quality of steel strip.