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Research on Flood Control Design Based on Joint Distribution of Flood Levels and Flood Peak Discharges
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作者 zishen chen Qiang HUANG Chunqiong HUANG 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2020年第6期73-77,共5页
The return level of the joint distribution of flood levels and flood peak discharges was analyzed by Archimedean Gumbel-Hougaard copula and Kendall distribution functions.Using the annual maximum level(H)and discharge... The return level of the joint distribution of flood levels and flood peak discharges was analyzed by Archimedean Gumbel-Hougaard copula and Kendall distribution functions.Using the annual maximum level(H)and discharge(Q)of flood peak at Boluo Hydrologic Station in the Dongjiang River in last 56 years,the"OR"return period,"AND"return period and Kendall return period of their joint distribution and the most likely design flood value were calculated.The main conclusions of this study can be summarized as follows:the Kendall return period can more accurately reflect the risk rate of the combination of flood elements,relative to"OR"return period and"AND"return period.The design value of univariate flood element based on the current specification can meet the design standard.While the design value calculated according to"OR"return period was on the high side,and the design value calculated by the"AND"return period was on low side.Based on the principle of maximum probability,the calculated design value of Kendall return period under the different combinations of flood peak discharge and water level can provide new options for flood control project safety and risk management. 展开更多
关键词 Flood risk assessment "OR"return period "AND"return period Kendall return period Design flood return level
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Analysis of Design Rainstorm Hydrograph Based on Asymmetrical Extreme Value Copula
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作者 zishen chen Lingling ZHAO Xing YANG 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2020年第3期38-43,共6页
In this paper,the maximum 1-hour rainfall( rain peak),the maximum 6-hour rainfall and the maximum 24-hour rainfall in the Caojiang River basin from 1967 to 2013 were taken as samples. The typical typhoon rainstorm hyd... In this paper,the maximum 1-hour rainfall( rain peak),the maximum 6-hour rainfall and the maximum 24-hour rainfall in the Caojiang River basin from 1967 to 2013 were taken as samples. The typical typhoon rainstorm hydrograph of joint distribution of rainfall in three periods was constructed based on the asymmetric Archimedean Gumbel-Hougaard extreme value Copula. The main conclusions were as follows:( 1) the design rainstorm value in the Caojiang River basin calculated by using the joint distribution of rainfall in three periods was larger than the design rainstorm value of the joint distribution in two periods and that of a single period. The design rainstorm process hydrograph amplified at the same frequency had the optimal overall effect,which provided a new idea and method for studying the design rainfall patterns.( 2) According to the maximum 24-hour rainfall,the risk rate of the multi-peak rainstorm process that the main peak was in the back was the highest,and the constructed typical design rainstorm process hydrograph was the most representative.( 3) " OR" joint return period of rainfall combination in three periods as the design criteria of a watershed was applicable to responding to the risk of rainfall and flood in this watershed. 展开更多
关键词 Asymmetrical extreme value Copula Design rainstorm hydrograph "OR"return period Rainfall patterns
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Comparative Analysis of the Erosion Mechanism of Different Profiles in the Arcuate Foreshore under Typhoon Action
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作者 zishen chen Jitao Yu 《Journal of Marine Science》 2020年第3期28-34,共7页
The comparison results of three beach profile data repeatedly measured before and after the typhoon in Shuidong Bay,west Guangdong province which show that there are significant differences in beach profile erosion an... The comparison results of three beach profile data repeatedly measured before and after the typhoon in Shuidong Bay,west Guangdong province which show that there are significant differences in beach profile erosion and response process.And the changes of beach profile can be divided into:strong downward overall low shoreline regressive type and overall slight erosion shoreline regressive type.Application of the modified mildslope equation along three beach profile are simulated wave high reflection to the sea side,to the section vertical shore pressure gradient and including water roll force and radiation stress,the vertical shore forces one dimensional profile along the momentum conservation equation(radiation stress and water roll force)bottom friction and lateral mixing reaction between numerical solution,the momentum conservation equations of the wave increases the water flow velocity and section along the profile distribution of wave height and related forces.The analysis shows that the extent and difference of coastal erosion depend on the shoreline erosion mode stimulated by the maximum surge water of the coastal current and the maximum velocity of the coastal current and the dynamic state of the profile topography under the action of the profile location,morphology and incident wave elements. 展开更多
关键词 Foreshore profile morphodynamics Shore erosion mechanism Wave setup Longshore current Longshore sediment transport rate
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