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基于图像的深度学习降雨强度估计方法
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作者 尹航 郑飞飞 +2 位作者 段焕丰 Dragan Savic zoran kapelan 《Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第2期162-174,M0007,共14页
城市洪水是世界性的重大问题,造成巨大的经济损失,严重威胁公共安全。减轻其影响的一种有希望的方法是开发实时洪水风险管理系统;然而,由于缺乏高时空降雨数据,构建这样一个系统通常具有挑战性。虽然一些方法(即地面降雨站或雷达和卫星... 城市洪水是世界性的重大问题,造成巨大的经济损失,严重威胁公共安全。减轻其影响的一种有希望的方法是开发实时洪水风险管理系统;然而,由于缺乏高时空降雨数据,构建这样一个系统通常具有挑战性。虽然一些方法(即地面降雨站或雷达和卫星技术)可用于测量和(或)预测降雨强度,但使用这些方法很难获得具有理想时空分辨率的准确降雨数据。本文提出了一种基于图像的深度学习模型来估计具有高时空分辨率的城市降雨强度。进一步来说,一种称为基于图像的降雨卷积神经网络(image-based rainfall CNN,irCNN)模型是使用从现有密集传感器(即智能手机或交通摄像头)收集的降雨图像及其相应的测量降雨强度值开发的。随后使用经过训练的irCNN模型根据传感器的降雨图像有效地估计降雨强度。分别利用合成降雨数据和真实降雨图像来探索irCNN在理论和实际模拟降雨强度方面的准确性。结果表明,irCNN模型提供的降雨量估计值的平均绝对百分比误差在13.5%~21.9%之间,超过了文献中其他最先进的建模技术的性能。更重要的是,所提出的irCNN的主要特点是它在有效获取高时空城市降雨数据方面成本较低。irCNN模型为估算城市降雨强度提供了一种有前景的替代方案,可以极大地促进城市实时洪水风险管理的发展。 展开更多
关键词 卷积神经网络 时空分辨率 降雨强度 深度学习 CNN 替代方案 公共安全 智能手机
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Decision Support System for emergency scheduling of raw water supply systems with multiple sources 被引量:2
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作者 Qi WANG Shuming LIU +2 位作者 Wenjun LIU zoran kapelan Dragan SAVIC 《Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第5期777-786,共10页
A hydraulic model-based emergency schedul- ing Decision Support System (DSS) is designed to eliminate the impact of sudden contamination incidents occurring upstream in raw water supply systems with multiple sources... A hydraulic model-based emergency schedul- ing Decision Support System (DSS) is designed to eliminate the impact of sudden contamination incidents occurring upstream in raw water supply systems with multiple sources. The DSS consists of four functional modules, including water quality prediction, system safety assessment, emergency strategy inference and scheduling optimization. The work flow of the DSS is as follows. First, the water quality variations on specific cross-sections are calculated given the pollution information. Next, a comprehensive evaluation on the safety of the current system is conducted using the outputs in the first module. This will assist in the assessment of whether the system is in danger of failure, taking both the impact of pollution and system capacity into account. If there is a severe impact of contamination on the reliability of the system, a fuzzy logic based inference module is employed to generate reason- able strategies including technical measures. Otherwise, a Genetic Algorithm (GA)-based optimization model will be used to find the least-cost scheduling plan. The proposed DSS has been applied to a coastal city in South China during a saline tide period as validation. Through scenario analysis, it is demonstrated that this DSS tool is instrumental in emergency scheduling for the water company to quickly and effectively respond to sudden contamination incidents. 展开更多
关键词 decision support system raw water supply system contamination incident emergency scheduling hydraulic model safety assessment
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