In this paper,the data of Automatic Weather Stations(AWSs),ERA5 reanalysis,sounding,wind profile radar,and dual-polarization radar are used to study an extreme rainfall event in the south China Coast on 11 to 12 May 2...In this paper,the data of Automatic Weather Stations(AWSs),ERA5 reanalysis,sounding,wind profile radar,and dual-polarization radar are used to study an extreme rainfall event in the south China Coast on 11 to 12 May 2022 from the aspects of thermodynamics and microphysical characteristics under the influence of low-level jets(LLJs).Results show that:(1)The extreme rainfall event can be divided into two stages:the first stage(S1)from 0000 to 0600 LST on May 12 and the second stage(S2)from 0700 to 1700 LST on the same day.During S1,the rainfall is mainly caused by the upper-level shortwave trough and the boundary layer jet(BLJ),characterized by strong upward motion on the windward side of mountains.In S2,the combined influence of the BLJ and synoptic-system-related low-level jet(SLLJ)increases the vertical wind shear and vertical vorticity,strengthening the rainstorm.In combination with the effect of topography,a warm and humid southwest flow continuously transports water vapor to farther north,resulting in a significant increase in rainfall over the study area(on the terrain’s windward slope).From S1 to S2,the altitude of a divergence center in the upper air decreases obviously.(2)The rainfalls in the two stages are both associated with the mesoscale convergence line(MCL)on the surface,and the wind field from the mesoscale outflow boundary(MOB)in S1 is in the same direction as the environmental winds.Due to a small area of convergence that is left behind the MOB,convection moves eastward quickly and causes a short duration of heavy rainfall.In S2,the convergence along the MOB is enhanced,which strengthens the rainfall and leads to strong outflows,further enhancing the surface convergence near the MOB and forming a positive feedback mechanism.It results in a slow motion of convection and a long duration of heavy rainfall.(3)In terms of microphysics,the center of a strong echo in S1 is higher than in S2.The warm-rain process of the oceanic type characterizes both stages,but the convective intensity in S2 is significantly stronger than that in S1,featuring bigger drop sizes and lower concentrations.It is mainly due to the strengthening of LLJs,which makes small cloud droplets lift to melting levels,enhancing the ice phase process(riming process),producing large amounts of graupel particles and enhancing the melting and collision processes as they fall,resulting in the increase of liquid water content(LWC)and the formation of large raindrops near the surface.展开更多
根据NCEP/DOE再分析资料的地面感热通量和潜热通量以及MICAPS天气图资料识别的高原低涡资料集,研究了近30年来青藏高原夏季地面热源和高原低涡生成频数的气候学特征,分析了高原地面加热与低涡生成频数的时间相关性及其物理成因。得到如...根据NCEP/DOE再分析资料的地面感热通量和潜热通量以及MICAPS天气图资料识别的高原低涡资料集,研究了近30年来青藏高原夏季地面热源和高原低涡生成频数的气候学特征,分析了高原地面加热与低涡生成频数的时间相关性及其物理成因。得到如下认知:夏季高原地面感热通量的气候均值为58 W m-2,近30年地面感热总体呈微弱的减小趋势。其中在1980年代初期和21世纪前10年的大部分时段,地面感热呈增大趋势,而中间时段呈波动式下降。地面感热具有准3年为主的周期振荡,1996年前后是其开始减弱的突变点。高原夏季地面潜热通量的气候均值为62 W m-2,近30年呈波动状变化并伴有增大趋势。地面潜热的周期振荡以准4年为主,地面潜热增大的突变始于2004年前后。夏季高原地面热源的气候均值为120 W m-2,其中地面感热与地面潜热对地面热源的贡献在夏季大致相当。地面热源总体呈幅度不大的减弱趋势,其中1980年代到1990年代末偏强,21世纪前6年明显偏弱,随后又转为偏强。地面热源亦呈准3年为主的周期振荡并在1997年前后发生由强转弱的突变。根据MICAPS天气图资料的识别和统计,近30来夏季高原低涡的生成频数整体呈现一定程度的线性减少趋势,低涡高发期主要集中在1980年代到1990年代中后期。低涡生成频数有准7年为主的周期振荡现象,自1990年代中期开始的低涡生成频数的减少态势在1998年前后发生了突变。夏季高原低涡生成频数与同期高原地面感热呈高度正相关,与地面潜热呈一定程度的负相关,但与同期地面热源仍呈较显著的正相关。因此,在气候尺度上,高原地面热源偏强特别是地面感热偏强的时期,对应高原低涡的多发期。本研究从气候统计的时间相关性角度揭示了高原地面加热作用对催生高原低涡乃至高原对流活动的重要性。展开更多
本文基于AREM（Advanced Regional Eta Model）模式，结合中国气象局成都高原气象研究所西南低涡加密观测科学试验得到的探空观测第一手资料，通过对2012年7月3～4日四川区域性暴雨天气过程（20120703过程）进行数值模拟分析，结果表明...本文基于AREM（Advanced Regional Eta Model）模式，结合中国气象局成都高原气象研究所西南低涡加密观测科学试验得到的探空观测第一手资料，通过对2012年7月3～4日四川区域性暴雨天气过程（20120703过程）进行数值模拟分析，结果表明：（1）降水雨带的分布主要取决于西南低涡移动路径，不同初值会使得低涡路径在磨合协调期产生强摆动，稳定后则在此基础上，随着环境流场继续移动发展。（2）引入4个加密探空站点资料会对整个大气物理量场造成一定影响，最大差值分布在这些站点附近，热力和动力物理量场最大偏差中心并不重合。时间演变直观地说明了初值对局地大气状态的影响时段有限，主要集中在前期，与模式自身调整期相重叠。（3）初始的大气状态必然会随着模式的磨合过程进行调整，不同初值在调整期能对中小尺度低涡系统的位置及强度产生影响，形成各自稳定的低涡系统初态。（4）低涡中心所对应的散度、涡度、垂直速度关系非常密切，但三者强度和发展高度的演变并非完全一致。展开更多
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2242203,41975138,42275008)Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province(2019A1515010814,2021A1515011415)+1 种基金Science and Technology Development Fund Project of Guangdong Meteorological Bureau(GRMC2020M27)Jiangmen Young science and technology talents lifting Project(2022-2023)。
文摘In this paper,the data of Automatic Weather Stations(AWSs),ERA5 reanalysis,sounding,wind profile radar,and dual-polarization radar are used to study an extreme rainfall event in the south China Coast on 11 to 12 May 2022 from the aspects of thermodynamics and microphysical characteristics under the influence of low-level jets(LLJs).Results show that:(1)The extreme rainfall event can be divided into two stages:the first stage(S1)from 0000 to 0600 LST on May 12 and the second stage(S2)from 0700 to 1700 LST on the same day.During S1,the rainfall is mainly caused by the upper-level shortwave trough and the boundary layer jet(BLJ),characterized by strong upward motion on the windward side of mountains.In S2,the combined influence of the BLJ and synoptic-system-related low-level jet(SLLJ)increases the vertical wind shear and vertical vorticity,strengthening the rainstorm.In combination with the effect of topography,a warm and humid southwest flow continuously transports water vapor to farther north,resulting in a significant increase in rainfall over the study area(on the terrain’s windward slope).From S1 to S2,the altitude of a divergence center in the upper air decreases obviously.(2)The rainfalls in the two stages are both associated with the mesoscale convergence line(MCL)on the surface,and the wind field from the mesoscale outflow boundary(MOB)in S1 is in the same direction as the environmental winds.Due to a small area of convergence that is left behind the MOB,convection moves eastward quickly and causes a short duration of heavy rainfall.In S2,the convergence along the MOB is enhanced,which strengthens the rainfall and leads to strong outflows,further enhancing the surface convergence near the MOB and forming a positive feedback mechanism.It results in a slow motion of convection and a long duration of heavy rainfall.(3)In terms of microphysics,the center of a strong echo in S1 is higher than in S2.The warm-rain process of the oceanic type characterizes both stages,but the convective intensity in S2 is significantly stronger than that in S1,featuring bigger drop sizes and lower concentrations.It is mainly due to the strengthening of LLJs,which makes small cloud droplets lift to melting levels,enhancing the ice phase process(riming process),producing large amounts of graupel particles and enhancing the melting and collision processes as they fall,resulting in the increase of liquid water content(LWC)and the formation of large raindrops near the surface.
文摘根据NCEP/DOE再分析资料的地面感热通量和潜热通量以及MICAPS天气图资料识别的高原低涡资料集,研究了近30年来青藏高原夏季地面热源和高原低涡生成频数的气候学特征,分析了高原地面加热与低涡生成频数的时间相关性及其物理成因。得到如下认知:夏季高原地面感热通量的气候均值为58 W m-2,近30年地面感热总体呈微弱的减小趋势。其中在1980年代初期和21世纪前10年的大部分时段,地面感热呈增大趋势,而中间时段呈波动式下降。地面感热具有准3年为主的周期振荡,1996年前后是其开始减弱的突变点。高原夏季地面潜热通量的气候均值为62 W m-2,近30年呈波动状变化并伴有增大趋势。地面潜热的周期振荡以准4年为主,地面潜热增大的突变始于2004年前后。夏季高原地面热源的气候均值为120 W m-2,其中地面感热与地面潜热对地面热源的贡献在夏季大致相当。地面热源总体呈幅度不大的减弱趋势,其中1980年代到1990年代末偏强,21世纪前6年明显偏弱,随后又转为偏强。地面热源亦呈准3年为主的周期振荡并在1997年前后发生由强转弱的突变。根据MICAPS天气图资料的识别和统计,近30来夏季高原低涡的生成频数整体呈现一定程度的线性减少趋势,低涡高发期主要集中在1980年代到1990年代中后期。低涡生成频数有准7年为主的周期振荡现象,自1990年代中期开始的低涡生成频数的减少态势在1998年前后发生了突变。夏季高原低涡生成频数与同期高原地面感热呈高度正相关,与地面潜热呈一定程度的负相关,但与同期地面热源仍呈较显著的正相关。因此,在气候尺度上,高原地面热源偏强特别是地面感热偏强的时期,对应高原低涡的多发期。本研究从气候统计的时间相关性角度揭示了高原地面加热作用对催生高原低涡乃至高原对流活动的重要性。
文摘本文基于AREM（Advanced Regional Eta Model）模式，结合中国气象局成都高原气象研究所西南低涡加密观测科学试验得到的探空观测第一手资料，通过对2012年7月3～4日四川区域性暴雨天气过程（20120703过程）进行数值模拟分析，结果表明：（1）降水雨带的分布主要取决于西南低涡移动路径，不同初值会使得低涡路径在磨合协调期产生强摆动，稳定后则在此基础上，随着环境流场继续移动发展。（2）引入4个加密探空站点资料会对整个大气物理量场造成一定影响，最大差值分布在这些站点附近，热力和动力物理量场最大偏差中心并不重合。时间演变直观地说明了初值对局地大气状态的影响时段有限，主要集中在前期，与模式自身调整期相重叠。（3）初始的大气状态必然会随着模式的磨合过程进行调整，不同初值在调整期能对中小尺度低涡系统的位置及强度产生影响，形成各自稳定的低涡系统初态。（4）低涡中心所对应的散度、涡度、垂直速度关系非常密切，但三者强度和发展高度的演变并非完全一致。
