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1951~2006年新疆地区气候变化特征及其与水资源的关系 被引量:13
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作者 曹丽青 葛朝霞 薛梅 《河海大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第3期281-283,共3页
利用北疆5个气象站、南疆7个气象站1951—2006年月平均气温及月降水总量资料,用高桥浩一郎公式计算了新疆区域月平均蒸发量及可利用降水量,并在此基础上分析了1951~2006年新疆地区气候变化及水资源变化趋势,以及气候变化对水资源的... 利用北疆5个气象站、南疆7个气象站1951—2006年月平均气温及月降水总量资料,用高桥浩一郎公式计算了新疆区域月平均蒸发量及可利用降水量,并在此基础上分析了1951~2006年新疆地区气候变化及水资源变化趋势,以及气候变化对水资源的影响.结果表明:(a)新疆地区气温从20世纪50年代以来基本上都是呈上升趋势,90年代以来的气温明显高于平均值,为正距平;60年代中期至80年代末期,降水比平均值偏少,90年代以后,降水持续增加;(b)新疆地区可利用降水量20世纪50年代中期至80年代初期呈持续下降趋势,80年代初期至今呈增加趋势,90年代初期至今为高值期;(c)新疆地区降水与可利用降水量之间存在明显正相关.在此基础上建立了新疆地区降水变化对可利用降水量影响的统计评估模型. 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 水资源 可利用降水量 评估模式 新疆地区
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A Numerical Study on the Winter Monsoon and Cold Surge over East Asia 被引量:3
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作者 李巧萍 丁一汇 +1 位作者 董文杰 闫冠华 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第4期664-678,共15页
By using the improved regional climate model (RegCM_NCC), a numerical study has been undertaken for the East Asia region over a period of 5 years (1998-2002) in an effort to evaluate the model's ability to reprod... By using the improved regional climate model (RegCM_NCC), a numerical study has been undertaken for the East Asia region over a period of 5 years (1998-2002) in an effort to evaluate the model's ability to reproduce the winter monsoon conditions that were observed. The results showed that the model can successfully simulate the basic characteristics of the winter monsoon circulations, including the location and intensity of the cold-surface, high-pressure system, as well as the wind patterns and the intensity of the winter monsoon. The simulated occurrence frequency and regions of the cold surge were consistent with the observations. The simulated rainfall distribution over China was consistent with the observations collected in South China. The features of the simulated moisture transport were also in good agreement with the observations that were derived from the NCEP reanalysis data, indicating that moisture transport coming from the Bay of Bengal trough plays a crucial role in supplying moisture needed for precipitation in South China. In addition, the moisture transport coming from the near-equatorial west-Pacific was also important. These two branches of moisture transport converged in South China, as a prerequisite for occurrence of the precipitation that was observed there. Heat budgets have shown that the development of a heat sink over the East Asian continent was remarkable and its thermal contrast relative to the neighboring seas was the important forcing factor for the winter monsoon activity. The simulation also indicated that the significant differences in circulation patterns and rainfalls during the winters of 1997/98 and 1998/99 were affected by cold and warm ENSO events, respectively. The above analysis demonstrated the model's ability to simulate the East Asian winter monsoon. 展开更多
关键词 East Asian winter monsoon cold surge numerical simulation
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