Modeling Expected Failure Considering Repair Time and Degradation: A Rail System Case Study

The repeated failures of any equipment or systems are modeled as a renewal process. The management needs an assessment of the number of future failures to allocate the resources needed for fast repairs. Based on the idea of expectation by conditioning, special Volterra-type integral equations are derived for general types of repairs, considering the length of repair and reduced degradation of the idle object. In addition to minimal repair and failure replacement, partial repairs are also discussed when the repair results in reduction of the number of future failures or decreases the effective age of the object. Numerical integration-based algorithm and simulation study are performed to solve the resulting integral equation. Since the geometry degradation in different dimensions of a rail track and controlling and maintaining defects are of importance, a numerical example using the rail industry data is conducted. Expected number of failures of different failure type modes in rail track is calculated within a two-year interval. Results show that within a two-year period, anticipated occurrences of cross level failures, surface failures, and DPI failures are 2.4, 3.8, and 5.8, respectively.

Effects of β-Glucan Supplementation on Repairing of Phenol-Induced Vaginal Mucosal Epithelium Damage in Rats

Objective: To investigate the effects of different concentrations of β-glucan on the repair of damaged vaginal mucosa, the expression of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and the inflammatory factor-6 (IL-6) in vaginal tissues. Methods: Thirty-six adult female specific pathogen free (SPF)-grade Wistar rats were randomly divided into 3 phase groups with 12 rats each. Vaginal inflammation rat models were established by injecting phenol gel into the vagina of each rat at a dose of 0.1 ml/100g body weight. After modeling, rats were divided into 4 groups based on different concentrations of the test agent. The control group was injected with 0.5 ml of saline, experimental group A was injected with 0.375 ml saline 0.125 ml β-glucan, experimental group B was injected with 0.25 ml saline 0.25 ml β-glucan, and experimental group C was injected with 0.50 ml β-glucan. The injection sites were selected at the 3 o’clock and 9 o’clock positions of the vagina. Rats were sacrificed at 7-, 14-, and 28-days post-injection, and tissue samples were collected from the injection sites and prepared for histological analysis. New blood vessels and fibroblast numbers in the tissues were observed after Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining. The expression levels of VEGF and IL-6 in the tissues were measured using quantificational reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). Results: Histological examination of vaginal tissue specimens at 7-, 14-, and 28-days post-injection showed that on day 7, there were no significant changes in the experimental groups compared to the control group. However, on days 14 and 28, the experimental groups showed more new blood vessels, macrophages, and fibroblasts with increased activity compared to the control group. The expression levels of VEGF in vaginal tissues were elevated on days 14 and 28 in the experimental groups. The comparison of IL-6 levels in vaginal tissues on day 28 showed that serum IL-6 levels returned to normal, and there was no statistically significant difference between the experimental and control groups. Conclusion: In the 3 experimental phases, the increase in VEGF levels in vaginal tissues on day 14 post-injection was more pronounced with higher concentrations of β-glucan, and IL-6 levels returned to normal on day 28. β-Glucan can enhance VEGF levels in damaged vaginal tissues, promote the repair of damaged vaginal tissues, and higher concentrations of β-glucan have a better effect.

Analysis of the Cicatricial Acceleration Method (MAC®) in Skin Repair in Wistar Rattus norvegicus with Induced Chemical Burns

Introduction: The cicatricial acceleration method (MAC®) promotes photobiological effects of an anti-inflammatory and healing nature. Its therapeutic radiation is emitted, producing photobiostimulant effects that result in rapid tissue repair and better tissue quality. The treatment of burns has always been a challenge, which involves both performing surgery and controlling and guiding scar regeneration, avoiding possible morbidities. Objective: To evaluate the effects of applying the MAC methodology with an AlGa (aluminum, gallium arsenide) laser on the time and quality of tissue repair in the skin of rats after induced chemical burns. Method: 22 adult male rats were subjected to a second-degree chemical burn on the back using 50% trichloroacetic acid. After the burns, the animals were randomly separated into 2 groups: control and experimental. The control group (G1) received placebo laser therapy and the laser group (G2) underwent laser irradiation with an energy density of 100 J/cm2. Histological analysis and macroscopic evaluation were carried out by means of the paper template method. Results: Group G1 showed (53%) of the necrosis area and group G2 showed (11%) necrosis area. Conclusion: The cicatricial acceleration method (MAC®) favored the repair of wounds caused by a 2nd-degree chemical burn, optimizing time and improving quality.

In Vivo Improvements in Facial Appearance and in Vitro Changes in Gene Expression Using a Topical Formulation Designed to Repair Environmentally Induced DNA Damage

Background: While sunscreen has been accepted as a mainline defence against photodamage from ultraviolet, visible light and near-infrared radiation, there appears to be a lack of research into photorepair. The concept of protecting the skin during the day and repairing cellular damage at night is intuitive, yet specific strategies revolving around combinations of proven reparative active ingredients remain unelucidated. Purpose: To investigate the efficacy of a solar repair Formulation following ultraviolet and environmental exposure in order to improve overall skin health and appearance through three hypotheses: The Formulation increases expression of DNA repair mechanisms markers;The Formulation enhances overall skin appearance through reducing signs of inflammation, elevating hydration, reinforcing skin firmness and amplifying radiance;In-Vivo efficacy test results are aligned with measured gene expression changes. Methods: The Formulation (#6NIC1.V1.1-1) was tested for: In-vitro LDH cytotoxicity activity, In-vitro qPCR gene expression with and without ultraviolet exposure on a reconstructed 3-dimensional skin model, and In-Vivo efficacy study on a panel of 22 participants objectively and subjectively. Results: Skin radiance, firmness, hydration, redness, and inflammation are significantly improved after In-Vivo skin exposure to the Formulation and environmental challenges such as ultraviolet radiation. These outcomes were confirmed by in-vitro genetic testing on a reconstructed human skin model. Conclusion: The studies allowed us to identify and group results in four main skin functions that were significantly enhanced following the application of the Formulation: firmness, hydration, radiance and soothing.

The Timing of Primary Neurosurgical Repair and Wound-Site Infection in Children with Myelomeningocele

Background: The optimal time to closure of a newborn with a myelomeningocele has been the focus of a number of evaluations. The Timing of primary surgery has received significant attention due to its relationship to repair-site infection that can lead to increased morbidity and prolonged hospital stays. It is on this basis that recommendations have utilized 48 - 72 hours post birth as ideal time of closure. This is not only prevent infection at the site but also prevent ventriculitis and neural structure damage. We therefore, hypothesized an increase in wound infection rates in those patients with delays in myelomeningocele repair. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the records of 103 children with myelomeningocele treated between 2016 and 2023. At discharge the patients were followed up at the post-operative clinic visit 2 weeks later. Children were assigned to 1 of 2 groups, those who underwent primary neurosurgical repair within 72 hours of delivery (Group 1) and those undergoing repair after 72 hours (Group 2). We compared the infection rates. Results: 103 children who underwent myelomeningocele repair were identified, with a median time from birth to treatment of 1 day. Eight (7.8 %) patients were noted to have post-repair surgical site complications. There was no significant difference in rates of infection between Group 1 and Group 2 repair times. The presence of infection was associated increased length of stay when compared to neonates without infection. Conclusion: In children with myelomeningocele, the timing of primary neurosurgical repair appears not to have a significant impact on surgical site infection. Closure of the spinal lesion within the first 72 hours of life may be more favorable for neural damage prevention. These results suggest that early myelomeningocele repair may not impart significantly on the rate of wound-site infection.

计及故障维修与网络重构的灾后配电网综合调度策略

当前,灾后配电网负荷恢复与故障维修多是独立考虑,缺乏有效联动,且没有合理计及包含故障维修时间及新能源出力的不确定性在内的双重因素影响。为此,提出一种灾后配电网维修恢复联合调度策略。首先,提出灾后配电网两阶段求解框架,第一阶段求解故障维修计划及网络重构问题,第二阶段解决移动式储能系统参与下的灾后配电网源荷协同调度问题。其次,构建移动式储能系统与维修人员的调度模型,量化分析移动式储能系统时空转移模型及能量模型,同时基于维修人员的时空转移特性,建立故障维修及网络重构模型。在此基础上,以恢复运行成本最小化为目标,分别采用离散鲁棒与连续鲁棒处理故障维修时间与新能源出力的不确定性,构建灾后配电网综合调度模型。最后,采用改进IEEE 33节点配电网进行仿真测试。结果表明,所提调度策略能够显著降低负荷失电率,减少停电损失。此外,两阶段算法在显著提升求解速度的同时能够保证求解精度,具有可行性和合理性。

活性改性剂合成及其对环氧胶黏剂力学与界面粘接性能的影响

综合考虑环氧胶黏剂的施工性能、力学性能及与砂浆界面的粘接性能,利用三羟甲基丙烷三缩水甘油醚(TMPGE)与1,4-丁二醇(BDO),通过控制反应物物质的量比以及反应时间制备了四种低环氧值兼具高羟基含量的预聚体(PPM)。通过1H-NMR、盐酸-丙酮法及凝胶渗透色谱(GPC)对PPM进行了表征。进一步研究了PPM对改性环氧胶黏剂工作性能、固化力学性能、与水泥砂浆粘接强度以及表面性质的影响。结果显示:延长反应时间以及增加BDO用量使PPM的数均分子量更大、环氧值更低。四种PPM改性后,胶黏剂的放热峰值温度降低,可操作时间延长。同时,PPM使环氧固化物的延性显著增加。四种PPM改性后使环氧与水的接触角降低,固化物表面的极性组分升高。XPS分析表明,PPM使环氧固化物的羟基含量显著提高。最后,PPM使胶黏剂对湿砂浆基体的粘接强度提高了一倍以上。

水性环氧树脂-聚丙烯纤维改性水泥基快速修补砂浆性能研究

为改善机场道面修补砂浆脆性大和粘结性能差等问题,本文利用水性环氧树脂(WER)、聚丙烯(PP)纤维和硫铝酸盐水泥(SAC)制备出一种快速修补砂浆,并对其工作性能、力学性能、阻尼性能和耐硫酸盐腐蚀性能进行研究。结果表明,PP纤维和WER可显著提高快速修补砂浆韧性和粘结性能,使得快速修补砂浆2 h抗压、抗折强度和粘结强度分别达到22.3,5.1和3.7MPa,满足民用机场规范要求,同时可改善快速修补砂浆的阻尼性能和抗硫酸盐侵蚀性能。

水工混凝土矿化微生物固载及自修复试验研究

直接内掺方式制备微生物自修复混凝土会因拌合的机械挤压摩擦、生存环境受限等因素影响矿化微生物的长期活性。本文选择巴氏芽孢杆菌为矿化微生物,以膨胀珍珠岩和陶粒为微生物载体,以水泥浆和偏高岭土浆液为载体包覆材料,通过试验优选有助于微生物释放和保护的载体及其合理粒径、包覆材料,并研究微生物固载对裂缝自修复效果的影响。结果表明:掺入定量的膨胀珍珠岩的水工混凝土试样劈裂裂缝处拉裂面积比更大,作为水工混凝土微生物固载材料时较陶粒更能有效释放矿化微生物;偏高岭土浆液较水泥浆更适合作为载体的包覆材料,其包覆的微生物14 d存活率为86.63%,有效保证了固载微生物的长期活性;对微生物进行膨胀珍珠岩固载和偏高岭土浆液包覆,修复养护90d裂缝最大修复宽度为0.616mm,高于直接内掺的0.453mm,有效改善了混凝土试件的裂缝自修复效果。

古建筑木构件开裂机制、评估与加固研究进展

开裂作为古建筑木构件最常见的残损类型之一,影响木构件的长期服役性能,是古建筑稳定性与安全性评估的重要考查内容。本文从古建筑木构件开裂情况、原因、影响,评估方法及修复加固等方面,系统梳理古建筑木构件开裂残损相关研究成果。分析发现我国古建筑木构件开裂的主要原因为木材干缩与受力破坏,主要类型为纵向开裂,开裂可降低木构件力学性能,也可为其他不利因素作用于木构件提供条件。目前主要通过实际试验与数值模拟评估开裂对木构件性能的影响,利用金属材料、纤维增强复合材料(fiber reinforced polymer,FRP)与高分子树脂材料对开裂木构件进行修复加固。然而,由于古建筑的特殊性与木材变异性,仍需进一步探索木构件的不同尺度开裂机制,开发适用于古建筑开裂木构件的检测、评估与加固方法,建立科学系统性的古建筑保护体系。

负压封闭引流联合保留臀上动脉浅支的臀大肌肌皮瓣修复骶尾部IV期压疮的临床效果

目的:探讨负压封闭引流联合保留臀上动脉浅支的臀大肌旋转肌皮瓣修复骶尾部压疮的临床效果。方法:选取2019年6月—2023年10月温州医科大学附属第一医院收治的12例骶尾部压疮患者,其中男7例,女5例,年龄31~86岁。入院后I期予行负压封闭引流术,4~7 d后行保留臀上动脉浅支的臀大肌肌皮瓣修复创面。观察术后皮瓣成活情况、并发症发生情况,随访观察皮瓣外形、压疮复发情况。结果:本组12例患者,均因长期卧床致骶尾部受压出现IV期压疮,压疮病因:截瘫患者5例,各种原因所致的长期卧床患者7例,其中脑梗死后遗症患者2例,帕金森病患者3例,老年痴呆症患者1例,股骨颈骨折患者1例。病程2周至8年,清创后创面面积为5.0 cm×5.0 cm~10.0 cm×12.0 cm。12例患者术后皮瓣均完全成活,无皮瓣坏死、静脉淤血、创缘开裂等发生。术后随访2~6个月,皮瓣外形较佳、骶尾部软组织饱满、压疮无复发。结论:保留臀上动脉浅支的臀大肌旋转肌皮瓣血运可靠,设计、操作简单,皮瓣可修复面积大,切取不需要离断臀上动脉浅支,供瓣区一般能直接缝合,修复骶尾部压疮效果较佳。

针灸肌筋膜触发点作用机制研究进展

肌筋膜触发点(myofascial trigger points,MTrPs)为骨骼肌绷紧带中的过敏结节,可引发压痛、特征性转移痛、运动功能障碍和自主神经现象。近年来,基于MTrPs特殊的病理生理机制,采用针灸治疗非器质性神经肌纤维的疼痛综合征取得了满意的效果。针刺干预MTrPs对于组织修复、恢复功能活动具有重要的指导价值,为临床治疗肌筋膜疼痛综合征(myofascial pain syndrome,MPS)提供了有效手段。但针刺MTrPs作用机制尚未完全阐明,今后还需从多层次、多角度、多领域深入探究,以期为临床针灸施治提供有力的理论依据。

基于Arduino的SMA丝材智能修复损伤钢筋混凝土梁试验研究

为修复钢筋混凝土梁在使用阶段中由于材料老化、裂缝开展等原因造成的损伤,提出一种基于Arduino智能平台和形状记忆合金(Shape Memory Alloy,SMA,具有形状记忆效应和超弹性特性)的智能修复控制系统,根据挠度及裂缝控制原理,设计智能修复控制装置。该装置由输入模块、处理模块和输出模块组成,当检测到钢筋应变超过限值时,输出模块升高SMA丝材温度对梁体进行修复。为验证该智能修复装置的修复性能,设计对比梁A(无修复装置)与试验梁B(加装智能修复控制装置),在加载过程中对试验梁B进行3次修复,对2根梁的跨中挠度、钢筋应变及裂缝宽度等进行对比分析。结果表明:破坏时试验梁B的跨中挠度、裂缝宽度均小于对比梁A,并且在3次修复中试验梁B的跨中挠度、裂缝宽度和钢筋应变最大回复率分别为31.0%、47.0%和71.5%。说明该智能修复控制装置可以监测试验梁受损情况并激发SMA材料对试验梁实施修复,实现钢筋混凝土梁的智能修复。

温针灸对兔膝骨性关节炎模型滑膜组织中TLR4/NF-κB信号通路诱导下滑膜修复作用机制的实验研究

目的通过观察温针灸对兔右膝骨性关节炎模型关节软骨滑膜组织中TLR4、NF-κB表达量的影响,探讨温针灸治疗膝骨性关节炎的机制。方法随机将40只兔分为空白组、模型组、双氯芬酸钠组、温针灸组,每组10只,采用右后肢石膏管型固定法制作膝骨性关节炎模型,于造模成功后第3 d开始进行干预治疗。空白组不做任何处理,常规饲养;模型组不治疗,每天以石膏固定1次,时间15 min。温针灸组给予患侧鹤顶、后三里、内外膝眼、阳陵泉5个穴位行温针灸治疗,15 min/1次,1次/d。双氯芬酸钠组将药品研末、溶解在纯净水中,并以15 mg/kg体重的浓度灌胃。6 d为1个疗程,观察2个疗程,治疗结束后取材。通过HE染色法观察各组膝关节软骨的病理变化,并进行Mankin′s评分;采用ELISA法检测各组兔膝关节滑膜组织中NF-κB、TLR4的表达水平。结果与空白组兔比较,各组兔膝关节Mankin′s评分、NF-κB、TLR4的含量均增高(P<0.05),与模型组兔相比,温针灸组和双氯芬酸钠组兔膝关节Mankin′s评分和NF-κB、TLR4的含量均有所下降(P<0.05)。结论温针灸可改善兔膝关节软骨退行性变,减轻炎症反应,其机制可能与改善兔膝关节软骨形态,降低滑膜组织中NF-κB、TLR4的表达量相关。

CFRP加固损伤钢筋混凝土梁抗冲击性能试验研究

对采用碳纤维增强复合材料(CFRP)加固的不同损伤程度的钢筋混凝土梁进行落锤冲击试验,以冲击高度、加固层数为试验参数分析CFRP加固损伤试件的裂缝发展、破坏形态及抗冲击性能,并研究试件在冲击荷载下的动力性能。结果表明:试件损伤程度越高,其斜向裂缝发展越密集,试件的破坏程度越严重;落锤冲击高度越高,裂缝发展越趋近于跨中局部化;当采用多层CFRP布加固损伤试件时,试件在落锤冲击作用下保持较好的完整性,仅外部混凝土粉碎掉落;随着CFRP布粘贴层数的增加,试件整体产生弯剪破坏,损伤试件加固修复后的抗冲击能力及刚度相较于完好试件得到显著提升,提升幅度为70%~72%,但增加CFRP布粘贴层数对试件的加固修复效果提升作用有限,且加固效果与抗冲击能力并非呈线性关系;基于有效应变计算的结果可知,采用CFRP布加固修复不仅仅具有加固补强的作用,同时能够在一定的程度上改善试件的整体抗冲击性能。

脂肪间充质干细胞过表达骨形态发生蛋白2促进骨质疏松大鼠牙槽骨缺损修复

背景:颌骨在骨质疏松症中最容易受累,脂肪间充质干细胞和骨形态发生蛋白2具有促进骨质疏松症骨再生的效果,然而骨形态发生蛋白2修饰的脂肪间充质干细胞对骨质疏松症牙槽骨缺损的修复作用鲜有报道。目的:探究过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞对骨质疏松大鼠牙槽骨缺损的修复作用。方法:①将过表达骨形态发生蛋白2基因的慢病毒感染大鼠脂肪间充质干细胞,通过检测绿色荧光蛋白和骨形态发生蛋白2表达进行鉴定;②切除卵巢建立骨质疏松大鼠模型,于上颌两侧第一磨牙位置制备3 mm×3 mm×3 mm的圆柱形缺损;③假手术组和骨质疏松组大鼠植入明胶海绵,脂肪间充质干细胞组植入空载体慢病毒感染的脂肪间充质干细胞与明胶海绵复合体,过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞组植入过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞与明胶海绵复合体,1个月后进行相关指标检测。结果与结论:①脂肪间充质干细胞组和过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞组转染效率均达到70%以上;与脂肪间充质干细胞组相比,过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞组骨形态发生蛋白2蛋白表达水平明显升高(P<0.05);②假手术组骨缺损区可见大量新骨生成;与假手术组相比,骨质疏松组有少量新骨生成,新骨面积明显减小,碱性磷酸酶、骨钙素及骨形态发生蛋白2 mRNA和蛋白水平明显降低;与骨质疏松组相比,脂肪间充质干细胞组和过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞组有大量新骨生成,新骨面积明显增加,碱性磷酸酶、骨钙素及骨形态发生蛋白2 mRNA和蛋白水平明显升高,且过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞组优于脂肪间充质干细胞组(均P<0.05);③结果表明,骨形态发生蛋白2在骨质疏松大鼠牙槽骨表达较少,过表达骨形态发生蛋白2的脂肪间充质干细胞能够促进骨质疏松大鼠牙槽骨缺损的成骨再生。

基于Rockfall数值模拟的边坡落石防护网修复加固方案研究

某水电站尾水支洞边坡多次发生落石灾害,原被动防护网已发生局部破损,严重威胁着尾水支洞施工期和运行期的安全,需对原防护网进行修复加固。由于山体陡峭、地貌复杂,人工调查无法确定落石源,采用高精度无人机航摄初步排查出四处可疑危险源区域,利用Rockfall软件进行落石轨迹模拟计算,通过对比分析计算成果与观测到的落石落点位置与威胁区域分布情况,反分析确定了两处落石源。在此基础上,根据落石源的落石运动特征,复核分析了原防护能力不足的原因,发现原防护网的能级和高度不足是导致落石灾害发生的主要原因。通过提高防护网的能级和高度,提出了原位修复和增高加固两种方案。研究结果表明:两种方案均能有效减小落石威胁区域面积、降低落石率、改善运动特征参数。其中增高加固方案的防护效果更加显著,落石被全部拦截,落石弹跳高度和动能的最大值分别降低了69.64%、66.02%。对被动防护网破损部位的修复加固,综合考虑现场实际情况与落石模拟计算成果进行修复方案设计更为科学合理。研究成果可为该工程的落石防护方案提供科学依据,为类似工程设计与落石分析提供参考。

考虑移动式储能的综合能源系统冰灾后抢修与调度协同优化

冰灾易造成大规模停电事故,此时综合能源系统中的热电耦合设备可协调电出力和热出力,降低损失。根据典型的气象数据模拟冰灾故障场景,建立除冰抢修、综合能源系统与移动式储能系统双层协同优化调度模型,以减少冰灾带来的不利影响。上层优化模型为保障综合能源系统的电网快速恢复供电的除冰抢修调度模型,下层优化模型为综合能源系统与移动式储能系统调度模型,上层的各故障线路除冰抢修进度与下层的各节点实时切负荷情况相互传递、交互优化,保障在短时间内抢修更多的故障线路的同时恢复更多的用电负荷,并充分利用热电联产机组灵活的热电比以优化综合能源系统调度,有效减少系统整体经济损失。另外,下层优化模型依据故障后综合能源系统的切负荷情况调度移动式储能系统,进一步减少系统切负荷损失,同时可提高综合能源系统韧性。通过算例仿真验证所提方法的有效性。

Study of Optimal Frequency to the Repairable System Due to Failure Finding Interval to Maximize Availability System

This research article is based on a study of optimal frequency to the repairable system due to the failure finding interval to maximize as well as minimize the availability of some components devices. We studied together maintenance and corrective actions that carried out item of failure and periodic failure finding designed to check whether a system is still working. The model is proved as well as useful application in detecting the problem related to finding failure tasks of different scheme devices by maximization. The model formulated and the numerical application to the relevant mathematical model have been discussed to demonstrate the article quality. Therefore based on probability analytic development, the optimal maintenance policy is then obtained as solution of an optimization problem in which the maintenance cost rate is the objective function and the risk of corrective maintenance is the constraint function. Finally, the solution to the optimal device in the considered development model has been well adjusted due to derivation to the experimental observation rather than theory which will be taken into consideration in the next applied practical design research related and the system device provided that, the proactive device agreed with using the exponential distribution to the survive distribution function which can not be considered as valid.

炼化企业挥发性有机化合物减排的探索与实践

炼化企业加工过程有组织、无组织排放的挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)量较大,对大气环境中的颗粒物、臭氧浓度等产生重大影响。A公司自“十三五”以来对VOCs减排进行了探索与实践,通过采取油气回收、储罐浮盘高效密封改造、呼吸阀改型升级、无组织排放改为有组织回收、VOCs焚烧、常态化泄漏检测与修复工作等多种减排措施,VOCs排放量已从2015年的4230 t下降到2022年的2157 t,降低比例达到49%,取得了显著的成效。