In the non-linear microwave drying process, the incremental improved back-propagation (BP) neural network and response surface methodology (RSM) were used to build a predictive model of the combined effects of ind...In the non-linear microwave drying process, the incremental improved back-propagation (BP) neural network and response surface methodology (RSM) were used to build a predictive model of the combined effects of independent variables (the microwave power, the acting time and the rotational frequency) for microwave drying of selenium-rich slag. The optimum operating conditions obtained from the quadratic form of the RSM are: the microwave power of 14.97 kW, the acting time of 89.58 min, the rotational frequency of 10.94 Hz, and the temperature of 136.407 ℃. The relative dehydration rate of 97.1895% is obtained. Under the optimum operating conditions, the incremental improved BP neural network prediction model can predict the drying process results and different effects on the results of the independent variables. The verification experiments demonstrate the prediction accuracy of the network, and the mean squared error is 0.16. The optimized results indicate that RSM can optimize the experimental conditions within much more broad range by considering the combination of factors and the neural network model can predict the results effectively and provide the theoretical guidance for the follow-up production process.展开更多
To reduce typhoon-caused damages, numerical and empirical methods are often used to forecast typhoon storm surge. However, typhoon surge is a complex nonlinear process that is difficult to forecast accurately. We appl...To reduce typhoon-caused damages, numerical and empirical methods are often used to forecast typhoon storm surge. However, typhoon surge is a complex nonlinear process that is difficult to forecast accurately. We applied a principal component back-propagation neural network (PCBPNN) to predict the deviation in typhoon storm surge, in which data of the typhoon, upstream flood, and historical case studies were involved. With principal component analysis, 15 input factors were reduced to five principal components, and the application of the model was improved. Observation data from Huangpu Park in Shanghai, China were used to test the feasibility of the model. The results indicate that the model is capable of predicting a 12-hour warning before a typhoon surge.展开更多
In this work, datasets of water and carbon fluxes measured with eddy covariance technique above a summer maize field in the North China Plain were simulated with artificial neural networks (ANNs) to explore the fluxes...In this work, datasets of water and carbon fluxes measured with eddy covariance technique above a summer maize field in the North China Plain were simulated with artificial neural networks (ANNs) to explore the fluxes responses to local environmental variables. The results showed that photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), air temperature (T) and leaf area index (LAI) were primary factors regulating both water vapor and carbon dioxide fluxes. Three-layer back-propagation neural networks (BP) could be applied to model fluxes exchange between cropland surface and atmosphere without using detailed physiological information or specific parameters of the plant.展开更多
Rainstorms are one of the most important types of natural disaster in China.In order to enhance the ability to forecast rainstorms in the short term,this paper explores how to combine a back-propagation neural network...Rainstorms are one of the most important types of natural disaster in China.In order to enhance the ability to forecast rainstorms in the short term,this paper explores how to combine a back-propagation neural network(BPNN)with synoptic diagnosis for predicting rainstorms,and analyzes the hit rates of rainstorms for the above two methods using the county of Tianquan as a case study.Results showed that the traditional synoptic diagnosis method still has an important referential meaning for most rainstorm types through synoptic typing and statistics of physical quantities based on historical cases,and the threat score(TS)of rainstorms was more than 0.75.However,the accuracy for two rainstorm types influenced by low-level easterly inverted troughs was less than 40%.The BPNN method efficiently forecasted these two rainstorm types;the TS and equitable threat score(ETS)of rainstorms were 0.80 and 0.79,respectively.The TS and ETS of the hybrid model that combined the BPNN and synoptic diagnosis methods exceeded the forecast score of multi-numerical simulations over the Sichuan Basin without exception.This kind of hybrid model enhanced the forecasting accuracy of rainstorms.The findings of this study provide certain reference value for the future development of refined forecast models with local features.展开更多
To predict the temperature of a motorized spindle more accurately,a novel temperature prediction model based on the back-propagation neural network optimized by adaptive particle swarm optimization(APSO-BPNN)is propos...To predict the temperature of a motorized spindle more accurately,a novel temperature prediction model based on the back-propagation neural network optimized by adaptive particle swarm optimization(APSO-BPNN)is proposed.First,on the basis of the PSO-BPNN algorithm,the adaptive inertia weight is introduced to make the weight change with the fitness of the particle,the adaptive learning factor is used to obtain different search abilities in the early and later stages of the algorithm,the mutation operator is incorporated to increase the diversity of the population and avoid premature convergence,and the APSO-BPNN model is constructed.Then,the temperature of different measurement points of the motorized spindle is forecasted by the BPNN,PSO-BPNN,and APSO-BPNN models.The experimental results demonstrate that the APSO-BPNN model has a significant advantage over the other two methods regarding prediction precision and robustness.The presented algorithm can provide a theoretical basis for intelligently controlling temperature and developing an early warning system for high-speed motorized spindles and machine tools.展开更多
Back-propagation neural network was applied to predict and optimize the synthetic technology of 2-chloro-4,6-dinitroresorcinol. A model was established based on back-propagation neural network using the experimental d...Back-propagation neural network was applied to predict and optimize the synthetic technology of 2-chloro-4,6-dinitroresorcinol. A model was established based on back-propagation neural network using the experimental data of homogeneous design as the training sample set and the technological parameters were optimized by it. The optimal technological parameters are as follows: the reaction time is 4h, the reaction temperature is 80℃, the molar ratio of NaOH to 4,6-dinitro-1,2,3-trichlorobenzene is 5.5:1, the molar ratio of methanol to 4,6-dinitro-1,2,3- trichlorobenzene is 11:1, and the molar ratio of water to 4,6-dinitro-1,2,3-trichlorobenzene is 70:1. Under the optimal conditions, three groups of experiments were performed and the average yield of 2-chloro-4,6-dinitroresorcinol is 96.64%, the absolute error of it with the predicted value is -1.07%.展开更多
A nonparametric structural damage detection methodology based on neuralnetworks method is presented for health monitoring of structure-unknown systems. In this approachappropriate neural networks are trained by use of...A nonparametric structural damage detection methodology based on neuralnetworks method is presented for health monitoring of structure-unknown systems. In this approachappropriate neural networks are trained by use of the modal test data from a 'healthy' structure.The trained networks which are subsequently fed with vibration measurements from the same structurein different stages have the capability of recognizing the location and the content of structuraldamage and thereby can monitor the health of the structure. A modified back-propagation neuralnetwork is proposed to solve the two practical problems encountered by the traditionalback-propagation method, i.e., slow learning progress and convergence to a false local minimum.Various training algorithms, types of the input layer and numbers of the nodes in the input layerare considered. Numerical example results from a 5-degree-of-freedom spring-mass structure andanalyses on the experimental data of an actual 5-storey-steel-frame demonstrate thatneural-networks-based method is a robust procedure and a practical tool for the detection ofstructural damage, and that the modified back-propagation algorithm could improve the computationalefficiency as well as the accuracy of detection.展开更多
A back-propagation neural network (BPNN) was used to establish relationships between the shortrange (0-3-h) rainfall and the predictors ranging from extrapolative forecasts of radar reflectivity, satelliteestimate...A back-propagation neural network (BPNN) was used to establish relationships between the shortrange (0-3-h) rainfall and the predictors ranging from extrapolative forecasts of radar reflectivity, satelliteestimated cloud-top temperature, lightning strike rates, and Nested Grid Model (NGM) outputs. Quan- titative precipitation forecasts (QPF) and the probabilities of categorical precipitation were obtained. Results of the BPNN algorithm were compared to the results obtained from the multiple linear regression algorithm for an independent dataset from the 1999 warm season over the continental United States. A sample forecast was made over the southeastern United States. Results showed that the BPNN categorical rainfall forecasts agreed well with Stage Ⅲ observations in terms of the size and shape of the area of rainfall. The BPNN tended to over-forecast the spatial extent of heavier rainfall amounts, but the positioning of the areas with rainfall ≥25.4 mm was still generally accurate. It appeared that the BPNN and linear regression approaches produce forecasts of very similar quality, although in some respects BPNN slightly outperformed the regression.展开更多
This paper presents a back-propagation neural network model for sound quality prediction (BPNN-SQP) of multiple working conditions’ vehicle interior noise. According to the standards and regulations, four kinds of ve...This paper presents a back-propagation neural network model for sound quality prediction (BPNN-SQP) of multiple working conditions’ vehicle interior noise. According to the standards and regulations, four kinds of vehicle interior noises under operating conditions, including idle, constant speed, accelerating and braking, are acquired. The objective psychoacoustic parameters and subjective annoyance results are respectively used as the input and output of the BPNN-SQP model. With correlation analysis and significance test, some psychoacoustic parameters, such as loudness, A-weighted sound pressure level, roughness, articulation index and sharpness, are selected for modeling. The annoyance values of unknown noise samples estimated by the BPNN-SQP model are highly correlated with the subjective annoyances. Conclusion can be drawn that the proposed BPNN-SQP model has good generalization ability and can be applied in sound quality prediction of vehicle interior noise under multiple working conditions.展开更多
ANNs (Artificial neural networks) are used extensively in remote sensing image processing. It has been proven that BPNNs (back-propagation neural networks) have high attainable classification accuracy. However, th...ANNs (Artificial neural networks) are used extensively in remote sensing image processing. It has been proven that BPNNs (back-propagation neural networks) have high attainable classification accuracy. However, there is a noticeable variation in the achieved accuracies due to different network designs and implementations. Hence, researchers usually need to conduct several experimental trials before they can finalize the network design. This is a time consuming process which significantly reduces the effectiveness of using BPNNs and the final design may still not be optimal. Therefore, there is a need to see whether there are some common guidelines for effective design and implementation of BPNNs. With this aim in mind, this paper attempts to find and summarize the common guidelines suggested by different authors through literature review and discussion of the findings. To provide readers with background and contextual information, some ANN fundamentals are also introduced.展开更多
With the continuous increase in the proportional use of wind energy across the globe,the reduction of power generation efficiency and safety hazards caused by the icing on wind turbine blades have attracted more consi...With the continuous increase in the proportional use of wind energy across the globe,the reduction of power generation efficiency and safety hazards caused by the icing on wind turbine blades have attracted more consideration for research.Therefore,it is crucial to accurately analyze the thickness of icing on wind turbine blades,which can serve as a basis for formulating corresponding control measures and ensure a safe and stable operation of wind turbines in winter times and/or in high altitude areas.This paper fully utilized the advantages of the support vector machine(SVM)and back-propagation neural network(BPNN),with the incorporation of particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithms to optimize the parameters of the SVM.The paper proposes a hybrid assessment model of PSO-SVM and BPNN based on dynamic weighting rules.Three sets of icing data under a rotating working state of the wind turbine were used as examples for model verification.Based on a comparative analysis with other models,the results showed that the proposed model has better accuracy and stability in analyzing the icing on wind turbine blades.展开更多
Pre-dehumidification time(τ_(pre))and pre-dehumidification energy consumption(E_(pre))play important roles in preventing the condensation of moisture on the floors of rooms that use a radiant floor cooling(RFC)system...Pre-dehumidification time(τ_(pre))and pre-dehumidification energy consumption(E_(pre))play important roles in preventing the condensation of moisture on the floors of rooms that use a radiant floor cooling(RFC)system.However,there are few theoretical or experimental studies that focus on these two important quantities.In this study,an artificial neural network(ANN)was used to predict condensation risk for the integration of RFC systems with mixed ventilation(MV),stratum ventilation(SV),and displacement ventilation(DV)systems.A genetic algorithm-back-propagation(GA-BP)neural network model was established to predict τ_(pre) and E_(pre).Both training data and validation data were obtained from tests in a computational fluid dynamics(CFD)simulation.The results show that the established GA-BP model can predict τ_(pre) and E_(pre) well.The coefficient of determination(R^(2))of τ_(pre) and of E_(pre) were,respectively,0.973 and 0.956.For an RFC system integrated with an MV,SV,or DV system,the lowest values of τ_(pre) and E_(pre) were with the DV system,23.1 s and 0.237 kWh,respectively,for a 67.5 m^(3) room.Therefore,the best pre-dehumidification effect was with integration of the DV and RFC systems.This study showed that an ANN-based method can be used for predictive control for condensation prevention in RFC systems.It also provides a novel and effective method by which to assess the pre-dehumidification control of radiant floor surfaces.展开更多
The back-propagation neural network(BPNN) is a well-known multi-layer feed-forward neural network which is trained by the error reverse propagation algorithm. It is very suitable for the complex of short-term traffic ...The back-propagation neural network(BPNN) is a well-known multi-layer feed-forward neural network which is trained by the error reverse propagation algorithm. It is very suitable for the complex of short-term traffic flow forecasting; however, BPNN is easy to fall into local optimum and slow convergence. In order to overcome these deficiencies, a new approach called social emotion optimization algorithm(SEOA) is proposed in this paper to optimize the linked weights and thresholds of BPNN. Each individual in SEOA represents a BPNN. The availability of the proposed forecasting models is proved with the actual traffic flow data of the 2 nd Ring Road of Beijing. Experiment of results show that the forecasting accuracy of SEOA is improved obviously as compared with the accuracy of particle swarm optimization back-propagation(PSOBP) and simulated annealing particle swarm optimization back-propagation(SAPSOBP) models. Furthermore, since SEOA does not respond to the negative feedback information, Metropolis rule is proposed to give consideration to both positive and negative feedback information and diversify the adjustment methods. The modified BPNN model, in comparison with social emotion optimization back-propagation(SEOBP) model, is more advantageous to search the global optimal solution. The accuracy of Metropolis rule social emotion optimization back-propagation(MRSEOBP) model is improved about 19.54% as compared with that of SEOBP model in predicting the dramatically changing data.展开更多
Accurate prediction of the heat load is the basic premise of intelligent regulation of the heating system,which helps to realize effective management of heating,ventilation,air conditioning system.For the problem that...Accurate prediction of the heat load is the basic premise of intelligent regulation of the heating system,which helps to realize effective management of heating,ventilation,air conditioning system.For the problem that the weight of each influencing factor is not taken into account in the current heat load prediction and is not highly targeted,this article deeply explores the influence of different factors on the room heat load,and we propose a method to calculate room heat load prediction based on the combination of analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and back-propagation(BP)neural network.Firstly,eight environmental factors affecting the heat load are selected as prediction inputs through parametric analysis,and then the weights of each input are determined by AHP and normalize the prediction data by combining expert opinions,and finally do one-to-one training the quantified score and the room heat load to predict the future heat load by BP neural network.The simulation tests show that the mean absolute relative error(MARE)of the proposed prediction method is 5.40%.This article also verifies the influence of different expert opinions on the stability of the model.The results show that the proposed method can guarantee higher prediction accuracy and stability.展开更多
A short-term wind power prediction method is proposed in this paper with experimental results obtained from a wind farm located in Northeast China.In order to improve the accuracy of the prediction method using a trad...A short-term wind power prediction method is proposed in this paper with experimental results obtained from a wind farm located in Northeast China.In order to improve the accuracy of the prediction method using a traditional back-propagation(BP)neural network algorithm,the improved grey wolf optimization(IGWO)algorithm has been adopted to optimize its parameters.The performance of the proposed method has been evaluated by experiments.First,the features of the wind farm are described to show the fundamental information of the experiments.A single turbine with rated power of 1500 kW and power generation coefficient of 2.74 in the wind farm was introduced to show the technical details of the turbines.Original wind power data of the whole farm were preprocessed by using the quartile method to remove the abnormal data points.Then,the retained wind power data were predicted and analysed by using the proposed IGWO-BP algorithm.Analysis of the results proves the practicability and efficiency of the prediction model.Results show that the average accuracy of prediction is~11%greater than the traditional BP method.In this way,the proposed wind power prediction method can be adopted to improve the accuracy of prediction and to ensure the effective utilization of wind energy.展开更多
Xigeda formation is a type of hundredmeter-thick lacustrine sediments of being prone to triggering landslides along the trunk channel and tributaries of the upper Yangtze River in China. The Yonglang landslide located...Xigeda formation is a type of hundredmeter-thick lacustrine sediments of being prone to triggering landslides along the trunk channel and tributaries of the upper Yangtze River in China. The Yonglang landslide located near Yonglang Town of Dechang County in Sichuan Province of China, which was a typical Xigeda formation landslide, was stabilized by anti-slide piles. Loading tests on a loading-test pile were conducted to measure the displacements and moments. The uncertainty of the tested geomechanical parameters of the Yonglang landslide over certain ranges would be problematic during the evaluation of the landslide. Thus, uniform design was introduced in the experimental design,and by which, numerical analyses of the loading-test pile were performed using Fast Lagrangian Analysis of Continua(FLAC3D) to acquire a database of the geomechanical parameters of the Yonglang landslide and the corresponding displacements of the loadingtest pile. A three-layer back-propagation neural network was established and trained with the database, and then tested and verified for its accuracy and reliability in numerical simulations. Displacement back analysis was conducted by substituting the displacements of the loading-test pile to the well-trained three-layer back-propagation neural network so as to identify the geomechanical parameters of the Yonglang landslide. The neuralnetwork-based displacement back analysis method with the proposed methodology is verified to be accurate and reliable for the identification of the uncertain geomechanical parameters of landslides.展开更多
BACKGROUND Mitochondrial genes are involved in tumor metabolism in ovarian cancer(OC)and affect immune cell infiltration and treatment responses.AIM To predict prognosis and immunotherapy response in patients diagnose...BACKGROUND Mitochondrial genes are involved in tumor metabolism in ovarian cancer(OC)and affect immune cell infiltration and treatment responses.AIM To predict prognosis and immunotherapy response in patients diagnosed with OC using mitochondrial genes and neural networks.METHODS Prognosis,immunotherapy efficacy,and next-generation sequencing data of patients with OC were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus.Mitochondrial genes were sourced from the MitoCarta3.0 database.The discovery cohort for model construction was created from 70% of the patients,whereas the remaining 30% constituted the validation cohort.Using the expression of mitochondrial genes as the predictor variable and based on neural network algorithm,the overall survival time and immunotherapy efficacy(complete or partial response)of patients were predicted.RESULTS In total,375 patients with OC were included to construct the prognostic model,and 26 patients were included to construct the immune efficacy model.The average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the prognostic model was 0.7268[95% confidence interval(CI):0.7258-0.7278]in the discovery cohort and 0.6475(95%CI:0.6466-0.6484)in the validation cohort.The average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the immunotherapy efficacy model was 0.9444(95%CI:0.8333-1.0000)in the discovery cohort and 0.9167(95%CI:0.6667-1.0000)in the validation cohort.CONCLUSION The application of mitochondrial genes and neural networks has the potential to predict prognosis and immunotherapy response in patients with OC,providing valuable insights into personalized treatment strategies.展开更多
RNA interference(RNAi)is a phenomenon of gene silence induced by a double-stranded RNA(dsRNA)homologous to a target gene.RNAi can be used to identify the function of genes or to knock down the targeted genes.In RNAi t...RNA interference(RNAi)is a phenomenon of gene silence induced by a double-stranded RNA(dsRNA)homologous to a target gene.RNAi can be used to identify the function of genes or to knock down the targeted genes.In RNAi technology,19 bp double-stranded short interfering RNAs(siRNA)with characteristic 39 overhangs are usually used.The effects of siRNAs are quite varied due to the different choices in the sites of target mRNA.Moreover,there are many factors influencing siRNA activity and these factors are usually nonlinear.To find the motif features and the effect on siRNA activity,we carried out a feature extraction on some published experimental data and used these features to train a backpropagation neural network(BP NN).Then,we used the trained BP NN to predict siRNA activity.展开更多
This study established back-propagation neural networks(BPNNs)for evaluating the freshness of bighead carp(Hypophthalmichthys nobilis)heads during chilled storage via fluorescence spectroscopy using an excitation-emis...This study established back-propagation neural networks(BPNNs)for evaluating the freshness of bighead carp(Hypophthalmichthys nobilis)heads during chilled storage via fluorescence spectroscopy using an excitation-emission matrix(EEM).The total volatile basic nitrogen(TVB-N)and total aerobic count(TAC)of fish increased obviously during storage at 0,4,8,12,and 16°C,while sensory scores decreased with increasing storage time.The EEM fluorescence intensity was measured,and its change was correlated with the freshness indicators of the samples.Three characteristic components of EEM data were extracted by parallel factor analysis,and two freshness indicators were used to construct the EEM-BPNNs model.The results demonstrated that the relative errors of the EEM-BPNNs model for TVB-N and TAC were less than 14%.This result indicated that the EEM-BPNNs model could determine the freshness of fish in cold chains in a rapid and nondestructive way.展开更多
In this work, a gradient method with momentum for BP neural networks is considered. The momentum coefficient is chosen in an adaptive manner to accelerate and stabilize the learning procedure of the network weights. C...In this work, a gradient method with momentum for BP neural networks is considered. The momentum coefficient is chosen in an adaptive manner to accelerate and stabilize the learning procedure of the network weights. Corresponding convergence results are proved.展开更多
基金Project(50734007) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘In the non-linear microwave drying process, the incremental improved back-propagation (BP) neural network and response surface methodology (RSM) were used to build a predictive model of the combined effects of independent variables (the microwave power, the acting time and the rotational frequency) for microwave drying of selenium-rich slag. The optimum operating conditions obtained from the quadratic form of the RSM are: the microwave power of 14.97 kW, the acting time of 89.58 min, the rotational frequency of 10.94 Hz, and the temperature of 136.407 ℃. The relative dehydration rate of 97.1895% is obtained. Under the optimum operating conditions, the incremental improved BP neural network prediction model can predict the drying process results and different effects on the results of the independent variables. The verification experiments demonstrate the prediction accuracy of the network, and the mean squared error is 0.16. The optimized results indicate that RSM can optimize the experimental conditions within much more broad range by considering the combination of factors and the neural network model can predict the results effectively and provide the theoretical guidance for the follow-up production process.
基金Supported by National Marine Public Scientific Research Fund of China(No. 200905010)the Talent Training Fund Project for Basic Sciences of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. J0730534)+2 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universitiesthe Open Research Funding Program of KLGIS (No. KLGIS2011A12)the Open Fund from Key Laboratory of Marine Management Technique of State Oceanic Administration (No. 201112)
文摘To reduce typhoon-caused damages, numerical and empirical methods are often used to forecast typhoon storm surge. However, typhoon surge is a complex nonlinear process that is difficult to forecast accurately. We applied a principal component back-propagation neural network (PCBPNN) to predict the deviation in typhoon storm surge, in which data of the typhoon, upstream flood, and historical case studies were involved. With principal component analysis, 15 input factors were reduced to five principal components, and the application of the model was improved. Observation data from Huangpu Park in Shanghai, China were used to test the feasibility of the model. The results indicate that the model is capable of predicting a 12-hour warning before a typhoon surge.
基金Project (No. 40328001) supported by the National Science Fund forOutstanding Youth Overseas China
文摘In this work, datasets of water and carbon fluxes measured with eddy covariance technique above a summer maize field in the North China Plain were simulated with artificial neural networks (ANNs) to explore the fluxes responses to local environmental variables. The results showed that photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), air temperature (T) and leaf area index (LAI) were primary factors regulating both water vapor and carbon dioxide fluxes. Three-layer back-propagation neural networks (BP) could be applied to model fluxes exchange between cropland surface and atmosphere without using detailed physiological information or specific parameters of the plant.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program on Monitoring,Early Warning and Prevention of Major Natural Disasters [grant number 2018YFC1506006]the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant numbers 41805054 and U20A2097]。
文摘Rainstorms are one of the most important types of natural disaster in China.In order to enhance the ability to forecast rainstorms in the short term,this paper explores how to combine a back-propagation neural network(BPNN)with synoptic diagnosis for predicting rainstorms,and analyzes the hit rates of rainstorms for the above two methods using the county of Tianquan as a case study.Results showed that the traditional synoptic diagnosis method still has an important referential meaning for most rainstorm types through synoptic typing and statistics of physical quantities based on historical cases,and the threat score(TS)of rainstorms was more than 0.75.However,the accuracy for two rainstorm types influenced by low-level easterly inverted troughs was less than 40%.The BPNN method efficiently forecasted these two rainstorm types;the TS and equitable threat score(ETS)of rainstorms were 0.80 and 0.79,respectively.The TS and ETS of the hybrid model that combined the BPNN and synoptic diagnosis methods exceeded the forecast score of multi-numerical simulations over the Sichuan Basin without exception.This kind of hybrid model enhanced the forecasting accuracy of rainstorms.The findings of this study provide certain reference value for the future development of refined forecast models with local features.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51465035)the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu,China(No.20JR5R-A466)。
文摘To predict the temperature of a motorized spindle more accurately,a novel temperature prediction model based on the back-propagation neural network optimized by adaptive particle swarm optimization(APSO-BPNN)is proposed.First,on the basis of the PSO-BPNN algorithm,the adaptive inertia weight is introduced to make the weight change with the fitness of the particle,the adaptive learning factor is used to obtain different search abilities in the early and later stages of the algorithm,the mutation operator is incorporated to increase the diversity of the population and avoid premature convergence,and the APSO-BPNN model is constructed.Then,the temperature of different measurement points of the motorized spindle is forecasted by the BPNN,PSO-BPNN,and APSO-BPNN models.The experimental results demonstrate that the APSO-BPNN model has a significant advantage over the other two methods regarding prediction precision and robustness.The presented algorithm can provide a theoretical basis for intelligently controlling temperature and developing an early warning system for high-speed motorized spindles and machine tools.
文摘Back-propagation neural network was applied to predict and optimize the synthetic technology of 2-chloro-4,6-dinitroresorcinol. A model was established based on back-propagation neural network using the experimental data of homogeneous design as the training sample set and the technological parameters were optimized by it. The optimal technological parameters are as follows: the reaction time is 4h, the reaction temperature is 80℃, the molar ratio of NaOH to 4,6-dinitro-1,2,3-trichlorobenzene is 5.5:1, the molar ratio of methanol to 4,6-dinitro-1,2,3- trichlorobenzene is 11:1, and the molar ratio of water to 4,6-dinitro-1,2,3-trichlorobenzene is 70:1. Under the optimal conditions, three groups of experiments were performed and the average yield of 2-chloro-4,6-dinitroresorcinol is 96.64%, the absolute error of it with the predicted value is -1.07%.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.59908003)the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province (No.99J035)
文摘A nonparametric structural damage detection methodology based on neuralnetworks method is presented for health monitoring of structure-unknown systems. In this approachappropriate neural networks are trained by use of the modal test data from a 'healthy' structure.The trained networks which are subsequently fed with vibration measurements from the same structurein different stages have the capability of recognizing the location and the content of structuraldamage and thereby can monitor the health of the structure. A modified back-propagation neuralnetwork is proposed to solve the two practical problems encountered by the traditionalback-propagation method, i.e., slow learning progress and convergence to a false local minimum.Various training algorithms, types of the input layer and numbers of the nodes in the input layerare considered. Numerical example results from a 5-degree-of-freedom spring-mass structure andanalyses on the experimental data of an actual 5-storey-steel-frame demonstrate thatneural-networks-based method is a robust procedure and a practical tool for the detection ofstructural damage, and that the modified back-propagation algorithm could improve the computationalefficiency as well as the accuracy of detection.
文摘A back-propagation neural network (BPNN) was used to establish relationships between the shortrange (0-3-h) rainfall and the predictors ranging from extrapolative forecasts of radar reflectivity, satelliteestimated cloud-top temperature, lightning strike rates, and Nested Grid Model (NGM) outputs. Quan- titative precipitation forecasts (QPF) and the probabilities of categorical precipitation were obtained. Results of the BPNN algorithm were compared to the results obtained from the multiple linear regression algorithm for an independent dataset from the 1999 warm season over the continental United States. A sample forecast was made over the southeastern United States. Results showed that the BPNN categorical rainfall forecasts agreed well with Stage Ⅲ observations in terms of the size and shape of the area of rainfall. The BPNN tended to over-forecast the spatial extent of heavier rainfall amounts, but the positioning of the areas with rainfall ≥25.4 mm was still generally accurate. It appeared that the BPNN and linear regression approaches produce forecasts of very similar quality, although in some respects BPNN slightly outperformed the regression.
文摘This paper presents a back-propagation neural network model for sound quality prediction (BPNN-SQP) of multiple working conditions’ vehicle interior noise. According to the standards and regulations, four kinds of vehicle interior noises under operating conditions, including idle, constant speed, accelerating and braking, are acquired. The objective psychoacoustic parameters and subjective annoyance results are respectively used as the input and output of the BPNN-SQP model. With correlation analysis and significance test, some psychoacoustic parameters, such as loudness, A-weighted sound pressure level, roughness, articulation index and sharpness, are selected for modeling. The annoyance values of unknown noise samples estimated by the BPNN-SQP model are highly correlated with the subjective annoyances. Conclusion can be drawn that the proposed BPNN-SQP model has good generalization ability and can be applied in sound quality prediction of vehicle interior noise under multiple working conditions.
文摘ANNs (Artificial neural networks) are used extensively in remote sensing image processing. It has been proven that BPNNs (back-propagation neural networks) have high attainable classification accuracy. However, there is a noticeable variation in the achieved accuracies due to different network designs and implementations. Hence, researchers usually need to conduct several experimental trials before they can finalize the network design. This is a time consuming process which significantly reduces the effectiveness of using BPNNs and the final design may still not be optimal. Therefore, there is a need to see whether there are some common guidelines for effective design and implementation of BPNNs. With this aim in mind, this paper attempts to find and summarize the common guidelines suggested by different authors through literature review and discussion of the findings. To provide readers with background and contextual information, some ANN fundamentals are also introduced.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(Project No.51665052).
文摘With the continuous increase in the proportional use of wind energy across the globe,the reduction of power generation efficiency and safety hazards caused by the icing on wind turbine blades have attracted more consideration for research.Therefore,it is crucial to accurately analyze the thickness of icing on wind turbine blades,which can serve as a basis for formulating corresponding control measures and ensure a safe and stable operation of wind turbines in winter times and/or in high altitude areas.This paper fully utilized the advantages of the support vector machine(SVM)and back-propagation neural network(BPNN),with the incorporation of particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithms to optimize the parameters of the SVM.The paper proposes a hybrid assessment model of PSO-SVM and BPNN based on dynamic weighting rules.Three sets of icing data under a rotating working state of the wind turbine were used as examples for model verification.Based on a comparative analysis with other models,the results showed that the proposed model has better accuracy and stability in analyzing the icing on wind turbine blades.
基金funded by the Natural Science Foundation of Shan-dong Province(ZR2021ME199,ZR2020ME211)the Support Plan for Outstanding Youth Innovation Team in Colleges and Universities of Shandong Province(2019KJG005)supported by the Plan of Introduction and Cultivation for Young Innovative Talents in Colleges and Universities of Shandong Province.
文摘Pre-dehumidification time(τ_(pre))and pre-dehumidification energy consumption(E_(pre))play important roles in preventing the condensation of moisture on the floors of rooms that use a radiant floor cooling(RFC)system.However,there are few theoretical or experimental studies that focus on these two important quantities.In this study,an artificial neural network(ANN)was used to predict condensation risk for the integration of RFC systems with mixed ventilation(MV),stratum ventilation(SV),and displacement ventilation(DV)systems.A genetic algorithm-back-propagation(GA-BP)neural network model was established to predict τ_(pre) and E_(pre).Both training data and validation data were obtained from tests in a computational fluid dynamics(CFD)simulation.The results show that the established GA-BP model can predict τ_(pre) and E_(pre) well.The coefficient of determination(R^(2))of τ_(pre) and of E_(pre) were,respectively,0.973 and 0.956.For an RFC system integrated with an MV,SV,or DV system,the lowest values of τ_(pre) and E_(pre) were with the DV system,23.1 s and 0.237 kWh,respectively,for a 67.5 m^(3) room.Therefore,the best pre-dehumidification effect was with integration of the DV and RFC systems.This study showed that an ANN-based method can be used for predictive control for condensation prevention in RFC systems.It also provides a novel and effective method by which to assess the pre-dehumidification control of radiant floor surfaces.
基金the Research of New Intelligent Integrated Transport Information System,Technical Plan Project of Binhai New District,Tianjin(No.2015XJR21017)
文摘The back-propagation neural network(BPNN) is a well-known multi-layer feed-forward neural network which is trained by the error reverse propagation algorithm. It is very suitable for the complex of short-term traffic flow forecasting; however, BPNN is easy to fall into local optimum and slow convergence. In order to overcome these deficiencies, a new approach called social emotion optimization algorithm(SEOA) is proposed in this paper to optimize the linked weights and thresholds of BPNN. Each individual in SEOA represents a BPNN. The availability of the proposed forecasting models is proved with the actual traffic flow data of the 2 nd Ring Road of Beijing. Experiment of results show that the forecasting accuracy of SEOA is improved obviously as compared with the accuracy of particle swarm optimization back-propagation(PSOBP) and simulated annealing particle swarm optimization back-propagation(SAPSOBP) models. Furthermore, since SEOA does not respond to the negative feedback information, Metropolis rule is proposed to give consideration to both positive and negative feedback information and diversify the adjustment methods. The modified BPNN model, in comparison with social emotion optimization back-propagation(SEOBP) model, is more advantageous to search the global optimal solution. The accuracy of Metropolis rule social emotion optimization back-propagation(MRSEOBP) model is improved about 19.54% as compared with that of SEOBP model in predicting the dramatically changing data.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61765012)the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(No.2021LHBS05005)+4 种基金the Science and Technology Research Project of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Higher Education(No.2021SHZR0620)the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region 2017 Science and Technology Innovation Guidance Award Funding Projects(No.2017CXYD-2)the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(No.2019MS05008).The funders had no role in the design of the studyin the collection,analyses,or interpretation of datain the writing of the manuscript,or in the decision to publish the results.
文摘Accurate prediction of the heat load is the basic premise of intelligent regulation of the heating system,which helps to realize effective management of heating,ventilation,air conditioning system.For the problem that the weight of each influencing factor is not taken into account in the current heat load prediction and is not highly targeted,this article deeply explores the influence of different factors on the room heat load,and we propose a method to calculate room heat load prediction based on the combination of analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and back-propagation(BP)neural network.Firstly,eight environmental factors affecting the heat load are selected as prediction inputs through parametric analysis,and then the weights of each input are determined by AHP and normalize the prediction data by combining expert opinions,and finally do one-to-one training the quantified score and the room heat load to predict the future heat load by BP neural network.The simulation tests show that the mean absolute relative error(MARE)of the proposed prediction method is 5.40%.This article also verifies the influence of different expert opinions on the stability of the model.The results show that the proposed method can guarantee higher prediction accuracy and stability.
基金This work is supported by the science and technology research project of Jilin Provincial Department of Education(No.JJKH20210260KJ)This work is supported by the Jilin Provincial Department of Education(No.JJKH20210260KJ).
文摘A short-term wind power prediction method is proposed in this paper with experimental results obtained from a wind farm located in Northeast China.In order to improve the accuracy of the prediction method using a traditional back-propagation(BP)neural network algorithm,the improved grey wolf optimization(IGWO)algorithm has been adopted to optimize its parameters.The performance of the proposed method has been evaluated by experiments.First,the features of the wind farm are described to show the fundamental information of the experiments.A single turbine with rated power of 1500 kW and power generation coefficient of 2.74 in the wind farm was introduced to show the technical details of the turbines.Original wind power data of the whole farm were preprocessed by using the quartile method to remove the abnormal data points.Then,the retained wind power data were predicted and analysed by using the proposed IGWO-BP algorithm.Analysis of the results proves the practicability and efficiency of the prediction model.Results show that the average accuracy of prediction is~11%greater than the traditional BP method.In this way,the proposed wind power prediction method can be adopted to improve the accuracy of prediction and to ensure the effective utilization of wind energy.
基金supported by the "Light of West China" Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.Y6R2250250)the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program, Grant No.2013CB733201)+2 种基金the One-Hundred Talents Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (LijunSu)the Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.QYZDB-SSW-DQC010)the Youth Fund of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. Y6K2110110)
文摘Xigeda formation is a type of hundredmeter-thick lacustrine sediments of being prone to triggering landslides along the trunk channel and tributaries of the upper Yangtze River in China. The Yonglang landslide located near Yonglang Town of Dechang County in Sichuan Province of China, which was a typical Xigeda formation landslide, was stabilized by anti-slide piles. Loading tests on a loading-test pile were conducted to measure the displacements and moments. The uncertainty of the tested geomechanical parameters of the Yonglang landslide over certain ranges would be problematic during the evaluation of the landslide. Thus, uniform design was introduced in the experimental design,and by which, numerical analyses of the loading-test pile were performed using Fast Lagrangian Analysis of Continua(FLAC3D) to acquire a database of the geomechanical parameters of the Yonglang landslide and the corresponding displacements of the loadingtest pile. A three-layer back-propagation neural network was established and trained with the database, and then tested and verified for its accuracy and reliability in numerical simulations. Displacement back analysis was conducted by substituting the displacements of the loading-test pile to the well-trained three-layer back-propagation neural network so as to identify the geomechanical parameters of the Yonglang landslide. The neuralnetwork-based displacement back analysis method with the proposed methodology is verified to be accurate and reliable for the identification of the uncertain geomechanical parameters of landslides.
基金Supported by National Key Technology Research and Developmental Program of China,No.2022YFC2704400 and No.2022YFC2704405.
文摘BACKGROUND Mitochondrial genes are involved in tumor metabolism in ovarian cancer(OC)and affect immune cell infiltration and treatment responses.AIM To predict prognosis and immunotherapy response in patients diagnosed with OC using mitochondrial genes and neural networks.METHODS Prognosis,immunotherapy efficacy,and next-generation sequencing data of patients with OC were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus.Mitochondrial genes were sourced from the MitoCarta3.0 database.The discovery cohort for model construction was created from 70% of the patients,whereas the remaining 30% constituted the validation cohort.Using the expression of mitochondrial genes as the predictor variable and based on neural network algorithm,the overall survival time and immunotherapy efficacy(complete or partial response)of patients were predicted.RESULTS In total,375 patients with OC were included to construct the prognostic model,and 26 patients were included to construct the immune efficacy model.The average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the prognostic model was 0.7268[95% confidence interval(CI):0.7258-0.7278]in the discovery cohort and 0.6475(95%CI:0.6466-0.6484)in the validation cohort.The average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the immunotherapy efficacy model was 0.9444(95%CI:0.8333-1.0000)in the discovery cohort and 0.9167(95%CI:0.6667-1.0000)in the validation cohort.CONCLUSION The application of mitochondrial genes and neural networks has the potential to predict prognosis and immunotherapy response in patients with OC,providing valuable insights into personalized treatment strategies.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.60471003).
文摘RNA interference(RNAi)is a phenomenon of gene silence induced by a double-stranded RNA(dsRNA)homologous to a target gene.RNAi can be used to identify the function of genes or to knock down the targeted genes.In RNAi technology,19 bp double-stranded short interfering RNAs(siRNA)with characteristic 39 overhangs are usually used.The effects of siRNAs are quite varied due to the different choices in the sites of target mRNA.Moreover,there are many factors influencing siRNA activity and these factors are usually nonlinear.To find the motif features and the effect on siRNA activity,we carried out a feature extraction on some published experimental data and used these features to train a backpropagation neural network(BP NN).Then,we used the trained BP NN to predict siRNA activity.
基金This study was supported by the Young Beijing Scholars Program and Beijing Agricultural Forestry Academy Foundation(QNJJ202218).
文摘This study established back-propagation neural networks(BPNNs)for evaluating the freshness of bighead carp(Hypophthalmichthys nobilis)heads during chilled storage via fluorescence spectroscopy using an excitation-emission matrix(EEM).The total volatile basic nitrogen(TVB-N)and total aerobic count(TAC)of fish increased obviously during storage at 0,4,8,12,and 16°C,while sensory scores decreased with increasing storage time.The EEM fluorescence intensity was measured,and its change was correlated with the freshness indicators of the samples.Three characteristic components of EEM data were extracted by parallel factor analysis,and two freshness indicators were used to construct the EEM-BPNNs model.The results demonstrated that the relative errors of the EEM-BPNNs model for TVB-N and TAC were less than 14%.This result indicated that the EEM-BPNNs model could determine the freshness of fish in cold chains in a rapid and nondestructive way.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (10471017)Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation (Y606009)
文摘In this work, a gradient method with momentum for BP neural networks is considered. The momentum coefficient is chosen in an adaptive manner to accelerate and stabilize the learning procedure of the network weights. Corresponding convergence results are proved.