Prediction Model of Wax Deposition Rate in Waxy Crude Oil Pipelines by Elman Neural Network Based on Improved Reptile Search Algorithm

A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.

Application Research of Temperature Forecasts on Elman Neural Network

[Objective] The aim was to establish Elman neural network model to predict the dynamic changes of temperature. [Method] Considering the inherent nature of temperature, and dy dint of the temperature in Chongqing during 1951-2010, the Elman artificial neural network model was applied to predict the temperature. [Result] This simulation result suggested that the relative error was small and can have a good simulation to the future temperature changes. [Conclusion] The prediction result can guide agricultural production and further apply to the field of pricing the weather derivative products.

Actuator fault diagnosis of autonomous underwater vehicle based on improved Elman neural network

Autonomous underwater vehicles(AUV) work in a complex marine environment. Its system reliability and autonomous fault diagnosis are particularly important and can provide the basis for underwater vehicles to take corresponding security policy in a failure. Aiming at the characteristics of the underwater vehicle which has uncertain system and modeling difficulty, an improved Elman neural network is introduced which is applied to the underwater vehicle motion modeling. Through designing self-feedback connection with fixed gain in the unit connection as well as increasing the feedback of the output layer node, improved Elman network has faster convergence speed and generalization ability. This method for high-order nonlinear system has stronger identification ability. Firstly, the residual is calculated by comparing the output of the underwater vehicle model(estimation in the motion state) with the actual measured values. Secondly, characteristics of the residual are analyzed on the basis of fault judging criteria. Finally, actuator fault diagnosis of the autonomous underwater vehicle is carried out. The results of the simulation experiment show that the method is effective.

Predication of plasma concentration of remifentanil based on Elman neural network

Due to the nature of ultra-short-acting opioid remifentanil of high time-varying,complex compartment model and low-accuracy of plasma concentration prediction,the traditional estimation method of population pharmacokinetics parameters,nonlinear mixed effects model(NONMEM),has the abuses of tedious work and plenty of man-made jamming factors.The Elman feedback neural network was built.The relationships between the patients’plasma concentration of remifentanil and time,patient’age,gender,lean body mass,height,body surface area,sampling time,total dose,and injection rate through network training were obtained to predict the plasma concentration of remifentanil,and after that,it was compared with the results of NONMEM algorithm.In conclusion,the average error of Elman network is 6.34%,while that of NONMEM is 18.99%.The absolute average error of Elman network is 27.07%,while that of NONMEM is 38.09%.The experimental results indicate that Elman neural network could predict the plasma concentration of remifentanil rapidly and stably,with high accuracy and low error.For the characteristics of simple principle and fast computing speed,this method is suitable to data analysis of short-acting anesthesia drug population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamics.

ELMAN Neural Network with Modified Grey Wolf Optimizer for Enhanced Wind Speed Forecasting

The scope of this paper is to forecast wind speed. Wind speed, temperature, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and air pressure are the main factors make the wind speed forecasting as a complex problem and neural network performance is mainly influenced by proper hidden layer neuron units. This paper proposes new criteria for appropriate hidden layer neuron unit’s determination and attempts a novel hybrid method in order to achieve enhanced wind speed forecasting. This paper proposes the following two main innovative contributions 1) both either over fitting or under fitting issues are avoided by means of the proposed new criteria based hidden layer neuron unit’s estimation. 2) ELMAN neural network is optimized through Modified Grey Wolf Optimizer (MGWO). The proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) performance, effectiveness is confirmed by means of the comparison between Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Adaptive Gbest-guided Gravitational Search Algorithm (GGSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Cuckoo Search (CS), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Evolution Strategy (ES), Genetic Algorithm (GA) algorithms, meanwhile proposed new criteria effectiveness and precise are verified comparison with other existing selection criteria. Three real-time wind data sets are utilized in order to analysis the performance of the proposed approach. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) achieve the mean square error AVG ± STD of 4.1379e-11 ± 1.0567e-15, 6.3073e-11 ± 3.5708e-15 and 7.5840e-11 ± 1.1613e-14 respectively for evaluation on three real-time data sets. Hence, the proposed hybrid method is superior, precise, enhance wind speed forecasting than that of other existing methods and robust.

Establishment of NH_3-N Prediction Model in Aquaculture Water Based on ELMAN Neural Network

In the present study, ELMAN artificial neural network model was developed to predict the change of NH3-N in aquaculture water. The in- dexes including feed ration, dissolved oxygen in water, water temperature, air temperature, water turbidity, rainfall were recorded and chosen as the input variables, while the NHz-N content in the corresponding pond was chosen as output variable. The above data were collected everyday from June to October in 2014 and were used to develop model in this test, and the data collected in November of 2014 were chosen to evaluate the developed model. The results showed that the changing trend of NH3-N in aquaculture water could be simulated well by the model, the predictive absolute error mean was 0.016 mg/L, and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient was 0.74. The prediction model based on ELMAN neural network had a strong ability to describe the nonlinear dynamic changes of NH3-N content in aquaculture water, and it showed the good adaptability and accu- racy in practical application.

Existence of Periodic Solutions for an Output Hidden Feedback Elman Neural Network

We first recall the sufficient conditions for the existence of a periodic output of a modified Elman neural network with a periodic input found by using Mawhin’s continuation theorem of coincidence degree theory. Using this result, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of a periodic output for an output hidden feedback Elman neural network with a periodic input. Examples illustrating these sufficient conditions are given.

Study on the Elman Neural Network Operation Control Strategy of the Central Air Conditioning Chilled Water System

The stable operation of the central air conditioning water system always is a major difficulty for the control profession. Paper focus on the water system with multi variable, strong coupling, nonlinear, large time delay characteristics, presented use feed forward coupling compensation method, to eliminate the coupling effect between temperature and pressure. In this paper, the Elman neural network controller is designed for the first time, and the simulation results show that the response time of Elman neural network controller is shorter, the system is more stable and the overshoot is small.

The Research on the Methods of Diagnosing the Steam Turbine Based on the Elman Neural Network

This paper introduces a kind of diagnosis principle and learning algorithm of steam turbine fault diagnosis which based on Elman neural network. Comparing the results of the Elman neural network and the traditional BP neural network diagnosis, the results shows that Elman neural network is an effective way to improve the learning speed , effectively suppress the minimum defects that the traditional neural network easily trapped in, and shorten the autonomous learning time. All these proves that the Elman neural network is an effective way to diagnose the steam turbine.

Critical Review on Improved Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy-cuckoo Search-Elman Neural Network Modeling Methods for Whole-life-cycle Health State Estimation of Lithium-ion Battery Energy Storage Systems

Efficient and accurate health state estimation is crucial for lithium-ion battery(LIB)performance monitoring and economic evaluation.Effectively estimating the health state of LIBs online is the key but is also the most difficult task for energy storage systems.With high adaptability and applicability advantages,battery health state estimation based on data-driven techniques has attracted extensive attention from researchers around the world.Artificial neural network(ANN)-based methods are often used for state estimations of LIBs.As one of the ANN methods,the Elman neural network(ENN)model has been improved to estimate the battery state more efficiently and accurately.In this paper,an improved ENN estimation method based on electrochemical impedance spectroscopy(EIS)and cuckoo search(CS)is established as the EIS-CS-ENN model to estimate the health state of LIBs.Also,the paper conducts a critical review of various ANN models against the EIS-CS-ENN model.This demonstrates that the EIS-CS-ENN model outperforms other models.The review also proves that,under the same conditions,selecting appropriate health indicators(HIs)according to the mathematical modeling ability and state requirements are the keys in estimating the health state efficiently.In the calculation process,several evaluation indicators are adopted to analyze and compare the modeling accuracy with other existing methods.Through the analysis of the evaluation results and the selection of HIs,conclusions and suggestions are put forward.Also,the robustness of the EIS-CS-ENN model for the health state estimation of LIBs is verified.

Study on Ecological Change Remote Sensing Monitoring Method Based on Elman Dynamic Recurrent Neural Network

In this paper, Hailin City of Heilongjiang Province, China is taken as the research area. As an important city in Heilongjiang Province, China, the sustainable development of its ecological environment is related to the opening up, economic prosperity and social stability of Northeast China. In this paper, the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) of Hailin City in recent 20 years was calculated by using Landsat 5/8/9 series satellite images, and the temporal and spatial changes of the ecological environment in Hailin City were further analyzed and the influencing factors were discussed. From 2003 to 2023, the mean value of RSEI in Hailin City decreased and increased, and the ecological environment decreased slightly as a whole. RSEI declined most significantly from 2003 to 2008, and it increased from 2008 to 2013, decreased from 2013 to 2018, and increased from 2018 to 2023 again, with higher RSEI value in the south and lower RSEI value in the northwest. It is suggested to appropriately increase vegetation coverage in the northwest to improve ecological quality. As a result, the predicted value of Elman dynamic recurrent neural network model is consistent with the change trend of the mean value, and the prediction error converges quickly, which can accurately predict the ecological environment quality in the future study area.

Discrimination of neutrons and γ-rays in liquid scintillator based on Elman neural network

In this work, a new neutron and γ （n/γ） discrimination method based on an Elman Neural Network （ENN） is proposed to improve the discrimination performance of liquid scintillator （LS） detectors. Neutron and γ data were acquired from an EJ-335 LS detector, which was exposed in a 241Am-9Be radiation field. Neutron and γ events were discriminated using two methods of artificial neural network including the ENN and a typical Back Propagation Neural Network （BPNN） as a control. The results show that the two methods have different n/γ discrimination performances. Compared to the BPNN, the ENN provides an improved of Figure of Merit （FOM） in n/γ discrimination. The FOM increases from 0.907 4- 0.034 to 0.953 4- 0.037 by using the new method of the ENN. The proposed n/γdiscrimination method based on ENN provides a new choice of pulse shape discrimination in neutron detection.

A prediction model of NH3 concentration for swine house in cold region based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Elman neural network

In order to improve the accuracy and reliability of ammonia(NH3)concentration prediction,which can provides a support to the ventilation control strategy,so as to reduce the impact of NH3 on the health and productivity of swine,this paper proposed an NH3 concentration prediction method based on Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD)and Elman neural network modelling.The NH3 concentration and other four environmental parameters including temperature,humidity,carbon dioxide and light intensity were decomposed into several different time-scale intrinsic mode functions(IMFs).Then,the Elman neural network prediction model was used to predict each IMF.The predicted NH3 was obtained by reconstructing all the IMFs by EMD.The results show that for the proposed method,the determination coefficient between the predicted and real measured value is 0.9856,the Mean Absolute Error is 0.7088 ppm,the Root Mean Square Error is 0.9096 ppm,and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error is 0.41%.Compared with the Elman neural network,the proposed method has a good improvement in the accuracy,and provide effective parameters for the environmental monitoring of the swine house and the regulation of the NH3 concentration.

Real-Time Fault Diagnosis for Gas Turbine Blade Based on Output-Hidden Feedback Elman Neural Network

In order to remotely monitor and maintain large-scale complex equipment in real time, China Telecom plans to create a total solution that integrates remote data collection, transmission, storage, analysis and prediction. This solution can provide manufacturers with proactive, systematic, integrated operation and maintenance service, and the data analysis and health forecasting are the most important part. This paper conducts health management for the turbine blades. Elman neural network, and improved Elman neural network, i.e., outputhidden feedback(OHF) Elman neural network are studied as the main research methods. The results verify the applicability of OHF Elman neural network.

FOUR-PARAMETER AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION TECHNOLOGY FOR CONSTRUCTION VEHICLE BASED ON ELMAN RECURSIVE NEURAL NETWORK

From the viewpoint of energy saving and improving transmission efficiency, the ZL50E wheel loader is taken as the study object. And the system model is analyzed based on the transmission system of the construction vehicle. A new four-parameter shift schedule is presented, which can keep the torque converter working in the high efficiency area. The control algorithm based on the Elman recursive neural network is applied, and four-parameter control system is developed which is based on industrial computer. The system is used to collect data accurately and control 4D180 power-shift gearbox of ZL50E wheel loader shift timely. An experiment is done on automatic transmission test-bed, and the result indicates that the control system could reliably and safely work and improve the efficiency of hydraulic torque converter. Four-parameter shift strategy that takes into account the power consuming of the working pump has important operating significance and reflects the actual working status of construction vehicle.

Multicomponent Kinetic Determination by Wavelet Packet Transform Based Elman Recurrent Neural Network Method

This paper covers a novel method named wavelet packet transform based Elman recurrent neural network(WPTERNN) for the simultaneous kinetic determination of periodate and iodate. The wavelet packet representations of signals provide a local time-frequency description, thus in the wavelet packet domain, the quality of the noise removal can be improved. The Elman recurrent network was applied to non-linear multivariate calibration. In this case, by means of optimization, the wavelet function, decomposition level and number of hidden nodes for WPTERNN method were selected as D4, 5 and 5 respectively. A program PWPTERNN was designed to perform multicomponent kinetic determination. The relative standard error of prediction(RSEP) for all the components with WPTERNN, Elman RNN and PLS were 3.23%, 11.8% and 10.9% respectively. The experimental results show that the method is better than the others.

A Neural Network Approach for Misuse and Anomaly Intrusion Detection

An MI.P(Multi-Layer Perception)/Elman neural network is proposed in thispaper, which realizes classification with memory of past events using the real-time classificationof MI.P and the memorial functionality of Elman. The system's sensitivity for the memory of pastevents ean be easily reconfigured without retraining the whole network. This approach can he usedfor both misuse and anomaly detection system. The intrusion detection systems(TDSs) using the hybridMLP/Elman neural network are evaluated by the intrusion detection evaluation data sponsored by U.S.Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency CDARPA) Ihc results of experiment are presented inReceiver Operating Characteristic CROC) curves. Thc capabilites of these IDSs to identify DenyofService(DOS) and probing attacks are enhanced.

Verifying Fossil-Fuel Carbon Dioxide Emissions Forecasted by an Artificial Neural Network with the GEOS-Chem Model

In this study, the authors developed an en- semble of Elman neural networks to forecast the spatial and temporal distribution of fossil-fuel emissions （ff） in 2009. The authors built and trained 29 Elman neural net- works based on the monthly average grid emission data （1979-2008） from different geographical regions. A three-dimensional global chemical transport model, God- dard Earth Observing System （GEOS）-Chem, was applied to verify the effectiveness of the networks. The results showed that the networks captured the annual increasing trend and interannual variation of ff well. The difference between the simulations with the original and predicted ff ranged from -1 ppmv to 1 ppmv globally. Meanwhile, the authors evaluated the observed and simulated north-south gradient of the atmospheric CO2 concentrations near the surface. The two simulated gradients appeared to have a similar changing pattern to the observations, with a slightly higher background CO2 concentration, - 1 ppmv. The results indicate that the Elman neural network is a useful tool for better understanding the spatial and tem- poral distribution of the atmospheric C02 concentration and ft.

基于IWOA-SA-Elman神经网络的短期风电功率预测

由于风力发电的随机性和不确定性使其短期功率的预测工作十分困难,而神经网络模型依靠其强大的自学习能力在风电功率预测领域有着广泛的应用。但神经网络预测精度受初始权重影响较大,且易出现过拟合的问题。为此构建一种基于改进鲸鱼算法和模拟退火组合优化的Elman神经网络短期风电功率预测模型,模型首先利用改进鲸鱼算法结合模拟退火策略获得高质量神经网络初始权值,接着引入正则化损失函数防止其过拟合,最后以西班牙瓦伦西亚某风电场陆上短期风电功率为研究对象,将该算法与BP、LSTM、Elman、WOA-Elman、IWOA-Elman 5种神经网络算法进行算法性能测试对比,结果表明IWOA-SA-Elman神经网络模型预测误差最小,验证了该算法的合理性和有效性。

基于改进SFLA-Elman神经网络的电离层杂波抑制方法

针对高频地波雷达目标检测中电离层杂波的干扰问题,提出了一种基于改进混合蛙跳算法优化Elman神经网络预测抑制电离层杂波的策略。为解决混合蛙跳算法初始种群分布不均匀、收敛精度低、易陷于局部极值等问题,引入Cubic混沌映射、莱维飞行策略、非线性平衡因子和复制操作,增强种群多样性,提高算法搜索能力。利用改进后的算法和其他算法分别优化Elman神经网络预测抑制模型,结果表明,改进后的算法无论是在收敛精度和稳定性上,还是在临近距离单元电离层杂波的预测抑制上,都取得了显著的提升。在基本保留目标信号的基础上,平均信杂比较原始回波提升18.52 dB,较原始混合蛙跳算法提升1.08 dB,对于电离层杂波的抑制具有较高应用价值。