未来城市基金会(Future City Foundation)和26个合作伙伴致力于研究如何设计智慧城市。该组织网络假定城市设计及其产物正在发生根本性的变化,就像其他行业一样;并试图了解智慧城市的运行机理、未来机遇及风险。研究结果如《智慧城市,...未来城市基金会(Future City Foundation)和26个合作伙伴致力于研究如何设计智慧城市。该组织网络假定城市设计及其产物正在发生根本性的变化,就像其他行业一样;并试图了解智慧城市的运行机理、未来机遇及风险。研究结果如《智慧城市,我们要这样做-互联、灵活且有意义:打造真正的未来城市》一书所示,重点关注智慧城市设计的4个设计原则:追求一个可持续发展和民主的城市;在其中以智能网络的方式进行设计;设计具有灵活性;进行有意义的设计。展开更多
After the consideration of the nonlinear nature changes of monsoon index,and the subjective determination of network structure in traditional artificial neural network prediction modeling,monthly and seasonal monsoon ...After the consideration of the nonlinear nature changes of monsoon index,and the subjective determination of network structure in traditional artificial neural network prediction modeling,monthly and seasonal monsoon intensity index prediction is studied in this paper by using nonlinear genetic neural network ensemble prediction（GNNEP）modeling.It differs from traditional prediction modeling in the following aspects： （1）Input factors of the GNNEP model of monsoon index were selected from a large quantity of preceding period high correlation factors,such as monthly sea temperature fields,monthly 500-hPa air temperature fields,monthly 200-hPa geopotential height fields,etc.,and they were also highly information-condensed and system dimensionality-reduced by using the empirical orthogonal function（EOF）method,which effectively condensed the useful information of predictors and therefore controlled the size of network structure of the GNNEP model.（2）In the input design of the GNNEP model,a mean generating function（MGF）series of predictand（monsoon index）was added as an input factor;the contrast analysis of results of predic- tion experiments by a physical variable predictor-predictand MGF GNNEP model and a physical variable predictor GNNEP model shows that the incorporation of the periodical variation of predictand（monsoon index）is very effective in improving the prediction of monsoon index.（3）Different from the traditional neural network modeling,the GNNEP modeling is able to objectively determine the network structure of the GNNNEP model,and the model constructed has a better generalization capability.In the case of identical predictors,prediction modeling samples,and independent prediction samples,the prediction accuracy of our GNNEP model combined with the system dimensionality reduction technique of predictors is clearly higher than that of the traditional stepwise regression model using the traditional treatment technique of predictors,suggesting that the GNNEP model opens up a vast range of possibilities for operational weather prediction.展开更多
Deep neural networks have been successfully applied to numerous machine learning tasks because of their impressive feature abstraction capabilities.However,conventional deep networks assume that the training and test ...Deep neural networks have been successfully applied to numerous machine learning tasks because of their impressive feature abstraction capabilities.However,conventional deep networks assume that the training and test data are sampled from the same distribution,and this assumption is often violated in real-world scenarios.To address the domain shift or data bias problems,we introduce layer-wise domain correction(LDC),a new unsupervised domain adaptation algorithm which adapts an existing deep network through additive correction layers spaced throughout the network.Through the additive layers,the representations of source and target domains can be perfectly aligned.The corrections that are trained via maximum mean discrepancy,adapt to the target domain while increasing the representational capacity of the network.LDC requires no target labels,achieves state-of-the-art performance across several adaptation benchmarks,and requires significantly less training time than existing adaptation methods.展开更多
文摘未来城市基金会(Future City Foundation)和26个合作伙伴致力于研究如何设计智慧城市。该组织网络假定城市设计及其产物正在发生根本性的变化,就像其他行业一样;并试图了解智慧城市的运行机理、未来机遇及风险。研究结果如《智慧城市,我们要这样做-互联、灵活且有意义:打造真正的未来城市》一书所示,重点关注智慧城市设计的4个设计原则:追求一个可持续发展和民主的城市;在其中以智能网络的方式进行设计;设计具有灵活性;进行有意义的设计。
基金the New Technology Extension Project of China Meteorological Administration under Grant No.GMATG2008M49the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.40675023
文摘After the consideration of the nonlinear nature changes of monsoon index,and the subjective determination of network structure in traditional artificial neural network prediction modeling,monthly and seasonal monsoon intensity index prediction is studied in this paper by using nonlinear genetic neural network ensemble prediction（GNNEP）modeling.It differs from traditional prediction modeling in the following aspects： （1）Input factors of the GNNEP model of monsoon index were selected from a large quantity of preceding period high correlation factors,such as monthly sea temperature fields,monthly 500-hPa air temperature fields,monthly 200-hPa geopotential height fields,etc.,and they were also highly information-condensed and system dimensionality-reduced by using the empirical orthogonal function（EOF）method,which effectively condensed the useful information of predictors and therefore controlled the size of network structure of the GNNEP model.（2）In the input design of the GNNEP model,a mean generating function（MGF）series of predictand（monsoon index）was added as an input factor;the contrast analysis of results of predic- tion experiments by a physical variable predictor-predictand MGF GNNEP model and a physical variable predictor GNNEP model shows that the incorporation of the periodical variation of predictand（monsoon index）is very effective in improving the prediction of monsoon index.（3）Different from the traditional neural network modeling,the GNNEP modeling is able to objectively determine the network structure of the GNNNEP model,and the model constructed has a better generalization capability.In the case of identical predictors,prediction modeling samples,and independent prediction samples,the prediction accuracy of our GNNEP model combined with the system dimensionality reduction technique of predictors is clearly higher than that of the traditional stepwise regression model using the traditional treatment technique of predictors,suggesting that the GNNEP model opens up a vast range of possibilities for operational weather prediction.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2016YFB1200203)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41427806 and 61273233)
文摘Deep neural networks have been successfully applied to numerous machine learning tasks because of their impressive feature abstraction capabilities.However,conventional deep networks assume that the training and test data are sampled from the same distribution,and this assumption is often violated in real-world scenarios.To address the domain shift or data bias problems,we introduce layer-wise domain correction(LDC),a new unsupervised domain adaptation algorithm which adapts an existing deep network through additive correction layers spaced throughout the network.Through the additive layers,the representations of source and target domains can be perfectly aligned.The corrections that are trained via maximum mean discrepancy,adapt to the target domain while increasing the representational capacity of the network.LDC requires no target labels,achieves state-of-the-art performance across several adaptation benchmarks,and requires significantly less training time than existing adaptation methods.
