Industrial Carbon Reduction Potential Measurement and Scenario Prediction in Shaanxi Province

Promoting industrial carbon reduction is an inevitable step for achieving the Chinese carbon peak and neutrality targets.Based on the industrial energy consumption data of Shaanxi Province from 2011 to 2020,this study uses the IPCC calculation method to calculate the industrial carbon emissions in Shaanxi Province.The prediction model for industrial carbon emissions in Shaanxi Province was constructed based on the STIRPAT model from three aspects:population,economy,and technology.By setting three scenario models,the industrial carbon emissions from 2021 to 2035 and the time to achieve peak carbon neutrality were then predicted.The results show that the industry in Shaanxi Province cannot achieve a carbon peak under the baseline scenario,although it can achieve carbon peaking in 2030 under a low-carbon scenario or in 2025 under an enhanced low-carbon scenario.The predicted carbon peak values are 209.11 million t and 188.36 million t,respectively.Based on the results of this study,four policy recommendations are proposed:(1)strengthen publicity and education efforts to increase public participation in energy conservation and emission reduction;(2)promote the green transformation of industry and develop a green economy,including the active development of energy-saving and emission reduction technologies;(3)accelerate the implementation of industrial carbon reduction;and(4)promote the development and utilization of clean energy and increase efforts to adjust the energy structure.

Objective visual performance evaluation with visual evoked potential measurements based on an adaptive optics system

An objective visual performance evaluation with visual evoked potential （VEP） measurements was first inte- grated into an adaptive optics （AO） system. The optical and neural limits to vision can be bypassed through this system. Visual performance can be measured electrophysiologically with VEP, which reflects the objective func- tion from the retina to the primary visual cortex. The VEP ts without and with AO correction were preliminarily carried out using this system, demonstrating the great potential of this system in the objective visual performance evaluation. The new system will provide the necessary technique and equipment support for the further study of human visual function.

Fast Measurement of Dielectric Conductivity for Space Application by Surface Potential Decay Method

Surface potential decay of polymers for electrical insulation can help to determine the dark conductivity for spacecraft charging analysis. Due to the existence of radiation-induced conductivity, it decays fast in the first few hours after irradiation and exponentially slowly for the remaining time. The measurement of dark conductivity with this method usually takes the slow part and needs a couple of days. Integrating the Fowler formula into the deep dielectric charging equations, we obtain a new expression for the fast decay part. The experimental data of different materials, dose rates and temperatures are fitted by the new expression. Both the dark conductivity and the radiation-induced conductivity are derived and compared with other methods. The result shows a good estimation of dark conductivity and radiation-induced conductivity in high-resistivity polymers, which enables a fast measurement of dielectric conductivity within about 600 rain after irradiation.

Development of a Heavy Ion Bearn Probe for Measuring Electrostatic Potential Profile and Its Fluctuation in LHD

A heavy ion beam probe （HIBP） using a 3-MV tandem accelerator has been installed on large helical device （LHD）. Electrostatic potential in core plasma can be measured under the toroidal magnetic field strength of up to 3 T. By using the HIBP, the transition of potential profiles from electron-root to ion^root is observed in core plasmas during ramp-up of the electron density. Potential fluctuations are also measured electron cyclotron current drive （ECCD）. Two kind of characteristic fluctuations are observed. One is a reversed-shear-induced Alfv^n eigenmode （RSAE）, whose frequency varies during the evolution of the rotational transform profile, and the other is with a constant geodeisc acoustic mode （GAM） frequency.

Investigating the ENSO prediction skills of the Beijing Climate Center climate prediction system version 2

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)ensemble prediction skills of the Beijing Climate Center(BCC)climate prediction system version 2(BCC-CPS2)are examined for the period from 1991 to 2018.The upper-limit ENSO predictability of this system is quantified by measuring its“potential”predictability using information-based metrics,whereas the actual prediction skill is evaluated using deterministic and probabilistic skill measures.Results show that:(1)In general,the current operational BCC model achieves an effective 10-month lead predictability for ENSO.Moreover,prediction skills are up to 10–11 months for the warm and cold ENSO phases,while the normal phase has a prediction skill of just 6 months.(2)Similar to previous results of the intermediate coupled models,the relative entropy(RE)with a dominating ENSO signal component can more effectively quantify correlation-based prediction skills compared to the predictive information(PI)and the predictive power(PP).(3)An evaluation of the signal-dependent feature of the prediction skill scores suggests the relationship between the“Spring predictability barrier(SPB)”of ENSO prediction and the weak ENSO signal phase during boreal spring and early summer.

An objective method for color vision deficiencies measurement based on visual evoked potential

The equi-luminance of color stimulus in normal subjects is characterized by L-cone and M-cone activation in retina. For the protanopes and deuternopes, only the activations of one relevant remaining cone type should be considered. The equi-luminance turning curve was established for the recorded visual evoked potentials (VEPs) of the luminance changes of the red and green color stimulus, and the position of the equi-luminance was used to define the kind and degree of color vision deficiencies. In the test of 47 volunteers we got the VEP traces and the equi-luminance turning curves, which was in accordance with the judgment by the pseudoisochromatic plate used in clinic. The method fulfills the objective and quantitative requirements in color vision deficiencies test.

An occupation time related potential measure for diffusion processes

In this paper, for homogeneous diffusion processes, the approach of Y. Li and X. Zhou [Statist. Probab. Lett., 2014, 94： 48-55] is adopted to find expressions of potential measures that are discounted by their joint occupation times over semi-infinite intervals （-∞, a） and （a, ∞）. The results are expressed in terms of solutions to the differential equations associated with the diffusions generator. Applying these results, we obtain more explicit expressions for Brownian motion with drift, skew Brownian motion, and Brownian motion with two-valued drift, respectively.

A Wiener-Hopf factorization related potential measure for spectrally negative Lévy process

For spectrally negative Lévy process (SNLP), we find an expression, in terms of scale functions, for a potential measure involving the maximum and the last time of reaching the maximum up to a draw-down time. As applications, we obtain a potential measure for the reflected SNLP and recover a joint Laplace transform for the Wiener-Hopf factorization for SNLP.

Transition Distributions of Young Diagrams Under Periodically Weighted Plancherel Measures

Kerov[16,17] proved that Wigner＇s semi-circular law in Gauss[an unitary ensembles is the transition distribution of the omega curve discovered by Vershik and Kerov[34] for the limit shape of random partitions under the Plancherel measure. This establishes a close link between random Plancherel partitions and Gauss[an unitary ensembles, In this paper we aim to consider a general problem, namely, to characterize the transition distribution of the limit shape of random Young diagrams under Poissonized Plancherel measures in a periodic potential, which naturally arises in Nekrasov＇s partition functions and is further studied by Nekrasov and Okounkov[25] and Okounkov[28,29]. We also find an associated matrix mode[ for this transition distribution. Our argument is based on a purely geometric analysis on the relation between matrix models and SeibergWitten differentials.