The active control theory and methods of initial disturbances for rockets and missiles are investigated. The rocket or missile/launcher is simplified as a flexible beam excited by a moving varying velocity rigid body ...The active control theory and methods of initial disturbances for rockets and missiles are investigated. The rocket or missile/launcher is simplified as a flexible beam excited by a moving varying velocity rigid body which has two points in contact with the beam. The control force is applied at the supporting point on the beam. Active control strategies based on optimal control theory are proposed and computer simulation is carried out. Simulation results are consistent with the theoretical results, and show that the active control strategies proposed can accomplish the purpose to control the initial disturbances actively. The results show that active control of initial disturbances for rockets and missiles is feasible for application.展开更多
In the range of the rockets/launcher system itself, the dynamic equations for rocket and directional tube during semi-constraint period have been constructed by using Newton-Ether method. Considering the interaction o...In the range of the rockets/launcher system itself, the dynamic equations for rocket and directional tube during semi-constraint period have been constructed by using Newton-Ether method. Considering the interaction of rockets and directional tubes when clearances exist, the method of estimating initial disturbances for the rocket by using vibration data of the directional tube has been given. The estimated results have been compared with the simulation results computed by the dynamic simulating software ADAMS. Results computed by the two methods are basically consistent and the computing errors do not increase with the variation of the clearance. The validity of the proposed method has been proved.展开更多
This paper develops a modular modeling and efficient formulation of launch dynamics with marching fire(LDMF)using a mixed formulation of the transfer matrix method for multibody systems(MSTMM)and Newton-Euler formulat...This paper develops a modular modeling and efficient formulation of launch dynamics with marching fire(LDMF)using a mixed formulation of the transfer matrix method for multibody systems(MSTMM)and Newton-Euler formulation.Taking a ground-borne multiple launch rocket systems(MLRS),the focus is on the launching subsystem comprising the rocket,flexible tube,and tube tail.The launching subsystem is treated as a coupled rigid-flexible multibody system,where the rocket and tube tail are treated as rigid bodies while the flexible tube as a beam with large motion.Firstly,the tube and tube tail can be elegantly handled by the MSTMM,a computationally efficient order-N formulation.Then,the equation of motion of the in-bore rocket with relative kinematics w.r.t.the tube using the Newton-Euler method is derived.Finally,the rocket,tube,and tube tail dynamics are coupled,yielding the equation of motion of the launching subsystem that can be regarded as a building block and further integrated with other subsystems.The deduced dynamics equation of the launching subsystem is not limited to ground-borne MLRS but also fits for tanks,self-propelled artilleries,and other air-borne and naval-borne weapons undergoing large motion.Numerical simulation results of LDMF are given and partially verified by the experiment.展开更多
Rong Yi,chief designer of the Long March-2F rocket that has launched China’s all manned space flight missions,talks about China’s progress in manned carrier rocket development and launch vehicle technology.AT 10:44 ...Rong Yi,chief designer of the Long March-2F rocket that has launched China’s all manned space flight missions,talks about China’s progress in manned carrier rocket development and launch vehicle technology.AT 10:44 am on June 5,the gaze of TV audiences globally riveted on the Long March-2F Y14 carrier rocket launch at northwest China’s Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center.About 577 seconds later,the Shenzhou-14 crewed spaceship separated from the rocket and entered its designated orbit.展开更多
We present Dark Matter candidates from non SUSY processes, in a way emphasizing how a Dark Matter (DM) candidate of roughly 100 - 400 GeV could be formed. As has been said about the Photon rocket and Axions rockets, t...We present Dark Matter candidates from non SUSY processes, in a way emphasizing how a Dark Matter (DM) candidate of roughly 100 - 400 GeV could be formed. As has been said about the Photon rocket and Axions rockets, the presence of a magnetic field supposedly would switch DM particle candidates to photons, in such a way as to in the end configure a photon rocket style device from DM in a thrust chamber. The presence of Dark Matter (DM) would in itself merely indicate that the emerging photon thrust would be comparatively greater than it would be for more conventional photon rockets. This amplifies and improves upon a so called axion rocket ram jet for interstellar travel. We assume that much the same sort of methodology for a would-be axion ramjet could be employed for DM, with perhaps greater thrust/power conversion efficiencies.展开更多
5 October 2013, Houston--The Houston Rockets and ZTE USA, the fastest-growing smartphone provider in the United States, announced that ZTE will be the official smartphone of the Houston Rockets for the 2013-14 NBA sea...5 October 2013, Houston--The Houston Rockets and ZTE USA, the fastest-growing smartphone provider in the United States, announced that ZTE will be the official smartphone of the Houston Rockets for the 2013-14 NBA season. This is the first partnership of its kind for ZTE globally and the first big consumer marketing push in the United States since the company entered the country 15 years ago.展开更多
A LM-2D/Yuanzheng 3 launch vehicle successfully launched 6 Yunhai 2 satellites and one test microsatellite named'Chongqing'into their preset orbits,concluding China’s final orbital launch of2018.The launch to...A LM-2D/Yuanzheng 3 launch vehicle successfully launched 6 Yunhai 2 satellites and one test microsatellite named'Chongqing'into their preset orbits,concluding China’s final orbital launch of2018.The launch took place at 16:00 Beijing time on December 29,2018 from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center.展开更多
How to effectively evaluate the firing precision of weapon equipment at low cost is one of the core contents of improving the test level of weapon system.A new method to evaluate the firing precision of the MLRS consi...How to effectively evaluate the firing precision of weapon equipment at low cost is one of the core contents of improving the test level of weapon system.A new method to evaluate the firing precision of the MLRS considering the credibility of simulation system based on Bayesian theory is proposed in this paper.First of all,a comprehensive index system for the credibility of the simulation system of the firing precision of the MLRS is constructed combined with the group analytic hierarchy process.A modified method for determining the comprehensive weight of the index is established to improve the rationality of the index weight coefficients.The Bayesian posterior estimation formula of firing precision considering prior information is derived in the form of mixed prior distribution,and the rationality of prior information used in estimation model is discussed quantitatively.With the simulation tests,the different evaluation methods are compared to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.Finally,the experimental results show that the effectiveness of estimation method for firing precision is improved by more than 25%.展开更多
Gravity-1 solid-propellant carrier rocket utilizes a three-vertical testing and launch mode, and adopts a sea-based launch method. As the demand for satellite launches continues to grow, the scarcity of launch site re...Gravity-1 solid-propellant carrier rocket utilizes a three-vertical testing and launch mode, and adopts a sea-based launch method. As the demand for satellite launches continues to grow, the scarcity of launch site resources,and the consideration of cost savings, the need for rapid testing and launch of carrier rockets has become increasingly strong. The capability of rapid testing and launch has even become one important aspect of evaluating a rocket. This paper focuses on the characteristics of the Gravity-1 solid-propellant strap-on medium-sized carrier rocket and designs and implements a highly reliable, convenient, and intelligent low-cost rapid testing and launch solution. The main aspects include the design of a highly reliable dual-redundant ground architecture and the application of ground-based shelf products.展开更多
Our study identifies a subtle deviation from Newton’s third law in the derivation of the ideal rocket equation, also known as the Tsiolkovsky Rocket Equation (TRE). TRE can be derived using a 1D elastic collision mod...Our study identifies a subtle deviation from Newton’s third law in the derivation of the ideal rocket equation, also known as the Tsiolkovsky Rocket Equation (TRE). TRE can be derived using a 1D elastic collision model of the momentum exchange between the differential propellant mass element (dm) and the rocket final mass (m1), in which dm initially travels forward to collide with m1 and rebounds to exit through the exhaust nozzle with a velocity that is known as the effective exhaust velocity ve. We observe that such a model does not explain how dm was able to acquire its initial forward velocity without the support of a reactive mass traveling in the opposite direction. We show instead that the initial kinetic energy of dm is generated from dm itself by a process of self-combustion and expansion. In our ideal rocket with a single particle dm confined inside a hollow tube with one closed end, we show that the process of self-combustion and expansion of dm will result in a pair of differential particles each with a mass dm/2, and each traveling away from one another along the tube axis, from the center of combustion. These two identical particles represent the active and reactive sub-components of dm, co-generated in compliance with Newton’s third law of equal action and reaction. Building on this model, we derive a linear momentum ODE of the system, the solution of which yields what we call the Revised Tsiolkovsky Rocket Equation (RTRE). We show that RTRE has a mathematical form that is similar to TRE, with the exception of the effective exhaust velocity (ve) term. The ve term in TRE is replaced in RTRE by the average of two distinct exhaust velocities that we refer to as fast-jet, vx<sub>1</sub>, and slow-jet, vx<sub>2</sub>. These two velocities correspond, respectively, to the velocities of the detonation pressure wave that is vectored directly towards the exhaust nozzle, and the retonation wave that is initially vectored in the direction of rocket propagation, but subsequently becomes reflected from the thrust surface of the combustion chamber to exit through the exhaust nozzle with a time lag behind the detonation wave. The detonation-retonation phenomenon is supported by experimental evidence in the published literature. Finally, we use a convolution model to simulate the composite exhaust pressure wave, highlighting the frequency spectrum of the pressure perturbations that are generated by the mutual interference between the fast-jet and slow-jet components. Our analysis offers insights into the origin of combustion oscillations in rocket engines, with possible extensions beyond rocket engineering into other fields of combustion engineering.展开更多
The solid rocket motor driven system is one of the common ways for submarines to launch underwater missiles. It has significant advantages in improving the missile’s water exit speed, anti-interference capability, an...The solid rocket motor driven system is one of the common ways for submarines to launch underwater missiles. It has significant advantages in improving the missile’s water exit speed, anti-interference capability, and enemy striking power. The prediction of the underwater loading is a preliminary factor for the power system design of the underwater vehicle. This paper presents a rapid prediction method and validated by the experimental study for the underwater thrust of the solid rocket motor. Based on the potential flow assumption of the water field, a model of the bubble and a one-dimensional quasi-steady model of the nozzle are established to directly solve the flow status of the nozzle. The aerodynamic thrust and hydrodynamic thrust have been calculated and analyzed. The calculation results are within 5% error of the experimental results. Moreover, a design platform to predict the underwater thrust of the solid rocket motor has been developed based on Python and the PyQt library, which shows excellent system adaptability and computational efficiency.展开更多
Bayesian estimation is applied to the analysis of backflow vortex instabilities in typical three-and four bladed liquid propellant rocket(LPR)engine inducers.The flow in the impeller eye is modeled as a set of equally...Bayesian estimation is applied to the analysis of backflow vortex instabilities in typical three-and four bladed liquid propellant rocket(LPR)engine inducers.The flow in the impeller eye is modeled as a set of equally intense and evenly spaced 2D axial vortices,located at the same radial distance from the axis and rotating at a fraction of the impeller speed.The circle theorem and the Bernoulli’s equation are used to predict the flow pressure in terms of the vortex number,intensity,rotational speed,and radial position.The theoretical spectra so obtained are frequency broadened to mimic the dispersion of the experimental data and parametrically fitted to the measured pressure spectra by maximum likelihood estimation with equal and independent Gaussian errors.The method is applied to three inducers,tested in water at room temperature and different loads and cavitation conditions.It successfully characterizes backflow instabilities using the signals of a single pressure transducer flush-mounted on the casing of the impeller eye,effectively by-passing the aliasing and data acquisition/reduction complexities of traditional multiple-sensor cross correlation methods.The identification returns the estimates of the model parameters and their standard errors,providing the information necessary for assessing the accuracy and statistical significance of the results.The flowrate is found to be the major factor affecting the backflow vortex instability,which,on the other hand,is rather insensitive to the occurrence of cavitation.The results are consistent with the data reported in the literature,as well as with those generated by the auxiliary models specifically developed for initializing the maximum likelihood searches and supporting the identification procedure.展开更多
BEIJING,March 12(Xinhua)——China′s development of both 4⁃meter⁃diameter and 5⁃meter⁃diameter reusable rockets is being accelerated,with their inaugural flights scheduled for 2025 and 2026,respectively.The manufactur...BEIJING,March 12(Xinhua)——China′s development of both 4⁃meter⁃diameter and 5⁃meter⁃diameter reusable rockets is being accelerated,with their inaugural flights scheduled for 2025 and 2026,respectively.The manufacturing of these two new large reusable launching vehicle models is a response to growing demand in the commercial space market,said the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation.展开更多
Accurate navigation is important for long-range rocket projectile's precise striking. To obtain stable and high-per- formance navigation result, a ultra-tight global positioning system/inertial navigation system (GP...Accurate navigation is important for long-range rocket projectile's precise striking. To obtain stable and high-per- formance navigation result, a ultra-tight global positioning system/inertial navigation system (GPS/INS) integration based nav- igation approach is proposed. The accurate short-time output of INS is used by GPS receiver to assist in acquisition of signal, and output information of INS and GPS is fused based on federated filter. Meanwhile, the improved cubature Kalman filter with strong tracking ability is chosen to serve as the local filter, and then the federated filter is enhanced based on vector sharing theory. Finally, simulation results show that the navigation accuracy with the proposed method is higher than that with traditional methods. It provides reference for long-range rocket projectile navigation.展开更多
In order to measure the parameters of flight rocket by using radar,rocket impact point was estimated accurately for rocket trajectory correction.The Kalman filter with adaptive filter gain matrix was adopted.According...In order to measure the parameters of flight rocket by using radar,rocket impact point was estimated accurately for rocket trajectory correction.The Kalman filter with adaptive filter gain matrix was adopted.According to the particle trajectory model,the adaptive Kalman filter trajectory model was constructed for removing and filtering the outliers of the parameters during a section of flight detected by three-dimensional data radar and the rocket impact point was extrapolated.The results of numerical simulation show that the outliers and noise in trajectory measurement signal can be removed effectively by using the adaptive Kalman filter and the filter variance can converge in a short period of time.Based on the relation of filtering time and impact point estimation error,choosing the filtering time of 8-10 scan get the minimum estimation error of impact point.展开更多
文摘The active control theory and methods of initial disturbances for rockets and missiles are investigated. The rocket or missile/launcher is simplified as a flexible beam excited by a moving varying velocity rigid body which has two points in contact with the beam. The control force is applied at the supporting point on the beam. Active control strategies based on optimal control theory are proposed and computer simulation is carried out. Simulation results are consistent with the theoretical results, and show that the active control strategies proposed can accomplish the purpose to control the initial disturbances actively. The results show that active control of initial disturbances for rockets and missiles is feasible for application.
文摘In the range of the rockets/launcher system itself, the dynamic equations for rocket and directional tube during semi-constraint period have been constructed by using Newton-Ether method. Considering the interaction of rockets and directional tubes when clearances exist, the method of estimating initial disturbances for the rocket by using vibration data of the directional tube has been given. The estimated results have been compared with the simulation results computed by the dynamic simulating software ADAMS. Results computed by the two methods are basically consistent and the computing errors do not increase with the variation of the clearance. The validity of the proposed method has been proved.
基金The research is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11972193).
文摘This paper develops a modular modeling and efficient formulation of launch dynamics with marching fire(LDMF)using a mixed formulation of the transfer matrix method for multibody systems(MSTMM)and Newton-Euler formulation.Taking a ground-borne multiple launch rocket systems(MLRS),the focus is on the launching subsystem comprising the rocket,flexible tube,and tube tail.The launching subsystem is treated as a coupled rigid-flexible multibody system,where the rocket and tube tail are treated as rigid bodies while the flexible tube as a beam with large motion.Firstly,the tube and tube tail can be elegantly handled by the MSTMM,a computationally efficient order-N formulation.Then,the equation of motion of the in-bore rocket with relative kinematics w.r.t.the tube using the Newton-Euler method is derived.Finally,the rocket,tube,and tube tail dynamics are coupled,yielding the equation of motion of the launching subsystem that can be regarded as a building block and further integrated with other subsystems.The deduced dynamics equation of the launching subsystem is not limited to ground-borne MLRS but also fits for tanks,self-propelled artilleries,and other air-borne and naval-borne weapons undergoing large motion.Numerical simulation results of LDMF are given and partially verified by the experiment.
文摘Rong Yi,chief designer of the Long March-2F rocket that has launched China’s all manned space flight missions,talks about China’s progress in manned carrier rocket development and launch vehicle technology.AT 10:44 am on June 5,the gaze of TV audiences globally riveted on the Long March-2F Y14 carrier rocket launch at northwest China’s Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center.About 577 seconds later,the Shenzhou-14 crewed spaceship separated from the rocket and entered its designated orbit.
文摘We present Dark Matter candidates from non SUSY processes, in a way emphasizing how a Dark Matter (DM) candidate of roughly 100 - 400 GeV could be formed. As has been said about the Photon rocket and Axions rockets, the presence of a magnetic field supposedly would switch DM particle candidates to photons, in such a way as to in the end configure a photon rocket style device from DM in a thrust chamber. The presence of Dark Matter (DM) would in itself merely indicate that the emerging photon thrust would be comparatively greater than it would be for more conventional photon rockets. This amplifies and improves upon a so called axion rocket ram jet for interstellar travel. We assume that much the same sort of methodology for a would-be axion ramjet could be employed for DM, with perhaps greater thrust/power conversion efficiencies.
文摘5 October 2013, Houston--The Houston Rockets and ZTE USA, the fastest-growing smartphone provider in the United States, announced that ZTE will be the official smartphone of the Houston Rockets for the 2013-14 NBA season. This is the first partnership of its kind for ZTE globally and the first big consumer marketing push in the United States since the company entered the country 15 years ago.
文摘A LM-2D/Yuanzheng 3 launch vehicle successfully launched 6 Yunhai 2 satellites and one test microsatellite named'Chongqing'into their preset orbits,concluding China’s final orbital launch of2018.The launch took place at 16:00 Beijing time on December 29,2018 from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11972193 and 92266201)。
文摘How to effectively evaluate the firing precision of weapon equipment at low cost is one of the core contents of improving the test level of weapon system.A new method to evaluate the firing precision of the MLRS considering the credibility of simulation system based on Bayesian theory is proposed in this paper.First of all,a comprehensive index system for the credibility of the simulation system of the firing precision of the MLRS is constructed combined with the group analytic hierarchy process.A modified method for determining the comprehensive weight of the index is established to improve the rationality of the index weight coefficients.The Bayesian posterior estimation formula of firing precision considering prior information is derived in the form of mixed prior distribution,and the rationality of prior information used in estimation model is discussed quantitatively.With the simulation tests,the different evaluation methods are compared to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.Finally,the experimental results show that the effectiveness of estimation method for firing precision is improved by more than 25%.
文摘Gravity-1 solid-propellant carrier rocket utilizes a three-vertical testing and launch mode, and adopts a sea-based launch method. As the demand for satellite launches continues to grow, the scarcity of launch site resources,and the consideration of cost savings, the need for rapid testing and launch of carrier rockets has become increasingly strong. The capability of rapid testing and launch has even become one important aspect of evaluating a rocket. This paper focuses on the characteristics of the Gravity-1 solid-propellant strap-on medium-sized carrier rocket and designs and implements a highly reliable, convenient, and intelligent low-cost rapid testing and launch solution. The main aspects include the design of a highly reliable dual-redundant ground architecture and the application of ground-based shelf products.
文摘Our study identifies a subtle deviation from Newton’s third law in the derivation of the ideal rocket equation, also known as the Tsiolkovsky Rocket Equation (TRE). TRE can be derived using a 1D elastic collision model of the momentum exchange between the differential propellant mass element (dm) and the rocket final mass (m1), in which dm initially travels forward to collide with m1 and rebounds to exit through the exhaust nozzle with a velocity that is known as the effective exhaust velocity ve. We observe that such a model does not explain how dm was able to acquire its initial forward velocity without the support of a reactive mass traveling in the opposite direction. We show instead that the initial kinetic energy of dm is generated from dm itself by a process of self-combustion and expansion. In our ideal rocket with a single particle dm confined inside a hollow tube with one closed end, we show that the process of self-combustion and expansion of dm will result in a pair of differential particles each with a mass dm/2, and each traveling away from one another along the tube axis, from the center of combustion. These two identical particles represent the active and reactive sub-components of dm, co-generated in compliance with Newton’s third law of equal action and reaction. Building on this model, we derive a linear momentum ODE of the system, the solution of which yields what we call the Revised Tsiolkovsky Rocket Equation (RTRE). We show that RTRE has a mathematical form that is similar to TRE, with the exception of the effective exhaust velocity (ve) term. The ve term in TRE is replaced in RTRE by the average of two distinct exhaust velocities that we refer to as fast-jet, vx<sub>1</sub>, and slow-jet, vx<sub>2</sub>. These two velocities correspond, respectively, to the velocities of the detonation pressure wave that is vectored directly towards the exhaust nozzle, and the retonation wave that is initially vectored in the direction of rocket propagation, but subsequently becomes reflected from the thrust surface of the combustion chamber to exit through the exhaust nozzle with a time lag behind the detonation wave. The detonation-retonation phenomenon is supported by experimental evidence in the published literature. Finally, we use a convolution model to simulate the composite exhaust pressure wave, highlighting the frequency spectrum of the pressure perturbations that are generated by the mutual interference between the fast-jet and slow-jet components. Our analysis offers insights into the origin of combustion oscillations in rocket engines, with possible extensions beyond rocket engineering into other fields of combustion engineering.
文摘The solid rocket motor driven system is one of the common ways for submarines to launch underwater missiles. It has significant advantages in improving the missile’s water exit speed, anti-interference capability, and enemy striking power. The prediction of the underwater loading is a preliminary factor for the power system design of the underwater vehicle. This paper presents a rapid prediction method and validated by the experimental study for the underwater thrust of the solid rocket motor. Based on the potential flow assumption of the water field, a model of the bubble and a one-dimensional quasi-steady model of the nozzle are established to directly solve the flow status of the nozzle. The aerodynamic thrust and hydrodynamic thrust have been calculated and analyzed. The calculation results are within 5% error of the experimental results. Moreover, a design platform to predict the underwater thrust of the solid rocket motor has been developed based on Python and the PyQt library, which shows excellent system adaptability and computational efficiency.
文摘Bayesian estimation is applied to the analysis of backflow vortex instabilities in typical three-and four bladed liquid propellant rocket(LPR)engine inducers.The flow in the impeller eye is modeled as a set of equally intense and evenly spaced 2D axial vortices,located at the same radial distance from the axis and rotating at a fraction of the impeller speed.The circle theorem and the Bernoulli’s equation are used to predict the flow pressure in terms of the vortex number,intensity,rotational speed,and radial position.The theoretical spectra so obtained are frequency broadened to mimic the dispersion of the experimental data and parametrically fitted to the measured pressure spectra by maximum likelihood estimation with equal and independent Gaussian errors.The method is applied to three inducers,tested in water at room temperature and different loads and cavitation conditions.It successfully characterizes backflow instabilities using the signals of a single pressure transducer flush-mounted on the casing of the impeller eye,effectively by-passing the aliasing and data acquisition/reduction complexities of traditional multiple-sensor cross correlation methods.The identification returns the estimates of the model parameters and their standard errors,providing the information necessary for assessing the accuracy and statistical significance of the results.The flowrate is found to be the major factor affecting the backflow vortex instability,which,on the other hand,is rather insensitive to the occurrence of cavitation.The results are consistent with the data reported in the literature,as well as with those generated by the auxiliary models specifically developed for initializing the maximum likelihood searches and supporting the identification procedure.
文摘BEIJING,March 12(Xinhua)——China′s development of both 4⁃meter⁃diameter and 5⁃meter⁃diameter reusable rockets is being accelerated,with their inaugural flights scheduled for 2025 and 2026,respectively.The manufacturing of these two new large reusable launching vehicle models is a response to growing demand in the commercial space market,said the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation.
基金Project Funded by Chongqing Changjiang Electrical Appliances Industries Group Co.,Ltd
文摘Accurate navigation is important for long-range rocket projectile's precise striking. To obtain stable and high-per- formance navigation result, a ultra-tight global positioning system/inertial navigation system (GPS/INS) integration based nav- igation approach is proposed. The accurate short-time output of INS is used by GPS receiver to assist in acquisition of signal, and output information of INS and GPS is fused based on federated filter. Meanwhile, the improved cubature Kalman filter with strong tracking ability is chosen to serve as the local filter, and then the federated filter is enhanced based on vector sharing theory. Finally, simulation results show that the navigation accuracy with the proposed method is higher than that with traditional methods. It provides reference for long-range rocket projectile navigation.
文摘In order to measure the parameters of flight rocket by using radar,rocket impact point was estimated accurately for rocket trajectory correction.The Kalman filter with adaptive filter gain matrix was adopted.According to the particle trajectory model,the adaptive Kalman filter trajectory model was constructed for removing and filtering the outliers of the parameters during a section of flight detected by three-dimensional data radar and the rocket impact point was extrapolated.The results of numerical simulation show that the outliers and noise in trajectory measurement signal can be removed effectively by using the adaptive Kalman filter and the filter variance can converge in a short period of time.Based on the relation of filtering time and impact point estimation error,choosing the filtering time of 8-10 scan get the minimum estimation error of impact point.