Risk assessment of coastal flooding disaster by storm surge based on Elevation-Area method and hydrodynamic models:Taking Bohai Bay as an example

The future inundation by storm surge on coastal areas are currently ill-defined.With increasing global sealevel due to climate change,the coastal flooding by storm surge is more and more frequently,especially in coastal lowland with land subsidence.Therefore,the risk assessment of such inundation for these areas is of great significance for the sustainable socio-economic development.In this paper,the authors use Elevation-Area method and Regional Ocean Model System(ROMS)model to assess the risk of the inundation of Bohai Bay by storm surge.The simulation results of Elevation-Area method show that either a 50-year or 100-year storm surge can inundate coastal areas exceeding 8000 km^(2);the numerical simulation results based on hydrodynamics,considering ground friction and duration of the storm surge high water,show that a 50-year or 100-year storm surge can only inundate an area of over 2000 km^(2),which is far less than 8000 km^(2);while,when taking into account the land subsidence and sea level rise,the very inundation range will rapidly increase by 2050 and 2100.The storm surge will greatly impact the coastal area within about 10-30 km of the Bohai Bay,in where almost all major coastal projects are located.The prompt response to flood disaster due to storm surge is urgently needed,for which five suggestions have been proposed based on the geological background of Bohai Bay.This study may offer insight into the development of the response and adaptive plans for flooding disasters caused by storm surge.

Integrated Use of Alternative Methods for Evaluating the Skin Sensitization Potencies of Five Frequently Used Preservatives in Cosmetics

In vitro skin sensitization testing methods based on the adverse outcome pathway(AOP)were used to evaluate the skin sensitization potencies of 5 commonly used preservatives.According to the“2 out of 3”principle of the integrated approaches to testing and assessment(IATA)the direct peptide reactivity assay(DPRA)and the human cell line activation test(h-CLAT)were used to detect the preservatives commonly used in cosmetics,including phenoxyethanol.methyl paraben,propyl paraben,imidazolidinyl urea and DMDM hydantoin.The DPRA and the h-CLA were carried out according to the OEC442C and 442E guidelines,respectively.The results show that.phenoxyethanol and methyl paraben are both negative in DPRA and h-CLAT while imidazolidinyl urea and DMDM hydantoin are both positive in these two tests.Propyl paraben has negative result in DPRA but positive result in h-CLAT.Therefore,imidazolidiny urea and DMDM hydantoin are sensitizers,while phenoxyethanol and methylparaben are non-sensitizers.Taken animal and human data into consideration,it is predicted that propyl paraben should be a non-sensitizer.The combination of DPRA and h-CLAT can make up for the limitations of using a single method,and it is suitable for the preliminary screening of cosmetic raw materials according to skin sensitization.

Research and Application of High-Density Resistivity Method in Seawater Intrusion Investigation in Laizhou Bay

The disaster of seawater intrusion seriously affects people's lives and restricts economic development,so the detection and treatment of seawater intrusion is a long-term task.On the basis of field investigation and water quality analysis,according to the change characteristics of apparent resistivity of groundwater after Cl-reaches 250 mg/L,the theoretical basis for the application of high-density resistivity method was determined,and the characteristic values of apparent resistivity for seawater intrusion interfaces in different geological characteristic regions in Laizhou Bay area were determined by typical profile tests.Combined with water quality investigation and other means,profiles for the high-density resistivity method were arranged,and the interfaces between saline and fresh water were accurately divided.

Application of in Vitro Alternative Tests Based on AOP in Skin Sensitization Evaluation of Cosmetics

To evaluate and discuss two novels in vitro alternative tests which based on the 2nd and 4th event of the AOP in skin sensitization and their application in skin sensitization evaluation of cosmetics in vitro.The DSens(DSens method)and Jurkat(TCPA method)were used as the test models and 9 of reference chemicals and 12 kinds of cosmetic products were used to confirm and assess the application capability in skin sensitization.The results showed that the DSens method was more sensitive to the reference chemicals compare to the TCPA method.All the results of cosmetic products showed a high consistency between these two assays and h-CLAT or in vivo assay.As the new screening method for skin sensitization evaluation of cosmetics,the in vitro alternative tests based on AOP have certain effectiveness.The reasonable combination strategy can bring a bright future for the development and application of animal alternative test in China.

Impact Force Localization and Reconstruction via ADMM-based Sparse Regularization Method

In practice,simultaneous impact localization and time history reconstruction can hardly be achieved,due to the illposed and under-determined problems induced by the constrained and harsh measuring conditions.Although l_(1) regularization can be used to obtain sparse solutions,it tends to underestimate solution amplitudes as a biased estimator.To address this issue,a novel impact force identification method with l_(p) regularization is proposed in this paper,using the alternating direction method of multipliers(ADMM).By decomposing the complex primal problem into sub-problems solvable in parallel via proximal operators,ADMM can address the challenge effectively.To mitigate the sensitivity to regularization parameters,an adaptive regularization parameter is derived based on the K-sparsity strategy.Then,an ADMM-based sparse regularization method is developed,which is capable of handling l_(p) regularization with arbitrary p values using adaptively-updated parameters.The effectiveness and performance of the proposed method are validated on an aircraft skin-like composite structure.Additionally,an investigation into the optimal p value for achieving high-accuracy solutions via l_(p) regularization is conducted.It turns out that l_(0.6)regularization consistently yields sparser and more accurate solutions for impact force identification compared to the classic l_(1) regularization method.The impact force identification method proposed in this paper can simultaneously reconstruct impact time history with high accuracy and accurately localize the impact using an under-determined sensor configuration.

A test method for evaluating the thermal environment of underground coal mine refuge alternatives

Since 2009,the Mine Safety and Health Administration(MSHA)has required mines to install refuge alternatives(RAs)in underground coal mines.One of the biggest concerns with occupied RAs is the possible severity of the resulting thermal environment.In 30 CFR 7.504,the maximum allowable apparent temperature(AT)for an occupied RA is specified as 35℃(95°F).Manufacturers must conduct heat/humidity tests to demonstrate that their RAs meet the 35℃(95°F)AT limit.For these tests,heat input devices are used to input the metabolic heat of actual miners.A wide variety of test methods,sensors,and heat input devices could be used when conducting such tests.Since 2012,the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health(NIOSH)has conducted over thirty 96-hour heat/humidity tests on four different RAs.This paper discusses the test equipment and procedures used during these investigations.This information is useful for RA manufacturers conducting RA heat/humidity tests,for other researchers investigating RA heat/humidity buildup,and for those who need to assess the thermal environment of any confined space where people may be trapped or are seeking refuge.

Changes of coastline and tidal flat and its implication for ecological protection under human activities: Take China’s Bohai Bay as an example

The change processes and trends of shoreline and tidal flat forced by human activities are essential issues for the sustainability of coastal area,which is also of great significance for understanding coastal ecological environment changes and even global changes.Based on field measurements,combined with Linear Regression(LR)model and Inverse Distance Weighing(IDW)method,this paper presents detailed analysis on the change history and trend of the shoreline and tidal flat in Bohai Bay.The shoreline faces a high erosion chance under the action of natural factors,while the tidal flat faces a different erosion and deposition patterns in Bohai Bay due to the impact of human activities.The implication of change rule for ecological protection and recovery is also discussed.Measures should be taken to protect the coastal ecological environment.The models used in this paper show a high correlation coefficient between observed and modeling data,which means that this method can be used to predict the changing trend of shoreline and tidal flat.The research results of present study can provide scientific supports for future coastal protection and management.

Using an Alternative Method to Estimate the Status of Iodine Nutrition in Pregnant Women

Iodine is an element that is essential for the synthesis of thyroid hormones.Adequate intake of dietary iodine has been recognized as a critical factor for maintaining health.It is a well-known fact that iodine deficiency can impede the production of thyroid hormones in both the mother and fetus,which increases the risk of brain damage in the fetal stage.

Fast alternating direction method of multipliers for total-variation-based image restoration

A novel algorithm, i.e. the fast alternating direction method of multipliers （ADMM）, is applied to solve the classical total-variation （ TV ）-based model for image reconstruction. First, the TV-based model is reformulated as a linear equality constrained problem where the objective function is separable. Then, by introducing the augmented Lagrangian function, the two variables are alternatively minimized by the Gauss-Seidel idea. Finally, the dual variable is updated. Because the approach makes full use of the special structure of the problem and decomposes the original problem into several low-dimensional sub-problems, the per iteration computational complexity of the approach is dominated by two fast Fourier transforms. Elementary experimental results indicate that the proposed approach is more stable and efficient compared with some state-of-the-art algorithms.

定时截尾样本下广义逆指数分布参数的Bayes估计

文章在定时截尾样本下,讨论了广义逆指数分布形状参数、可靠度和危险率的极大似然估计。基于指数先验分布,在熵损失、平方损失和Linex损失函数下分别得到形状参数、可靠度和危险率的Bayes估计,并给出了确定超参数的方法。利用数值模拟计算了估计量的各种估计均值和均方误差,研究结果表明,形状参数在熵损失和Linex损失函数下的估计精度较高;可靠度的Bayes估计整体优于极大似然估计;危险率的Bayes估计在Linex损失函数下的效果较好。

基于Bayes判别分析模型的风化基岩富水性预测

风化基岩含水层是陕北侏罗纪煤田煤炭开采的主要充水含水层,风化基岩含水层富水性的分区预测是矿井防治水的关键。以红柳林井田中西部为研究区,在分析影响风化基岩富水性控制因素的基础上,选取了风化基岩厚度、岩心采取率、风化程度、岩性组合、风化基岩顶面标高以及砂基比6个因素作为判别指标,以研究区内41组有效风化基岩钻孔抽水试验数据以3∶1的随机分配方式作为训练样本及验证样本,构建了富水性Bayes判别分析模型;采用该模型对红柳林井田中西部未进行过抽水试验钻孔的风化基岩富水性类别进行了预测,得到了风化基岩富水性预测图。结果表明:研究区西一盘区内整体富水性相对较强,强富水性区空间分布不均;北二盘区及南二盘区大部分区域富水性相对较弱;极弱富水性区分布于东南部。通过与实际生产中工作面涌水量及出水点位置对比,该富水性分区预测结果与实际吻合。

Image reconstruction based on total-variation minimization and alternating direction method in linear scan computed tomography

Linear scan computed tomography （LCT） is of great benefit to online industrial scanning and security inspection due to its characteristics of straight-line source trajectory and high scanning speed. However, in practical applications of LCT, there are challenges to image reconstruction due to limited-angle and insufficient data. In this paper, a new reconstruction algorithm based on total-variation （TV） minimization is developed to reconstruct images from limited-angle and insufficient data in LCT. The main idea of our approach is to reformulate a TV problem as a linear equality constrained problem where the objective function is separable, and then minimize its augmented Lagrangian function by using alternating direction method （ADM） to solve subproblems. The proposed method is robust and efficient in the task of reconstruction by showing the convergence of ADM. The numerical simulations and real data reconstructions show that the proposed reconstruction method brings reasonable performance and outperforms some previous ones when applied to an LCT imaging problem.

Evaluation of estimation methods for meiofaunal biomass from a meiofaunal survey in Bohai Bay

Studies in the coastal area of Bohai Bay,China,from July 2006 to October 2007,suggest that the method of meiofaunal biomass estimation affected the meiofaunal analysis.Conventional estimation methods that use a unique mean individual weight value for nematodes to calculate total biomass may cause deviation of the results.A modified estimation method,named the Subsection Count Method (SCM),was also used to calculate meiofaunal biomass.This entails only a slight increase in workload but generates results of greater accuracy.Results gained using each of these two methods were compared in the present study.The results show that the conventional method generally estimates a meiofaunal biomass.The difference between the two estimation methods was highly significant (P<0.01) for the spring and winter cruises.Furthermore,the estimation method for meiofaunal biomass affected the analysis of horizontal distribution and correlation with environmental factors.These findings highlight the importance of estimation methods for meiofaunal biomass and will hopefully stimulate further investigation and discussion of the topic.

ON ALTERNATIVE OPTIMAL SOLUTIONS TO QUASIMONOTONIC PROGRAMMING WITH LINEAR CONSTRAINTS

In this paper, the nonlinear programming problem with quasimonotonic （ both quasiconvex and quasiconcave ）objective function and linear constraints is considered. With the decomposition theorem of polyhedral sets, the structure of optimal solution set for the programming problem is depicted. Based on a simplified version of the convex simplex method, the uniqueness condition of optimal solution and the computational procedures to determine all optimal solutions are given, if the uniqueness condition is not satisfied. An illustrative example is also presented.

Reconstruction of electrical capacitance tomography images based on fast linearized alternating direction method of multipliers for two-phase flow system

Electrical capacitance tomography(ECT)has been applied to two-phase flow measurement in recent years.Image reconstruction algorithms play an important role in the successful applications of ECT.To solve the ill-posed and nonlinear inverse problem of ECT image reconstruction,a new ECT image reconstruction method based on fast linearized alternating direction method of multipliers(FLADMM)is proposed in this paper.On the basis of theoretical analysis of compressed sensing(CS),the data acquisition of ECT is regarded as a linear measurement process of permittivity distribution signal of pipe section.A new measurement matrix is designed and L1 regularization method is used to convert ECT inverse problem to a convex relaxation problem which contains prior knowledge.A new fast alternating direction method of multipliers which contained linearized idea is employed to minimize the objective function.Simulation data and experimental results indicate that compared with other methods,the quality and speed of reconstructed images are markedly improved.Also,the dynamic experimental results indicate that the proposed algorithm can ful fill the real-time requirement of ECT systems in the application.

Nested Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers to Low-Rank and Sparse-Column Matrices Recovery

The task of dividing corrupted-data into their respective subspaces can be well illustrated,both theoretically and numerically,by recovering low-rank and sparse-column components of a given matrix.Generally,it can be characterized as a matrix and a 2,1-norm involved convex minimization problem.However,solving the resulting problem is full of challenges due to the non-smoothness of the objective function.One of the earliest solvers is an 3-block alternating direction method of multipliers(ADMM)which updates each variable in a Gauss-Seidel manner.In this paper,we present three variants of ADMM for the 3-block separable minimization problem.More preciously,whenever one variable is derived,the resulting problems can be regarded as a convex minimization with 2 blocks,and can be solved immediately using the standard ADMM.If the inner iteration loops only once,the iterative scheme reduces to the ADMM with updates in a Gauss-Seidel manner.If the solution from the inner iteration is assumed to be exact,the convergence can be deduced easily in the literature.The performance comparisons with a couple of recently designed solvers illustrate that the proposed methods are effective and competitive.

Alternating Direction Finite Volume Element Methods for Three-Dimensional Parabolic Equations

This paper presents alternating direction finite volume element methods for three-dimensional parabolic partial differential equations and gives four computational schemes, one is analogous to Douglas finite difference scheme with second-order splitting error, the other two schemes have third-order splitting error, and the last one is an extended LOD scheme. The L2 norm and H1 semi-norm error estimates are obtained for the first scheme and second one, respectively. Finally, two numerical examples are provided to illustrate the efficiency and accuracy of the methods.

Full-vectorial finite-difference beam propagation method based on the modified alternating direction implicit method

A modified alternating direction implicit algorithm is proposed to solve the full-vectorial finite-difference beam propagation method formulation based on H fields. The cross-coupling terms are neglected in the first sub-step, but evaluated and doubly used in the second sub-step. The order of two sub-steps is reversed for each transverse magnetic field component so that the cross-coupling terms are always expressed in implicit form, thus the calculation is very efficient and stable. Moreover, an improved six-point finite-difference scheme with high accuracy independent of specific structures of waveguide is also constructed to approximate the cross-coupling terms along the transverse directions. The imaginary-distance procedure is used to assess the validity and utility of the present method. The field patterns and the normalized propagation constants of the fundamental mode for a buried rectangular waveguide and a rib waveguide are presented. Solutions are in excellent agreement with the benchmark results from the modal transverse resonance method.

基于改进CRITIC-Bayes网络的激光武器毁伤效果评估方法

针对目标毁伤信息的不确定性,提出了一种基于改进CRITIC-Bayes网络的激光武器毁伤效果评估方法。确定激光武器反导的毁伤因子,引入博弈论思想,结合专家经验信息确定的主观权重与CRITIC赋权法确定的客观权重,对毁伤因子进行赋权;以Bayes网络为基础,以反舰导弹的控制仓为毁伤部位,建立激光武器毁伤效果评估模型。在实例中通过不同的方法比较验证该模型的有效性,为解决不确定环境下作战决策提供理论依据。