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“市场相依”的期现引导关系研究 被引量:2
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作者 林路 沈伟 +2 位作者 张研 梁炉方 张传刚 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第3期232-246,共15页
期货市场和现货市场之间的关系一直是学术界和监管部门十分重视的问题.本文将传统的格兰杰引导关系检验推广到分位数回归的情形,研究了不同分位点上的期货与现货之间的引导关系.由于在差分数据模型下,不同的分位点对应不同的市场环境,... 期货市场和现货市场之间的关系一直是学术界和监管部门十分重视的问题.本文将传统的格兰杰引导关系检验推广到分位数回归的情形,研究了不同分位点上的期货与现货之间的引导关系.由于在差分数据模型下,不同的分位点对应不同的市场环境,我们发现了"市场相依"的期现引导关系,从而能更全面、更深入地分析期货与现货的关系.本文的主要结论和观点是:1.股指期货与股票现货之间的相互关系除了与它们本身特质有关外,还与金融市场有较大的关联性;2.在正常、平稳的金融市场环境中,它们之间有相互引导关系;在特殊、极端的金融市场环境中,它们之间正常的引导关系会出现变异,而其它金融环境因素掩盖了它们之间的正常关系;3.在逻辑上,如果把期现货之间存在相互引导关系视为正常,那么,引导关系异常的出现,是金融市场异常的信号,为金融监管提供了预警参考依据. 展开更多
关键词 金融市场 期货 现货 引导关系
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THE RANDOM WEIGHTING APPROXIMATION FOR THE VIRTUAL SYSTEM METHOD 被引量:1
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作者 ZHANGSHANGZHI JINHUA 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 1995年第1期49-60,共12页
In this paper, the random weighting method is applied to the exponentialsystem, and we construct the approximation to the animates of the system parameterswith an accuracy of o(n-1/2) as n→∞.
关键词 1991 MR Subject Classification 62F25 62j05
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Minimax designs for linear regression models with bias in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space in a discrete set
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作者 ZHOU Xiao-dong YUE Rong-xian 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第3期361-378,共18页
Consider the design problem for estimation and extrapolation in approximately linear regression models with possible misspecification. The design space is a discrete set consisting of finitely many points, and the mod... Consider the design problem for estimation and extrapolation in approximately linear regression models with possible misspecification. The design space is a discrete set consisting of finitely many points, and the model bias comes from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Two different design criteria are proposed by applying the minimax approach for estimating the parameters of the regression response and extrapolating the regression response to points outside of the design space. A simulated annealing algorithm is applied to construct the minimax designs. These minimax designs are compared with the classical D-optimal designs and all-bias extrapolation designs. Numerical results indicate that the simulated annealing algorithm is feasible and the minimax designs are robust against bias caused by model misspecification. 展开更多
关键词 62K05 62K25 62j05 minimax design reproducing kernel Hilbert space discrete design space simulated annealing algorithm
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Approximation by random weighting method for M-test in linear models 被引量:3
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作者 Xiao-yan WU Ya-ning YANG Lin-cheng ZHAO 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2007年第1期87-99,共13页
The M-test has been in common use and widely studied in testing the linear hypotheses in linear models. However, the critical value for the test is usually related to the quantities of the unknown error distribution a... The M-test has been in common use and widely studied in testing the linear hypotheses in linear models. However, the critical value for the test is usually related to the quantities of the unknown error distribution and the estimate of the nuisance parameters may be rather involved, not only for the M-test method but also for the existing bootstrap methods. In this paper we suggest a random weighting resampling method for approximating the null distribution of the M-test statistic. It is shown that, under both the null and the local alternatives, the random weighting statistic has the same asymptotic distribution as the null distribution of the M-test. The critical values of the M-test can therefore be obtained by the random weighting method without estimating the nuisance parameters. A distinguished feature of the proposed method is that the approximation is valid even the null hypothesis is not true and the power evaluation is possible under the local alternatives. 展开更多
关键词 M-test linear model local ALTERNATIVE RANDOM weighting power calculation.
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