To address the issues of limited demand response data,low generalization of demand response potential evaluation,and poor demand response effect,the article proposes a demand response potential feature extraction and ...To address the issues of limited demand response data,low generalization of demand response potential evaluation,and poor demand response effect,the article proposes a demand response potential feature extraction and prediction model based on data mining and a demand response potential assessment model for adjustable loads in demand response scenarios based on subjective and objective weight analysis.Firstly,based on the demand response process and demand response behavior,obtain demand response characteristics that characterize the process and behavior.Secondly,establish a feature extraction and prediction model based on data mining,including similar day clustering,time series decomposition,redundancy processing,and data prediction.The predicted values of each demand response feature on the response day are obtained.Thirdly,the predicted data of various characteristics on the response day are used as demand response potential evaluation indicators to represent different demand response scenarios and adjustable loads,and a demand response potential evaluation model based on subjective and objective weight allocation is established to calculate the demand response potential of different adjustable loads in different demand response scenarios.Finally,the effectiveness of the method proposed in the article is verified through examples,providing a reference for load aggregators to formulate demand response schemes.展开更多
The research examines the impact of residential and non-residential demand on facility location planning by comparing results from two location models: travel-to-work (TTW) and Residential model. The TTW model conside...The research examines the impact of residential and non-residential demand on facility location planning by comparing results from two location models: travel-to-work (TTW) and Residential model. The TTW model considers short-term changes in the state of the population due to travel-to-work (non-residential demand). By contrast, the Residential model uses a static snap-shot of the population based on official census estimates (residential demand). Comparison of both models was based on a case study of Emergency Medical Services (EMS) location-allocation planning problem in Leicester and Leicestershire, England, UK. Results showed that the using a static residential demand surface to plan EMS locations overestimates actual demand coverage, compared to a non-residential demand surface. Differences in location-allocation results between the models underscore the importance of accounting for temporal changes in the state of the population when planning locations for health service facilities. The findings of the study have implications for siting of EMS, designing, and planning of EMS service catchments and allocation of prospective demand to EMS sites. The study concludes that consideration of temporal changes in the state of the population is important for reliable and efficient location-allocation planning.展开更多
为解决大规模突发灾害给人民带来的生理与心理痛楚问题,考虑模糊需求情景下灾区道路受损、物资相对短缺、灾区需求紧迫度差异等因素,同时考虑灾民有限理性下物资竞争心理,运用前景理论刻画灾民对物资分配、运抵时间的综合感知,以灾区运...为解决大规模突发灾害给人民带来的生理与心理痛楚问题,考虑模糊需求情景下灾区道路受损、物资相对短缺、灾区需求紧迫度差异等因素,同时考虑灾民有限理性下物资竞争心理,运用前景理论刻画灾民对物资分配、运抵时间的综合感知,以灾区运输时间感知满意度最大、物资分配感知损失最小、运输成本最小为目标构建应急物资调度多目标优化模型,设计改进灰狼优化算法(Grey Wolf Optimizer,GWO)求解,引入混沌反向学习、差分进化、非线性收敛等策略实现对GWO算法的改进,并以2008年四川地震案例数据展开分析验证,依据模糊逻辑加权法选择合适的应急调度方案。研究表明,该模型可合理衡量有限理性下灾民综合感知,改进算法能够得出更加公平高效的调度方案,有效解决了灾后模糊需求情景下应急物资调度问题。展开更多
背景近十年来,随着医疗保健生态学模型(ecology of medical care model)应用价值的突显,该模型得到了学者们的高度关注。医疗保健生态学理论模型构建的差异与变化在一定程度上可以反映医疗模式的转变,为了解我国人群健康需求和卫生服务...背景近十年来,随着医疗保健生态学模型(ecology of medical care model)应用价值的突显,该模型得到了学者们的高度关注。医疗保健生态学理论模型构建的差异与变化在一定程度上可以反映医疗模式的转变,为了解我国人群健康需求和卫生服务利用情况提供证据基础。目的对运用医疗保健生态学模型的研究进行整合和对比,以描述使用医疗保健生态学模型建立的研究现状、对比研究方法和主要发现。方法于2022年6月,在PubMed、Ovid Medline、Web of Science、EmBase、中国生物医学文献服务系统、中国知网、万方数据知识服务平台中根据关键词、不限制语种开展检索,检索时限为1961-2022年。在Joanna Briggs Institute(JBI)概况性评价方法学手册的指导下,对文献进行筛选、信息提取,并开展描述性分析。结果共纳入符合要求的文献28篇,其中22篇(78.6%)发表于2010年以后。多数研究运用医疗保健生态学模型重点关注人群的健康需求、医疗资源利用模式,聚焦就医行为模式、疾病转诊等问题。在研究人群方面,多数研究覆盖全年龄段人群(11篇,39.3%),针对特定人群开展的研究有7篇(25.0%)。有4项研究在中国开展,均针对城市地区。相较于发达国家(地区),发展中国家(地区)研究中较少关注患者自我寻求帮助(非处方药、按摩等)情况,已有的医疗保健生态学模型反映出发展中国家(地区)具有较低的患者自报有健康问题(症状)比例,但具有更高的医院门诊就诊和急诊就诊比例。结论医疗保健生态学模型及其研究方法在过去20年间不断演进,仍然是帮助研究者和政策制定者了解医疗保健需求和医疗资源供需关系的重要工具。目前,中国对医疗保健生态学框架的应用程度不高,未来可更多地运用该模型反映卫生服务不平等和健康需求未被满足情况,并可开展群医学等领域的研究,为提高我国人群健康资源合理分配提供证据基础。展开更多
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China Youth Fund,Research on Security Low Carbon Collaborative Situation Awareness of Comprehensive Energy System from the Perspective of Dynamic Security Domain(52307130).
文摘To address the issues of limited demand response data,low generalization of demand response potential evaluation,and poor demand response effect,the article proposes a demand response potential feature extraction and prediction model based on data mining and a demand response potential assessment model for adjustable loads in demand response scenarios based on subjective and objective weight analysis.Firstly,based on the demand response process and demand response behavior,obtain demand response characteristics that characterize the process and behavior.Secondly,establish a feature extraction and prediction model based on data mining,including similar day clustering,time series decomposition,redundancy processing,and data prediction.The predicted values of each demand response feature on the response day are obtained.Thirdly,the predicted data of various characteristics on the response day are used as demand response potential evaluation indicators to represent different demand response scenarios and adjustable loads,and a demand response potential evaluation model based on subjective and objective weight allocation is established to calculate the demand response potential of different adjustable loads in different demand response scenarios.Finally,the effectiveness of the method proposed in the article is verified through examples,providing a reference for load aggregators to formulate demand response schemes.
文摘The research examines the impact of residential and non-residential demand on facility location planning by comparing results from two location models: travel-to-work (TTW) and Residential model. The TTW model considers short-term changes in the state of the population due to travel-to-work (non-residential demand). By contrast, the Residential model uses a static snap-shot of the population based on official census estimates (residential demand). Comparison of both models was based on a case study of Emergency Medical Services (EMS) location-allocation planning problem in Leicester and Leicestershire, England, UK. Results showed that the using a static residential demand surface to plan EMS locations overestimates actual demand coverage, compared to a non-residential demand surface. Differences in location-allocation results between the models underscore the importance of accounting for temporal changes in the state of the population when planning locations for health service facilities. The findings of the study have implications for siting of EMS, designing, and planning of EMS service catchments and allocation of prospective demand to EMS sites. The study concludes that consideration of temporal changes in the state of the population is important for reliable and efficient location-allocation planning.
文摘为解决大规模突发灾害给人民带来的生理与心理痛楚问题,考虑模糊需求情景下灾区道路受损、物资相对短缺、灾区需求紧迫度差异等因素,同时考虑灾民有限理性下物资竞争心理,运用前景理论刻画灾民对物资分配、运抵时间的综合感知,以灾区运输时间感知满意度最大、物资分配感知损失最小、运输成本最小为目标构建应急物资调度多目标优化模型,设计改进灰狼优化算法(Grey Wolf Optimizer,GWO)求解,引入混沌反向学习、差分进化、非线性收敛等策略实现对GWO算法的改进,并以2008年四川地震案例数据展开分析验证,依据模糊逻辑加权法选择合适的应急调度方案。研究表明,该模型可合理衡量有限理性下灾民综合感知,改进算法能够得出更加公平高效的调度方案,有效解决了灾后模糊需求情景下应急物资调度问题。
文摘背景近十年来,随着医疗保健生态学模型(ecology of medical care model)应用价值的突显,该模型得到了学者们的高度关注。医疗保健生态学理论模型构建的差异与变化在一定程度上可以反映医疗模式的转变,为了解我国人群健康需求和卫生服务利用情况提供证据基础。目的对运用医疗保健生态学模型的研究进行整合和对比,以描述使用医疗保健生态学模型建立的研究现状、对比研究方法和主要发现。方法于2022年6月,在PubMed、Ovid Medline、Web of Science、EmBase、中国生物医学文献服务系统、中国知网、万方数据知识服务平台中根据关键词、不限制语种开展检索,检索时限为1961-2022年。在Joanna Briggs Institute(JBI)概况性评价方法学手册的指导下,对文献进行筛选、信息提取,并开展描述性分析。结果共纳入符合要求的文献28篇,其中22篇(78.6%)发表于2010年以后。多数研究运用医疗保健生态学模型重点关注人群的健康需求、医疗资源利用模式,聚焦就医行为模式、疾病转诊等问题。在研究人群方面,多数研究覆盖全年龄段人群(11篇,39.3%),针对特定人群开展的研究有7篇(25.0%)。有4项研究在中国开展,均针对城市地区。相较于发达国家(地区),发展中国家(地区)研究中较少关注患者自我寻求帮助(非处方药、按摩等)情况,已有的医疗保健生态学模型反映出发展中国家(地区)具有较低的患者自报有健康问题(症状)比例,但具有更高的医院门诊就诊和急诊就诊比例。结论医疗保健生态学模型及其研究方法在过去20年间不断演进,仍然是帮助研究者和政策制定者了解医疗保健需求和医疗资源供需关系的重要工具。目前,中国对医疗保健生态学框架的应用程度不高,未来可更多地运用该模型反映卫生服务不平等和健康需求未被满足情况,并可开展群医学等领域的研究,为提高我国人群健康资源合理分配提供证据基础。