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A Novel Modified Alpha Power Transformed Weibull Distribution and Its Engineering Applications
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作者 Refah Alotaibi Hassan Okasha +1 位作者 Mazen Nassar Ahmed Elshahhat 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第6期2065-2089,共25页
This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha p... This paper suggests a new modified version of the traditional Weibull distribution by adding a new shape parameter utilising the modified alpha power transformed technique.We refer to the new model as modified alpha power transformed Weibull distribution.The attractiveness and significance of the new distribution lie in its power to model monotone and non-monotone failure rate functions,which are quite familiar in environmental investigations.Its hazard rate function can be decreasing,increasing,bathtub and upside-down then bathtub shaped.Diverse structural properties of the proposed model are acquired including quantile function,moments,entropies,order statistics,residual life and reversed failure rate function.The parameters of the distribution were estimated using the maximum likelihood function.The maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters and the approximate confidence intervals are also computed.Via a simulation study,the performance of the point and interval estimates are compared using different criteria.Employing real lifetime data sets,we verify that the offered model furnishes a better fit than some other lifetime models including Weibull,gamma and alpha powerWeibull models. 展开更多
关键词 Weibull distribution modified alpha power transformationmethod maximum likelihood ENTROPY order statistics
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The Alpha Power Topp-Leone Distribution: Properties, Simulations and Applications
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作者 Jacob C. Ehiwario John N. Igabari Peter E. Ezimadu 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2023年第1期316-331,共16页
This paper presents an extended lifetime probability distribution based on the alpha power transformation. We refer to the proposed distribution as “the Alpha Power Topp-Leone (APTL) distribution”. Mathematical prop... This paper presents an extended lifetime probability distribution based on the alpha power transformation. We refer to the proposed distribution as “the Alpha Power Topp-Leone (APTL) distribution”. Mathematical properties of the APTL distribution such as the density and cumulative distribution functions, survival and hazard rate functions, quantile function, median, moments and its relative measures, probability weighted moment, moment generating function, Renyi entropy, and the distribution of order statistics were derived. The method of maximum likelihood estimation was employed to estimate the unknown parameters of the APTL distribution. Finally, we used two real data sets obtained from the literature to illustrate the applicability of the APTL distribution in real-life data fitting. 展开更多
关键词 alpha Power Transformation Topp-Leone distribution QUANTILES MOMENTS
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Estimating distribution of water uptake with depth of winter wheat by hydrogen and oxygen stable isotopes under different irrigation depths 被引量:10
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作者 GUO Fei MA Juan-juan +3 位作者 ZHENG Li-jian SUN Xi-huan GUO Xiang-hong ZHANG Xue-lan 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第4期891-906,共16页
Crop root system plays an important role in the water cycle of the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum. In this study, com- bined isotope techniques, root length density and root cell activity analysis were used to invest... Crop root system plays an important role in the water cycle of the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum. In this study, com- bined isotope techniques, root length density and root cell activity analysis were used to investigate the root water uptake mechanisms of winter wheat (Triticum aesfivum L.) under different irrigation depths in the North China Plain. Both direct inference approach and multisource linear mixing model were applied to estimate the distribution of water uptake with depth in six growing stages. Results showed that winter wheat under land surface irrigation treatment (Ts) mainly absorbed water from 10-20 cm soil layers in the wintering and green stages (66.9 and 72.0%, respectively); 0-20 cm (57.0%) in the jointing stage; 0-40 (15.3%) and 80-180 cm (58.1%) in the heading stage; 60-80 (13.2%) and 180-220 cm (35.5%) in the filling stage; and 0-40 (46.8%) and 80-100 cm (31.0%) in the ripening stage. Winter wheat under whole soil layers irrigation treatment (Tw) absorbed more water from deep soil layer than Ts in heading, filling and ripening stages. Moreover, root cell activity and root length density of winter wheat under TW were significantly greater than that of Ts in the three stages. We concluded that distribution of water uptake with depth was affected by the availability of water sources, the root length density and root cell activity. Implementation of the whole soil layers irrigation method can affect root system distribution and thereby increase water use from deeper soil and enhance water use efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 hydrogen and oxygen stable isotopes multisource linear mixing model winter wheat distribution of wateruptake with depth
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Effects of Long-Term Fertilization on the Distribution of Carbon, Nitrogen and Phosphorus in Water-Stable Aggregates in Paddy Soil 被引量:29
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作者 WANG Wei CHEN Wei-cai +3 位作者 WANG Kai-rong XIE Xiao-li YIN Chun-mei CHEN An-lei 《Agricultural Sciences in China》 CAS CSCD 2011年第12期1932-1940,共9页
We investigated the size distribution of water-stable aggregates and the soil carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus concentration over aggregate size fractions based on a long-term (1990-2006) fertilization experiment in ... We investigated the size distribution of water-stable aggregates and the soil carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus concentration over aggregate size fractions based on a long-term (1990-2006) fertilization experiment in a reddish paddy soil. The results showed that the largest water-stable aggregate (WSA) (〉5 mm) and the smallest WSA (〈0.25 mm) took up the first largest proportion (38.3%) and the second largest proportion (23.3%), respectively. Application of organic materials increased the proportion of the large WSA (〉2 mm) and decreased the proportion of the small WSA (〈1 ram), resulting in an increase in the mean weight diameter of WSA, whereas application of chemical fertilizer had little effect. Application of organic materials, especially combined with chemical fertilizers, increased total carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations in all sizes of WSA, and total carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus were prone to concentrate in the large WSA. Further more, application of organic materials improved the supply effectiveness of available phosphorus, whereas had little influence on the labile carbon in WSA. Application of chemical fertilizers improved concentrations of total and available phosphorus in all sizes of WSA, whereas had little influence on total carbon and nitrogen contents. Economical fertilization model maintained the soil fertility when compared with full dose of chemical fertilizers, indicating that using organic materials could reduce chemical fertilizers by about one third. 展开更多
关键词 distribution FERTILIZATION NUTRIENT water-stable aggregate
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A NEW CORRENTROPY BASED TDE METHOD UNDER α-STABLE DISTRIBUTION NOISE ENVIRONMENT 被引量:5
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作者 Song Aimin Tong Zhijian Qiu Tianshuang 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2011年第3期284-288,共5页
This paper presents a robust time delay estimation algorithm for the α-Stable noise based on correntropy. Many time delay estimation algorithms derived for impulsive stable noise are based on the theory of Fractional... This paper presents a robust time delay estimation algorithm for the α-Stable noise based on correntropy. Many time delay estimation algorithms derived for impulsive stable noise are based on the theory of Fractional Lower Order Statistics (FLOS). Unlike previously introduced FLOS-type algorithms, the new algorithm is proposed to estimate the time delay by maximizing the generalized correlation function of two observed signals needing neither prior information nor estimation of the numerical value of the stable noise's characteristic exponent. An interval for kernel selection is found for a wide range of characteristic exponent values of α-Stable distribution. Simulations show the proposed algorithm offers superior performance over the existing covariation time delay estimation, least mean p-norm time delay estimation and achieves slightly improved performance than fractional lower order covariance time delay estimation at lower signal to noise ratio when the noise is highly impulsive. 展开更多
关键词 α-stable distribution Correntropy Generalized Correntropy Function (GCF)
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UHAS-MIDA Software Package: Mass Isotopomer Distribution Analysis-Applying the Inverse Matrix for the Determination of Stable Isotopes of Chromium Distribution during Red Blood Cell Labelling
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作者 Daniel A. Abaye Emmanuel B. Odoom +3 位作者 Ernest Y. Boateng Irene A. Agbo John-Bosco Diekuu Samuel Agana 《Journal of Data Analysis and Information Processing》 2022年第2期142-154,共13页
Clinical assessment of fluid volume status in children during malaria can be taxing and often inaccurate. During malaria, changes in fluid volume are rather multifarious and estimating this parameter, especially in si... Clinical assessment of fluid volume status in children during malaria can be taxing and often inaccurate. During malaria, changes in fluid volume are rather multifarious and estimating this parameter, especially in sick children is very challenging for clinicians who frequently rely on indices such as long capillary refill times, tachycardia, central venous pressure and decreased urine volume as guides. Here, we present the UHAS-MIDA, an open-source software tool that calculates the red blood cell (RBC) concentration and blood volume during malaria in children determined using a stable isotope of chromium (<sup>53</sup>Cr as the label) by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry in selective ion monitoring (GC/MS-SIM) analysis. A key component involves the determination of the compositions of the most abundant naturally occurring isotopes of Cr (<sup>50</sup>Cr, <sup>52</sup>Cr, <sup>53</sup>Cr), and converting the proportions into a 3 × 3 matrix. To estimate unknown proportions of chromium isotopic mixtures from the measured abundances of three ions, an inverse matrix was calculated. The inverse together with several inputs is then used to calculate the corrected MS ion abundances. Thus, we constructed the software tool UHAS- MIDA using HTML, CSS/Bootstrap, JavaScript, and PHP scripting languages. The tool enables the user to efficiently determine RBC concentration and fluid volume. The source code, binary packages and associated materials for UHAS-MIDA are freely available at https://github.com/bentil078/Abaye-et-al_UHASmida 展开更多
关键词 Mass Isotopomer distribution Analysis Inverse Matrix GC/MS Chromium stable Isotopes Blood Volume Red Blood Cell Mass
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Robust Linear Regression Models:Use of a Stable Distribution for the Response Data
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作者 Jorge A.Achcar Angela Achcar Edson Zangiacomi Martinez 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2013年第6期409-416,共8页
In this paper, we study some robustness aspects of linear regression models of the presence of outliers or discordant observations considering the use of stable distributions for the response in place of the usual nor... In this paper, we study some robustness aspects of linear regression models of the presence of outliers or discordant observations considering the use of stable distributions for the response in place of the usual normality assumption. It is well known that, in general, there is no closed form for the probability density function of stable distributions. However, under a Bayesian approach, the use of a latent or auxiliary random variable gives some simplification to obtain any posterior distribution when related to stable distributions. To show the usefulness of the computational aspects, the methodology is applied to two examples: one is related to a standard linear regression model with an explanatory variable and the other is related to a simulated data set assuming a 23 factorial experiment. Posterior summaries of interest are obtained using MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) methods and the OpenBugs software. 展开更多
关键词 stable distribution Bayesian Analysis Linear Regression Models MCMC Methods OpenBugs Software
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基于极大值截尾和偏斜分类的Alpha-stable分布参数估计新方法 被引量:1
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作者 李立 喻莉 +1 位作者 朱光喜 白云 《信号处理》 CSCD 北大核心 2008年第4期574-577,共4页
在分析Alpha-stable分布概率密度函数特性的基础上,充分利用Alpha-stable分布拖尾的渐进Pareto特性和不对称性,本文提出了一种新的Alpha-stable分布极大值估计方法。仿真和分析表明该方法提高了参数估计的准确性和稳定性。
关键词 alpha-stable分布 不对称拖尾特性 参数估计 极大值截尾 偏斜分类
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基于Alpha-stable的粒子群算法变异策略研究及气动优化应用 被引量:1
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作者 樊华羽 李典 +1 位作者 郝海兵 梁益华 《西北工业大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第6期1385-1393,共9页
提出了一种基于Alpha stable分布的新型变异方法。针对粒子群算法容易陷入局部最优的缺点,通过对比分析确定了一种调整Alpha stable分布的稳态系数动态变异策略,使粒子群算法能够在搜索初始阶段具有更强的种群多样性以及算法探索能力,... 提出了一种基于Alpha stable分布的新型变异方法。针对粒子群算法容易陷入局部最优的缺点,通过对比分析确定了一种调整Alpha stable分布的稳态系数动态变异策略,使粒子群算法能够在搜索初始阶段具有更强的种群多样性以及算法探索能力,减少陷入局部最优的可能;在算法末期增强粒子群优化算法的局部搜索能力,提高解的精度。将基于Alpha stable变异的粒子群优化算法(Alpha stable particle swarm optimization, ASPSO)与多种改进型粒子群优化算法以及差分进化算法(differential evolution algorithm, DE)进行了比较,基准测试函数结果表明新建立的ASPSO算法极大地提高了算法的收敛速度和精度。将其应用到RAE2822翼型的单点跨声速减阻优化中,在保持种群规模等参数相同的情形下,ASPSO算法的优化效果和效率都远高于传统PSO算法,最终得到的翼型也比PSO优化的翼型具有更高的升阻比,翼面波阻有明显降低。 展开更多
关键词 粒子群优化算法 alpha-stable分布 动态变异 气动优化
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Alpha-stable分布粗糙土壤表面电磁散射研究 被引量:3
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作者 晁雪 任新成 田炜 《电子测量技术》 2017年第5期76-79,共4页
采用空间域合成法生成高度起伏遵守Alpha-stable分布的粗糙土壤表面,运用矩量法研究了锥形入射波入射时粗糙土壤表面的电磁散射特性。数值计算了散射系数随散射角的变化关系,分析了稳定性系数、归一化尺度参数、互相关长度、入射波频率... 采用空间域合成法生成高度起伏遵守Alpha-stable分布的粗糙土壤表面,运用矩量法研究了锥形入射波入射时粗糙土壤表面的电磁散射特性。数值计算了散射系数随散射角的变化关系,分析了稳定性系数、归一化尺度参数、互相关长度、入射波频率、土壤湿度对散射系数的影响。结果表明,稳定性系数、归一化尺度参数、互相关长度、入射波频率、土壤湿度对散射系数均有较大的影响,遵守不同的规律。 展开更多
关键词 电磁散射 散射系数 土壤表面 空间域合成法 alpha-stable分布
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Development of alpha surface contamination monitor based on THGEM for contamination distribution 被引量:3
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作者 Si-Min Xiao Zhi-Ping Luo +5 位作者 Qian Liu Guo-Jun Yuan Hong-Chao Pang Yang Liu Jin-Feng Huang Shi Chen 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第10期48-54,共7页
In cases of high radiation emergencies,we propose a surface contamination monitor(SCM)that can quickly measure and pinpoint the contamination distribution in the affected population.Thick gaseous electron multiplier(T... In cases of high radiation emergencies,we propose a surface contamination monitor(SCM)that can quickly measure and pinpoint the contamination distribution in the affected population.Thick gaseous electron multiplier(THGEM)has several advantages,including fast response time and good spatial resolution.Based on new THGEMs,a two-dimensional imaging detector was developed for alpha detection,with a position resolution greater than 3 mm.The detector design and test results are described in this paper.Fast radiation imaging SCMs,with a 40mm×40 mm sensitive area,are currently under development. 展开更多
关键词 THGEM DETECTOR Surface CONTAMINATION distribution alpha particle POSITION RESOLUTION Imaging DETECTOR
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A New Three-Parameter Inverse Weibull Distribution with Medical and Engineering Applications
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作者 Refah Alotaibi Hassan Okasha +1 位作者 Hoda Rezk Mazen Nassar 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第5期1255-1274,共20页
The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of... The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of fields,including reliability,economics,engineering,biomedical science,biological research,environmental studies,and finance.For modeling real data,several expanded classes of distributions have been established.The modified alpha power transformed approach is used to implement the new model.The datamatches the new inverseWeibull distribution better than the inverse Weibull distribution and several other competing models.It appears to be a distribution designed to support decreasing or unimodal shaped distributions based on its parameters.Precise expressions for quantiles,moments,incomplete moments,moment generating function,characteristic generating function,and entropy expression are among the determined attributes of the new distribution.The point and interval estimates are studied using the maximum likelihood method.Simulation research is conducted to illustrate the correctness of the theoretical results.Three applications to medical and engineering data are utilized to illustrate the model’s flexibility. 展开更多
关键词 Inverse weibull distribution modified alpha power transformation method MOMENTS order statistics
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Alpha-stable粗糙面与下方目标的复合电磁散射研究
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作者 晁雪 任新成 田炜 《河南科学》 2017年第4期554-560,共7页
基于Alpha-stable分布在通信、电子、雷达等领域的应用,采用空间域合成法生成高度起伏遵守Alphastable分布的粗糙土壤表面,根据四成分模型模拟粉沙壤土的介电常数,运用矩量法研究了锥形入射波入射下粗糙土壤表面与下方三角形截面柱体的... 基于Alpha-stable分布在通信、电子、雷达等领域的应用,采用空间域合成法生成高度起伏遵守Alphastable分布的粗糙土壤表面,根据四成分模型模拟粉沙壤土的介电常数,运用矩量法研究了锥形入射波入射下粗糙土壤表面与下方三角形截面柱体的复合电磁散射问题.数值计算了散射系数随散射角的变化关系,分析了稳定性系数、归一化尺度参数、互相关长度、入射波频率、土壤湿度、三角形截面柱边长、目标方位角、三角形截面柱埋藏深度对散射系数的影响.该研究结果在军事、民用、通信、工业等多领域具有一定的理论价值. 展开更多
关键词 电磁散射 矩量法 空间域合成法 alpha-stable分布 三角形截面柱
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On use of the alpha stable self-similar stochastic process to model aggregated VBR video traffic
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作者 Huang Tianyun 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2006年第3期677-684,共8页
The alpha stable self-similar stochastic process has been proved an effective model for high variable data traffic. A deep insight into some special issues and considerations on use of the process to model aggregated ... The alpha stable self-similar stochastic process has been proved an effective model for high variable data traffic. A deep insight into some special issues and considerations on use of the process to model aggregated VBR video traffic is made. Different methods to estimate stability parameter a and self-similar parameter H are compared. Processes to generate the linear fractional stable noise (LFSN) and the alpha stable random variables are provided. Model construction and the quantitative comparisons with fractional Brown motion (FBM) and real traffic are also examined. Open problems and future directions are also given with thoughtful discussions. 展开更多
关键词 network modeling alpha stable self-similar process aggregated VBR video traffic long range dependence VARIABILITY linear regression.
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New Blind Recognition Method of SCLD and OFDM in Alpha-Stable Noise
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作者 Junlin Zhang Bin Wang Yang Wang 《International Journal of Communications, Network and System Sciences》 2017年第5期240-251,共12页
This paper deals with modulation classification under the alpha-stable noise condition. Our goal is to discriminate orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) modulation type from single carrier linear digital ... This paper deals with modulation classification under the alpha-stable noise condition. Our goal is to discriminate orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) modulation type from single carrier linear digital (SCLD) modulations in this scenario. Based on the new results concerning the generalized cyclostationarity of these signals in alpha-stable noise which are presented in this paper, we construct new modulation classification features without any priori information of carrier frequency and timing offset of the received signals, and use support vector machine (SVM) as classifier to discriminate OFDM from SCLD. Simulation results show that the recognition accuracy of the proposed algorithm can be up to 95% when the mix signal to noise ratio (MSNR) is up to ?1 dB. 展开更多
关键词 MODULATION Recognition GENERALIZED SECOND-ORDER CYCLIC STATISTICS OFDM alpha-stable Noise
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The Alpha-Beta-Gamma Skew Normal Distribution and Its Application
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作者 Zhengyuan Wei Tiankui Peng Xiaoya Zhou 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2020年第6期1057-1071,共15页
In this paper, a new class of skew multimodal distributions with more flexible than alpha skew normal distribution and alpha-beta skew normal distribution is proposed, which makes some important distributions become i... In this paper, a new class of skew multimodal distributions with more flexible than alpha skew normal distribution and alpha-beta skew normal distribution is proposed, which makes some important distributions become its special cases. The statistical properties of the new distribution are studied in detail, its moment generating function, skewness coefficient, kurtosis coefficient, Fisher information matrix, maximum likelihood estimators are derived. Moreover, a random simulation study is carried out for test the performance of the estimators, the simulation results show that with the increase of sample size, the mean value of maximum likelihood estimators tends to the true value. The new distribution family provides a better fit compared with other known skew distributions through the analysis of a real data set. 展开更多
关键词 Skew distribution Multimodal distribution alpha-Beta-Gamma Skew Normal distribution Fisher Information Matrix
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Alpha稳定分布噪声下基于轻量级网络的自动调制识别技术 被引量:2
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作者 李汀 邢怀志 张进标 《信号处理》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第5期899-909,共11页
自动调制识别在无线通信领域发挥了巨大作用。多数研究中假设的加性高斯白噪声信道已不再满足实际信道环境的准确描述。实际中,由于闪电、雷暴、多用户干扰、设备故障等原因,信道环境中广泛存在Alpha稳定分布噪声。因此对其开展研究更... 自动调制识别在无线通信领域发挥了巨大作用。多数研究中假设的加性高斯白噪声信道已不再满足实际信道环境的准确描述。实际中,由于闪电、雷暴、多用户干扰、设备故障等原因,信道环境中广泛存在Alpha稳定分布噪声。因此对其开展研究更符合实际且具有挑战性。该文针对Alpha稳定分布噪声提出了一种预处理联合轻量级网络的调制识别方法。首先,通过对数域映射及阈值限制对接收信号进行预处理,抑制由Alpha稳定分布噪声带来的尖锐脉冲将信号幅度控制到合理范围;然后,提出一种基于Ghost模块的轻量级网络来完成信号的调制识别分类任务。实验结果表明,与现有的CLDNN(Convolutional Long Short-term Deep Neural Network)、CNN(Convolutional Neural Network)、ResNe(t Residual Network)相比,本文所提方法具有较高的识别准确率及较低的计算复杂度。 展开更多
关键词 自动调制识别 alpha稳定分布噪声 深度学习
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基于α-stable分布的多目标粒子群算法研究及应用 被引量:6
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作者 樊华羽 詹浩 +1 位作者 程诗信 米百刚 《西北工业大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2019年第2期232-241,共10页
多目标的粒子群算法(MOPSO)在各个领域的优化设计中得到了广泛应用及改进,但是目前仍然存在着在进化后期容易陷入局部最优导致收敛精度低、解的多样性差等问题。引入α-stable分布理论,发展建立了一种新的基于α-stable动态变异的多目... 多目标的粒子群算法(MOPSO)在各个领域的优化设计中得到了广泛应用及改进,但是目前仍然存在着在进化后期容易陷入局部最优导致收敛精度低、解的多样性差等问题。引入α-stable分布理论,发展建立了一种新的基于α-stable动态变异的多目标粒子群优化算法(ASMOPSO)。通过α-stable分布生成随机数对PSO算法的种群进行变异操作,增加种群的多样性,在算法中动态调整稳定性系数α实现变异范围和幅度的变化,从而使得改进的ASMOPSO算法具有兼顾计算精度和全局寻优的能力。使用ZDT系列无约束函数和带约束的Tanaka及Srinivas函数对改进前后的算法进行了测试,结果显示出了ASMOPSO算法的快速全局寻优性能。将改进后的算法应用到RAE2822跨音速翼型的减阻和力矩绝对值不增大的综合优化中,得到了较好的多目标气动优化结果。 展开更多
关键词 多目标粒子群优化算法:α-stable分布 动态变异 翼型设计 气动优化
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PARAMETER ESTIMATION FOR A CLASS OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS DRIVEN BY SMALL STABLE NOISES FROM DISCRETE OBSERVATIONS 被引量:4
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作者 龙红卫 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第3期645-663,共19页
We study the least squares estimation of drift parameters for a class of stochastic differential equations driven by small a-stable noises, observed at n regularly spaced time points ti = i/n, i = 1,...,n on [0, 1]. U... We study the least squares estimation of drift parameters for a class of stochastic differential equations driven by small a-stable noises, observed at n regularly spaced time points ti = i/n, i = 1,...,n on [0, 1]. Under some regularity conditions, we obtain the consistency and the rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) when a small dispersion parameter ε→0 and n →∞ simultaneously. The asymptotic distribution of the LSE in our setting is shown to be stable, which is completely different from the classical cases where asymptotic distributions are normal. 展开更多
关键词 Asymptotic distribution of LSE consistency of LSE discrete observations least squares method parameter estimation small α-stable noises stable distribution stochastic differential eouations
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基于Max-Stable模型的海河流域气候极值变化特征 被引量:5
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作者 李帅 王怀军 潘莹萍 《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》 CAS 北大核心 2020年第2期31-43,共13页
为了解在全球变暖的背景下海河流域对气候极端事件的响应,基于海河流域1961-2016年气温与降水数据,使用RClimDex模型、MK趋势检验、Max-Stable模型对海河流域气候极值进行建模分析,研究海河流域气温极值、降水极值不同重现期的时空分布... 为了解在全球变暖的背景下海河流域对气候极端事件的响应,基于海河流域1961-2016年气温与降水数据,使用RClimDex模型、MK趋势检验、Max-Stable模型对海河流域气候极值进行建模分析,研究海河流域气温极值、降水极值不同重现期的时空分布、变化特征。结果表明:海河流域温度极值TXx在空间上表现出从北向南递减趋势,值域为30~40℃,其中36~40℃占大部分地区。TXx在南方呈降低趋势,北方呈上升趋势。降水极值RX1day空间上表现出从东南向西北方向递减的趋势,值域为50~100mm,其中60~90mm占据绝大部分区域。RX1day整体呈下降趋势,其中渤海地区RX1day下降趋势最大。海河流域GEV模型拟合结果表明,海河流域气温极值主要受纬度、海拔影响,随纬度、海拔增加而降低,其变化波动为北方强于南方。降水极值RX1day受海拔和经度影响较大,主要表现为随海拔增大而下降的空间分布,其次表现为随经度变化由西向东递增的空间分布,其变化波动随海拔升高而降低。通过Q-Q百分位图、非参数极值系数θ、GEV与Max-Stable参数和重现期强度散点图判定系数R2,确定Max-Stable模型可以很好地模拟海河流域气候极值,达到GEV模型同等效果。气候极值TXx与RX1day主要受到纬度、经度和海拔的影响,但距海岸距离的加入仅可以优化TXx模型的建立。2年、10年、50年、100年一遇气温极值TXx的空间分布均表现为自东北向西南递增的分布模式,高值区均分布于西南大部一带,最高温度达40~44℃。2年、10年、50年、100年一遇降水极值TX1day的空间分布主要受纬度影响,其次受经度和海拔的影响,均表现为从西南偏中向北方递减,高值区分布在西南偏中一带,最大降水量达80~200mm。 展开更多
关键词 海河流域 空间建模 Max-stable PROCESSES 气候极值 广义极值分布
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