Accounting concepts dictate that separately disclosed components should contain separate useful information. This paper examines the relations between income statement components and analysts＇ earnings forecasts and ...Accounting concepts dictate that separately disclosed components should contain separate useful information. This paper examines the relations between income statement components and analysts＇ earnings forecasts and forecast errors. Regressions explaining earnings forecasts using earnings components provide a better fit than regression using just aggregate income to explain forecasts. We interpret this as consistent with the hypothesis that analysts use incremental information in components not available in aggregate income. However, additional tests based on predictability of forecast errors indicate that analysts do not incorporate all information available in components into earnings forecasts. In addition, this inefficiency appears to increase at longer forecast horizons.展开更多
As the representative of mature investors, security analysts＇ recommendations are guidance for most investors, However, a great deal of studies nearly draws the consistent conclusion, i.e. they are not as smart as we...As the representative of mature investors, security analysts＇ recommendations are guidance for most investors, However, a great deal of studies nearly draws the consistent conclusion, i.e. they are not as smart as we imagine, or the market doesn＇t trust their recommendations so much. The existence of optimistic bias in their recommendations has been supported by empirical data widely. Hence these make many papers to explore the reasons and try to give theoretical explanations. Based on prior researches, this paper mainly compares two theoretical models both based on mathematical methods.展开更多
In 2007,China adopted the single balance sheet liability method for tax accounting,but its shortcomings have emerged.I sample A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2018 to study whether an abnormal change in deferred ...In 2007,China adopted the single balance sheet liability method for tax accounting,but its shortcomings have emerged.I sample A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2018 to study whether an abnormal change in deferred tax assets interferes with analysts’earnings forecasts and find that an abnormal change in deferred tax assets increases the error and divergence of these forecasts.Compared with a negative abnormal change in deferred tax assets,a positive abnormal change has a greater impact on earnings forecasts.Additionally,the level of corporate governance,audit quality and analysts’professional ability have moderating effects on the correlation between an abnormal change in deferred tax assets and earnings forecasts.However,an abnormal change in deferred tax liabilities does not have a significant impact on that correlation.展开更多
Labor protection increases employees’stability and strengthens their monitoring role,improving firms’information environment and increasing analysts’earnings forecast accuracy.Using the implementation of China’s L...Labor protection increases employees’stability and strengthens their monitoring role,improving firms’information environment and increasing analysts’earnings forecast accuracy.Using the implementation of China’s Labor Contract Law as a quasi-natural experiment,we find that labor protection significantly improves analyst forecasts.This positive impact is stronger when agency problems are weaker,board independence is greater,corporate reputation is better and industry competition is more intense.Enhanced labor protection significantly reduces firms’business risk and accrual-based earnings management,decreases stock price synchronicity and increases market pricing efficiency.Our findings of significant impacts of China’s Labor Contract Law on analysts’forecasting behaviors offer important guidance for promoting the development of the Chinese capital market and policy making in labor protection.展开更多
文摘Accounting concepts dictate that separately disclosed components should contain separate useful information. This paper examines the relations between income statement components and analysts＇ earnings forecasts and forecast errors. Regressions explaining earnings forecasts using earnings components provide a better fit than regression using just aggregate income to explain forecasts. We interpret this as consistent with the hypothesis that analysts use incremental information in components not available in aggregate income. However, additional tests based on predictability of forecast errors indicate that analysts do not incorporate all information available in components into earnings forecasts. In addition, this inefficiency appears to increase at longer forecast horizons.
文摘As the representative of mature investors, security analysts＇ recommendations are guidance for most investors, However, a great deal of studies nearly draws the consistent conclusion, i.e. they are not as smart as we imagine, or the market doesn＇t trust their recommendations so much. The existence of optimistic bias in their recommendations has been supported by empirical data widely. Hence these make many papers to explore the reasons and try to give theoretical explanations. Based on prior researches, this paper mainly compares two theoretical models both based on mathematical methods.
文摘In 2007,China adopted the single balance sheet liability method for tax accounting,but its shortcomings have emerged.I sample A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2018 to study whether an abnormal change in deferred tax assets interferes with analysts’earnings forecasts and find that an abnormal change in deferred tax assets increases the error and divergence of these forecasts.Compared with a negative abnormal change in deferred tax assets,a positive abnormal change has a greater impact on earnings forecasts.Additionally,the level of corporate governance,audit quality and analysts’professional ability have moderating effects on the correlation between an abnormal change in deferred tax assets and earnings forecasts.However,an abnormal change in deferred tax liabilities does not have a significant impact on that correlation.
基金supported by the China National Natural Science Foundation(No.72073024)the Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Foundation of the Ministry of Education of China(20YJC790150)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities in UIBE(CXTD13-03)
文摘Labor protection increases employees’stability and strengthens their monitoring role,improving firms’information environment and increasing analysts’earnings forecast accuracy.Using the implementation of China’s Labor Contract Law as a quasi-natural experiment,we find that labor protection significantly improves analyst forecasts.This positive impact is stronger when agency problems are weaker,board independence is greater,corporate reputation is better and industry competition is more intense.Enhanced labor protection significantly reduces firms’business risk and accrual-based earnings management,decreases stock price synchronicity and increases market pricing efficiency.Our findings of significant impacts of China’s Labor Contract Law on analysts’forecasting behaviors offer important guidance for promoting the development of the Chinese capital market and policy making in labor protection.
