A neuroid BP-type three-layer mapping model is used for monthly rainfall forecasting in terms of 1946-1985Naming monthly precipitation records as basic sequences and the model has the form i×j=8×3, K=1; by s...A neuroid BP-type three-layer mapping model is used for monthly rainfall forecasting in terms of 1946-1985Naming monthly precipitation records as basic sequences and the model has the form i×j=8×3, K=1; by steadilymodifying the weighing coefficient, long-range monthly forecasts for January to December, 1986 are constructed and1986 month-to-month predictions are made based on, say, the January measurement for February rainfall and soon, with mean absolute error reaching 6,07 and 5,73 mm, respectively. Also, with a different monthly initial value forJune through September, 1994, neuroid forecasting is done,indicating the same result of the drought in Naming during the summer, an outcome that is in sharp agreement with the observation.展开更多
As the acceleration of aged population tendency, building models to forecast Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is essential. In this article, we surveyed 1157 interviewees. By analyzing the results using three machine learnin...As the acceleration of aged population tendency, building models to forecast Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is essential. In this article, we surveyed 1157 interviewees. By analyzing the results using three machine learning methods—BP neural network, SVM and random forest, we can derive the accuracy of them in forecasting AD, so that we can compare the methods in solving AD prediction. Among them, random forest is the most accurate method. Moreover, to combine the advantages of the methods, we build a new combination forecasting model based on the three machine learning models, which is proved more accurate than the models singly. At last, we give the conclusion of the connection between life style and AD, and provide several suggestions for elderly people to help them prevent AD.展开更多
为了对大坝进行切实有效的监控,需要建立一个良好的大坝预测模型。针对传统BP(Back-Propagation)神经网络存在的收敛速度慢和泛化能力弱等缺陷,利用LM-BP(Levenberg Marquardt Back Propagation)算法对大坝变形进行预测,并根据丹江口大...为了对大坝进行切实有效的监控,需要建立一个良好的大坝预测模型。针对传统BP(Back-Propagation)神经网络存在的收敛速度慢和泛化能力弱等缺陷,利用LM-BP(Levenberg Marquardt Back Propagation)算法对大坝变形进行预测,并根据丹江口大坝1996和1997两年的变形观测数据,对大坝挠度预测结果进行分析。结果表明,所建立的LM-BP神经网络的预测精度和收敛速度明显提高。展开更多
文摘A neuroid BP-type three-layer mapping model is used for monthly rainfall forecasting in terms of 1946-1985Naming monthly precipitation records as basic sequences and the model has the form i×j=8×3, K=1; by steadilymodifying the weighing coefficient, long-range monthly forecasts for January to December, 1986 are constructed and1986 month-to-month predictions are made based on, say, the January measurement for February rainfall and soon, with mean absolute error reaching 6,07 and 5,73 mm, respectively. Also, with a different monthly initial value forJune through September, 1994, neuroid forecasting is done,indicating the same result of the drought in Naming during the summer, an outcome that is in sharp agreement with the observation.
文摘As the acceleration of aged population tendency, building models to forecast Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is essential. In this article, we surveyed 1157 interviewees. By analyzing the results using three machine learning methods—BP neural network, SVM and random forest, we can derive the accuracy of them in forecasting AD, so that we can compare the methods in solving AD prediction. Among them, random forest is the most accurate method. Moreover, to combine the advantages of the methods, we build a new combination forecasting model based on the three machine learning models, which is proved more accurate than the models singly. At last, we give the conclusion of the connection between life style and AD, and provide several suggestions for elderly people to help them prevent AD.
文摘为了对大坝进行切实有效的监控,需要建立一个良好的大坝预测模型。针对传统BP(Back-Propagation)神经网络存在的收敛速度慢和泛化能力弱等缺陷,利用LM-BP(Levenberg Marquardt Back Propagation)算法对大坝变形进行预测,并根据丹江口大坝1996和1997两年的变形观测数据,对大坝挠度预测结果进行分析。结果表明,所建立的LM-BP神经网络的预测精度和收敛速度明显提高。
