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基于BPCC模型的径流对气候波动和覆被变化的响应 被引量:4
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作者 张会兰 李丹勋 王兴奎 《清华大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第3期376-379,共4页
为了研究气候波动和覆被变化对中小流域径流的影响,对BPCC分布式水文模型进行敏感参数分析。根据降雨、温度、和归一化植被指数NDVI的变化趋势计算3个影响因子单独和组合变化前后的径流深。对岷江镇江关流域1980—2003年间的计算结果表... 为了研究气候波动和覆被变化对中小流域径流的影响,对BPCC分布式水文模型进行敏感参数分析。根据降雨、温度、和归一化植被指数NDVI的变化趋势计算3个影响因子单独和组合变化前后的径流深。对岷江镇江关流域1980—2003年间的计算结果表明:3种因子的综合影响使流域径流减少11.5%;各因子单独作用的贡献率分别为39.3%、45.4%和15.9%,一定变幅下的单位贡献率分别为9.4%、2.4%和12.2%;计算结果显示气候波动(气候因素)与覆被变化(人为因素)的贡献率之比约为5∶1。 展开更多
关键词 气候波动 覆被变化 岷江镇江关流域 贡献率 单位贡献率 bpcc(basic pollution calculation center)模型
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Quantitative comparison of semi- and fully-distributed hydrologic models in simulating flood hydrographs on a mountain watershed in southwest China 被引量:3
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作者 张会兰 王玉杰 +2 位作者 王云琦 李丹勋 王兴奎 《Journal of Hydrodynamics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第6期877-885,共9页
To investigate the performance of fully- and semi-distributed hydrologic models in simulating the process of transformation from rainfall to runoff in mountain areas, the fully-distributed models Basin Pollution Calcu... To investigate the performance of fully- and semi-distributed hydrologic models in simulating the process of transformation from rainfall to runoff in mountain areas, the fully-distributed models Basin Pollution Calculation Center (BPCC) and HEC- HMS are calibrated for the Zhenjiangguan watershed located in the upper stream of Minjiang River Southwest China using streamflow observations at the basin outlet. Semi-automatical optimization method is implemented to both models to improve simulated resuits by removing artificial errors. Based on the consistency of the simulated hydrographs with the observed ones, the statistical coefficients such as the relative error, the probability distribution and the correlation coefficient, are further introduced to evaluate quantitatively the performance of the two models. Analyses indicate that the hydrographs simulated by the BPCC are relatively closer to the observed ones than those simulated by the HEC-HMS in view of the spatial heterogeneity in terrain, soil texture, land cover and meteorological conditions in mountain areas. 展开更多
关键词 Basin pollution calculation center bpcc HEC-HMS hydrologic modeling mountain area semi-automaticallyoptimization
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