Design of the contingent royalty rate as related to the type of investment

This study investigates the design of the royalty rate in a first-price auction across three types of investments:incremental and lumpy with or without an exogenously given intensity.A bidder’s investment cost comprises private information.This,together with the stochastic evolution of the price of the output generated from the auctioned project,precludes the seller from setting the exact dates of investment with the winner.However,the seller can set the royalty rate to equate the winner’s royalty payment with the winner’s information rent so that the winner acts as if to maximize the seller’s revenue.We derive two main conclusions.First,compared with the case in which investment is lumpy with an exogenously given intensity,the seller can set a lower royalty rate on incremental investment because she can collect additional royalty payments from the winner,who has the option to later expand capacity.Second,the impact of output price uncertainty on the optimal royalty rate for the three types of investments exhibits two different patterns.When investment is either incremental or lumpy with an exogenously given intensity,greater output price uncertainty reduces the royalty rate.When investment is lumpy with variable intensity,greater output uncertainty raises the royalty rate.Our results imply that auctioneers may charge differential royalty rates for different types of investments.

Theory of Capital,Investment and Exchange Rate:A New Developmentalist Equation

The article deals with the relationship between the decision to invest and the exchange rate. The literature relates investment at interest rate. An increase in the interest rate would reduce the investment expenditure. Jorgenson’s equation uses the flexible accelerator model, taxation, and the cost of capital to explain and predict the amount of investment in machinery and equipment. The relationship between the exchange rate and the investment appears in the literature as a direct relation. An appreciated exchange rate allows the importation of cheaper machinery and equipment and increases productive investments. This paper proposes a modified equation in which the appreciated exchange rate inhibits productive investments by reducing the expectation of profit, either because the domestic market becomes more competitive or because exports decrease. It still incorporates in the model of Jorgenson the idea that the unit cost of labor is the relevant variable to explain the choice of investing, assuming a function of production of fixed coefficients.

OPTIMAL INVESTMENT CONSUMPTION MODEL WITH A HIGHER INTEREST RATE FOR BORROWING

This paper considers a consumption and investment decision problem with a higher interest rate for borrowing as well as the dividend rate.Wealth is divided into a riskless asset and risky asset with logrithmic Brownian motion price fluctuations.The stochastic control problem of maximizating expected utility from terminal wealth and consumption is studied.Equivalent conditions for optimality are obtained.By using duality methods,the existence of optimal portfolio consumption is proved,and the explicit solutions leading to feedback formulae are derived for deteministic coefficients.

Proposal for a Tax Rate Swap to Shield Against the Gap Between Statutory and Effective Tax Rates-A Boost for Entrepreneurship and a Motive for New Investments

This paper focuses on a common problem for entrepreneurs and investors:the uncertainty around the actual tax rate,which is the percent of net income that a corporation pays in taxes.This uncertainty results from a difference(i.e.,a gap)between the statutory and the effective tax rate,which is the actual tax rate.This gap results from the legal framework which provides that certain types of incomes and expenses are not considered income.This gap causes significant uncertainty and may hinder entrepreneurship.This paper studies this gap in seven OECD countries(Austria,Canada,France,Germany,Italy,UK,and USA)and Brazil.We selected the 10 top-listed companies of each country and calculated the gaps for the period 2016-2019.Our findings proved that these gaps are unstable and may differ between companies of the same country and between countries.In addition,gaps of specific companies may change over time.The key outcome of this paper is the proposal of a new derivative tax rate swap.Using this derivative,governments will be able to eliminate the gap of specific companies,attract new investment,and increase entrepreneurship.

AN OPTIMAL INVESTMENT/CONSUMPTION PROBLEM WITH HIGHER BORROWING RATE

In this paper, optimal investment and consumption decisions for an optimal choice problem in infinite horizon are considered, for an investor who has available a bank account and a stock whose price is a log normal diffusion. The bank pays at an interest rate r for any deposit, and takes at a larger rate r′ for any loan. As in the paper of Xu Wensheng and Chen Shuping in JAMS(B), where an analogous problem in finite horizon is studied, optimal strategies are obtained via Hamilton Jacobi Bellman (HJB) equation which is derived from dynamic programming principle. For the specific HARA case, i.e. U(t,c)=e -βt c 1-R 1-R , this paper gets the optimal consumption and optimal investment in the form ofc * t=β-Rw t\ and \ π * t=b-γRσ 2w twith γ:= max{ r, min{ r′,b-Rσ 2 }}, =(1-R)γ+(b-γ) 22Rσ 2]. This result coincides with the classical one under condition r′≡r.

Study of evaluation method for the overseas oil and gas investment based on risk compensation

The overseas oil and gas investment evaluation is one of the core tasks in overseas investment of oil and gas companies,among which risk evaluation and benefit evaluation are the most important.This paper sets forth transmission paths of risk factors to the investment benefit by identifying 14 overseas oil and gas investment risks in four categories.On the basis of the concept of risk compensation,different compensation mechanisms specific to each risk are designed.The risk and benefit are integrated objectively to develop a comprehensive evaluation model by correcting the recoverable reserve,adjusting benefit evaluation parameters such as investments on exploration and development,and compensating for the changes in risk factors with time through dynamic discount rate.Moreover,two cases studies,namely the evaluations of Project A in Sudan and comparison among Blocks A–G,are used to describe usage method and applicable scope of such evaluation model,respectively.According to the results,oil price is a key influencing factor for enterprise internal risk and industrial risk.Risk compensation reduces comprehensive benefit of overseas oil and gas investment and undermines the investment feasibility and priority of blocks.The research findings of this paper are free from the effects of some subject factors and avoid multi-objective decision making,and also avoid the undesired repeated calculation of risk factors.

The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth: Nigeria Experience

This study investigated the impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Nigeria. Secondary source of data was employed in this study from 1986 to 2017 which were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (2017) published in 2018 and World Development Indicator published in 2019. Descriptive and regression analyses were used as the estimation techniques. The findings of the study revealed that the coefficient value of LFDI is 0.633506 and its p-value is 0.0002 implying that a unit increase in LFDI will increase LGDP with the value of 0.633506. The coefficient value of RINTR is 0.004127 with p-value of 0.310 indicating that a unit increase in real interest rate will increase gross domestic product, but it is not significant. Also, LDI coefficient value is 1.758036 with p-value of 0.0688 implying that a unit increase in domestic investment will increase gross domestic product positively with the value of 1.758036 which is significant at 10% but not significant at 5% alpha level. The coefficient value of exchange rate is 0.835206 with the p-value of 0.0000 signifying that exchange rate is positive and significant to economic growth. It was concluded that foreign direct investment was positive and significant to economic growth of Nigeria while the domestic investment was also positive but not significant at 5% alpha level.

China’s Investment Contributes to Stability in Host Countries

As intra-national conflicts replace international wars to be the dominant form of collective political violence,the international dimension of domestic conflict has prompted reflections on the effects of globalization and multinational corporations represented by international investment.Theoretically,international investment may trigger or defuse conflicts.Although China is the world’s second largest source of outward foreign direct investment(OFDI),there has been limited empirical literature on how China’s OFDI has influenced domestic conflict in host countries.Based on the OFDI data of 115 developing countries from 2004 to 2016,this paper offers an empirical study on the effects of China’s OFDI on the eruption of domestic conflict in host countries and the underlying mechanisms.Results suggest that China’s OFDI in developing countries has made domestic conflict significantly less likely to erupt in those countries primarily by reducing the unemployment rate.These findings reflect the contribution of China’s investment to the internal stability of host countries.However,problems in the overseas operations of Chinese companies cannot be overlooked.

Preferential Investment Policies

1.Income tax is reduced at the rate of15 percent for foreign-invested enterprises.Income tax is exempt for two years startingfrom the first profitable year and halvedfrom the third to fifth year for those enter-prises with an actual business period of morethan 10 years. 2.Foreign-funded new and hi-techenterprises may enjoy another three years ofhalved income tax after the stipulated expi-ration of income tax exemption if the enter-prises are verified to be still new and hi-techones. 3.Foreign-funded export-orientedenterprises may enjoy a reduced rate of

Xiangfan's Preferential Treatment for Foreign Investment

1. .Productive enterprises with foreign investment will be exempt from income tax for the first two years starting from the year of opening,and their income tax will be cut by half during the next three years. After that, they will continue to enjoy half tax rates, and at the same time, qualify for local tax exemption. 2. For the Sino-French joint venture approved to produce 300,000 buses,

Yu Xiaosong Reviewing China's Present Economic Situation & Investment Climate

During the Fifth Asian and Pacific International Fairs held in Beijing, the vice minister of State Economic and Trade Commission, Yu Xiaosong, gave a review of the economic situation and investment environment of China to business people and journalists of various countries. This year is a key year in China’s economic system reform. The reform schemes for financial and taxation, monetary, investment and foreign

A Panel Granger Causality Test of Investment in ICT Capital and Economic Growth： Evidence From Developed and Developing Countries

This paper applies the Pairwise Panel Granger Causality test to examine the relationship between ICT （information and communication technology） expenditure and the rate of growth of GDP （gross domestic product） per capita. This is accomplished by using cross-country time-series data for a total of 70 developed and developing countries for the period from 2003 to 2008. The study reveals that the existence of causality and its direction differ across different income-group of countries and over the number of lags included. ICT investment expenditure as a percentage of GDP appears to cause the rate of growth of GDP per capita for the high income group and all income groups combined with lags higher than one year. However, for the upper- and lower-middle income groups, the study detects causality in neither direction. Also, when only one lag is included, the study suggests no causality in either direction for any of the income-groups of countries.

Interest Rate and Some of Its Applications

Interest rates are a fundamental aspect of the economy and have a significant impact on various financial decisions such as borrowing, investing, and saving. They are the cost of borrowing money or the return on investment and are determined by various factors such as the supply and demand for credit, inflation expectations, and monetary policy decisions made by central banks. Changes in interest rates can have a major effect on the economy and can influence consumer spending, business investment, and overall economic growth. This makes it crucial for individuals, businesses, and policymakers to have a clear understanding of the dynamics of interest rates. Interest rates play an important role in determining the cost of borrowing money for individuals and businesses. A rise in interest rates can increase the cost of borrowing and make it more difficult for people and companies to access credit. This can lead to a decrease in consumer spending and business investment, which can slow down economic growth. On the other hand, a decrease in interest rates can make it easier for individuals and businesses to access credit and increase consumer spending and business investment, boosting economic growth. Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve in the United States, play a key role in determining interest rates by setting monetary policy. They use interest rate changes to influence the economy and reach their goals of stable prices, maximum employment, and moderate long-term interest rates. In conclusion, understanding the dynamics of interest rates is essential for making informed financial decisions and assessing the overall health of the economy. The impact of interest rates on the economy and individual financial decisions is far-reaching and long-lasting, making it a crucial topic for continued study and discussion.

生产率冲击、生育率下降与经济增长

为全面系统地研究生产率冲击与生育率、经济增长的关系,在Barro和Becker 1989年提出的生育率模型中引入生产率冲击,探究并模拟检验生产率冲击对生育率、物质资本投资、人力资本投资、消费及劳动供给的影响。研究结果表明,在生产率正向冲击推动下,人力资本投资对经济增长的正向影响可以抵消生育率下降对经济增长的负向影响。研究还发现,尽管生产率冲击增加了抚养孩子的机会成本,降低了家庭生育率,但是却提高了女性劳动参与率,可以弥补生育率下降给经济增长带来的负向影响。在此基础上,进一步探究了中国公共养老金制度下生产率冲击经由生育率下降对代际收入分配和经济福利的影响。

企业资源配置战略与债券信用评级

企业战略作为企业全局性、长期性资源配置的重要规划,对企业经营活动具有重要影响,也必然会影响企业的融资行为。本文从企业战略视角出发,以2008—2020年中国A股上市公司为研究对象,运用固定效应模型探究了企业资源配置战略对债券信用评级的影响。研究发现:相对于经营主导型企业,投资主导型企业的债券信用评级更低,并且该结论在处理内生性问题和进行一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。异质性分析发现,企业资源配置战略对债券信用评级的影响在非国有企业和分析师跟踪人数多的企业中更明显。中介效应检验结果表明,企业资源配置战略通过作用于企业违约风险而影响债券信用评级。本文的研究结论对发债企业、信用评级机构和债券市场投资者具有重要启示意义。

基建投资、工业土地价格与城投债发行利率

以2011-2019年中国155个城市为样本,采用面板数据模型、中介效应模型和GMM方法探讨了基建投资、工业土地价格对城投债发行利率的影响。研究结果表明:基础设施建设投资规模和工业土地出让价格对城投债发行利率分别具有正向和负向影响,且低碳试点城市和非试点城市存在显著的区域异质性;基建投资的总体效益与技术效益的提高有助于融资平台以较低的利率发行城投债。

城镇化水平对投资率的影响研究

我国城镇化进入了减速期,未来城镇化水平提升空间有限,在城镇化与投资互为因果的情况下,如何维持合理的城镇化水平和投资率具有重要研究意义。建立城镇化率与投资率的理论模型,选择42个国家1980—2022年的面板数据,并引入杠杆率作为调节变量,研究城镇化率与投资率的关系,结果发现:(1)城镇化率与投资率之间存在显著的倒U型关系,在老龄化国家更为显著;(2)杠杆率是影响城镇化率与投资率之间倒U型关系的调节变量,在低杠杆和高杠杆、政府部门和非金融企业部门都十分显著。进一步提出中国城镇化率的上限在80%左右、投资率的下限在20%左右的政策建议,同时发挥杠杆率的调节作用,推进以人为核心的新型城镇化。

外汇衍生品监管与跨境投资企业信用评级——基于“企业层面外汇衍生品监管指数”的实证分析

“一带一路”倡议和“走出去”战略加速了外汇衍生品市场的发展,而加强外汇衍生品监管是市场平稳运行的重要保障。在创新性地构建“企业层面外汇衍生品监管指数”的基础上,基于2007—2019年中国跨境投资企业数据,实证检验了外汇衍生品监管对企业信用评级的影响及作用机制。研究发现,加强外汇衍生品监管能够有效提升企业信用评级,且主要通过减少企业违规行为、增强信息透明度和抑制管理者过度自信三种渠道提升信用评级。异质性分析表明,上述提升效果在国有企业中更大。进一步研究发现,加强外汇衍生品监管可以抑制企业信用评级的调整动机。因此,监管部门应优化衍生品监管法规,倡导套期保值原则,提高评级机构违规成本,提升衍生品交易信息透明度,进而促进外汇衍生品市场的健康发展。

外出打工率对农户教育支出的影响--基于人力资本投资激励效应

人力资本成为中国农村实现新质生产力发展的关键因素,然而人口流失又是短期内不会改变的趋势,因此我们需要思考的是农村如何在人口规模减少的背景下实现人力资本积累。文章从微观农户的视角分析当村庄外出打工率增加时,农户是否会由于未来迁出就业的高回报而加大对子女的教育支出,这既是对人力资本投资激励效应的理论完善,也为农村实现人力资本积累提供了路径思考。本文基于2010年和2014年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据库的两期追踪儿童数据构建带有调节变量的中介效应模型,验证人力资本投资激励效应在中国农村的存在性、发生条件与影响机制。实证分析发现:只有在村庄外出打工率超过43.54%、家庭收入超过3.994万元之后,人力资本投资激励效应才会显著,即村庄外出打工率促进农户教育支出。该结论在考虑样本选择的干扰、迁移原因的干扰以及抽样数据可靠性的干扰后依然稳健。当纳入父母教育期望这一影响机制时,人力资本投资激励效应的条件被拓宽,村庄外出打工率的拐点从43.54%下降到37.65%。再加入调节变量之后机制更加清晰,母亲的人缘关系指代的家庭信息接收能力作为调节变量,发挥了直接调节作用和对中介效应第一阶段的间接调节作用。人均村务布告栏数量指代的村庄信息传输通畅程度作为另一调节变量,也同样发挥了直接调节作用。进一步的异质性分析发现迁出率急剧增长的村庄中的人力资本投资激励效应最明显,反映出外部环境的动态变化对人们心理影响更大。在地区分布上,只有中部地区的农村存在显著的人力资本投资激励效应,而东部地区和西部地区的这一作用并不显著。因此,对于人口流失的中国农村而言,要实现人力资本积累,应当在发展非农产业提升农民收入的同时注重完善村庄信息传输渠道、鼓励城乡交流、提升农民教育期望。

人口老龄化与外商直接投资:影响机制与实证分析——基于中国省级面板数据的实证研究

基于2003—2020年中国省级面板数据,将储蓄率和劳动力成本纳入同一分析框架,从理论和实证两个层面探究人口老龄化对外商直接投资流入的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明,人口老龄化与外商直接投资流入存在显著的倒U形关系,且存在时空异质性:空间异质性,表现为老龄化对外商直接投资流入的影响呈现东、中、西部逐渐下降趋势;时间异质性,表现为2012—2020年人口老龄化对外商直接投资的影响程度明显高于2003—2011年。储蓄率在人口老龄化影响外商直接投资流入的过程中表现出正向调节效应,起到推动作用,而劳动力成本起到部分中介效应,且劳动力成本对外商直接投资流入的影响力随着老龄化的持续加剧而扩大,阻碍了外商直接投资的流入。为此,各级政府要完善劳动权益保障体系,加大人力资本投入力度,制定完善的外资引入机制,引导外商直接投资区域均衡发展。