The results from a hybrid approach that combines a mesoscale meteorological model with a diagnostic model to produce high-resolution wind fields in complex coastal topography are evaluated.The diagnostic wind model(Ca...The results from a hybrid approach that combines a mesoscale meteorological model with a diagnostic model to produce high-resolution wind fields in complex coastal topography are evaluated.The diagnostic wind model(California Meteorological Model,CALMET) with 100-m horizontal spacing was driven with outputs from the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model to obtain near-surface winds for the 1-year period from 12 September 2003 to 11 September 2004.Results were compared with wind observations at four sites.Traditional statistical scores,including correlation coefficients,standard deviations(SDs) and mean absolute errors(MAEs),indicate that the wind estimates from the WRF/CALMET modeling system are produced reasonably well.The correlation coefficients are relatively large,ranging from 0.5 to 0.7 for the zonal wind component and from 0.75 to 0.85 for the meridional wind component.MAEs for wind speed range from 1.5 to 2.0 m s-1 at 10 meters above ground level(AGL) and from 2.0 to 2.5 m s-1 at 60 m AGL.MAEs for wind direction range from 30 to 40 degrees at both levels.A spectral decomposition of the time series of wind speed shows positive impacts of CALMET in improving the mesoscale winds.Moreover,combining the CALMET model with WRF significantly improves the spatial variability of the simulated wind fields.It can be concluded that the WRF/CALMET modeling system is capable of providing a detailed near-surface wind field,but the physics in the diagnostic CALMET model needs to be further improved.展开更多
A WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model)/CALMET(California Meteorological Model)coupled system is used to investigate the impact of physical representations in CALMET on simulations of the near-surface wind field...A WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model)/CALMET(California Meteorological Model)coupled system is used to investigate the impact of physical representations in CALMET on simulations of the near-surface wind field of Super Typhoon Meranti(2016).The coupled system is configured with a horizontal grid spacing of 3 km in WRF and 500 m in CALMET,respectively.The model performance of the coupled WRF/CALMET system is evaluated by comparing the results of simulations with observational data from 981 automatic surface stations in Fujian Province.The root mean square error(RMSE)of the wind speed at 10 m in all CALMET simulations is significantly less than the WRF simulation by 20%^30%,suggesting that the coupled WRF/CALMET system is capable of representing more realistic simulated wind speed than the mesoscale model only.The impacts of three physical representations including blocking effects,kinematic effects of terrain and slope flows in CALMET are examined in a specified local region called Shishe Mountain.The results show that before the typhoon landfall in Xiamen,a net downslope flow that is tangent to the terrain is generated in the west of Shishe Mountain due to blocking effects with magnitude exceeding 10 m/s.However,the blocking effects seem to take no effect in the strong wind area after typhoon landfall.Whether being affected by the typhoon strong wind or not,the slope flows move downslope at night and upslope in the daytime due to the diurnal variability of the local heat flux with magnitude smaller than 3 m/s.The kinematic effects of terrain,which are speculated to play a significant role in the typhoon strong wind area,can only be applied to atmospheric flows in stable conditions when the wind field is quasinondivergent.展开更多
基金National Public Benefit Research Foundation of China (2008416048GYHY201006035)
文摘The results from a hybrid approach that combines a mesoscale meteorological model with a diagnostic model to produce high-resolution wind fields in complex coastal topography are evaluated.The diagnostic wind model(California Meteorological Model,CALMET) with 100-m horizontal spacing was driven with outputs from the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model to obtain near-surface winds for the 1-year period from 12 September 2003 to 11 September 2004.Results were compared with wind observations at four sites.Traditional statistical scores,including correlation coefficients,standard deviations(SDs) and mean absolute errors(MAEs),indicate that the wind estimates from the WRF/CALMET modeling system are produced reasonably well.The correlation coefficients are relatively large,ranging from 0.5 to 0.7 for the zonal wind component and from 0.75 to 0.85 for the meridional wind component.MAEs for wind speed range from 1.5 to 2.0 m s-1 at 10 meters above ground level(AGL) and from 2.0 to 2.5 m s-1 at 60 m AGL.MAEs for wind direction range from 30 to 40 degrees at both levels.A spectral decomposition of the time series of wind speed shows positive impacts of CALMET in improving the mesoscale winds.Moreover,combining the CALMET model with WRF significantly improves the spatial variability of the simulated wind fields.It can be concluded that the WRF/CALMET modeling system is capable of providing a detailed near-surface wind field,but the physics in the diagnostic CALMET model needs to be further improved.
基金This research was supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(No.2015CB452806)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41805088,41875080)+1 种基金Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai(No.18ZR1449100)Fundamental Research Foundation of Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorological Administration(Nos.2018JB05,2019JB06).
文摘A WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model)/CALMET(California Meteorological Model)coupled system is used to investigate the impact of physical representations in CALMET on simulations of the near-surface wind field of Super Typhoon Meranti(2016).The coupled system is configured with a horizontal grid spacing of 3 km in WRF and 500 m in CALMET,respectively.The model performance of the coupled WRF/CALMET system is evaluated by comparing the results of simulations with observational data from 981 automatic surface stations in Fujian Province.The root mean square error(RMSE)of the wind speed at 10 m in all CALMET simulations is significantly less than the WRF simulation by 20%^30%,suggesting that the coupled WRF/CALMET system is capable of representing more realistic simulated wind speed than the mesoscale model only.The impacts of three physical representations including blocking effects,kinematic effects of terrain and slope flows in CALMET are examined in a specified local region called Shishe Mountain.The results show that before the typhoon landfall in Xiamen,a net downslope flow that is tangent to the terrain is generated in the west of Shishe Mountain due to blocking effects with magnitude exceeding 10 m/s.However,the blocking effects seem to take no effect in the strong wind area after typhoon landfall.Whether being affected by the typhoon strong wind or not,the slope flows move downslope at night and upslope in the daytime due to the diurnal variability of the local heat flux with magnitude smaller than 3 m/s.The kinematic effects of terrain,which are speculated to play a significant role in the typhoon strong wind area,can only be applied to atmospheric flows in stable conditions when the wind field is quasinondivergent.
