Sources and Flows of Embodied CO_2 Emissions in Import and Export Trade of China

This paper uses the Global Trade Analysis Project(version 7)database to calculate embodied CO2emissions in bilateral trade between China and other countries(regions)based on input-output methods.The sources and flows of embodied CO2emissions in import and export trade of China are analyzed.Results show that the flows of embodied CO2emissions in export trade are highly concentrated.The main flows to the United States(US)and Japan account for 1/4 and 1/7 of the total CO2emissions in export trade,respectively.Concentrated flows of total exports and small differences in export structure are the main reasons for the highly concentrated export trade.The sources of embodied CO2emissions in import trade have relatively low concentration.Taiwan Province of China,Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China,US,Russia,Republic of Korea,and Japan account for around 7.72%–12.67%of the total embodied CO2emissions in import trade.The relative dispersion of import sources,the impact of the import structure,and the level of production technology in importing countries caused low concentration of CO2emissions in import trade.Overall,the embodied CO2emissions in the export trade of China are higher than those in import trade.As a result,production-based CO2emissions are higher than consumption-based CO2emissions.The difference of 8.96×108t of CO2,which comes mainly from the US,Japan,Germany,and the United Kingdom,accounts for 58.70%of the total difference.Some suggestions,such as improving energy efficiency,alerting high carbon-intensive industries transfer,expanding the market for sharing risks,and prompting the accounting system of consumption-based CO2emissions,are proposed based on the results.

计及动态碳排放因子的多H_(2)-IES双层优化运行方法

在“双碳”目标背景下,能源系统的低碳转型是其未来的发展方向.近年来,高热值、低污染的氢能受到广泛重视.基于碳排放流理论提出一种计及动态碳排放因子的多含氢综合能源系统(H_(2)-IES)双层优化运行模型.在上层模型中,上级能源网基于效益最优原则建立经济调度模型,确定各园区的能源价格与碳排放因子并下发给下层;在下层模型中,基于纳什谈判理论建立了多园区低碳合作运行模型,并采用自适应交替方向乘子法分布式求解,确定各园区的能源需求量并反馈给上层;所提模型在多次迭代互动中实现上下层协同优化.为了实现对多园区合作收益的合理分配,提出一种基于综合议价能力的收益分配方法.算例分析表明,该双层优化方法可实现上下层间的协同运行,同时兼顾多园区运行的低碳性与经济性,通过合理分配合作收益,保证园区参与合作的积极性.

Economic Growth and CO₂-Emissions: What If Vietnam Followed China’s Development Path?

Vietnam and China both are quickly emerging market economies in Asia. China has had an unprecedented economic growth in Asia for the past 30 years. Also, Vietnam’s GDP is increasing, but more slowly. However, Vietnam is starting to catch up. Against this background, this article assesses the question what the economic and environmental impacts in Vietnam would be, if the country followed China’s development path. Based on econometric analysis, it is shown that currently, Vietnam is lagging behind China in terms of economic growth for 11 years. Although Vietnam and China have a similar primary energy mix in the early 1980s, China is still massively relying on coal, whereas Vietnam starts to develop hydro power in the late 1980s on large scale. Due to a quick growth of per-capita income, per capita emissions in China are already catching up with those of North-European economies such as Denmark, Finland and Germany. The question arises, what if Vietnam followed China’s development path. Using econometric models of GDP and CO2-emissions, two scenarios for Vietnam are analyzed, a scenario following China’s development path and one alternative scenario pursuing the current development patterns until 2050. The results show that the additional impact of following China’s economic development path is minor. Vietnam would only have a 0.5% percentage point per annum higher GDP growth. In other words, Vietnam would grow relatively quickly anyway. However, following China’s development path also in terms of high CO2-emissions per capita, would increase the growth of CO2-emissions in Vietnam by 2.3 percentage points per annum and would lead to an increase of CO2-emissions in 2050 by 2.6 bn. tons compared with the scenario in which Vietnam sticks to its own development patterns. However, in that case, Vietnam also had a 25% lower per capita income compared with the scenario following China’s development path. Here, the people and government in Vietnam have to make a strategic choice.

Carbon Reduction Policies: A Regional Comparison of Their Contributions to CO_2 Abatement in Six Carbon Trading Pilot Schemes in China

The contributions of carbon reduction policies were evaluated and compared for six carbon trading pilot schemes in China, in four municipalities(Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, and Chongqing) and two provinces(Guangdong and Hubei). The carbon emissions accounting method of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was used to calculate the actual CO2 and the support vector machine model was used to predict CO2. Chinese carbon reduction policies abated CO2 in the six carbon trading pilot schemes after the comprehensive policies came into force. However, the contribution of policies to CO2 abatement varied among regions, and the effect of carbon reduction policy on municipality pilot schemes was greater than on provincial pilot schemes. The largest contribution of carbon reduction policy to CO2 abatement was 28.3%, for the pilot carbon trading scheme in Beijing, and the smallest contribution was 3.7%, for that in Hubei. It is crucial to consider "carbon leakage" and a carbon trading linking program in order to evaluate the effects of carbon reduction policies.

长三角D-2日电能量市场机制设计

立足于我国多层次市场体系建设现状和国、网、省三级调度业务架构,界定现阶段区域内省间市场和跨区省间市场在全国统一电力市场中的功能定位。为了解决不同范围、不同周期市场的衔接问题,提出建设长三角D-2日电能量市场,通过D-2日电能量市场统筹全网电力电量平衡,保障区外送电计划的可执行性,实现市场从中长期到日前的平滑过渡。引入市场用户报量报价参与区域市场;设计市场衔接、市场定价、偏差处理等关键机制;考虑到华东电网是耦合关系复杂的交流电网,构建全网络出清模型。算例结果表明,D-2日电能量市场有利于全网资源优化配置,保障全网电力安全以及解决发电侧市场力问题,证明了市场机制设计的有效性。

International trade,pollution industry transfer and CO_2 emissions in Chinese industries

Will developed countries turn China into a haven for "dirty" industries through international trade by specializing in producing and exporting "clean" products and importing pollution-intensive products from China? How does international trade affect Chinese industries' CO2 emissions? This paper presents an empirical test of these hypotheses using statistical techniques such as the environmental input-output model and net exports as a proportion of consumption(NETXC) based on the trade data of 20 industries in China,and G7 and OECD developed countries.In this study,we draw three conclusions:(1) The proportion of domestically produced CO2 emissions in CO2 emissions embodied in products exported from China has been declining;(2) Industries migrated or displaced from developed countries into China include both "dirty" and "clean" industries;(3) International trade can help industries reduce CO2 emissions in aggregate and per unit of output.China has not become a haven for developed countries' "dirty" industries as a result of international trade.

21世纪以来中阿经贸合作发展的多维透视

在2001年至2021年间,中国与阿拉伯国家的经贸合作实现了跨越式发展,双边货物贸易额快速增长,贸易结构稳定,沙特和阿联酋等重点市场持续发挥着领头羊作用。能源联系始终是中阿经贸合作发展的主轴,中国即将到来的能源消费峰值可能削弱中阿经贸的增长推力,但基于巨量油气进口的能源联系对中阿经贸合作的推动作用还将持续。除了阿联酋、利比亚和阿尔及利亚以外,中国对阿拉伯产油国都持有巨额逆差,对非产油国持有巨额顺差。中阿经贸合作整体平衡与个体失衡的背后是中国商贸产品的较短产业链和较低附加值。基础设施建设和相互直接投资是中阿经贸“1+2+3”合作格局的两翼,前者发展相对较快,后者则一直在低位徘徊。未来的发展方向是推动阿拉伯国家的工业园区建设,强化中阿在核能、航天、卫星、新能源等高新领域的合作,建立中阿能源命运共同体。

用于CO_(2)捕获的Pebax基薄膜纳米复合膜的研究进展

聚醚嵌段聚酰胺(俗称:Pebax)基薄膜纳米复合膜在CO_(2)捕获方面显示了巨大的应用价值,高性能的Pebax基薄膜可用于从工艺流程(含有CH_(4)、N_(2)和H_(2)的混合气)中捕获CO_(2)。Pebax对CO_(2)具有高的亲和力和强的机械性能,这主要归功于其灵活的聚醚段和具有一定机械强度的聚酰胺段。然而,纯Pebax薄膜受Trade-off效应的限制,为了突破Trade-off效应的限制,研究人员将无机和有机纳米填料加入Pebax基质中以提高Pebax基薄膜的分离性能。首先讨论了不同制备工艺和工艺参数下Pebax基薄膜的制备及性能。然后,综述了Pebax基复合薄膜的分离性能。最后,提出了提高膜性能的主要挑战和展望。

Incentive-compatible and budget balanced AGV mechanism for peer-to-peer energy trading in smart grids

Peer-to-peer(P2P)energy trading refers to a type of decentralized transaction,where the energy from distributed energy resources is directly traded between peers.A key challenge in peer-to-peer energy trading is designing a safe,efficient,and transparent trading model and operating mechanism.In this study,we consider a P2P trading environment based on blockchain technology,where prosumers can submit bids or offers without knowing the reports of others.We propose an Arrow-d’Aspremont-Gerard-Varet(AGV)-based mechanism to encourage prosumers to submit their real reserve price and determine the P2P transaction price.We demonstrate that the AGV mechanism can achieve Bayesian incentive compatibility and budget balance.Kernel density estimation(KDE)is used to derive the prior distribution from the historical bid/offer information of the agents.Case studies are carried out to analyze and evaluate the proposed mechanism.Simulation results verify the effectiveness of the proposed mechanism in guiding agents to report the true reserve price while maximizing social welfare.Moreover,we discuss the advantages of budget balance for decentralized trading by comparing the Vickrey-Clarke-Groves(VCG)and AGV mechanisms.

Modeling some long-term implications of CO_2 fertilization for global forests and forest industries

Background： This paper explored the long-term, ceteris-paribus effects of potential CO2 fertilization on the global forest sector. Based on the findings of Norby et al. （PNAS 2005, 102（50）） about forest response to elevated [CO2]. Methods： Forest productivity was increased in the Global Forest Products Model （GFPM） in proportion to the rising [CO2] projected in the IPCC scenario A1B, A2, and 132. Projections of the forest area and forest stock and of the production, consumption, prices, and trade of products ranging from fuelwood to paper and paperboard were obtained with the GFPM for each scenario, with and without CO2 fertilization beginning in 2011 and up to 2065. Results： CO2 fertilization increased wood supply, leading to lower wood prices which in turn induced modest lower prices of end products and higher global consumption. However, production and value added in industries decreased in some regions due to the relative competitive advantages and to the varying regional effects of CO2 fertilization. Conclusion： The main effect of CO2 fertilization was to raise the level of the world forest stock in 2065 by 9 to 10 % for scenarios A2 and B2 and by 20 % for scenario A1B. The rise in forest stock induced by fertilization was in part counteracted by its stimulation of the wood supply which resulted in lower wood prices and increased harvests.

Revisiting the nexus between fiscal decentralization and CO_(2)emissions in South Africa:fresh policy insights

The argument over fiscal decentralization and carbon dioxide emission(CO_(2))reduction has received much attention.However,evidence to back this claim is limited.Economic theory predicts that fiscal decentralization affects environmental quality,but the specifics of this relationship are still up for debate.Some scholars noted that fiscal decentralization might lead to a race to the top,whereas others contended that it would result in a race to the bottom.In light of the current debates in environmental and development economics,this study aims to provide insight into how this relationship may function in South Africa from 1960 to 2020.In contrast to the existing research,the present study uses a novel dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulation approach to assess the positive and negative changes in fiscal decentralization,scale effect,technique effect,technological innovation,foreign direct investment,energy consumption,industrial growth,and trade openness on CO_(2)emissions.The following are the main findings:(i)Fiscal decentralization had a CO_(2)emission reduction impact in the short and long run,highlighting the presence of the race to the top approach.(ii)Economic growth(as represented by the scale effect)eroded ecological integrity.However,its square(as expressed by technique effect)aided in strengthening ecological protection,validating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis.(iii)CO_(2)emissions were driven by energy utilization,trade openness,industrial value-added,and foreign direct investment,whereas technological innovation boosted ecological integrity.Findings suggest that further fiscal decentralization should be undertaken through further devolution of power to local entities,particularly regarding environmental policy issues,to maintain South Africa’s ecological sustainability.South Africa should also establish policies to improve environmental sustainability by strengthening a lower layer of government and clarifying responsibilities at the national and local levels to fulfill the energy-saving functions of fiscal expenditures.

For CO<SUB>2</SUB>Emission Trading in China, Can the Market Become a National One, Four Years after Creating Seven Local Markets?

In this paper, we assess the existing seven local pilot carbon emission trading schemes in China and analyse the factors determining whether China’s carbon market is successful in terms of handling substantial amounts of CO2 emissions rights, regulating the market and trading them at a reasonable price. The emission trading system is developing slowly in most of the participating provinces and cities. Prices tend to decline, while volumes trading slowly increase. The volatility is partially the result of regulation (the rights need to be renewed before a certain date) and partially due to government interventions in the market. Based on the assessment, recommendations are provided for China implementing a national carbon market, based on the experiences and lessons learnt from the seven local carbon emission trading schemes. Conditions for China to roll out the system and later improve the national emission trading scheme to replace the existing local emission trading schemes are formulated.

Shanghai free trade zone ＂2＂ version of the competitive strategy analysis

Shanghai free trade area from 28.78 square kilometers expanded to 120.72 square kilometers, the space has expanded to 4 times the original. But in the second, it is more important to achieve the functional area. New self trade test area covers the Lujiazui financial and Trade Zone, Jinqiao Economic and Technological Development Zone, Zhangiiang High Tech Park and comprehensive free trade zone, the state-level development zone has formed a respective unique function and mature operation mode, expanding area, the area co reform, the development of dislocation. In the special regulatory region, actively learn from international practice, to further intensify reform efforts, especially to explore the construction of offshore financing to adapt to the development of offshore trade environment, to become the highest degree of openness in the region. ＂The expansion of the Shanghai free trade zone will help to test the innovation of different industrial types in a wider range.＂

Impact of trade on China's SO_2 emissions is relatively small

To better understand trades impact on the environment, we construct a four-equation simultaneous system in whichthree economic determinants define emissions: scale, composition and technique effects, all embodied directly by trade.Supposing the three economic determinants are also endogenous to trade, we check the indirect impacts of trade onthe environment in the following three functions through the intermediation of the three effects.We then estimate 29Chinese provinces’ panel data in the model on industrial SO2 emissions （1993-2001）.Our estimation results revealthat export expansion and the accumulation of manufactured goods imports had the opposite roles on industrial SO2emissions determination.The results do not support the "pollution haven" hypothesis; the reinforced competitionexporters face is a positive factor that encourages technological progress in pollution abatement.China’s actualcomparative advantage resides in labor-intensive industries; exporting to the world market actually helps to reduce thepollution increases caused by China’s heavy-industry-oriented industrialization strategy, which government-intervenedimport activities traditionally support.

碳减排与南北经济差距——基于量化空间模型的分析

中国于2020年联合国大会明确提出争取分别在2030年和2060年前实现碳达峰和碳中和。与此同时,中国发展经济和改善民生的任务艰巨,面临着区域经济发展分化态势明显的新情况和新问题。本文在Caliendo等(2018)构建的具有投入产出联系、人口流动的多地区、多部门一般均衡模型基础上引入二氧化碳排放,探究了碳减排对区域经济差异(包括八大经济区、南北地区经济差距)的影响,以及全国碳交易市场建立在其中的调节作用。研究结果显示,按照目前的生产率增长速度,①若不存在全国性碳交易市场,碳减排会抑制发达地区的经济发展,从而缩小南北经济差距;②碳排放交易市场的建立在通过碳价格一体化实现碳从低效率地区向高效率地区转移,从而提高碳资源配置效率的同时,也会加剧地区间的收入差距问题,南北经济差距增大。因此,在碳减排目标实现的过程中,需要同时结合中央财政转移支付手段以解决区域发展不平衡问题,缩小此过程中伴随增大的南北经济差距。

我国火电厂SO_2污染治理政策的理论分析

从火电厂的环境特性出发 ,依据环境经济学的外部性理论、排污费政策以及排污权交易制度 。

Energy Blockchain in Smart Communities: Towards Affordable Clean Energy Supply for the Built Environment

The rapid growth of distributed renewable energy penetration is promoting the evolution of the energy system toward decentralization and decentralized and digitized smart grids.This study was based on energy blockchain,and developed a dual-biding mechanism based on the real-time energy surplus and demand in the local smart grid,which is expected to enable reliable,affordable,and clean energy supply in smart communities.In the proposed system,economic benefits could be achieved by replacing fossil-fuel-based electricity with the high penetration of affordable solar PV electricity.The reduction of energy surplus realized by distributed energy production and P2P energy trading,within the smart grid results in less transmission loss and lower requirements for costly upgrading of existing grids.By adopting energy blockchain and smart contract technologies,energy secure trading with a low risk of privacy leakage could be accommodated.The prototype is examined through a case study,and the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed mechanism are further validated by scenario analysis.

基于J2EE架构的在线股票交易系统的设计与实现

通过对在线股票交易系统的背景、需求和功能分析,详细描述了基于J2EE架构、MVC框架的在线股票交易系统的设计思路和功能的实现.该文详细阐述了股票查询、买入、售出操作以及基本的系统管理等主要功能的实现方法,并结合实际需求,简单介绍了系统的邮件通知、股票价格走势以及财务报表的上传下载等功能.

Carbon Emissions Embodied in China’s International Trade of Textiles and Clothing

International trade of textiles and clothing has numerous environmental implications, such as carbon leakage. In order to estimate the CO2 emissions embodied in China's imports and exports of textiles and clothing, an empirical analysis was carried out with environmental input-output analysis (EIOA) method using the most recent data available. The results indicate that China is a net exporter of embodied CO2 emissions on account of its international trade of textiles and clothing. The amount of the net exported embodied CO2 emissions increases from 110 million metric tons(Mt) of CO2 in 2002 to 280 Mt of CO2 in 2011. In particular, United States, Japan, and European Union transfer to China 339 Mt of CO2, 291 Mt of CO2 and 396 Mt of CO2 respectively during the period of 2002 -2011.

碳排放权交易的CO_(2)减排效应研究——基于包含溢出效应的SCM

碳排放权交易是否实现最初的CO_(2)减排目标需要实证检验,已有的研究未考虑政策溢出效应以及混淆政策的存在,可能导致政策干预效用的错误估计。论文基于地区能源平衡表以及水泥生产数据对CO_(2)进行测算,并采用包含溢出效应的合成控制模型对我国6个碳排放交易试点省份的减排效用分别进行了估计,该模型放松了“非实验单元不受干预效应影响”的假定,在溢出效应以及类似政策存在的情况下仍能得到无偏的估计。为了保证估计结果的稳健性,对效用估计值进行了安慰剂、溢出权重设定以及合成权重三方面的检验,探索了各试点碳交易市场的减排效用在量以及趋势上的差异,为全国统一碳交易市场的构建提供定量的依据。