Correlation analyse between thyroid hormone levels and severity of schizophrenia symptoms

BACKGROUND The imbalance of hormone levels in the body is closely related to the occurrence and progression of schizophrenia,especially thyroid hormones.AIM To study the relationship between triiodothyronine(T3),thyroxine(T4),free T3(FT3),free T4(FT4),thyroid stimulating hormone(TSH)and schizophrenia.METHODS In this study,100 schizophrenia patients were selected from our hospital between April 2022 and April 2024.Their clinical data were analyzed retrospectively.Based on the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale(PANSS)score,patients were divided into mild(1-3 points,n=39),moderate(4 points,n=45),and severe groups(5-7 points,n=16).Additionally,55 healthy individuals served as a control group.Venous blood samples were collected to measure T3,T4,FT3,FT4,TSH,and cortisol concentrations,analyzing their relationship with PANSS scores.RESULTS The serum levels of T3,FT3,FT4,TSH and cortisol in the schizophrenia group were lower than those in the control group(P<0.05).With the increase of the severity of the disease,the concentrations of T3 and T4 decreased,while the con-centrations of TSH and cortisol increased(P<0.05).The concentrations of TSH and cortisol were positively correlated with the PANSS score,while T3 and T4 were negatively correlated with the PANSS score(P<0.05).The receiver ope-rating characteristic curve results showed that T3,T4,TSH,and cortisol had good efficacy in the diagnosis of schizophrenia.Logistic results showed that decreased T3 level,decreased T4 level,decreased TSH level and increased cortisol level may be independent risk factors for schizophrenia.CONCLUSION Thyroid hormone levels are associated with the severity of schizophrenia symptoms,which can provide new solutions for the diagnosis and treatment of schizophrenia.

Systemic immune-inflammation index combined with pediatric appendicitis score in assessing the severity and prognosis for paediatric appendicitis

BACKGROUND Pediatric appendicitis is a common cause of abdominal pain in children and is recognized as a significant surgical emergency.A prompt and accurate diagnosis is essential to prevent complications such as perforation and peritonitis.AIM To investigate the predictive value of the systemic immune-inflammation index(SII)combined with the pediatric appendicitis score(PAS)for the assessment of disease severity and surgical outcomes in children aged 5 years and older with appendicitis.METHODS Clinical data of 104 children diagnosed with acute appendicitis were analyzed.The participants were categorized into the acute appendicitis group and chronic appendicitis group based on disease presentation and further stratified into the good prognosis group and poor prognosis group based on prognosis.The SII and PAS were measured,and a joint model using the combined SII and PAS was constructed to predict disease severity and surgical outcomes.RESULTS Significant differences were observed in the SII and PAS parameters between the acute appendicitis group and chronic appendicitis group.Correlation analysis showed associations among the SII,PAS,and disease severity,with the combined SII and PAS model demonstrating significant predictive value for assessing disease severity[aera under the curve(AUC)=0.914]and predicting surgical outcomes(AUC=0.857)in children aged 5 years and older with appendicitis.CONCLUSION The study findings support the potential of integrating the SII with the PAS for assessing disease severity and predicting surgical outcomes in pediatric appendicitis,indicating the clinical utility of the combined SII and PAS model in guiding clinical decision-making and optimizing surgical management strategies for pediatric patients with appendicitis.

Delta shock index predicts injury severity,interventions,and outcomes in trauma patients:A 10-year retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND Most trauma occurs among young male subjects in Qatar.We examined the predictive values of the delta shock index(DSI),defined as the change in the shock index(SI)value from the scene to the initial reading in the emergency unit(i.e.,subtracting the calculated SI at admission from SI at the scene),at a Level 1 trauma center.AIM To explore whether high DSI is associated with severe injuries,more interventions,and worse outcomes[i.e.,blood transfusion,exploratory laparotomy,ventilator-associated pneumonia,hospital length of stay(HLOS),and in-hospital mortality]in trauma patients.METHODS A retrospective analysis was conducted after data were extracted from the National Trauma Registry between 2011 and 2021.Patients were grouped based on DSI as low(≤0.1)or high(>0.1).Data were analyzed and compared usingχ^(2) and Student’s t-tests.Correlations between DSI and injury severity score(ISS),revised trauma score(RTS),abbreviated injury scale(AIS),Glasgow coma scale(GCS),trauma score-ISS(TRISS),HLOS,and number of transfused blood units(NTBU),were assessed using correlation coefficient analysis.The diagnostic testing accuracy for predicting mortality was determined using the validity measures of the DSI.Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of mortality.RESULTS This analysis included 13212 patients with a mean age of 33±14 years,and 24%had a high DSI.Males accounted for 91%of the study population.The trauma activation level was higher in patients with a high DSI(38%vs 15%,P=0.001).DSI correlated with RTS(r=-0.30),TRISS(r=-0.30),NTBU(r=0.20),GCS(r=-0.24),ISS(r=0.22),and HLOS(r=0.14)(P=0.001 for all).High DSI was associated with significantly higher rates of intubation,laparotomy,ventilator-associated pneumonia,massive transfusion activation,and mortality than low DSI.For mortality prediction,a high DSI had better specificity,negative predictive value,and negative likelihood ratio(77%,99%,and 0.49%,respectively).After adjusting for age,emergency medical services time,GCS score,and ISS,multivariable regression analysis showed that DSI was an independent predictor of mortality(odds ratio=1.9;95%confidence interval:1.35-2.76).CONCLUSION In addition to sex-biased observations,almost one-quarter of the study cohort had a higher DSI and were mostly young.High DSI correlated significantly with the other injury severity scores,which require more time and imaging to be ready to use.Therefore,DSI is a practical,simple bedside tool for triaging and prognosis in young patients with trauma.

Frequency of hepatic steatosis and its association with the pneumonia severity score on chest computed tomography in adult COVID-19 patients

BACKGROUND Recent studies of the coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)demonstrated that obesity is significantly associated with increased disease severity,clinical outcome,and mortality.The association between hepatic steatosis,which frequently accompanies obesity,and the pneumonia severity score(PSS)evaluated on computed tomography(CT),and the prevalence of steatosis in patients with COVID-19 remains to be elucidated.AIM To assess the frequency of hepatic steatosis in the chest CT of COVID-19 patients and its association with the PSS.METHODS The chest CT images of 485 patients who were admitted to the emergency department with suspected COVID-19 were retrospectively evaluated.The patients were divided into two groups as COVID-19-positive[CT-and reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction(RT-PCR)-positive]and controls(CT-and RT-PCR-negative).The CT images of both groups were evaluated for PSS as the ratio of the volume of involved lung parenchyma to the total lung volume.Hepatic steatosis was defined as a liver attenuation value of≤40 Hounsfield units(HU).RESULTS Of the 485 patients,56.5%(n=274)were defined as the COVID-19-positive group and 43.5%(n=211)as the control group.The average age of the COVID-19-positive group was significantly higher than that of the control group(50.9±10.9 years vs 40.4±12.3 years,P<0.001).The frequency of hepatic steatosis in the positive group was significantly higher compared with the control group(40.9%vs 19.4%,P<0.001).The average hepatic attenuation values were significantly lower in the positive group compared with the control group(45.7±11.4 HU vs 53.9±15.9 HU,P<0.001).Logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for age,hypertension,diabetes mellitus,overweight,and obesity there was almost a 2.2 times greater odds of hepatic steatosis in the COVID-19-positive group than in the controls(odds ratio 2.187;95%confidence interval:1.336-3.580,P<0.001).CONCLUSION The prevalence of hepatic steatosis was significantly higher in COVID-19 patients compared with controls after adjustment for age and comorbidities.This finding can be easily assessed on chest CT images.

Effect of vaccination status on CORADS and computed tomography severity score in hospitalized COVID-19 patients:A retrospective study

BACKGROUND The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic is continuing.The disease most commonly affects the lungs.Since the beginning of the pandemic thorax computed tomography(CT)has been an indispensable imaging method for diagnosis and follow-up.The disease is tried to be controlled with vaccines.Vaccination reduces the possibility of a severe course of the disease.AIM The aim of this study is to investigate whether the vaccination status of patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 has an effect on the CT severity score(CT-SS)and CORADS score obtained during hospitalization.METHODS The files of patients hospitalized between April 1,2021 and April 1,2022 due to COVID-19 were retrospectively reviewed.A total of 224 patients who were older than 18 years of age,whose vaccination status was accessible,whose severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 polymerase chain reaction result was positive,and who had a Thorax CT scan during hospitalization were included in the study.RESULTS Among the patients included in the study,52.2%were female and the mean age was 61.85 years.The patients applied to the hospital on the average 7th day of their complaints.While 63 patients were unvaccinated(Group 1),20 were vaccinated with a single dose of CoronaVac(Group 2),24 with a single dose of BioNTech(Group 3),38 with 2 doses of CoronaVac(Group 4),40 with 2 doses of BioNTech(Group 5),and 39 with 3 doses of vaccine(2 doses of CoronaVac followed by a single dose of BioNTech,Group 6).CT-SS ranged from 5 to 23,with a mean of 12.17.RESULTS CT-SS mean of the groups were determined as 14.17,13.35,11.58,10.87,11.28,10.85,respectively.Accordingly,as a result of the comparisons between the groups,the CT-SS levels of the unvaccinated patients found to be significantly higher than the other groups.As the vaccination rates increased,the rate of typical COVID-19 findings on CT was found to be significantly lower.CONCLUSION Increased vaccination rates in COVID-19 patients reduce the probability of typical COVID-19 symptoms in the lungs.It also reduces the risk of severe disease and decreases CT Severity Scores.This may lead to a loss of importance of Thorax CT in the diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia as the end of the pandemic approaches.

Use of the ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity and Mayo endoscopic score for predicting the therapeutic effect of mesalazine in patients with ulcerative colitis

Objective:The ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity(UCEIS)and the Mayo endoscopic score(MES)are developed as objective methods of evaluating endoscopic severity in patients with ulcerative colitis(UC).The aim of this study is to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of the UCEIS and MES in predicting the patient's response to mesalazine.Methods:Consecutive patients with UC who had undergone colonoscopy within 1 month before starting mesalazine between October 2011 and July 2016 were retrospectively collected at the Department of Gastroenterology,Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital,Zhejiang University School of Medicine.The median follow-up was 81 months,and all the data were analyzed in January 2021.The primary outcome was the need for step-up treatment,which included the use of corticosteroids,immunomodulatory,or surgery during admission and follow-up.Data were analyzed using the c2 or Fisher exact test,Spearman test,t-test,and ManneWhitney U test.Results:Totally,65 patients were enrolled,of whom 12(18.5%)needed step-up treatment due to nonresponse to mesalazine.The UCEIS score,MES,and the ulcerative colitis disease activity index(UCDAI)score were significantly higher in patients who had nonresponse to mesalazine(UCEIS score:6.92±0.69 vs.4.45±1.17,p<0.001;MES:2.67±0.49 vs.2.15±0.69,p=0.024;UCDAI score:9.33±1.87 vs.6.70±2.38,p=0.002).In the multivariate analysis,the UCEIS score(OR=25.65,95%CI:3.048 e45.985,p=0.003),UCDAI score(OR=1.605,95%CI:1.144e2.254,p=0.006),and C-reactive protein level(OR=1.056,95%CI:1.006e1.108,p=0.026)were independent risk factors of nonresponse.The area under the ROC curve of UCEIS was 0.95,with a sensitivity of 100%and specificity of 84.6%,a cut-off value of 6,which outperformed the MES with an area under the ROC curve of 0.70.When the UCEIS score≥6,60%of patients eventually needed step-up treatment.Conclusions:The UCEIS is a useful instrument for predicting the therapeutic effect in patients with UC treated with mesalazine.The high probability of mesalazine treatment failure and benefits of other therapies should be discussed in patients with baseline UCEIS score≥6.

Criteria for the diagnosis and severity stratification of acute pancreatitis

Recent diagnostic and therapeutic progress for severe acute pancreatitis(SAP)remarkably decreased the casemortality rate.To further decrease the mortality rate of SAP,it is important to precisely evaluate the severity at an early stage,and initiate appropriate treatment as early as possible.Research Committee of Intractable Diseases of the Pancreas in Japan developed simpler criteria combining routinely available data with clinical signs.Severity can be evaluated by laboratory examinations or by clinical signs,reducing the defect values of the severity factors.Moreover,the severity criteria considered laboratory/clinical severity scores and contrastenhanced computed tomography(CE-CT)findings as independent risk factors.Thus,CE-CT scans are not necessarily required to evaluate the severity of acute pancreatitis.There was no fatal case in mild AP diagnosed by the CE-CT severity score,whereas case-mortality rate in those with SAP was 14.8%.Case-mortality of SAP that fulfilled both the laboratory/clinical and the CE-CT severity criteria was 30.8%.It is recommended,therefore,to perform CE-CT examination to clarify the prognosis in those patients who were diagnosed as SAP by laboratory/clinical severity criteria.Because the mortality rate of these patients with SAP is high,such patients should be transferred to advanced medical units.

Comparison of scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis

AIM:To investigate the prognostic usefulness of several existing scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis(AP).METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed the prospectively collected clinical database from consecutive patients with AP in our institution between January 2011 and December 2012.Ranson,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation(APACHE)-Ⅱ,and bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP)scores,and computed tomography severity index(CTSI)of all patients were calculated.Serum C-reactive protein(CRP)levels were measured at admission(CRPi)and after 24h(CRP24).Severe AP was defined as persistent organ failure for more than 48 h.The predictive accuracy of each scoring system was measured by the area under the receiver-operating curve(AUC).RESULTS:Of 161 patients,21(13%)were classified as severe AP,and 3(1.9%)died.Statistically significant cutoff values for prediction of severe AP were Ranson≥3,BISAP≥2,APACHE-Ⅱ≥8,CTSI≥3,and CRP24≥21.4.AUCs for Ranson,BISAP,APACHE-Ⅱ,CTSI,and CRP24 in predicting severe AP were 0.69(95%CI:0.62-0.76),0.74(95%CI:0.66-0.80),0.78(95%CI:0.70-0.84),0.69(95%CI:0.61-0.76),and0.68(95%CI:0.57-0.78),respectively.APACHE-Ⅱdemonstrated the highest accuracy for prediction of severe AP,however,no statistically significant pairwise differences were observed between APACHE-Ⅱand the other scoring systems,including CRP24.CONCLUSION:Various scoring systems showed similar predictive accuracy for severity of AP.Unique models are needed in order to achieve further improvement of prognostic accuracy.

APACHE system is better than Ranson system in the prediction of severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: It has been suggested that addition of obesity score to the APACHE-Ⅱ system can lead to more accurate prediction of severity of acute pancreatitis. However there is scanty information on the usefulness of the combined APACHE-O scoring system in Asian patients. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of Ranson, APACHE-Ⅱ and APACHE-O systems in assessing severity of acute pancreatitis in a local Chinese population. METHODS: One hundred and one consecutive patients with acute pancreatitis were prospectively studied. Body mass index (BMI) was measured on admission. Ranson score, APACHE-Ⅱ and APACHE-O scores were recorded on admission and at 48 hours. By adopting the cut-off levels and definitions advocated in the Atlanta consensus for severe disease, the diagnostic accuracy of the three scoring systems was compared by the area under the curve (AUC) under the receiver operator characteristic curve. RESULTS: Of the 101 patients, 12 (11.9%) patients suffered from severe pancreatitis. Obesity was uncommon and only two patients (2.0%) had BMI >30. Eighty-two (81.2%) patients were normal weight (BMI≤25) whereas 17 (16.8%) were overweight ( BMI 25-30 ). Overweight or obesity (BMI >25) was not associated with severe pancreatitis (P= 0.40). The AUC for admission scores of Ranson, APACHE-Ⅱ, and APACHE-O systems was 0. 549, 0. 904 and 0. 904, respectively. The AUC for 48-hour scores of Ranson, APACHE-Ⅱ and APACHE-O systems was 0.808, 0.955 and 0.951, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The APACHE-Ⅱ scoring system is more accurate than the Ranson scoring system of the prediction of severity in acute pancreatitis. Addition of obesity score does not significantly improve the predictive accuracy of the APACHE-Ⅱ system in our local population with a low prevalence of obesity.

Balthazar computed tomography severity index is superior to Ranson criteria and APACHE Ⅱ scoring system in predicting acute pancreatitis outcome

AIM： Acute pancreatitis （AP） is a process with variable involvement of regional tissues or organ systems. Multifactorial scales included the Ranson, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation （APACHE Ⅱ） systems and Balthazar computed tomography severity index （CTSI）. The purpose of this review study was to assess the accuracy of CTSI, Ranson score, and APACHE II score in course and outcome prediction of AP. METHODS： We reviewed 121 patients who underwent helical CT within 48 h after onset of symptoms of a first episode of AP between 1999 and 2003. Fourteen inappropriate subjects were excluded; we reviewed the 107 contrastenhanced CT images to calculate the CTSI. We also reviewed their Ranson and APACHE Ⅱ score. In addition, complications, duration of hospitalization, mortality rate, and other pathology history also were our comparison parameters. RESULTS： We classified 85 patients （79%） as having mild AP （CTSI 〈5） and 22 patients （21%） as having severe AP （CTSI ≥5）. In mild group, the mean APACHE II score and Ranson score was 8.6±1.9 and 2.4±1.2, and those of severe group was 10.2±2.1 and 3.1±0.8, respectively. The most common complication was pseudocyst and abscess and it presented in 21 （20%） patients and their CTSI was 5.9±1.4. A CTSI ≥5 significantly correlated with death, complication present, and prolonged length of stay. Patients with a CTSI ≥5 were 15 times to die than those CTSI 〈5, and the prolonged length of stay and complications present were 17 times and 8 times than that in CTSI 〈5, respectively. CONCLUSION： CTSI is a useful tool in assessing the severity and outcome of AP and the CTSI ≥5 is an index in our study. Although Ranson score and APACHE II score also are choices to be the predictors for complications, mortality and the length of stay of AP, the sensitivity of them are lower than CTSI.

Acute pancreatitis:A review of diagnosis,severity prediction and prognosis assessment from imaging technology,scoring system and artificial intelligence

Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a potentially life-threatening inflammatory disease of the pancreas,with clinical management determined by the severity of the disease.Diagnosis,severity prediction,and prognosis assessment of AP typically involve the use of imaging technologies,such as computed tomography,magnetic resonance imaging,and ultrasound,and scoring systems,including Ranson,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II,and Bedside Index for Severity in AP scores.Computed tomography is considered the gold standard imaging modality for AP due to its high sensitivity and specificity,while magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound can provide additional information on biliary obstruction and vascular complications.Scoring systems utilize clinical and laboratory parameters to classify AP patients into mild,moderate,or severe categories,guiding treatment decisions,such as intensive care unit admission,early enteral feeding,and antibiotic use.Despite the central role of imaging technologies and scoring systems in AP management,these methods have limitations in terms of accuracy,reproducibility,practicality and economics.Recent advancements of artificial intelligence(AI)provide new opportunities to enhance their performance by analyzing vast amounts of clinical and imaging data.AI algorithms can analyze large amounts of clinical and imaging data,identify scoring system patterns,and predict the clinical course of disease.AI-based models have shown promising results in predicting the severity and mortality of AP,but further validation and standardization are required before widespread clinical application.In addition,understanding the correlation between these three technologies will aid in developing new methods that can accurately,sensitively,and specifically be used in the diagnosis,severity prediction,and prognosis assessment of AP through complementary advantages.

Extrapancreatic necrosis volume:A new tool in acute pancreatitis severity assessment?

BACKGROUND Many scores have been suggested to assess the severity of acute pancreatitis upon onset.The extrapancreatic necrosis volume is a novel,promising score that appears to be superior to other scores investigated so far.AIM To evaluate the discriminatory power of extrapancreatic necrosis volume to identify severe cases of acute pancreatitis.METHODS A total of 123 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis at Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,St Spiridon Hospital between January 1,2017 and December 31,2019 were analyzed retrospectively.Pancreatitis was classified according to the revised Atlanta classification(rAC)as mild,moderate,or severe.Severity was also evaluated by computed tomography and classified according to the computed tomography severity index(CTSI)and the modified CTSI(mCTSI).The results were compared with the extrapancreatic volume necrosis to establish the sensitivity and specificity of each method.RESULTS The CTSI and mCTSI imaging scores and the extrapancreatic necrosis volume were highly correlated with the severity of pancreatitis estimated by the rAC(r=0.926,P<0.001 and r=0.950,P<0.001;r=0.784,P<0.001,respectively).The correlation of C-reactive protein with severity was positive but not as strong,and was not significant(r=0.133,P=0.154).The best predictor for the assessment of severe pancreatitis was the extrapancreatic necrosis volume[area under the curve(AUC)=0.993;95%confidence interval(CI):0.981-1.005],with a 99.5%sensitivity and 99.0%specificity at a cutoff value of 167 mL,followed by the mCTSI 2007 score(AUC=0.972;95%CI:0.946-0.999),with a 98.0%sensitivity and 96.5%specificity,and the CTSI 1990 score(AUC=0.969;95%CI:0.941-0.998),with a 97.0%sensitivity and 95.0%specificity.CONCLUSION Radiological severity scores correlate strongly and positively with disease activity.Extrapancreatic necrosis volume shows the best diagnostic accuracy for severe cases.

High risk of temporomandibular disorder in irritable bowel syndrome: Is there a correlation with greater illness severity?

AIMTo investigate the prevalence and the risk of temporomandibular disorders (TMDs) in patients with irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) (including each subtype: constipation, diarrhoea, and mixed) compared to the general population.METHODSBetween January 2014 and December 2015 we enrolled consecutively adult patients diagnosed with IBS at the outpatient clinic of the University of Salerno and healthy controls (HC) without IBS. At enrollment, we analyzed all patients for the presence of TMDs according to the Research Diagnostic Criteria for TMD.RESULTSWe enrolled 91 IBS patients (23 IBS-D, 30 IBS-C and 38 IBS-M) and 57 HC in the study. We found a higher risk of having TMD (OR = 3.41, 95%CI: 1.66-7.01) compared to the HC. The risk of having TMD was independent of IBS-subtype. Multiple regression analysis showed that facial pain was positively related to abdominal pain and higher level of depression.CONCLUSIONIBS patients had a more than three times greater risk of TMD compared to HC. The risk of having TMD was similar in different IBS subtypes. IBS patients that also fulfilled criteria for TMD seem to share along with chronic facial and abdominal pain a significant co-occurrence with psychiatric disorders and female preponderance.

A scoring system for assessing the severity of acute diarrhea of adult patients

BACKGROUND: Diarrhea is frequently seen in developed and developing countries, and severe diarrhea is characterized by the high risk of death. Thus, it is very important to assess the severity of diarrhea early. We conducted a multi-center study to identify risk factors for the severity of diarrhea in adult patients and formulate an adult diarrhea state score(ADSS) for out-patient clinicians.METHODS: A total of 219 adult patients with acute diarrhea were divided into two groups: 132 patients with mild diarrhea and 87 with severe diarrhea. Logistic regression was used to determine risk factors for the severity of diarrhea. The risk factors were assessed and an ADSS was formulated. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) analysis was made to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of ADSS, and the Kappa test was used to confi rm the diagnostic reliability.RESULTS: Five risk factors for evaluating the severity of diarrhea in adults included age(P<0.05), axillary temperature(P<0.01), mean arterial pressure(P<0.01), white blood cell count(WBC; P<0.01), and WBC in stool(P<0.01). The area under the ROC curve for ADSS was 0.958 when the cut off value was 4(a sensitivity of 0.909; a specif icity of 0.874), and the Kappa value was 0.781(P<0.05).CONCLUSION: The risk factors associated with the pathogenic condition of diarrhea were identifi ed, quantifi ed and formulated into an ADSS, which has high diagnostic accuracy and reliability for the early identifi cation of patients with severe acute diarrhea.

Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width for severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND Severe acute pancreatitis(SAP)is a common condition in the intensive care unit(ICU)and has a high mortality.Early evaluation of the severity and prognosis is very important for SAP therapy.Recently,red blood cell distribution(RDW)was associated with mortality of sepsis patients and could be used as a predictor of prognosis.Similarly,RDW may be associated with the prognosis of SAP patients and be used as a prognostic indicator for SAP patients.AIM To investigate the prognostic value of RDW for SAP patients.METHODS We retrospectively enrolled SAP patients admitted to the ICU of the First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University from June 2015 to June 2017.According to the prognosis at 90 d,SAP patients were divided into a survival group and a non-survival group.RDW was extracted from a routine blood test.Demographic parameters and RDW were recorded and compared between the two groups.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve was constructed and Cox regression analysis was performed to investigate the prognostic value of RDW for SAP patients.RESULTS In this retrospective cohort study,42 SAP patients were enrolled,of whom 22 survived(survival group)and 20 died(non-survival group).The baseline parameters were comparable between the two groups.The coefficient of variation of RDW(RDW-CV),standard deviation of RDW(RDW-SD),Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II(APACHE II)score,and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA)score were significantly higher in the non-survival group than in the survival group(P<0.05).The RDW-CV and RDW-SD were significantly correlated with the APACHE II score and SOFA score,respectively.The areas under the ROC curves(AUCs)of RDW-CV and RDW-SD were all greater than those of the APACHE II score and SOFA score,among which,the AUC of RDW-SD was the greatest.The results demonstrated that RDW had better prognostic value for predicting the mortality of SAP patients.When the RDW-SD was greater than 45.5,the sensitivity for predicting prognosis was 77.8%and the specificity was 70.8%.Both RDW-CV and RDW-SD could be used as independent risk factors to predict the mortality of SAP patients in multivariate logistic regression analysis and univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis,similar to the APACHE II and SOFA scores.CONCLUSION The RDW is greater in the non-surviving SAP patients than in the surviving patients.RDW is significantly correlated with the APACHE II and SOFA scores.RDW has better prognostic value for SAP patients than the APACHE II and SOFA scores and could easily be used by clinicians for the treatment of SAP patients.

Efficacy and significance of various scores for pneumonia severity in the management of patients with community-acquired pneumonia in China

Background Community-acquired pneumonia （CAP） remains one of the leading causes ot death from infectious diseases around the world.Most severe CAP patients are admitted to the intensive care unit （ICU）,and receive intense treatment.The present study aimed to evaluate the role of the pneumonia severity index （PSI）,CURB-65,and sepsis score in the management of hospitalized CAP patients and explore the effect of ICU treatment on prognosis of severe cases.Methods A total of 675 CAP patients hospitalized in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine were retrospectively investigated.The ability of different pneumonia severity scores to predict mortality was compared for effectiveness,while the risk factors associated with 30-day mortality rates and hospital length of stay （LOS） were evaluated.The effect of ICU treatment on the outcomes of severe CAP patients was also investigated.Results All three scoring systems revealed that the mortality associated with the low-risk or intermediate-risk group was significantly lower than with the high-risk group.As the risk level increased,the frequency of ICU admission rose in tandem and LOS in the hospital was prolonged.The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the prediction of mortality were 0.94,0.91 and 0.89 for the PSI,CURB-65 and sepsis score,respectively.Compared with the corresponding control groups,the mortality was markedly increased in patients with a history of smoking,prior admission to ICU,respiratory failure,or co-morbidity of heart disease.The differences were also identified in LOS between control groups and patients with ICU treatment,heart,or cerebrovascular disease.Logistic regression analysis showed that age over 65 years,a history of smoking,and respiratory failure were closely related to mortality in the overall CAP cohort,whereas age,ICU admission,respiratory failure,and LOS at home between disease attack and hospital admission were identified as independent risk factors for mortality in the high-risk CAP sub-group.The 30-day mortality of patients who underwent ICU treatment on admission was also higher than for non-ICU treatment,but much lower than for those patients who took ICU treatment subsequent to the failure of non-ICU treatment.Conclusions Each severity score system,CURB-65,sepsis severity score and especially PSI,was capable of effectively predicting CAP mortality.Delayed ICU admission was related to higher mortality rates in severe CAP patients.

Close Correlation between Development of MODS during the Initial 72h of Hospitalization and Hospital Mortality in Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome

An emerging infectious disease was identified as severe fever with thrombocytopenia syn- drome （SFTS） in central China since late March 2009. We found the patients with SFTS had severe clinical symptoms, and progressed rapidly to multiple organ dysfunction syndrome （MODS） with high fatality rate of 25%-30%. The aim of this study was to assess the significance of risk factors predicting the development of MODS and death in SFTS patients. Consecutive SFTS admissions between May 2009 and September 2011 were analyzed for parameters of organ function during hospitalization using Marshall scoring system for MODS, and platelet counts were recorded on admission and at 24, 48, 72 h and one week after admission. We investigated the kinetics of organ failures and analyzed the associa- tion between age, platelet count and development of MODS or death. A total of 92 SFTS patients were enrolled in this study. Among them, 32 patients with dysfunction of over 4 organs were identified, 45% of them died within 72 h, 72% died within 5 days, and 76% died within 7 days after admission. We also found cumulative Marshall score was significantly higher in death patients （11.76＋2.05） than in survival patients （4.22~1.98） （P〈0.001）. In addition, SFTS patients had older age and lower platelet counts in MODS and death groups. Furthermore, we also observed that there was a close correlation between platelet count on admission and Marshall score （P〈0.001）. High Marshall score, advanced age and lower platelet counts were the main risk factors for the development of MODS, and those factors could predict mortality in SFTS patients, suggesting prompt treatment and close monitoring of severe complications, especially MODS, are of great importance in saving patients＇ lives.

Score model for predicting acute-on-chronic liver failure risk in chronic hepatitis B

AIM: To establish a clinical scoring model to predict risk of acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF) in chronic hepatitis B(CHB) patients.METHODS: This was a retrospective study of 1457 patients hospitalized for CHB between October 2008 and October 2013 at the Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, China. The patients were divided into two groups: severe acute exacerbation(SAE) group(n = 382) and non-SAE group(n = 1075). The SAE group was classified as the high-risk group based on the higher incidence of ACLF in this group than in the non-SAE group(13.6% vs 0.4%). Two-thirds of SAE patients were randomly assigned to risk-model derivation and the other one-third to model validation. Univariate risk factors associated with the outcome were entered into a multivariate logistic regression model for screening independent risk factors. Each variable was assigned an integer value based on the regression coefficients, and the final score was the sum of these values in the derivation set. Model discrimination and calibration were assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. RESULTS: The risk prediction scoring model includedthe following four factors: age ≥ 40 years, total bilirubin ≥ 171 μmol/L, prothrombin activity 40%-60%, and hepatitis B virus DNA > 107 copies/m L. The sum risk score ranged from 0 to 7; 0-3 identified patients with lower risk of ACLF, whereas 4-7 identified patients with higher risk. The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed the cumulative risk for ACLF and ACLF-related death in the two risk groups(0-3 and 4-7 scores) of the primary cohort over 56 d, and log-rank test revealed a significant difference(2.0% vs 33.8% and 0.8% vs 9.4%, respectively; both P < 0.0001). In the derivation and validation data sets, the model had good discrimination(C index = 0.857, 95% confidence interval: 0.800-0.913 and C index = 0.889, 95% confidence interval: 0.820-0.957, respectively) and calibration demonstrated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test(χ2 = 4.516, P = 0.808 and χ2 = 1.959, P = 0.923, respectively).CONCLUSION: Using the scoring model, clinicians can easily identify patients(total score ≥ 4) at high risk of ACLF and ACLF-related death early during SAE.

Intra-abdominal pressure monitoring in predicting outcome of patients with severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a serious disease with many complications, high mortality and poor prognosis. It is characterized by rapid deterioration and poses one of the most difficult challenges in clinical practice. Previous investigations suggest that SAP is one of the main causes of intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) increase. The aim of this study was to evaluate the utility of IAP-monitoring in predicting the severity and prognosis of SAP. METHODS: Eighty-nine patients with SAP who had been treated from February 2001 to December 2005 were studied. Since bladder pressure accurately reflects IAP, we measured it instead of IAP. Bladder pressure was measured at the time of admission and every 12 hours in the course of the disease, 9 consecutive times in all. The APACHE II scores of all patients were obtained within 24 hours after admission. According to a maximum bladder pressure <10 cmH(2)O, all patients were divided into two groups, mildly-elevated and severely-elevated. Mortality and mean APACHE II scores in the two groups were calculated. In addition, the mean bladder pressure and APACHE II scores in survivors were compared with those in deaths. RESULTS: Sixty-eight of the 89 patients were in the severely-elevated group. Mortality and mean APACHE II scores in this group were much higher than those in the mildly-elevated group (mortality, 39.71% vs. 9.52%; mean APACHE II score, 23.15 +/- 7.42 vs. 15.95 +/- 5.35, P<0.01). The mean bladder pressures and APACHE II scores in deaths were significantly greater than those in survivors (mean bladder pressure, 14.1 +/- 3.8 vs. 9.2 +/- 2.3 cmH(2)O, P<0.01; mean APACHE II score, 27.83 +/- 4.87 vs. 18.37 +/- 6.74, P<0.01). CONCLUSION: It is suggested that IAP may be used as a marker of the severity and prognosis of SAP.

Mid-term Outcomes of Primary Constrained Condylar Knee Arthroplasty for Severe Knee Deformity

This study aimed to examine the clinical and radiographic outcomes of primary total knee arthroplasy（TKA） with use of Nex Gen#174; Legacy#174; Constrained Condylar Knee（CCK） prosthesis for severe knee deformity. Clinical data of 46 patients（48 knees in total, aged 61 years on average） with severe knee deformity who underwent TKA with Nex Gen#174; Legacy#174; CCK prosthesis between December 2007 and February 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 34 knees with severe valgus with incompetent medial collateral ligament, 11 knees with severe flexion contracture with inability to achieve knee balancing in flexion and extension by posterior soft tissue release, 2 knees with Charcot arthritis with severe varus and bone loss, and 1 with traumatic osteoarthritis with severe varus and ligamentous instability. The mean duration of follow-up was 71 months（range 40–90 months）. The New Knee Society scoring（NKSS） system and the Hospital for Special Surgery（HSS） score were used to evaluate the functional and clinical outcomes. Visual Analogue Scale（VAS） was used for pain measurement and Knee Society criteria for evaluation of radiological images. The results showed that, in the total 48 knees, 1 case of loosening due to short-stem tibial component at 3 months post-operatively underwent revision. The 6-year prosthesis survival rate in this cohort was 97.9%. There was no component infection occurring within 6 years. Significant post-operative improvements were found in NKSS and HSS scores. Patient satisfaction was significantly increased. Pain score was decreased significantly. Total functional score was improved from 31.46±11.43 to 86.42±8.87, range of motion（ROM） from 42.42°±23.57° to 95.31°±23.45° and the flexion contracture from 5.31°±7.87° to 0.92°±1.80°. Preoperative radiographic study showed excessive valgus（≥7°） in 37 knees, and varus deformity in 3 knees. Post-operative femorotibial alignment was valgus 3.88°±1.76° in 48 knees. Antero/posterior（A/P） view of X-ray films showed 4 radiolucent lines（RLL） in 48 tibial components. It was concluded that TKA with CCK is effective for the treatment of the severe unstable knee that cannot be balanced by soft tissue.