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Reservoir detection based on EMD and correlation dimension 被引量:3
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作者 文晓涛 贺振华 黄德济 《Applied Geophysics》 SCIE CSCD 2009年第1期70-76,103,104,共9页
In hydrocarbon reservoirs, seismic waveforms become complex and the correlation dimension becomes smaller. Seismic waves are signals with a definite frequency bandwidth and the waveform is affected by all the frequenc... In hydrocarbon reservoirs, seismic waveforms become complex and the correlation dimension becomes smaller. Seismic waves are signals with a definite frequency bandwidth and the waveform is affected by all the frequency components in the band. The results will not define the reservoir well if we calculate correlation dimension directly. In this paper, we present a method that integrates empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and correlation dimension. EMD is used to decompose the seismic waves and calculate the correlation dimension of every intrinsic mode function (IMF) component of the decomposed wave. Comparing the results with reservoirs identified by known wells, the most effective IMF is chosen and used to predict the reservoir. The method is applied in the Triassic Zhongyou group in the XX area of the Tahe oil field with quite good results. 展开更多
关键词 empirical mode decomposition correlation dimension intrinsic mode function RESERVOIR
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Estimation and Prediction of the Condition of the Vehicle Engine Based on the Correlation Dimension 被引量:8
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作者 LiuChun ZhangLaibin WangZhaohui 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第1期45-49,共5页
This paper applies the fractal dimension as a characteristic to describe the engine抯 operating condition and its developmental trend. A correlation dimension is one of the quantities that are usually used to characte... This paper applies the fractal dimension as a characteristic to describe the engine抯 operating condition and its developmental trend. A correlation dimension is one of the quantities that are usually used to characterize a strange attractor. With the operation of the phase space reconstruction, respective correlation dimensions of a series of vibration signals obtained under different conditions are calculated to find the intrinsic relationship between the indicator and the operating condition. The experiment result shows that the correlation dimension is sensitive to the condition evolution and convenient for the identification of abnormal operational states. In advanced prognostic algorithm based on the BP neural network is then applied on the correlation dimensions to predict the short-term running conditions in order to avoid severe faults and realize in-time maintenance. Experimental results are presented to illustrate the proposed methodology. 展开更多
关键词 Vehicle engine condition estimation correlation dimension PREDICTION
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Correlation dimension analysis and capillary wave turbulence in Dragon-Wash phenomena 被引量:2
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作者 彭怀午 李睿劬 +1 位作者 陈松泽 李存标 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第2期637-643,共7页
This paper describes the evolution of surface capillary waves of deep water excited by gradually increasing the lateral external force at a single frequency. The vertical velocities of the water surface are measured b... This paper describes the evolution of surface capillary waves of deep water excited by gradually increasing the lateral external force at a single frequency. The vertical velocities of the water surface are measured by using a Polytec Laser Vibrometer with a thin layer of aluminium powder scattering on the surface to reflect the laser beam. Nonlinear interaction processes result in a stationary Fourier spectrum of the vertical surface velocities (the same as the surface elevation), i.e. Iω -ω^-3-5. The observed spectrum can be interpreted as a wave-turbulent Kolmogorov spectrum for the case of ‘narrowband pumping' for a direct cascade of energy. Correlation dimension analysis of the whole development process reveals four distinct stages during the wave structure development and identifies the wave turbulence stage. 展开更多
关键词 capillary wave wave turbulence correlation dimension
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Correlation Dimension in Fault Diagnosis of 600 MW Steam Turbine Generator 被引量:2
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作者 姚宝恒 杨霞菊 +1 位作者 佟德纯 陈兆能 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2005年第1期31-36,共6页
GP algorithm of correlation dimension computation is ameliorated which overcomes the shortage of traditional one. Improved process of GP algorithm takes the influence of temporal correlative pairs of points on correla... GP algorithm of correlation dimension computation is ameliorated which overcomes the shortage of traditional one. Improved process of GP algorithm takes the influence of temporal correlative pairs of points on correlation dimension into account and promotes the computational efficiency prominently. Iterative SVD method is applied to remove the influence of noise on the result of correlation dimension. The faults of steam flow turbulence and oil film disturbance which occur in 600 MW Steam Turbine Generator are analyzed and whose correlation dimensions are computed. More distinct quantitative index than FFT is gained to distinguish two faults and it’s of little importance to apply correlation dimension to study the influence of various factors on steam flow turbulence fault for nonexistence of convergent floor in correlation integral curve, which presents a new way to learn the operational function of large capacity steam turbine generator and carry out comprehensive condition monitoring. 展开更多
关键词 correlation dimension ameliorated algorithm 600 MW steam turbine generator air turbulence oil film disturbance.
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Correlation dimension based nonlinear analysis of network traffics with different application protocols 被引量:1
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作者 王俊松 袁静 +1 位作者 李强 袁睿翕 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2011年第5期174-178,共5页
This paper uses a correlation dimension based nonlinear analysis approach to analyse the dynamics of network traffics with three different application protocols-HTTP, FTP and SMTP. First, the phase space is reconstruc... This paper uses a correlation dimension based nonlinear analysis approach to analyse the dynamics of network traffics with three different application protocols-HTTP, FTP and SMTP. First, the phase space is reconstructed and the embedding parameters are obtained by the mutual information method. Secondly, the correlation dimensions of three different traffics are calculated and the results of analysis have demonstrated that the dynamics of the three different application protocol traffics is different from each other in nature, i.e. HTTP and FTP traffics are chaotic, furthermore, the former is more complex than the later; on the other hand, SMTP traffic is stochastic. It is shown that correlation dimension approach is an efficient method to understand and to characterize the nonlinear dynamics of HTTP, FTP and SMTP protocol network traffics. This analysis provided insight into and a more accurate understanding of nonlinear dynamics of internet traffics which have a complex mixture of chaotic and stochastic components. 展开更多
关键词 application protocol network traffic correlation dimension CHAOS
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Trispectrum and correlation dimension analysis of magnetorheological damper in vibration screen 被引量:1
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作者 吴福森 黄宜坚 +1 位作者 黄凯 徐姗 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第7期1832-1838,共7页
In order to improve the screening efficiency of vibrating screen and make vibration process smooth,a new type of magnetorheological (MR) damper was proposed. The signals of displacement in the vibration process during... In order to improve the screening efficiency of vibrating screen and make vibration process smooth,a new type of magnetorheological (MR) damper was proposed. The signals of displacement in the vibration process during the test were collected. The trispectrum model of autoregressive (AR) time series was built and the correlation dimension was used to quantify the fractal characteristics during the vibration process. The result shows that,in different working conditions,trispectrum slices are applied to obtaining the information of non-Gaussian,nonlinear amplitude?frequency characteristics of the signal. Besides,there is correlation between the correlation dimension of vibration signal and trispectrum slices,which is very important to select the optimum working parameters of the MR damper and vibrating screen. And in the experimental conditions,it is found that when the working current of MR damper is 2 A and the rotation speed of vibration motor is 800 r/min,the vibration screen reaches its maximum screening efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 screening efficiency vibration screen magnetorheological (MR) damper autoregressive (AR) time series trispectrumslices correlation dimension
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Research on a Diagnosis Method Based on a Correlation Integral 被引量:1
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作者 ZHAOHong XIAYong LIANGXiao-guo 《International Journal of Plant Engineering and Management》 2003年第2期65-73,共9页
For the first time, the diagnosis idea based on a correlation integral isproposed, which regard's the correlation integral as a feature set. The correlation dimension iscontained in the double-log curve of the cor... For the first time, the diagnosis idea based on a correlation integral isproposed, which regard's the correlation integral as a feature set. The correlation dimension iscontained in the double-log curve of the correlation integral to scale, so extracting featuresdirectly from the correlation integral can avoid the bottleneck problem of determining the range ofnon-scale length. Several features extracted from the correlation integral are better than thesingle feature of the correlation dimension when describing the signal. It is obvious that thismethod utilizes more information of the signal than does the correlation dimension. The diagnosisexamples verify that this method is more accurate and more effective. 展开更多
关键词 DIAGNOSIS correlation dimension correlation integral range of non-scale
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Parallel solutions of correlation dimension calculation
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作者 蒋廷耀 李庆华 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2005年第3期665-669,共5页
The calculation of correlation dimension is a key problem of the fractals. The standard algorithm requires O(N2) computations. The previous improvement methods endeavor to sequentially reduce redundant computation o... The calculation of correlation dimension is a key problem of the fractals. The standard algorithm requires O(N2) computations. The previous improvement methods endeavor to sequentially reduce redundant computation on condition that there are many different dimensional phase spaces, whose application area and performance improvement degree are limited. This paper presents two fast parallel algorithms: O (N^2/p + logp) time p processors PRAM algo- rithm and O(N^2/p) time p processors LARPBS algorithm. Analysis and results of numeric computation indicate that the speedup of parallel algorithms relative to sequence algorithms is efficient. Compared with the PRAM algorithm, The LARPBS algorithm is practical, optimally scalable and cost optimal. 展开更多
关键词 correlation dimension ALGORITHM parallel.
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Frequency and Correlation Characteristic of the Hopf Bifurcation Chemical Oscillatory Patterns
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《Journal of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering》 2012年第3期284-291,共8页
The Belousov-Zhabotinski type of chemical reactions was studied. Dynamics of the unperturbed oscillating chemical system and subject to the external perturbations is considered. The system response to the external per... The Belousov-Zhabotinski type of chemical reactions was studied. Dynamics of the unperturbed oscillating chemical system and subject to the external perturbations is considered. The system response to the external periodic perturbation near the Hopf bifurcation point has been monitored. As a response to the external periodic perturbation of system, one obtains the synchronization oscillations, two-, three-and multiperiodic ones as well as obtain two types of chaos. The kinetic of such reactions is analyzed by time series. The Fourier transforms were used to analyze the frequency characteristics of the synchronized and chaotic states giving the different harmonic spectra. As further statistical characteristics the winding numbers and variation values of trajectories are calculated using a rotational model of processes in relation to the coherence parameter joint with perturbation period. For chaotic states the autocorrelation functions and correlation dimensions, which form an approximation of a fractal dimension D, have been calculated. Additionally, Lyapunov exponents were computed. Their positive values confirmed chaotic behavior. 展开更多
关键词 OSCILLATIONS Fourier spectrum circle map correlation dimension Lyapunov spectrum.
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Evaluation of Surface Roughness of Aluminum Alloy in Burnishing Process Based on Chaos Theory
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作者 Zhipeng Yuan Zhenyu Zhou +3 位作者 Zhiguo Jiang Zeyu Zhao Cong Ding Zhongyu Piao 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第1期90-103,共14页
Burnishing experiments with different burnishing parameters were performed on a computer numerical control milling machine to characterize the surface roughness of an aluminum alloy during burnishing.The chaos theory ... Burnishing experiments with different burnishing parameters were performed on a computer numerical control milling machine to characterize the surface roughness of an aluminum alloy during burnishing.The chaos theory was employed to investigate the nonlinear features of the burnishing system.The experimental results show that the power spectrum is broadband and continuous,and the Lyapunov exponentλis positive,proving that burnishing has chaotic characteristics.The chaotic characteristic parameter,the correlation dimension D,is sensitive to the time behavior of the system and is used to establish the corresponding relationship with the surface roughness.The correlation dimension was the largest,when the surface roughness was the smallest.Furthermore,when the correlation dimension curve decreases,the roughness curve increases.The correlation dimension and surface roughness exhibit opposite variation trends.The higher the correlation dimension,the lower the surface roughness.The surface roughness of the aluminum alloy can be characterized online by calculating the correlation dimension during burnishing. 展开更多
关键词 Aluminum alloy burnishing Power spectrum correlation dimension Lyapunov exponent Surface roughness
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Detection of Chaos Characteristic of Population Quantity of Adult Monochamus alternatus in Forest
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作者 郑志敬 周钦富 +1 位作者 张建华 杨胜利 《Plant Diseases and Pests》 CAS 2010年第6期30-33,共4页
[Objective] The paper was to study the chaos characteristic of population quantity sequence of adult Monochamus alternatus in forest during 2006-2010.[Method] Power spectral analysis method,correlation dimensionality ... [Objective] The paper was to study the chaos characteristic of population quantity sequence of adult Monochamus alternatus in forest during 2006-2010.[Method] Power spectral analysis method,correlation dimensionality and embedding dimensionality,and the maximum Lyapunov index method were adopted in the paper,respectively.[Result] The results from different chaos determination methods all showed that the population quantity sequence of adult M.alternatus among forest had chaos characteristic,belonging to chaos time sequence;when the delay time τ=5 and embedding dimensionality m=15,the correlation dimensionality in the corresponding phase space D=2.807 6,and the maximum Lyapunov index λ1=0.561 3.[Conclusion] The result provided the reference for monitoring and forecast of M.alternatus. 展开更多
关键词 Monochamus alternatus Chaos identification Chaotic attractor Embedding dimensionality correlation dimensionality The maximum Lyapunov index
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Grey Relation between Nonlinear Characteristic and Dynamic Uncertainty of Rolling Bearing Friction Torque 被引量:13
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作者 XIA Xintao WANG Zhongyu 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第2期244-249,共6页
The rolling bearing friction torque which is characterized by its uncertainty and nonlinearity affects heavily the dynamic performance of a system such as missiles, spacecrafts and radars, etc. It is difficult to use ... The rolling bearing friction torque which is characterized by its uncertainty and nonlinearity affects heavily the dynamic performance of a system such as missiles, spacecrafts and radars, etc. It is difficult to use the classical statistical theory to evaluate the dynamic evaluation of the rolling bearing friction torque for the lack of prior information about both probability distribution and trends. For this reason, based on the information poor system theory and combined with the correlation dimension in chaos theory, the concepts about the mean of the dynamic fluctuant range (MDFR) and the grey relation are proposed to resolve the problem about evaluating the nonlinear characteristic and the dynamic uncertainty of the rolling bearing friction torque. Friction torque experiments are done for three types of the rolling bearings marked with HKTA, HKTB and HKTC separately; meantime, the correlation dimension and MDFR are calculated to describe the nonlinear characteristic and the dynamic uncertainty of the friction torque, respectively. And the experiments reveal that there is a certain grey relation between the nonlinear characteristic and the dynamic uncertainty of the rolling bearing friction torque, viz. MDFR will become the nonlinear increasing trend with the correlation dimension increasing. Under the condition of fewer characteristic data and the lack of prior information about both probability distribution and trends, the unitive evaluation for the nonlinear characteristic and the dynamic uncertainty of the rolling bearing friction torque is realized with the grey confidence level of 87.7%-96.3%. 展开更多
关键词 rolling bearing friction torque time series correlation dimension mean of dynamic fluctuant range (MDFR) information poor system theory
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Oil–water two-phase flow pattern analysis with ERT based measurement and multivariate maximum Lyapunov exponent 被引量:8
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作者 谭超 王娜娜 董峰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第1期240-248,共9页
Oil–water two-phase flow patterns in a horizontal pipe are analyzed with a 16-electrode electrical resistance tomography(ERT) system. The measurement data of the ERT are treated as a multivariate time-series, thus th... Oil–water two-phase flow patterns in a horizontal pipe are analyzed with a 16-electrode electrical resistance tomography(ERT) system. The measurement data of the ERT are treated as a multivariate time-series, thus the information extracted from each electrode represents the local phase distribution and fraction change at that location. The multivariate maximum Lyapunov exponent(MMLE) is extracted from the 16-dimension time-series to demonstrate the change of flow pattern versus the superficial velocity ratio of oil to water. The correlation dimension of the multivariate time-series is further introduced to jointly characterize and finally separate the flow patterns with MMLE. The change of flow patterns with superficial oil velocity at different water superficial velocities is studied with MMLE and correlation dimension, respectively, and the flow pattern transition can also be characterized with these two features. The proposed MMLE and correlation dimension map could effectively separate the flow patterns, thus is an effective tool for flow pattern identification and transition analysis. 展开更多
关键词 oil-water two-phase flow flow patterns electrical resistance tomography (ERT) multivariate time-series multivariate maximum Lyapunov exponent correlation dimension
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Chaotic Characteristic Analysis of Air Traffic System 被引量:8
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作者 丛玮 胡明华 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2014年第6期636-642,共7页
Chaotic characteristics of traffic flow time series is analyzed to further investigate nonlinear characteristics of air traffic system.Phase space is reconstructed both by time delay which is built through mutual info... Chaotic characteristics of traffic flow time series is analyzed to further investigate nonlinear characteristics of air traffic system.Phase space is reconstructed both by time delay which is built through mutual information,and by embedding dimension which is based on false nearest neighbors method.In order to analyze chaotic characteristics of time series,correlation dimensions and the largest Lyapunov exponents are calculated through Grassberger-Procaccia(G-P)algorithm and small-data method.Five-day radar data from the control center in Guangzhou area are analyzed and the results show that saturated correlation dimensions with self-similar structures exist in time series,and the largest Lyapunov exponents are all equal to zero and not sensitive to initial conditions.Air traffic system is affected by multiple factors,containing inherent randomness,which lead to chaos.Only grasping chaotic characteristics can air traffic be predicted and controlled accurately. 展开更多
关键词 air traffic CHAOS phase space reconstruction correlation dimension the largest Lyapunov exponent
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Radar Emitter Signal Recognition Based on Complexity Features 被引量:18
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作者 张葛祥 金炜东 胡来招 《Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(English Edition)》 2004年第2期116-122,共7页
Intra-pulse characteristics of different radar emitter signals reflect on signal waveform by way of changing frequency, phase and amplitude. A novel approach was proposed to extract complexity features of radar emitte... Intra-pulse characteristics of different radar emitter signals reflect on signal waveform by way of changing frequency, phase and amplitude. A novel approach was proposed to extract complexity features of radar emitter signals in a wide range of signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and radial basis probability neural network (RBPNN) was used to recognize different radar emitter signals. Complexity features, including Lempel-Ziv complexity (LZC) and correlation dimension (CD), can measure the complexity and irregularity of signals, which mirrors the intra-pulse modulation laws of radar emitter signals. In an experiment, LZC and CD features of 10 typical radar emitter signals were extracted and RBPNN was applied to identify the 10 radar emitter signals. Simulation results show that the proposed approach is effective and has good application values because average accurate recognition rate is high when SNR varies in a wide range. 展开更多
关键词 Signal processing Lempel-Ziv complexity correlation dimension Radar emitter signals
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Chaotic characteristics of electromagnetic emission signals during deformation and fracture of coal 被引量:8
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作者 NIE Bai-sheng HE Xue-qiu +2 位作者 LIU Fang-bin ZHU Cheng-wei WANG Ping 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第2期189-193,共5页
Electromagnetic emission(EME) is a kind of physical phenomenon accompanying the process of deformation and fracture of loaded coal and rock and it is of importance in quantitatively analyzing its characteristics.This ... Electromagnetic emission(EME) is a kind of physical phenomenon accompanying the process of deformation and fracture of loaded coal and rock and it is of importance in quantitatively analyzing its characteristics.This will reveal the process of deformation and fracture of coal and predicting dynamic disasters in coal mines.In this study,the G-P(Grassberger and Procaccia) algorithm,calculation steps of the(if only 1 dimension) correlation dimension of time series and the identification standards of chaotic signals are introduced.Furthermore,the correlation dimensions of EME and the acoustic emission(AE) signals of time series during deformation and fracture of coal bodies are calculated and analyzed.The results show that the time series of pulses number of EME and the time series of AE count rate are chaotic and that the saturation embedding dimensions of a K3 coal sample are,respectively,5 and 6.The results can be used to provide basic parameters for predicting of EME and AE time series. 展开更多
关键词 coal and rock electromagnetic emission correlation dimension chaotic characteristics
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Degradation Process of Coated Tinplate by Phase Space Reconstruction Theory 被引量:4
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作者 石江波 夏大海 +2 位作者 王吉会 周超 刘彦宏 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2013年第2期92-97,共6页
The degradation process of organosol coated tinplate in beverage was investigated by electrochemical noise (EN) technique combined with morphology characterization.EN data were analyzed using phase space reconstructio... The degradation process of organosol coated tinplate in beverage was investigated by electrochemical noise (EN) technique combined with morphology characterization.EN data were analyzed using phase space reconstruction theory.With the correlation dimensions obtained from the phase space reconstruction,the chaotic behavior of EN was quantitatively evaluated.The results show that both electrochemical potential noise (EPN) and electrochemical current noise (ECN) have chaotic properties.The correlation dimensions of EPN increase with corrosion extent,while those of ECN seem nearly unchanged.The increased correlation dimensions of EPN during the degradation process are associated with the increased susceptibility to local corrosion. 展开更多
关键词 phase space reconstruction CHAOS electrochemical potential noise electrochemical current noise correlation dimension organic coating
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Probability Density Function Method for Observing Reconstructed Attractor Structure 被引量:2
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作者 陆宏伟 陈亚珠 卫青 《Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition)》 CAS 2004年第1期75-79,共5页
Probability density function (PDF) method is proposed for analysing the structure of the reconstructed attractor in computing the correlation dimensions of RR intervals of ten normal old men. PDF contains important in... Probability density function (PDF) method is proposed for analysing the structure of the reconstructed attractor in computing the correlation dimensions of RR intervals of ten normal old men. PDF contains important information about the spatial distribution of the phase points in the reconstructed attractor. To the best of our knowledge, it is the first time that the PDF method is put forward for the analysis of the reconstructed attractor structure. Numerical simulations demonstrate that the cardiac systems of healthy old men are about 6-6.5 dimensional complex dynamical systems. It is found that PDF is not symmetrically distributed when time delay is small, while PDF satisfies Gaussian distribution when time delay is big enough. A cluster effect mechanism is presented to explain this phenomenon. By studying the shape of PDFs, that the roles played by time delay are more important than embedding dimension in the reconstruction is clearly indicated. Results have demonstrated that the PDF method represents a promising numerical approach for the observation of the reconstructed attractor structure and may provide more information and new diagnostic potential of the analyzed cardiac system. 展开更多
关键词 probability density function (PDF) RR intervals correlation dimension (CD) phase space reconstruction chaos.
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Chaotic Study in a Large Jetting Fluidized Bed with a Vertical Nozzle 被引量:2
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作者 郭庆杰 张济宇 +1 位作者 刘振宇 岳光溪 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2000年第2期176-179,共4页
The pressure fluctuation in a large jetting fluidized bed with a vertical nozzle was examined based on deterministic chaos theory. The effects of the jetting gas velocity and the static bed height on the correlation d... The pressure fluctuation in a large jetting fluidized bed with a vertical nozzle was examined based on deterministic chaos theory. The effects of the jetting gas velocity and the static bed height on the correlation dimension were investigated. The correlation dimension increased with increasing jet gas velocity. At the same jet gas velocity, the higher the static bed height, the greater the correlation dimension is. The variations of correlation dimension and standard deviation of pressure fluctuation with gas jet velocity exhibited a similar shape and trend. 展开更多
关键词 jetting fluidized bed the correlation dimension chaotic study
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The complex nonlinear systems with fractal as well as chaotic dynamics of annual runoff processes in the three headwaters of the Tarim River 被引量:1
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作者 徐建华 陈亚宁 +2 位作者 李卫红 季民河 董山 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2009年第1期25-35,共11页
This paper attempted to identify fractal and chaotic characteristics of the annual runoff processes in headwaters of the Tarim River.Methods of fractal analyses were used to explore several aspects of the temporal cha... This paper attempted to identify fractal and chaotic characteristics of the annual runoff processes in headwaters of the Tarim River.Methods of fractal analyses were used to explore several aspects of the temporal changes from 1957 to 2002.The main findings are as follows:(1) The annual runoff processes of the three headwaters of the Tarim River are com-plex nonlinear systems with fractal as well as chaotic dynamics.(2) The correlation dimensions of attractor derived from the time series of the annual runoff for the Hotan,Yarkand and Aksu rivers are all greater than 3.0 and non-integral,implying that all three rivers are chaotic dynamical systems that are sensitive to initial conditions,and the dynamic modeling of their annual runoff process requires at least four independent variables.(3) The time series of annual runoff in each river presents a long-term correlation characteristic.The Hurst exponent for the period of 1989 to 2002 suggests that we may expect to see an increasing trend in the annual runoff of the Aksu and Yarkand rivers in the years after 2002,but a decreasing tendency for the Hotan River in the same period. 展开更多
关键词 annual runoff process HEADWATER Tarim River Basin correlation dimension Hurst exponent
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