Aiming at the design problem of aviation swarm combat course of action(COA),considering the influence of stochastic parameters in the causal relationship model and optimization problem model,according to the dynamic i...Aiming at the design problem of aviation swarm combat course of action(COA),considering the influence of stochastic parameters in the causal relationship model and optimization problem model,according to the dynamic influence net(DIN)theory,stochastic simulation technique,feedforward neural network(FNN)function approximation technique and multi-objective artificial fish school algorithm(MOAFSA),this paper proposed a COA optimized method based on DIN and multi-objective stochastic chance constraint optimization for aviation swarm combat.First,on the basis of establishing the overall framework of the model and defining the elements of causal relationship modeling,the static and dynamic causal relationship modeling and optimization problem modeling were carried out respectively.Second,the probability propagation mechanism of DIN was established,which mainly included two aspects,i.e.,the overall process and the specific algorithm.Then,input and output data were generated based on stochastic simulation.According to these data,FNN was adopted for function approximation,and MOAFSA was adopted for iterative optimization.Finally,the rationality of the model,and the effectiveness and superiority of the algorithm were verified through multiple sets of simulation cases.展开更多
提出了用动态影响网(Dynamic Influence Nets,DINs)对指挥控制(Command and Control,C2)组织行动过程(Course of Actions,COA)问题进行建模的方法。该方法通过引入因果强度参数,替代了传统动态贝叶斯网络中的条件概率表。给出了利用因...提出了用动态影响网(Dynamic Influence Nets,DINs)对指挥控制(Command and Control,C2)组织行动过程(Course of Actions,COA)问题进行建模的方法。该方法通过引入因果强度参数,替代了传统动态贝叶斯网络中的条件概率表。给出了利用因果强度参数进行概率传播的具体计算方法。结合一个联合作战的仿真算例,验证了该建模方法的优越性和有效性。展开更多
Developing a course of action(COA) is a key step in military planning. In most extant studies on the COA development,only the unilateral actions of friendly forces are considered. Based on stochastic games, we propose...Developing a course of action(COA) is a key step in military planning. In most extant studies on the COA development,only the unilateral actions of friendly forces are considered. Based on stochastic games, we propose models that could deal with the complexities and uncertainties of wars. By analyzing the equilibrium state of both opponent sides, outcomes preferable to one side could be achieved by adopting the methods obtained from the proposed models. This research could help decision makers take the right COA in a state of uncertainty.展开更多
基金co-supported by Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi(2023-JC-QN-0728)Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China(2021M693942)。
文摘Aiming at the design problem of aviation swarm combat course of action(COA),considering the influence of stochastic parameters in the causal relationship model and optimization problem model,according to the dynamic influence net(DIN)theory,stochastic simulation technique,feedforward neural network(FNN)function approximation technique and multi-objective artificial fish school algorithm(MOAFSA),this paper proposed a COA optimized method based on DIN and multi-objective stochastic chance constraint optimization for aviation swarm combat.First,on the basis of establishing the overall framework of the model and defining the elements of causal relationship modeling,the static and dynamic causal relationship modeling and optimization problem modeling were carried out respectively.Second,the probability propagation mechanism of DIN was established,which mainly included two aspects,i.e.,the overall process and the specific algorithm.Then,input and output data were generated based on stochastic simulation.According to these data,FNN was adopted for function approximation,and MOAFSA was adopted for iterative optimization.Finally,the rationality of the model,and the effectiveness and superiority of the algorithm were verified through multiple sets of simulation cases.
文摘提出了用动态影响网(Dynamic Influence Nets,DINs)对指挥控制(Command and Control,C2)组织行动过程(Course of Actions,COA)问题进行建模的方法。该方法通过引入因果强度参数,替代了传统动态贝叶斯网络中的条件概率表。给出了利用因果强度参数进行概率传播的具体计算方法。结合一个联合作战的仿真算例,验证了该建模方法的优越性和有效性。
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(71471174)
文摘Developing a course of action(COA) is a key step in military planning. In most extant studies on the COA development,only the unilateral actions of friendly forces are considered. Based on stochastic games, we propose models that could deal with the complexities and uncertainties of wars. By analyzing the equilibrium state of both opponent sides, outcomes preferable to one side could be achieved by adopting the methods obtained from the proposed models. This research could help decision makers take the right COA in a state of uncertainty.
