The Windy City’s Dark Side: A Statistical Exploration of Crime in the City of Chicago

This paper presents a detailed statistical exploration of crime trends in Chicago from 2001 to 2023, employing data from the Chicago Police Department’s publicly available crime database. The study aims to elucidate the patterns, distribution, and variations in crime across different types and locations, providing a comprehensive picture of the city’s crime landscape through advanced data analytics and visualization techniques. Using exploratory data analysis (EDA), we identified significant insights into crime trends, including the prevalence of theft and battery, the impact of seasonal changes on crime rates, and spatial concentrations of criminal activities. The research leveraged a Power BI dashboard to visually represent crime data, facilitating an intuitive understanding of complex patterns and enabling dynamic interaction with the dataset. Key findings highlight notable disparities in crime occurrences by type, location, and time, offering a granular view of crime hotspots and temporal trends. Additionally, the study examines clearance rates, revealing variations in the resolution of cases across different crime categories. This analysis not only sheds light on the current state of urban safety but also serves as a critical tool for policymakers and law enforcement agencies to develop targeted interventions. The paper concludes with recommendations for enhancing public safety strategies and suggests directions for future research, emphasizing the need for continuous data-driven approaches to effectively address and mitigate urban crime. This study contributes to the broader discourse on urban safety, crime prevention, and the role of data analytics in public policy and community well-being.

基于CRIME理论的康美药业财务造假分析及防范研究

随着经济的快速发展,资本市场中财务造假事件频繁发生,损害了中小股东的利益,给债权人、广大投资者乃至社会带来了巨大的损失。利用传统财务指标对舞弊手段进行识别的作用有限,提出的解决措施治标不治本。因此,需要采用系统的理论对上市公司财务舞弊进行深入分析,才能提出针对性的治理对策。本文运用CRIME舞弊行为理论,从舞弊者、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、监管机制、舞弊后果五个角度,对康美药业舞弊现象进行剖析,针对产生的问题提出了相应的预防措施,以期增强投资者的风险辨识能力。

基于CRIME理论的同济堂财务舞弊案例研究

随着社会经济的迅速发展,资本市场中财务舞弊事件频发,财务舞弊对投资者权益、公司运营及市场发展等都带来了损害。如何有效识别并防范财务舞弊发生,成为中国市场发展中亟待解决的问题。选取同济堂财务舞弊案例,基于CRIME理论对其财务舞弊成因进行识别与分析,认为公司实际控制人利用股权结构实施的违规操作是造成舞弊事件的直接原因,并面向公司和社会层面提出治理措施及建议。希望对医药行业上市公司乃至整个资本市场优化持股结构、完善治理体系、加强监督管理有一定借鉴作用。

基于CRIME理论的^(*)ST宜生财务舞弊案例研究

资本市场不断完善对我国经济发展起到重要的推动作用,但同时财务舞弊事件也层出不穷。上市公司财务舞弊行为严重侵害了投资者权益,扰乱了我国资本市场的正常运行,不利于社会经济健康发展。运用CRIME理论,分别从造假行为人、造假手段、造假动因、监督机制、造假结果5个方面对^(*)ST宜生财务舞弊事件进行分析,厘清了财务舞弊的来龙去脉,并针对性地从公司、会计师事务所和监管机制3个角度提供启示,希望对相关主体具有借鉴意义,减少财务舞弊行为的发生,肃清资本市场不良风气。

从CRIME理论看公司财务造假

随着经济的飞速发展,我国上市公司数量逐年增加,但并不是所有的上市公司都能够保持持续盈利或者在行业中占据主导地位,财务造假严重影响着正常的经济运作规律,给社会带来巨大的危害。本文从CRIME理论五个因素出发,以中信国安公司财务造假为案例,对该公司造假者、造假手段、造假动机、监管机制、最终后果进行探究,从中寻找启示。

CHART:Intelligent Crime Hotspot Detection and Real-Time Tracking Using Machine Learning

Crime hotspot detection is essential for law enforcement agencies to allocate resources effectively,predict potential criminal activities,and ensure public safety.Traditional methods of crime analysis often rely on manual,time-consuming processes that may overlook intricate patterns and correlations within the data.While some existing machine learning models have improved the efficiency and accuracy of crime prediction,they often face limitations such as overfitting,imbalanced datasets,and inadequate handling of spatiotemporal dynamics.This research proposes an advanced machine learning framework,CHART(Crime Hotspot Analysis and Real-time Tracking),designed to overcome these challenges.The proposed methodology begins with comprehensive data collection from the police database.The dataset includes detailed attributes such as crime type,location,time and demographic information.The key steps in the proposed framework include:Data Preprocessing,Feature Engineering that leveraging domain-specific knowledge to extract and transform relevant features.Heat Map Generation that employs Kernel Density Estimation(KDE)to create visual representations of crime density,highlighting hotspots through smooth data point distributions and Hotspot Detection based on Random Forest-based to predict crime likelihood in various areas.The Experimental evaluation demonstrated that CHART shows superior performance over benchmark methods,significantly improving crime detection accuracy by getting 95.24%for crime detection-I(CD-I),96.12%for crime detection-II(CD-II)and 94.68%for crime detection-III(CD-III),respectively.By designing the application with integrating sophisticated preprocessing techniques,balanced data representation,and advanced feature engineering,the proposed model provides a reliable and practical tool for real-world crime analysis.Visualization of crime hotspots enables law enforcement agencies to strategize effectively,focusing resources on high-risk areas and thereby enhancing overall crime prevention and response efforts.

A Survey of Crime Scene Investigation Image Retrieval Using Deep Learning

Crime scene investigation(CSI)image is key evidence carrier during criminal investiga-tion,in which CSI image retrieval can assist the public police to obtain criminal clues.Moreover,with the rapid development of deep learning,data-driven paradigm has become the mainstreammethod of CSI image feature extraction and representation,and in this process,datasets provideeffective support for CSI retrieval performance.However,there is a lack of systematic research onCSI image retrieval methods and datasets.Therefore,we present an overview of the existing worksabout one-class and multi-class CSI image retrieval based on deep learning.According to theresearch,based on their technical functionalities and implementation methods,CSI image retrievalis roughly classified into five categories:feature representation,metric learning,generative adversar-ial networks,autoencoder networks and attention networks.Furthermore,We analyzed the remain-ing challenges and discussed future work directions in this field.

基于CRIME理论视角下东方金钰财务舞弊分析

近年来,随着资本市场的不断完善,我国经济得到了高速发展,但与此同时伴随着上市公司财务舞弊行为的频繁发生,这不仅极大损害了投资者的利益,还严重影响了资本市场的诚信机制。因此,对上市公司财务舞弊行为进行有效识别与采取防范手段极为重要。本文以东方金钰财务造假案件为例,运用CRIME理论,分别从舞弊行为人、舞弊手段、舞弊动因、监管机制、舞弊结果五个方面对东方金钰财务舞弊事件进行分析,并针对这五个方面提出有关的建议。希望对相关研究具有借鉴意义,以减少财务舞弊行为的发生。

基于CRIME理论的财务舞弊问题研究——以Z公司为例

随着数字经济和互联网的兴起,上市公司财务舞弊现象层出不穷。本文基于CRIME理论,从财务的舞弊者、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、舞弊监管机制、舞弊结果五个方面系统分析了Z公司的财务舞弊案例,从内部防范、人员素质、外部监管三个方面提出了建议,希望对资本市场的完善有所启示。

Detection and Mapping of Violent Crime Hotspots in Southwestern Nigeria

The increasing rate of insecurity in Nigeria, especially the southwest requires a paradigm shift from popular approach to crime hotspots detection. This study employed geospatial technologies to integrate spatio-temporal crime, social media and field observation data from the communities in all the six states in the southwest to develop crime hotspots that can serve as preliminary information to assist in allocating resources for crime control and prevention. Historical crime data from January 1972 to April, 2021 were compiled and updated with rigorous field survey in September, 2021. The field data were encoded, input to the SPSS 17 and analyzed using descriptive statistics and multivariate analysis. A total 936 crime locations data were geolocated and exported to ArcGIS 10.5 for spatial mapping using point map operation and further imported to e-Spatial web-based and QGIS for the generation of hotspot map using heatmap tool. The results revealed that armed robbery, assassination and cultism were more pronounced in Lagos and Ogun States. Similarly, high incidences of farmers/herdsmen conflicts are observed in Oyo and Osun States. Increasing incidences of kidnapping are common in all the south-western states but very prominent in Ondo, Lagos and Oyo States. Most of the violent crime incidents took place along the highways, with forests being their hideouts. Violent crimes are dominantly caused by high rate of unemployment while farmer/herdsmen conflicts were majorly triggered by the scarcity of grazing fields and destruction of arable crops. The conflicts have resulted in the increasing cases of rape and disruption of social group, intake of hard drugs, cult-related activities, low income and revenue generation, and displacement of farmers and infrastructural damages. The study advocates regular retraining and equipping of security agents, establishment of cattle ranch, and installation of sophisticated IP Camera at the crime hotspots to assist in real-time crime monitoring and management.

Predicting the Type of Crime: Intelligence Gathering and Crime Analysis

Crimes are expected to rise with an increase in population and the rising gap between society’s income levels.Crimes contribute to a significant portion of the socioeconomic loss to any society,not only through its indirect damage to the social fabric and peace but also the more direct negative impacts on the economy,social parameters,and reputation of a nation.Policing and other preventive resources are limited and have to be utilized.The conventional methods are being superseded by more modern approaches of machine learning algorithms capable of making predictions where the relationships between the features and the outcomes are complex.Making it possible for such algorithms to provide indicators of specific areas that may become criminal hot-spots.These predictions can be used by policymakers and police personals alike to make effective and informed strategies that can curtail criminal activities and contribute to the nation’s development.This paper aims to predict factors that most affected crimes in Saudi Arabia by developing a machine learning model to predict an acceptable output value.Our results show that FAMD as features selection methods showed more accuracy on machine learning classifiers than the PCA method.The naïve Bayes classifier performs better than other classifiers on both features selections methods with an accuracy of 97.53%for FAMD,and PCA equals to 97.10%.

The dynamics of poverty and crime

Poverty and crime are two maladies that plague metropolitan areas. The economic theory of crime[1]demonstrates a direct correlation between poverty and crime. The model considered in this study seeks to examine the dynamics of the poverty-crime system through stability analysis of a system of ordinary differential equations in order to identify cost-effective strategies to combat crime in metropolises.

Perceptions of People on Police Efficiency and Crime Prevention in Urban Areas in Malaysia

Crime cases from snatch thefts to murders, are becoming increasingly common in Malaysia according to the database of the Royal Malaysian Police （RMP）, the current overall Crime Index in Malaysia was 147,062 for 2013 compared with 65,237 in 1977. The database also revealed that the number of property crimes reported in this country has always exceeded the number of violent crimes. Although in 2013, crimes related to property are higher （117,687） than violent crime （29,375）, the gradual increase in the latter does worry Malaysians. Likewise, Malaysian Government had implemented a ＂safe community＂ concept, inspired by the Malaysian Crime Prevention Foundation （MCPF）, a non-government organization, as they were concerned that the threat of violent crime and non-violent crime would eventually reduce the quality of life for many individuals. The concept is very important to the public as it is perceived as improved safety for the public with less crime. This study analyzes the public safety through their perceptions on the effectiveness of the policeman and suggesting few prevention actions against crime. The data were collected using a self-administered survey questionnaire. Specifically, this study focuses on the more developed states in this country. From the cross tabulation analysis, the majority of respondents agreed that the police are effective in controlling crime. Approximately, 72.1% of respondents felt that the police are efficient in controlling crime.

hate crime译名商榷

hate crime是警务英语中使用较多的一个术语,但其译名并不统一。通过追溯该术语的概念和内涵,分析比较既有译名,找出翻译过程中法律文化缺省和翻译方法不当的问题,笔者结合中外法律文化特点,采用仿译的方法,提出新的译名。

The Discussion of the Compensation Ability Terms on Traffic Accident Crime

In 2000, the interpretation of the specific application of law on the trial of traffic accident criminal cases was issued by the Supreme People＇ s court. The second article and the fourth article in the judicial interpretation take the ＂no ability of the amount of compensation＂ as conviction and aggravated punishment standard after the traffic accident, causing the academic community fierce controversy. This article briefly states the publishing background, applicable conditions, defects and its positive significance of the two provisions. This paper nresents the immature modification suggestions for the two nrovisions.

基于CRIME五因素论的ST公司财务舞弊识别

ST公司财务舞弊对我国资本市场造成了不小的负面影响。本文以舞弊动因"CRIME"五因素论为基石,选取可能影响舞弊的22个指标,并使用3年的数据对30对ST公司舞弊与非舞弊样本做了t检验、Wilcoxon符号秩检验、Logistic回归,建立的识别模型综合正确率达到81.7%。通过对模型进行稳健性检验,结果表明,识别舞弊样本的正确率为77.3%,说明该模型具有良好的应用效果。

Monitoring and Early Warning of New Cyber-Telecom Crime Platform Based on BERT Migration Learning

The network is a major platform for implementing new cyber-telecom crimes.Therefore,it is important to carry out monitoring and early warning research on new cyber-telecom crime platforms,which will lay the foundation for the establishment of prevention and control systems to protect citizens’property.However,the deep-learning methods applied in the monitoring and early warning of new cyber-telecom crime platforms have some apparent drawbacks.For instance,the methods suffer from data-distribution differences and tremendous manual efforts spent on data labeling.Therefore,a monitoring and early warning method for new cyber-telecom crime platforms based on the BERT migration learning model is proposed.This method first identifies the text data and their tags,and then performs migration training based on a pre-training model.Finally,the method uses the fine-tuned model to predict and classify new cyber-telecom crimes.Experimental analysis on the crime data collected by public security organizations shows that higher classification accuracy can be achieved using the proposed method,compared with the deep-learning method.

瑞幸咖啡财务舞弊事件分析——基于CRIME模型

移动互联网时代给了企业前所未有的创新和实践的机会,但伴随的是诸多的不确定性,商业模式的创新给企业带来全新盈利模式的同时也隐藏着巨大风险。瑞幸造假事件给我们思考资本逐利本性、监管的缺位提供了一个很好的样本。文章通过财务舞弊理论——CRIME模型,从舞弊行为人、舞弊手段、舞弊动机、监管机制以及结果五个方面来对瑞幸财务舞弊事件进行了全面分析,认为瑞幸造假事件的发生除了创始人陆正耀"一股独大"造成的公司内部管理失衡外,还在于中介机构和政府层面的监管存在疏漏,因此,要借此次瑞幸造假事件,反思自身的不足,加大企业欺诈的犯罪成本。

基于CRIME理论的财务舞弊案例分析——以康美药业为例

康美药业财务舞弊案作为A股史上最大的财务舞弊案,一直备受市场关注。文章基于CRIME理论,从舞弊行为人、舞弊手段、舞弊激励、监管机制、结果五个方面系统全面地分析了康美药业财务舞弊案,并从内部监管与外部监管两方面提出建议。

Quantitative Analysis of Crime Incidents in Chicago Using Data Analytics Techniques

In this paper we aim to identify certain social factors that influence,and thus can be used to predict,the occurrence of crimes.The factors under consideration for this analytic are social demographics such as age,sex,poverty,etc.,train ridership,traffic density and the number of business licenses per community area in Chicago,IL.A factor will be considered pertinent if there is high correlation between it and the number of crimes of a particular type in that community area.