Asymptotic normality of error density estimator in stationary and explosive autoregressive models

In this paper,we consider the limit distribution of the error density function estima-tor in the rst-order autoregressive models with negatively associated and positively associated random errors.Under mild regularity assumptions,some asymptotic normality results of the residual density estimator are obtained when the autoregressive models are stationary process and explosive process.In order to illustrate these results,some simulations such as con dence intervals and mean integrated square errors are provided in this paper.It shows that the residual density estimator can replace the density\estimator"which contains errors.

Enhancing microseismic/acoustic emission source localization accuracy with an outlier-robust kernel density estimation approach

Monitoring sensors in complex engineering environments often record abnormal data,leading to significant positioning errors.To reduce the influence of abnormal arrival times,we introduce an innovative,outlier-robust localization method that integrates kernel density estimation(KDE)with damping linear correction to enhance the precision of microseismic/acoustic emission(MS/AE)source positioning.Our approach systematically addresses abnormal arrival times through a three-step process:initial location by 4-arrival combinations,elimination of outliers based on three-dimensional KDE,and refinement using a linear correction with an adaptive damping factor.We validate our method through lead-breaking experiments,demonstrating over a 23%improvement in positioning accuracy with a maximum error of 9.12 mm(relative error of 15.80%)—outperforming 4 existing methods.Simulations under various system errors,outlier scales,and ratios substantiate our method’s superior performance.Field blasting experiments also confirm the practical applicability,with an average positioning error of 11.71 m(relative error of 7.59%),compared to 23.56,66.09,16.95,and 28.52 m for other methods.This research is significant as it enhances the robustness of MS/AE source localization when confronted with data anomalies.It also provides a practical solution for real-world engineering and safety monitoring applications.

A Weakly-Supervised Crowd Density Estimation Method Based on Two-Stage Linear Feature Calibration

In a crowd density estimation dataset,the annotation of crowd locations is an extremely laborious task,and they are not taken into the evaluation metrics.In this paper,we aim to reduce the annotation cost of crowd datasets,and propose a crowd density estimation method based on weakly-supervised learning,in the absence of crowd position supervision information,which directly reduces the number of crowds by using the number of pedestrians in the image as the supervised information.For this purpose,we design a new training method,which exploits the correlation between global and local image features by incremental learning to train the network.Specifically,we design a parent-child network(PC-Net)focusing on the global and local image respectively,and propose a linear feature calibration structure to train the PC-Net simultaneously,and the child network learns feature transfer factors and feature bias weights,and uses the transfer factors and bias weights to linearly feature calibrate the features extracted from the Parent network,to improve the convergence of the network by using local features hidden in the crowd images.In addition,we use the pyramid vision transformer as the backbone of the PC-Net to extract crowd features at different levels,and design a global-local feature loss function(L2).We combine it with a crowd counting loss(LC)to enhance the sensitivity of the network to crowd features during the training process,which effectively improves the accuracy of crowd density estimation.The experimental results show that the PC-Net significantly reduces the gap between fullysupervised and weakly-supervised crowd density estimation,and outperforms the comparison methods on five datasets of Shanghai Tech Part A,ShanghaiTech Part B,UCF_CC_50,UCF_QNRF and JHU-CROWD++.

An Enhanced Multiview Transformer for Population Density Estimation Using Cellular Mobility Data in Smart City

This paper addresses the problem of predicting population density leveraging cellular station data.As wireless communication devices are commonly used,cellular station data has become integral for estimating population figures and studying their movement,thereby implying significant contributions to urban planning.However,existing research grapples with issues pertinent to preprocessing base station data and the modeling of population prediction.To address this,we propose methodologies for preprocessing cellular station data to eliminate any irregular or redundant data.The preprocessing reveals a distinct cyclical characteristic and high-frequency variation in population shift.Further,we devise a multi-view enhancement model grounded on the Transformer(MVformer),targeting the improvement of the accuracy of extended time-series population predictions.Comparative experiments,conducted on the above-mentioned population dataset using four alternate Transformer-based models,indicate that our proposedMVformer model enhances prediction accuracy by approximately 30%for both univariate and multivariate time-series prediction assignments.The performance of this model in tasks pertaining to population prediction exhibits commendable results.

Maternal dietary patterns associated with bone density in Chinese lactating women and infants at 6 months postpartum:a prospective study using data from 2018-2019

This cohort study was designed to explore the relationship between maternal dietary patterns(DPs)and bone health in Chinese lactating mothers and infants.We recruited 150 lactating women at 1-month postpartum.The estimated bone mineral density(eBMD)of subjects’calcanei and the information on dietary intake were collected.After 5-month follow-up,the eBMD of mothers and their infants were measured again.Factor analysis was applied to determine maternal DPs.General linear models were used to evaluate the association between maternal DPs and maternal eBMD loss or infants’eBMD.With all potential covariates adjusted,Factor 2(high intake of whole grains,tubers,mixed beans,soybeans and soybean products,seaweeds,and nuts)showed a positive association with the changes of maternal eBMD(β=0.16,95%CI:0.005,0.310).Factor 3(high intake of soft drinks,fried foods,and puffed foods)was inversely correlated with the changes of maternal eBMD(β=-0.22,95%CI:-0.44,0.00).The changes of maternal eBMD were positively associated with 6-month infants’eBMD(β=0.34,95%CI:0.017,0.652).In conclusion,Factor 2 might contribute to the maintenance of eBMD in lactating women,while Factor 3 could exacerbate maternal eBMD loss.Additionally,the changes of maternal eBMD presented a positive correlation with 6-month infants’eBMD.

Bayesian Classifier Based on Robust Kernel Density Estimation and Harris Hawks Optimisation

In real-world applications, datasets frequently contain outliers, which can hinder the generalization ability of machine learning models. Bayesian classifiers, a popular supervised learning method, rely on accurate probability density estimation for classifying continuous datasets. However, achieving precise density estimation with datasets containing outliers poses a significant challenge. This paper introduces a Bayesian classifier that utilizes optimized robust kernel density estimation to address this issue. Our proposed method enhances the accuracy of probability density distribution estimation by mitigating the impact of outliers on the training sample’s estimated distribution. Unlike the conventional kernel density estimator, our robust estimator can be seen as a weighted kernel mapping summary for each sample. This kernel mapping performs the inner product in the Hilbert space, allowing the kernel density estimation to be considered the average of the samples’ mapping in the Hilbert space using a reproducing kernel. M-estimation techniques are used to obtain accurate mean values and solve the weights. Meanwhile, complete cross-validation is used as the objective function to search for the optimal bandwidth, which impacts the estimator. The Harris Hawks Optimisation optimizes the objective function to improve the estimation accuracy. The experimental results show that it outperforms other optimization algorithms regarding convergence speed and objective function value during the bandwidth search. The optimal robust kernel density estimator achieves better fitness performance than the traditional kernel density estimator when the training data contains outliers. The Naïve Bayesian with optimal robust kernel density estimation improves the generalization in the classification with outliers.

Consistency of kernel density estimators for causal processes

Using the blocking techniques and m-dependent methods,the asymptotic behavior of kernel density estimators for a class of stationary processes,which includes some nonlinear time series models,is investigated.First,the pointwise and uniformly weak convergence rates of the deviation of kernel density estimator with respect to its mean(and the true density function)are derived.Secondly,the corresponding strong convergence rates are investigated.It is showed,under mild conditions on the kernel functions and bandwidths,that the optimal rates for the i.i.d.density models are also optimal for these processes.

Large Deviations and Moderate Deviations for Kernel Density Estimators of Directional Data

Let fn be the non-parametric kernel density estimator of directional data based on a kernel function K and a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables taking values in d-dimensional unit sphere Sd-1. It is proved that if the kernel function is a function with bounded variation and the density function f of the random variables is continuous, then large deviation principle and moderate deviation principle for {sup x∈sd-1 ｜fn（x） - E（fn（x））｜, n ≥ 1} hold.

A KERNEL ESTIMATOR OF A DENSITY FUNCTION IN MULTIVARIATE CASE FROM RANDOMLY CENSORED DATA

A kernel density estimator is proposed when tile data are subject to censorship in multivariate case. The asymptotic normality, strong convergence and asymptotic optimal bandwidth which minimize the mean square error of the estimator are studied.

Asymptotic Normality of Wavelet Density Estimator under Censored Dependent Observations

In this paper, we discuss the asymptotic normality of the wavelet estimator of the density function based on censored data, when the survival and the censoring times form a stationary α-mixing sequence. To simulate the distribution of estimator such that it is easy to perform statistical inference for the density function, a random weighted estimator of the density function is also constructed and investigated. Finite sample behavior of the estimator is investigated via simulations too.

Density Estimation Using Gumbel Kernel Estimator

In this article, our proposed kernel estimator, named as Gumbel kernel, which broadened the class of non-negative, asymmetric kernel density estimators. Such kernel estimator can be used in nonparametric estimation of the probability density function (pdf). When the density functions have limited bounded support on [0, ∞) and they are liberated of boundary bias, always non-negative and obtain the optimal rate of convergence for the mean integrated squared error (MISE). The bias, variance and the optimal bandwidth of the proposed estimators are investigated on theoretical grounds as well as on simulation basis. Further, the applicability of the proposed estimator is compared to Weibull kernel estimator, where performance of newly proposed kernel is outstanding.

ESSENTIAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DOMAIN-BASED ONE-CLASS CLASSIFIERS AND DENSITY ESTIMATION

One-class support vector machine （OCSVM） and support vector data description （SVDD） are two main domain-based one-class （kernel） classifiers. To reveal their relationship with density estimation in the case of the Gaussian kernel, OCSVM and SVDD are firstly unified into the framework of kernel density estimation, and the essential relationship between them is explicitly revealed. Then the result proves that the density estimation induced by OCSVM or SVDD is in agreement with the true density. Meanwhile, it can also reduce the integrated squared error （ISE）. Finally, experiments on several simulated datasets verify the revealed relationships.

Smart Parking Management System “MOTAH”

With a surge in the university’s student and staff population, parking problems and congestion have rapidly intensified. The recent inclusion of women drivers, particularly during official working hours, has exacerbated these challenges. This pressing issue underscores the critical necessity for a structured approach to managing university entries and overseeing parking at the gates. The proposed smart parking management system aims to address these concerns by introducing a design concept that restricts unauthorized access and provides exclusive parking privileges to authorized users. Through image processing, the system identifies available parking spaces, relaying real-time information to users via a mobile application. This comprehensive solution also generates detailed reports (daily, weekly, and monthly), aiding university safety authorities in future gate management decisions.

Multivariate Statistical Process Monitoring of an Industrial Polypropylene Catalyzer Reactor with Component Analysis and Kernel Density Estimation

Abstract Data-driven tools, such as principal component analysis （PCA） and independent component analysis （ICA） have been applied to different benchmarks as process monitoring methods. The difference between the two methods is that the components of PCA are still dependent while ICA has no orthogonality constraint and its latentvariables are independent. Process monitoring with PCA often supposes that process data or principal components is Gaussian distribution. However, this kind of constraint cannot be satisfied by several practical processes. To ex-tend the use of PCA, a nonparametric method is added to PCA to overcome the difficulty, and kernel density estimation （KDE） is rather a good choice. Though ICA is based on non-Gaussian distribution intormation, .KDE can help in the close monitoring of the data. Methods, such as PCA, ICA, PCA.with .KDE（KPCA）, and ICA with KDE,（KICA）, are demonstrated and. compared by applying them to a practical industnal Spheripol craft polypropylene catalyzer reactor instead of a laboratory emulator.

Video Scene Invariant Crowd Density Estimation Using Geographic Information Systems

Crowd density is an important factor of crowd stability.Previous crowd density estimation methods are highly dependent on the specific video scene.This paper presented a video scene invariant crowd density estimation method using Geographic Information Systems(GIS) to monitor crowd size for large areas.The proposed method mapped crowd images to GIS.Then we can estimate crowd density for each camera in GIS using an estimation model obtained by one camera.Test results show that one model obtained by one camera in GIS can be adaptively applied to other cameras in outdoor video scenes.A real-time monitoring system for crowd size in large areas based on scene invariant model has been successfully used in 'Jiangsu Qinhuai Lantern Festival,2012'.It can provide early warning information and scientific basis for safety and security decision making.

Probability distribution of wind power volatility based on the moving average method and improved nonparametric kernel density estimation

In the process of large-scale,grid-connected wind power operations,it is important to establish an accurate probability distribution model for wind farm fluctuations.In this study,a wind power fluctuation modeling method is proposed based on the method of moving average and adaptive nonparametric kernel density estimation(NPKDE)method.Firstly,the method of moving average is used to reduce the fluctuation of the sampling wind power component,and the probability characteristics of the modeling are then determined based on the NPKDE.Secondly,the model is improved adaptively,and is then solved by using constraint-order optimization.The simulation results show that this method has a better accuracy and applicability compared with the modeling method based on traditional parameter estimation,and solves the local adaptation problem of traditional NPKDE.

STOCHASTIC HEAT EQUATION WITH FRACTIONAL LAPLACIAN AND FRACTIONAL NOISE:EXISTENCE OF THE SOLUTION AND ANALYSIS OF ITS DENSITY

In this paper we study a fractional stochastic heat equation on Rd （d 〉 1） with additive noise /t u（t, x） = Dα/δ u（t, x）＋ b（u（t, x） ） ＋ WH （t, x） where D α/δ is a nonlocal fractional differential operator and W H is a Gaussian-colored noise. We show the existence and the uniqueness of the mild solution for this equation. In addition, in the case of space dimension d = 1, we prove the existence of the density for this solution and we establish lower and upper Gaussian bounds for the density by Malliavin calculus.

Deep density estimation via invertible block-triangular mapping

In this work,we develop an invertible transport map,called KRnet,for density estimation by coupling the Knothe–Rosenblatt(KR)rearrangement and the flow-based generative model,which generalizes the real-valued non-volume preserving(real NVP)model(arX-iv:1605.08803v3).The triangular structure of the KR rearrangement breaks the symmetry of the real NVP in terms of the exchange of information between dimensions,which not only accelerates the training process but also improves the accuracy significantly.We have also introduced several new layers into the generative model to improve both robustness and effectiveness,including a reformulated affine coupling layer,a rotation layer and a component-wise nonlinear invertible layer.The KRnet can be used for both density estimation and sample generation especially when the dimensionality is relatively high.Numerical experiments have been presented to demonstrate the performance of KRnet.

Multi-Layer Reconstruction Errors Autoencoding and Density Estimate for Network Anomaly Detection

Anomaly detection is an important method for intrusion detection.In recent years,unsupervised methods have been widely researched because they do not require labeling.For example,a nonlinear autoencoder can use reconstruction errors to attain the discrimination threshold.This method is not effective when the model complexity is high or the data contains noise.The method for detecting the density of compressed features in a hidden layer can be used to reduce the influence of noise on the selection of the threshold because the density of abnormal data in hidden layers is smaller than normal data.However,compressed features may lose some of the high-dimensional distribution information of the original data.In this paper,we present an efficient anomaly detection framework for unsupervised anomaly detection,which includes network data capturing,processing,feature extraction,and anomaly detection.We employ a deep autoencoder to obtain compressed features and multi-layer reconstruction errors,and feeds them the same to the Gaussian mixture model to estimate the density.The proposed approach is trained and tested on multiple current intrusion detection datasets and real network scenes,and performance indicators,namely accuracy,recall,and F1-score,are better than other autoencoder models.

Kernel density estimation and marginalized-particle based probability hypothesis density filter for multi-target tracking

In order to improve the performance of the probability hypothesis density(PHD) algorithm based particle filter(PF) in terms of number estimation and states extraction of multiple targets, a new probability hypothesis density filter algorithm based on marginalized particle and kernel density estimation is proposed, which utilizes the idea of marginalized particle filter to enhance the estimating performance of the PHD. The state variables are decomposed into linear and non-linear parts. The particle filter is adopted to predict and estimate the nonlinear states of multi-target after dimensionality reduction, while the Kalman filter is applied to estimate the linear parts under linear Gaussian condition. Embedding the information of the linear states into the estimated nonlinear states helps to reduce the estimating variance and improve the accuracy of target number estimation. The meanshift kernel density estimation, being of the inherent nature of searching peak value via an adaptive gradient ascent iteration, is introduced to cluster particles and extract target states, which is independent of the target number and can converge to the local peak position of the PHD distribution while avoiding the errors due to the inaccuracy in modeling and parameters estimation. Experiments show that the proposed algorithm can obtain higher tracking accuracy when using fewer sampling particles and is of lower computational complexity compared with the PF-PHD.