Existing studies contend that latent heating(LH)will replace sensible heating(SH)to become the dominant factor affecting the development of the Tibetan Plateau vortex(TPV)after it moves off the Tibetan Plateau(TP).How...Existing studies contend that latent heating(LH)will replace sensible heating(SH)to become the dominant factor affecting the development of the Tibetan Plateau vortex(TPV)after it moves off the Tibetan Plateau(TP).However,in the process of the TPV moving off the TP requires that the airmass traverse the eastern slope of the Tibetan Plateau(ESTP)where the topography and diabatic heating(DH)conditions rapidly change.How LH gradually replaces SH to become the dominant factor in the development of the TPV over the ESTP is still not very clear.In this paper,an analysis of a typical case of a TPV with a long life history over the ESTP is performed by using multi-sourced meteorological data and model simulations.The results show that SH from the TP surface can change the TPV-associated precipitation distribution by temperature advection after the TPV moves off the TP.The LH can then directly promote the development of the TPV and has a certain guiding effect on the track of the TPV.The SH can control the active area of LH by changing the falling area of the TPV-associated precipitation,so it still plays a key role in the development and tracking of the TPV even though it has moved out of the main body of the TP.展开更多
The thermal forcing of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) during boreal spring, which involves surface sensible heating, latent heating released by convection and radiation flux heat, is critical for the seasonal and subseaso...The thermal forcing of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) during boreal spring, which involves surface sensible heating, latent heating released by convection and radiation flux heat, is critical for the seasonal and subseasonal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon. Distinct from the situation in March and April when the TP thermal forcing is modulated by the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the North Atlantic, the present study shows that it is altered mainly by the SSTA in the Indian Ocean Basin Mode (IOBM) in May, according to in-situ observations over the TP and MERRA reanalysis data. In the positive phase of the IOBM, a local Hadley circulation is enhanced, with its ascending branch over the southwestern Indian Ocean and a descending one over the southeastern TP, leading to suppressed precipitation and weaker latent heat over the eastern TP. Meanwhile, stronger westerly flow and surface sensible heating emerges over much of the TP, along with slight variations in local net radiation flux due to cancellation between its components. The opposite trends occur in the negative phase of the IOBM. Moreover, the main associated physical processes can be validated by a series of sensitivity experiments based on an atmospheric general circulation model, FAMIL. Therefore, rather than influenced by the remote SSTAs of the northern Atlantic in the early spring, the thermal forcing of the TP is altered by the Indian Ocean SSTA in the late spring on an interannual timescale.展开更多
Global teleconnections associated with tropical convective activities were investigated, based on monthly data of 29 Northern Hemisphere winters: December, January, February, and March (DJFM). First, EOF analyses w...Global teleconnections associated with tropical convective activities were investigated, based on monthly data of 29 Northern Hemisphere winters: December, January, February, and March (DJFM). First, EOF analyses were performed on the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data to characterize the convective ac tivity variability in the tropical Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The first EOF mode of the convective activity was highly correlated with the ENSO. The second EOF mode had an east–west dipole structure, and the third EOF mode had three convective activity centers. Two distinct teleconnection patterns were identified that were associated, respectively, with the second and third EOF modes. A global primitive equation model was used to investigate the physical mechanism that causes the global circulation anoma lies. The model responses to anomalous tropical thermal forcings that mimic the EOF patterns matched the general features of the observed circulation anomalies well, and they were mainly controlled by linear processes. The importance of convective activities in the tropical Indian Ocean and western Pacific to the extended and longrange forecasting capability in the extratropics is discussed.展开更多
In this paper, the nonlinear stationary waves forced by topography and diabatic heating are investigated. It is pointed out that (1) the nonlinear interaction of different stationary waves forced only by topography mi...In this paper, the nonlinear stationary waves forced by topography and diabatic heating are investigated. It is pointed out that (1) the nonlinear interaction of different stationary waves forced only by topography might form dipole blocking in the atmosphere, this might explain the dipole blocking appeared in the Pacific and Atlantic regions; (2) the dipole blocking could not be caused by the nonlinear interaction of the different stationary waves forced by the diabatic heating alone; (3) the nonlinear interaction of the diffferent stationary waves forced by both topography and diabatic heating could initiate dipole blocking in the atmosphere. In winter, the dipole blocking mainly occurs in the west regions of the Pacific and the Atlantic, and the heat source over the western part of the two oceans is advantageous to the formation of dipole blocking in the west of two oceans. However, in summer, the dipole blocking could be formed in the east part of the two oceans, and the heat source over the eastern part of two continents is favourable for the formation of dipole blocking in the east regions of two oceans.展开更多
In early February 2023,there was severe haze on the North China Plain(NCP)that was contemporaneous with heavy rainfall over southern China,which was known as southern rainfall-northern haze(SR-NH).Based on observation...In early February 2023,there was severe haze on the North China Plain(NCP)that was contemporaneous with heavy rainfall over southern China,which was known as southern rainfall-northern haze(SR-NH).Based on observational and reanalysis data,the meteorological causes of this SR-NH event are investigated in this study using correlation analysis,dynamic diagnostics and numerical experiments.The results show that the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest(also referred to as the northeast Asian anomalous anticyclone)is responsible for the SR-NH.On the one hand,this anticyclonic anomaly leads to persistent rainfall over southern China by causing strong ascending motion in conjunction with an anomalous cyclone over the Chinese mainland and transporting large amounts of water vapor there.On the other hand,it weakens the climatological northerly winds of the NCP through the southeasterly flow,worsening the horizontal diffusion conditions of pollutants.Additionally,the atmospheric stability and relative humidity over the NCP are significantly increased by this anticyclonic anomaly.These conditions result in higher PM2.5concentrations over the NCP.Additional results suggest that this anticyclonic anomaly is related to diabatic heating released by rainfall in southern China,which not only intensifies the rainfall process there(with a contribution of 11.5%)but also induces an anticyclonic anomaly in the upper troposphere of the Pacific Northwest(i.e.,200 hPa).The rainfall-related anticyclonic anomaly reinforces the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest caused by large-scale circulation(with a contribution of 27%)and thus affects haze over the NCP.This study provides a new reference for understanding the contribution of rainfall in southern China to haze over the NCP.展开更多
Based on the 4 times daily 0.75°× 0.75° ERA-Interim data, the structural evolution of a Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau horizontal (east-west-oriented) shear line (TSL) during 15-19 August 2015 and the effe...Based on the 4 times daily 0.75°× 0.75° ERA-Interim data, the structural evolution of a Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau horizontal (east-west-oriented) shear line (TSL) during 15-19 August 2015 and the effect of diabatic heating on its evolution were analyzed. The results show that the TSL possessed a vertical thickness of up to 1.5 km (approxim-ately 600-450 hPa), and was baroclinic in nature. Weak ascending motions occurred near the TSL, accompanied with more significant gradients in dew point temperature than in temperature. The TSL was characterized by diurnal vari- ations in its appearance and structure. It was relatively full in shape (broken) and was the lowest (highest) in vertical extent at 0000 (1800) UTC, and veered clockwise (anticlockwise) dttring 0000--0600 (1200-1800) UTC. When the north-south span of the TSL increased, it was prone to fracturing; and it disappeared when the dew point temperat-ure gradients to its either side decreased. When the TSL moved northward (southward), its western (eastern) section broke up, while the eastern (western) section inclined to regenerate or merge. The TSL tended to move towards the positive vorticity areas with significant increases in vorticity. When the positive vorticity center moved down, the height of TSL decreased. Further analysis shows that the plateau surface heating dominated the vorticity attribute of the TSL and its movement, with different contributions from local variation, horizontal advection, and vertical advec-tion of the diabatic heating to the TSL at different heights.展开更多
In the existing studies on the atmospheric energy cycle, the attention to thegeneration of available potential energy (APE) is restricted to its global mean value. Thegeographical distributions of the generation of AP...In the existing studies on the atmospheric energy cycle, the attention to thegeneration of available potential energy (APE) is restricted to its global mean value. Thegeographical distributions of the generation of APE and its mechanism of formation are investigatedby using the three-dimensional NCEP/NCAR diabatic heating reanalysis in this study. The results showthat the contributions from sensible heating and net radiation to the generation of zonal andtime-mean APE (G_Z) are mainly located in high and middle latitudes with an opposite sign, while thelatent heating shows a dominant effect on G_Z mainly in the tropics and high latitudes where thecontributions from the middle and upper tropospheres are also contrary to that from the lowtroposphere. In high latitudes, the G_Z is much stronger for the Winter Hemisphere than for theSummer Hemisphere, and this is consistent with the asymmetrical feature shown by the reservoir ofzonal and time-mean APE in two hemispheres, which suggests that the generation of APE plays afundamental role in maintaining the APE in the global atmospheric energy cycle. The samecontributions to the generation of stationary eddy APE (G_(SE)) from the different regions relatedto the maintenance of longitudinal temperature contrast are likely arisen by different physics.Specifically, the positive contributions to G_(SE) from the latent heating in the western tropicalPacific and from the sensible heating over land are dominated by the heating at warm regions,whereas those from the latent heating in the eastern tropical Pacific and from the sensitive heatingover the oceans are dominated by the cooling at cold regions. Thus, our findings provide anobservational estimate of the generation of eddy APE to identify the regional contributions in theclimate simulations because it might be correct for the wrong reasons in the general circulationmodel (GCM). The largest positive contributions to the generation of transient eddy APE (G_(TE)) arefound to be at middle latitudes in the middle and upper tropospheres, where reside the strong localcontributions to the baroclinic conversion from transient eddy APE to transient eddy kinetic energyand the resulting transient eddy kinetic energy.展开更多
Based on the daily NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data,the position variation of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) in June 2005 and its relation to the diabatic heating in the subtropical East Asia are analyzed using...Based on the daily NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data,the position variation of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) in June 2005 and its relation to the diabatic heating in the subtropical East Asia are analyzed using the complete vertical vorticity equation.The results show that the position variation of the WPSH is indeed associated with the diabatic heating in the subtropical East Asian areas.In comparison with June climatology,stronger heating on the north side of the WPSH and relatively weak ITCZ(intertropical convergence zone) convection on the south side of the WPSH occurred in June 2005.Along with the northward movement of the WPSH,the convective latent heating extended northward from the south side of the WPSH.The heating to the west of the WPSH was generally greater than that inside the WPSH,and each significant enhancement of the heating field corresponded to a subsequent westward extension of the WPSH.In the mid troposphere,the vertical variation of heating on the north of the WPSH was greater than the climatology,which is unfavorable for the northward movement of the WPSH.On the other hand,the vertical variation of heating south of the WPSH was largely smaller than the climatology,which is favorable for the anomalous increase of anticyclonic vorticity,leading to the southward retreat of the WPSH.Before the westward extension of the WPSH in late June 2005,the vertical variation of heating rates to(in) the west(east) of the WPSH was largely higher(lower) than the climatology,which is in favor of the increase of anticyclonic(cyclonic) vorticity to(in) the west(east) of the WPSH,inducing the subsequent westward extension of the WPSH.Similar features appeared in the lower troposphere.In a word,the heating on the north-south,east-west of the WPSH worked together,resulting in the WPSH extending more southward and westward in June 2005,which is favorable to the maintenance of the rainbelt in South China.展开更多
The effect of the horizontal variation of diabatic heating on the tropicalcyclone intensity and structure is studied in this paper. According to the potential vorticity (PV)equation in axis-symmetric cylindrical coord...The effect of the horizontal variation of diabatic heating on the tropicalcyclone intensity and structure is studied in this paper. According to the potential vorticity (PV)equation in axis-symmetric cylindrical coordinates, PV disturbance caused by the radial differenceof diabatic heating is positive (negative) inside (outside) the maximum heating radius, implyingthat the radial nonuniformity of diabatic heating should contribute positively to the intensity of atropical cyclone while negatively to its size. A primitive equation model is then used to get somequantitative ideas on the problem. Results show that the modeled tropical cyclone weakens by about20% but is larger in size if the effect of horizontal variety of convective heating is excluded inthermodynamic and dynamic equations. The PV disturbance originated from the horizontal nonuniformityof diabatic heating is positive inside the maximum heating radius and negative outside, inconsistent with the PV equation analyses. The maximum disturbance (both negative and positive)appears around the maximum heating level and their magnitude is comparable to that generated byvertical variance of heating. It is concluded that the effect of the horizontal heat nonuniformityon the intensity and structure of TC cannot be neglected.展开更多
Based on the tropical cyclone(TC)asymmetric disturbance as the superposition of the symmetric environmental circulation,the analytical solution of travelling wave is given by using the barotropical nondivergent model ...Based on the tropical cyclone(TC)asymmetric disturbance as the superposition of the symmetric environmental circulation,the analytical solution of travelling wave is given by using the barotropical nondivergent model with diabatic heating forcing and non-friction in a plane polar coordinate.Then,the TC radial inhomogeneous structure is analyzed on radial/tangential velocity and geopotential height.It is found that the different kinds of structures are influenced by the Coriolis parameter(f),TC intensity(Ω),disturbance circular frequency(ω),and TC angular wavenumber(m).And,the diabatic heating(Q_1)has significant impacts on the radial/tangential velocity distribution shaped like the inner-tight and outer-relaxed.展开更多
Explosive cyclones(ECs)occur frequently over the Kuroshio/Kuroshio Extension region.The most rapidly intensified EC over the Kuroshio/Kuroshio Extension region during the 42 years(1979-2020)of cold seasons(October-Apr...Explosive cyclones(ECs)occur frequently over the Kuroshio/Kuroshio Extension region.The most rapidly intensified EC over the Kuroshio/Kuroshio Extension region during the 42 years(1979-2020)of cold seasons(October-April)was studied to reveal the variations of the key factors at different explosive-developing stages.This EC had weak low-level baroclinicity,mid-level cyclonic-vorticity advection,and strong low-level water vapor convergence at the initial explosive-developing stage.The low-level baroclinicity and mid-level cyclonic-vorticity advection increased substantially during the maximum-deepening-rate stage.The diagnostic analyses using the Zwack-Okossi equation showed that diabatic heating was the main contributor to the initial rapid intensification of this EC.The cyclonic-vorticity advection and warm-air advection enhanced rapidly in the middle and upper troposphere and contributed to the maximum rapid intensification,whereas the diabatic heating weakened slightly in the mid-low troposphere.The relative contribution of the diabatic heating decreased from the initial explosive-developing stage to the maximum-deepening-rate stage due to the enhancement of other factors(the cyclonic-vorticity advection and warm-air advection).Furthermore,the physical factors contributing to this EC varied with the explosive-developing stage.The non-key factors at the initial explosive-developing stage need attention to forecast the rapid intensification.展开更多
The movement speed of Typhoon In-Fa(2021)was notably slow,at 10 km h-1or less,for over 20 hours following its landfall in Zhejiang,China,in contrast to other typhoons that have made landfall.This study examines the fa...The movement speed of Typhoon In-Fa(2021)was notably slow,at 10 km h-1or less,for over 20 hours following its landfall in Zhejiang,China,in contrast to other typhoons that have made landfall.This study examines the factors contributing to the slow movement of Typhoon In-Fa,including the steering flow,diabatic heating,vertical wind shear(VWS),and surface synoptic situation,by comparing it with Typhoons Yagi(2018)and Rumbia(2018)which followed similar tracks.The findings reveal that the movement speed of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia is most closely associated with their respective 500 h Pa environmental winds,with a steering flow of 10^(-12)m s^(-1).In contrast,Typhoon InFa’s movement speed is most strongly correlated with the 850 h Pa environmental wind field,with a steering flow speed of only 2 m s^(-1).Furthermore,as Typhoon In-Fa moves northwest after landfall,its intensity is slightly greater than that of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia,and the pressure gradient in front of Typhoon In-Fa is notably smaller,leading to its slow movement.Additionally,the precipitation distribution of Typhoon In-Fa differs from that of the other two typhoons,resulting in a weak asymmetry of wavenumber-1 diabatic heating,which indirectly affects its movement speed.Further analysis indicates that VWS can alter the typhoon’s structure,weaken its intensity,and ultimately impact its movement.展开更多
Based on ERA5 reanalysis data,the present study analyzed the thermal energy development mechanism and kinetic energy conversion characteristics of two extreme rainstorm processes in relation to the shallow southwest v...Based on ERA5 reanalysis data,the present study analyzed the thermal energy development mechanism and kinetic energy conversion characteristics of two extreme rainstorm processes in relation to the shallow southwest vortex in the warm-sector during a“rain-generated vortex”process and the deep southwest vortex in a“vortex-generated rain”process.The findings were as follows:(1)During the extreme rainstorm on August 11,2020(hereinafter referred to as the“8·11”process),intense surface heating and a high-energy unstable environment were observed.The mesoscale convergence system triggered convection to produce heavy rainfall,and the release of latent condensation heat generated by the rainfall promoted the formation of a southwest vortex.The significant increase(decrease)in atmospheric diabatic heating and kinetic energy preceded the increase(decrease)in vorticity.By contrast,the extreme rainstorm on August 16,2020(hereinafter referred to as the“8·16”process)involved the generation of southwest vortex in a low-energy and highhumidity environment.The dynamic uplift of the southwest vortex triggered rainfall,and the release of condensation latent heat from rainfall further strengthened the development of the southwest vortex.The significant increase(decrease)in atmospheric diabatic heating and kinetic energy exhibited a delayed progression compared to the increase(decrease)in vorticity.(2)The heating effect around the southwest vortex region was non-uniform,and the heating intensity varied in different stages.In the“8·11”process,the heating effect was the strongest in the initial stage,but weakened during the vortex's development.On the contrary,the heating effect was initially weak in the“8·16”process,and intensified during the development stage.(3)The available potential energy of the“8·11”process significantly increased in kinetic energy converted from rotational and divergent winds through baroclinic action,and the divergent wind energy continued to convert into rotational wind energy.By contrast,the“8·16”process involved the conversion of rotational wind energy into divergent wind energy,which in turn converted kinetic energy back into available potential energy,thereby impeding the further development and maintenance of the southwest vortex.展开更多
Seasonal forecasting of the Indian summer monsoon by dynamically downscaling the CFSv2 output using a high resolution WRF model over the hindcast period of 1982-2008 has been performed in this study. The April start e...Seasonal forecasting of the Indian summer monsoon by dynamically downscaling the CFSv2 output using a high resolution WRF model over the hindcast period of 1982-2008 has been performed in this study. The April start ensemble mean of the CFSv2 has been used to provide the initial and lateral boundary conditions for driving the WRF. The WRF model is integrated from 1st May through 1st October for each monsoon season. The analysis suggests that the WRF exhibits potential skill in improving the rainfall skill as well as the seasonal pattern and minimizes the meteorological errors as compared to the parent CFSv2 model. The rainfall pattern is simulated quite closer to the observation (IMD) in the WRF model over CFSv2 especially over the significant rainfall regions of India such as the Western Ghats and the central India. Probability distributions of the rainfall show that the rainfall is improved with the WRF. However, the WRF simulates copious amounts of rainfall over the eastern coast of India. Surface and upper air meteorological parameters show that the WRF model improves the simulation of the lower level and upper-level winds, MSLP, CAPE and PBL height. The specific humidity profiles show substantial improvement along the vertical column of the atmosphere which can be directly related to the net precipitable water. The CFSv2 underestimates the specific humidity along the vertical which is corrected by the WRF model. Over the Bay of Bengal, the WRF model overestimates the CAPE and specific humidity which may be attributed to the copious amount of rainfall along the eastern coast of India. Residual heating profiles also show that the WRF improves the thermodynamics of the atmosphere over 700 hPa and 400 hPa levels which helps in improving the rainfall simulation. Improvement in the land surface fluxes is also witnessed in the WRF model.展开更多
A heavy rainfall event in south China was simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model with three microphysics schemes, including the Morrison scheme, Thompson scheme, and Milbrandt and Yau scheme(MY),...A heavy rainfall event in south China was simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model with three microphysics schemes, including the Morrison scheme, Thompson scheme, and Milbrandt and Yau scheme(MY), which aim to evaluate the capability to reproduce the precipitation and radar echo reflectivity features, and to evaluate evaluate their differences in microphysics and the associated thermodynamical and dynamical feedback. Results show that all simulations reproduce the main features crucial for rainfall formation. Compared with the observation, the MY scheme performed better than the other two schemes in terms of intensity and spatial distribution of rainfall. Due to abundant water vapor, the accretion of cloud droplets by raindrops was the dominant process in the growth of raindrops while the contribution of melting was a secondary effect. Riming processes, in which frozen hydrometeors collect cloud droplets mainly, contributed more to the growth of frozen hydrometeors than the Bergeron process. Extremely abundant snow and ice were produced in the Thompson and MY schemes respectively by a deposition process. The MY scheme has the highest condensation and evaporation, but the lowest deposition. As a result, in the MY scheme, the enhanced vertical gradient of condensation heating and evaporation cooling at low levels produces strong positive and weak negative potential vorticity in Guangdong, and may favor the formation of the enhanced rainfall center over there.展开更多
A strong (weak) East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is usually concurrent with the tripole pattern of North Atlantic SST anomalies on the interannual timescale during summer, which has positive (negative) SST anoma...A strong (weak) East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is usually concurrent with the tripole pattern of North Atlantic SST anomalies on the interannual timescale during summer, which has positive (negative) SST anomalies in the northwestern North Atlantic and negative (positive) SST anomalies in the subpolar and tropical ocean. The mechanisms responsible for this linkage are diagnosed in the present study. It is shown that a barotropie wave-train pattern occurring over the Atlantic-Eurasia region likely acts as a link between the EASM and the SST tripole during summer. This wave-train pattern is concurrent with geopotential height anomalies over the Ural Mountains, which has a substantial effect on the EASM. Diagnosis based on observations and linear dynamical model results reveals that the mechanism for maintaining the wave-train pattern involves both the anomalous diabatic heating and synoptic eddy-vorticity forcing. Since the North Atlantic SST tripole is closely coupled with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the relationships between these two factors and the EASM are also examined. It is found that the connection of the EASM with the summer SST tripole is sensitive to the meridional location of the tripole, which is characterized by large seasonal variations due to the north-south movement of the activity centers of the NAO. The SST tripole that has a strong relationship with the EASM appears to be closely coupled with the NAO in the previous spring rather than in the simultaneous summer.展开更多
The climatic features associated with the eastern China summer rainfalls (ECSR) are examined in the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model Version 3 (CCM3) of the United States of Amer...The climatic features associated with the eastern China summer rainfalls (ECSR) are examined in the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model Version 3 (CCM3) of the United States of America, and run with time-evolving sea surface temperature (SST) from September 1978 to August 1993. The CCM3 is shown to capture the salient seasonal features of ECSR. As many other climate models, however, there are some unrealistic projections of ECSR in the CCM3. The most unacceptable one is the erroneously intensified precipitation center on the east periphery of the Tibetan Plateau and its northeastward extension. The artificial strong rainfall center is fairly assessed by comparing with the products of the station rainfall data, Xie and Arkin (1996) rainfall data and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis (Gibson et al., 1997). The physical processes involved in the formation of the rainfall center are discussed. The preliminary conclusion reveals that it is the overestimated sensible heating over and around the Tibetan Plateau in the CCM3 that causes the heavy rainfall. The unreal strong surface sensible heating over the southeast and northeast of Tibetan Plateau favors the forming of a powerful subtropical anticyclone over the eastern China. The fake enclosed subtropical anticyclone center makes the moist southwest wind fasten on the east periphery of the Tibetan Plateau and extend to its northeast. In the southeast coast of China, locating on the southeast side of the subtropical anticyclone, the southwest monsoon is decreased and even replaced by northeast wind in some cases. In the CCM3, therefore, the precipitation is exaggerated on the east periphery of the Tibetan Plateau and its northeast extension and is underestimated in the southeast coast of China. Key words Eastern China summer rainfall - Model validation - Subtropical anticyclone - Diabatic heating This study was sponsored by Chinese Academy of Sciences under grant “ Hundred Talents” for “ Validation of Coupled Climate models” and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.49823002), and IAP innovation fund (No. 8-1204).展开更多
Considering the main thermal forcing factor, which is critical for the development of synoptic systems, the concept of the moist ageostrophic vector Q is introduced. A formula of the moist ageostrophic Q and the ageos...Considering the main thermal forcing factor, which is critical for the development of synoptic systems, the concept of the moist ageostrophic vector Q is introduced. A formula of the moist ageostrophic Q and the ageostrophic diabatic equation, in which the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q is taken as a single forcing term, is derived. Meanwhile, the moist ageostrophic Q is applied to diagnose a torrential rain process in North China. The results suggest that the moist ageostrophic Q can clearly reveal the system development during the torrential rain process; the corresponding relationship between the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q and the rainfall area is better than that of the vertical velocity (w) and the divergence of the dry Q; the 6-h rainfall region can be correctly drawn according to the negative area of the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q, and its precipitation is positively correlated to the magnitude of the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q. The research provides valuable information for improving short-term weather forecast.展开更多
Performances of two LASG/IAP (State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics/Institute of Atmospheric Physics) Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs), na...Performances of two LASG/IAP (State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics/Institute of Atmospheric Physics) Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs), namely GAMIL and SAMIL, in simulating the major characteristics of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet (EASWJ) in the upper troposphere are examined in this paper. The mean vertical and horizontal structures and the correspondence of the EASWJ location to the meridional temperature gradient in the upper troposphere are well simulated by two models. However, both models underestimate the EASWJ intensity in winter and summer, and are unable to simulate the bimodal distribution of the major EASWJ centers in mid-summer, relative to the observation, especially for the SAMIL model. The biases in the simulated EASWJ intensity are found to be associated with the biases of the meridional temperature gradients in the troposphere, and furthermore with the surface sensible heat flux and condensation latent heating. The models capture the major characteristics of the seasonal evolution of the diabatic heating rate averaged between 30°-45°N, and its association with the westerly jet. However, the simulated maximum diabatic heating rate in summer is located westward in comparison with the observed position, with a relatively strong diabatic heating intensity, especially in GAMIL. The biases in simulating the diabatic heating fields lead to the biases in simulating the temperature distribution in the upper troposphere, which may further affect the EASWJ simulations. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the simulation of the meridional temperature gradient as well as the diabatic heating field in the troposphere for the improvement of the EASWJ simulation by GAMIL and SAMIL models.展开更多
The simulation characteristics of the seasonal evolution of subtropical anticyclones in the Northern Hemisphere are documented for the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Spectral Version 2 (FGOALS-s2...The simulation characteristics of the seasonal evolution of subtropical anticyclones in the Northern Hemisphere are documented for the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Spectral Version 2 (FGOALS-s2), developed at the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics. An understanding of the seasonal evolution of the subtropical anticyclones is also addressed. Compared with the global analysis established by the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasts, the ERA-40 global reanalysis data, the general features of subtropical anticyclones and their evolution are simulated well in both winter and summer, while in spring a pronounced bias in the generation of the South Asia Anticyclone(SAA) exists. Its main deviation in geopotential height from the reanalysis is consistent with the bias of temperature in the troposphere. It is found that condensation heating (CO) plays a dominant role in the seasonal development of the SAA and the subtropical anticyclone over the western Pacific (SAWP) in the middle troposphere. The CO biases in the model account for the biases in the establishment of the SAA in spring and the weaker strength of the SAA and the SAWP from spring to summer. CO is persistently overestimated in the central-east tropical Pacific from winter to summer, while it is underestimated over the area from the South China Sea to the western Pacific from spring to summer. Such biases generate an illusive anticyclonic gyre in the upper troposphere above the middle Pacific and delay the generation of the SAA over South Asia in April. In mid- summer, the simulated SAA is located farther north than in the ERA-40 data owing to excessively strong surface sensible heating (SE) to the north of the Tibetan Plateau. Whereas, the two surface subtropical anticyclones in the eastern oceans during spring to summer are controlled mainly by the surface SE over the two continents in the Northern Hemisphere, which are simulated reasonably well, albeit with their centers shifted westwards owing to the weaker longwave radiation cooling in the simulation associated with much weaker local stratiform cloud. Further improvements in the related parameterization of physical processes are therefore identified.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42175002,42030611,42075013)the Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan,China(Grant No.2023NSFSC0242)the Innovation Team Fund of Southwest Regional Meteorological Center,China Meteorological Administration(Grant No.XNQYCXTD-202202)。
文摘Existing studies contend that latent heating(LH)will replace sensible heating(SH)to become the dominant factor affecting the development of the Tibetan Plateau vortex(TPV)after it moves off the Tibetan Plateau(TP).However,in the process of the TPV moving off the TP requires that the airmass traverse the eastern slope of the Tibetan Plateau(ESTP)where the topography and diabatic heating(DH)conditions rapidly change.How LH gradually replaces SH to become the dominant factor in the development of the TPV over the ESTP is still not very clear.In this paper,an analysis of a typical case of a TPV with a long life history over the ESTP is performed by using multi-sourced meteorological data and model simulations.The results show that SH from the TP surface can change the TPV-associated precipitation distribution by temperature advection after the TPV moves off the TP.The LH can then directly promote the development of the TPV and has a certain guiding effect on the track of the TPV.The SH can control the active area of LH by changing the falling area of the TPV-associated precipitation,so it still plays a key role in the development and tracking of the TPV even though it has moved out of the main body of the TP.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.91637312,41725018 and 91437219)the UK China Research & Innovation Partnership Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership(CSSP) China as part of the Newton Fund+1 种基金the Key Research Program of Frontier Sciencesthe Special Program for Applied Research on Super Computation of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)-Guangdong Joint Fund(second phase) under Grant No.U1501501
文摘The thermal forcing of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) during boreal spring, which involves surface sensible heating, latent heating released by convection and radiation flux heat, is critical for the seasonal and subseasonal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon. Distinct from the situation in March and April when the TP thermal forcing is modulated by the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the North Atlantic, the present study shows that it is altered mainly by the SSTA in the Indian Ocean Basin Mode (IOBM) in May, according to in-situ observations over the TP and MERRA reanalysis data. In the positive phase of the IOBM, a local Hadley circulation is enhanced, with its ascending branch over the southwestern Indian Ocean and a descending one over the southeastern TP, leading to suppressed precipitation and weaker latent heat over the eastern TP. Meanwhile, stronger westerly flow and surface sensible heating emerges over much of the TP, along with slight variations in local net radiation flux due to cancellation between its components. The opposite trends occur in the negative phase of the IOBM. Moreover, the main associated physical processes can be validated by a series of sensitivity experiments based on an atmospheric general circulation model, FAMIL. Therefore, rather than influenced by the remote SSTAs of the northern Atlantic in the early spring, the thermal forcing of the TP is altered by the Indian Ocean SSTA in the late spring on an interannual timescale.
基金partly supported by the Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences (CFCAS)the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC)support from the National Key Technology R&D Program of China (Grant No 2009BAC51B01)
文摘Global teleconnections associated with tropical convective activities were investigated, based on monthly data of 29 Northern Hemisphere winters: December, January, February, and March (DJFM). First, EOF analyses were performed on the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data to characterize the convective ac tivity variability in the tropical Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The first EOF mode of the convective activity was highly correlated with the ENSO. The second EOF mode had an east–west dipole structure, and the third EOF mode had three convective activity centers. Two distinct teleconnection patterns were identified that were associated, respectively, with the second and third EOF modes. A global primitive equation model was used to investigate the physical mechanism that causes the global circulation anoma lies. The model responses to anomalous tropical thermal forcings that mimic the EOF patterns matched the general features of the observed circulation anomalies well, and they were mainly controlled by linear processes. The importance of convective activities in the tropical Indian Ocean and western Pacific to the extended and longrange forecasting capability in the extratropics is discussed.
文摘In this paper, the nonlinear stationary waves forced by topography and diabatic heating are investigated. It is pointed out that (1) the nonlinear interaction of different stationary waves forced only by topography might form dipole blocking in the atmosphere, this might explain the dipole blocking appeared in the Pacific and Atlantic regions; (2) the dipole blocking could not be caused by the nonlinear interaction of the different stationary waves forced by the diabatic heating alone; (3) the nonlinear interaction of the diffferent stationary waves forced by both topography and diabatic heating could initiate dipole blocking in the atmosphere. In winter, the dipole blocking mainly occurs in the west regions of the Pacific and the Atlantic, and the heat source over the western part of the two oceans is advantageous to the formation of dipole blocking in the west of two oceans. However, in summer, the dipole blocking could be formed in the east part of the two oceans, and the heat source over the eastern part of two continents is favourable for the formation of dipole blocking in the east regions of two oceans.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2019YFA0607002)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41721004&42275191)。
文摘In early February 2023,there was severe haze on the North China Plain(NCP)that was contemporaneous with heavy rainfall over southern China,which was known as southern rainfall-northern haze(SR-NH).Based on observational and reanalysis data,the meteorological causes of this SR-NH event are investigated in this study using correlation analysis,dynamic diagnostics and numerical experiments.The results show that the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest(also referred to as the northeast Asian anomalous anticyclone)is responsible for the SR-NH.On the one hand,this anticyclonic anomaly leads to persistent rainfall over southern China by causing strong ascending motion in conjunction with an anomalous cyclone over the Chinese mainland and transporting large amounts of water vapor there.On the other hand,it weakens the climatological northerly winds of the NCP through the southeasterly flow,worsening the horizontal diffusion conditions of pollutants.Additionally,the atmospheric stability and relative humidity over the NCP are significantly increased by this anticyclonic anomaly.These conditions result in higher PM2.5concentrations over the NCP.Additional results suggest that this anticyclonic anomaly is related to diabatic heating released by rainfall in southern China,which not only intensifies the rainfall process there(with a contribution of 11.5%)but also induces an anticyclonic anomaly in the upper troposphere of the Pacific Northwest(i.e.,200 hPa).The rainfall-related anticyclonic anomaly reinforces the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest caused by large-scale circulation(with a contribution of 27%)and thus affects haze over the NCP.This study provides a new reference for understanding the contribution of rainfall in southern China to haze over the NCP.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(91637105 and 41475041)National Science and Technology Support Program of China(2015BAC03B06)
文摘Based on the 4 times daily 0.75°× 0.75° ERA-Interim data, the structural evolution of a Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau horizontal (east-west-oriented) shear line (TSL) during 15-19 August 2015 and the effect of diabatic heating on its evolution were analyzed. The results show that the TSL possessed a vertical thickness of up to 1.5 km (approxim-ately 600-450 hPa), and was baroclinic in nature. Weak ascending motions occurred near the TSL, accompanied with more significant gradients in dew point temperature than in temperature. The TSL was characterized by diurnal vari- ations in its appearance and structure. It was relatively full in shape (broken) and was the lowest (highest) in vertical extent at 0000 (1800) UTC, and veered clockwise (anticlockwise) dttring 0000--0600 (1200-1800) UTC. When the north-south span of the TSL increased, it was prone to fracturing; and it disappeared when the dew point temperat-ure gradients to its either side decreased. When the TSL moved northward (southward), its western (eastern) section broke up, while the eastern (western) section inclined to regenerate or merge. The TSL tended to move towards the positive vorticity areas with significant increases in vorticity. When the positive vorticity center moved down, the height of TSL decreased. Further analysis shows that the plateau surface heating dominated the vorticity attribute of the TSL and its movement, with different contributions from local variation, horizontal advection, and vertical advec-tion of the diabatic heating to the TSL at different heights.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 40175028 and 40475045.
文摘In the existing studies on the atmospheric energy cycle, the attention to thegeneration of available potential energy (APE) is restricted to its global mean value. Thegeographical distributions of the generation of APE and its mechanism of formation are investigatedby using the three-dimensional NCEP/NCAR diabatic heating reanalysis in this study. The results showthat the contributions from sensible heating and net radiation to the generation of zonal andtime-mean APE (G_Z) are mainly located in high and middle latitudes with an opposite sign, while thelatent heating shows a dominant effect on G_Z mainly in the tropics and high latitudes where thecontributions from the middle and upper tropospheres are also contrary to that from the lowtroposphere. In high latitudes, the G_Z is much stronger for the Winter Hemisphere than for theSummer Hemisphere, and this is consistent with the asymmetrical feature shown by the reservoir ofzonal and time-mean APE in two hemispheres, which suggests that the generation of APE plays afundamental role in maintaining the APE in the global atmospheric energy cycle. The samecontributions to the generation of stationary eddy APE (G_(SE)) from the different regions relatedto the maintenance of longitudinal temperature contrast are likely arisen by different physics.Specifically, the positive contributions to G_(SE) from the latent heating in the western tropicalPacific and from the sensible heating over land are dominated by the heating at warm regions,whereas those from the latent heating in the eastern tropical Pacific and from the sensitive heatingover the oceans are dominated by the cooling at cold regions. Thus, our findings provide anobservational estimate of the generation of eddy APE to identify the regional contributions in theclimate simulations because it might be correct for the wrong reasons in the general circulationmodel (GCM). The largest positive contributions to the generation of transient eddy APE (G_(TE)) arefound to be at middle latitudes in the middle and upper tropospheres, where reside the strong localcontributions to the baroclinic conversion from transient eddy APE to transient eddy kinetic energyand the resulting transient eddy kinetic energy.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (40975057)National Key Technology R&D Program(2007BAC29B02 and 2009BAC51B01)+1 种基金Ph.D. Program Fund of the Ministry of Education of China (20093228120001)Qing Lan Project of Jiangsu Province
文摘Based on the daily NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data,the position variation of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) in June 2005 and its relation to the diabatic heating in the subtropical East Asia are analyzed using the complete vertical vorticity equation.The results show that the position variation of the WPSH is indeed associated with the diabatic heating in the subtropical East Asian areas.In comparison with June climatology,stronger heating on the north side of the WPSH and relatively weak ITCZ(intertropical convergence zone) convection on the south side of the WPSH occurred in June 2005.Along with the northward movement of the WPSH,the convective latent heating extended northward from the south side of the WPSH.The heating to the west of the WPSH was generally greater than that inside the WPSH,and each significant enhancement of the heating field corresponded to a subsequent westward extension of the WPSH.In the mid troposphere,the vertical variation of heating on the north of the WPSH was greater than the climatology,which is unfavorable for the northward movement of the WPSH.On the other hand,the vertical variation of heating south of the WPSH was largely smaller than the climatology,which is favorable for the anomalous increase of anticyclonic vorticity,leading to the southward retreat of the WPSH.Before the westward extension of the WPSH in late June 2005,the vertical variation of heating rates to(in) the west(east) of the WPSH was largely higher(lower) than the climatology,which is in favor of the increase of anticyclonic(cyclonic) vorticity to(in) the west(east) of the WPSH,inducing the subsequent westward extension of the WPSH.Similar features appeared in the lower troposphere.In a word,the heating on the north-south,east-west of the WPSH worked together,resulting in the WPSH extending more southward and westward in June 2005,which is favorable to the maintenance of the rainbelt in South China.
基金Sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 49975014, 40275018 and 40333025.
文摘The effect of the horizontal variation of diabatic heating on the tropicalcyclone intensity and structure is studied in this paper. According to the potential vorticity (PV)equation in axis-symmetric cylindrical coordinates, PV disturbance caused by the radial differenceof diabatic heating is positive (negative) inside (outside) the maximum heating radius, implyingthat the radial nonuniformity of diabatic heating should contribute positively to the intensity of atropical cyclone while negatively to its size. A primitive equation model is then used to get somequantitative ideas on the problem. Results show that the modeled tropical cyclone weakens by about20% but is larger in size if the effect of horizontal variety of convective heating is excluded inthermodynamic and dynamic equations. The PV disturbance originated from the horizontal nonuniformityof diabatic heating is positive inside the maximum heating radius and negative outside, inconsistent with the PV equation analyses. The maximum disturbance (both negative and positive)appears around the maximum heating level and their magnitude is comparable to that generated byvertical variance of heating. It is concluded that the effect of the horizontal heat nonuniformityon the intensity and structure of TC cannot be neglected.
基金This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(40175019,49975014).
文摘Based on the tropical cyclone(TC)asymmetric disturbance as the superposition of the symmetric environmental circulation,the analytical solution of travelling wave is given by using the barotropical nondivergent model with diabatic heating forcing and non-friction in a plane polar coordinate.Then,the TC radial inhomogeneous structure is analyzed on radial/tangential velocity and geopotential height.It is found that the different kinds of structures are influenced by the Coriolis parameter(f),TC intensity(Ω),disturbance circular frequency(ω),and TC angular wavenumber(m).And,the diabatic heating(Q_1)has significant impacts on the radial/tangential velocity distribution shaped like the inner-tight and outer-relaxed.
基金jointly funded by the State Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42130605)the Major Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72293604)+5 种基金the Youth Innovative Talents Program of Guangdong Colleges and Universities(No.2022KQNCX026)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong(No.ZR2022MD038)the Project of Enhancing School with Innovation of Guangdong Ocean University(No.230419106)the State Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42130605)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42275001,42276019,42205014,and 42275017)the Guangdong Ocean University Ph.D.Scientific Research Program(No.R19045).
文摘Explosive cyclones(ECs)occur frequently over the Kuroshio/Kuroshio Extension region.The most rapidly intensified EC over the Kuroshio/Kuroshio Extension region during the 42 years(1979-2020)of cold seasons(October-April)was studied to reveal the variations of the key factors at different explosive-developing stages.This EC had weak low-level baroclinicity,mid-level cyclonic-vorticity advection,and strong low-level water vapor convergence at the initial explosive-developing stage.The low-level baroclinicity and mid-level cyclonic-vorticity advection increased substantially during the maximum-deepening-rate stage.The diagnostic analyses using the Zwack-Okossi equation showed that diabatic heating was the main contributor to the initial rapid intensification of this EC.The cyclonic-vorticity advection and warm-air advection enhanced rapidly in the middle and upper troposphere and contributed to the maximum rapid intensification,whereas the diabatic heating weakened slightly in the mid-low troposphere.The relative contribution of the diabatic heating decreased from the initial explosive-developing stage to the maximum-deepening-rate stage due to the enhancement of other factors(the cyclonic-vorticity advection and warm-air advection).Furthermore,the physical factors contributing to this EC varied with the explosive-developing stage.The non-key factors at the initial explosive-developing stage need attention to forecast the rapid intensification.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(ZR2021MD012)CMA Special Fund for Innovation and Development(CXFZ2023J015)。
文摘The movement speed of Typhoon In-Fa(2021)was notably slow,at 10 km h-1or less,for over 20 hours following its landfall in Zhejiang,China,in contrast to other typhoons that have made landfall.This study examines the factors contributing to the slow movement of Typhoon In-Fa,including the steering flow,diabatic heating,vertical wind shear(VWS),and surface synoptic situation,by comparing it with Typhoons Yagi(2018)and Rumbia(2018)which followed similar tracks.The findings reveal that the movement speed of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia is most closely associated with their respective 500 h Pa environmental winds,with a steering flow of 10^(-12)m s^(-1).In contrast,Typhoon InFa’s movement speed is most strongly correlated with the 850 h Pa environmental wind field,with a steering flow speed of only 2 m s^(-1).Furthermore,as Typhoon In-Fa moves northwest after landfall,its intensity is slightly greater than that of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia,and the pressure gradient in front of Typhoon In-Fa is notably smaller,leading to its slow movement.Additionally,the precipitation distribution of Typhoon In-Fa differs from that of the other two typhoons,resulting in a weak asymmetry of wavenumber-1 diabatic heating,which indirectly affects its movement speed.Further analysis indicates that VWS can alter the typhoon’s structure,weaken its intensity,and ultimately impact its movement.
基金Key Project of Joint Meteorological Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U2242202)Key Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42030611)+1 种基金Innovative Development Special Project of China Meteorological Administration (CXFZ2023J016)Innovation Team Fund of Sichuan Provincial Meteorological Service (SCQXCX7D-202201)。
文摘Based on ERA5 reanalysis data,the present study analyzed the thermal energy development mechanism and kinetic energy conversion characteristics of two extreme rainstorm processes in relation to the shallow southwest vortex in the warm-sector during a“rain-generated vortex”process and the deep southwest vortex in a“vortex-generated rain”process.The findings were as follows:(1)During the extreme rainstorm on August 11,2020(hereinafter referred to as the“8·11”process),intense surface heating and a high-energy unstable environment were observed.The mesoscale convergence system triggered convection to produce heavy rainfall,and the release of latent condensation heat generated by the rainfall promoted the formation of a southwest vortex.The significant increase(decrease)in atmospheric diabatic heating and kinetic energy preceded the increase(decrease)in vorticity.By contrast,the extreme rainstorm on August 16,2020(hereinafter referred to as the“8·16”process)involved the generation of southwest vortex in a low-energy and highhumidity environment.The dynamic uplift of the southwest vortex triggered rainfall,and the release of condensation latent heat from rainfall further strengthened the development of the southwest vortex.The significant increase(decrease)in atmospheric diabatic heating and kinetic energy exhibited a delayed progression compared to the increase(decrease)in vorticity.(2)The heating effect around the southwest vortex region was non-uniform,and the heating intensity varied in different stages.In the“8·11”process,the heating effect was the strongest in the initial stage,but weakened during the vortex's development.On the contrary,the heating effect was initially weak in the“8·16”process,and intensified during the development stage.(3)The available potential energy of the“8·11”process significantly increased in kinetic energy converted from rotational and divergent winds through baroclinic action,and the divergent wind energy continued to convert into rotational wind energy.By contrast,the“8·16”process involved the conversion of rotational wind energy into divergent wind energy,which in turn converted kinetic energy back into available potential energy,thereby impeding the further development and maintenance of the southwest vortex.
文摘Seasonal forecasting of the Indian summer monsoon by dynamically downscaling the CFSv2 output using a high resolution WRF model over the hindcast period of 1982-2008 has been performed in this study. The April start ensemble mean of the CFSv2 has been used to provide the initial and lateral boundary conditions for driving the WRF. The WRF model is integrated from 1st May through 1st October for each monsoon season. The analysis suggests that the WRF exhibits potential skill in improving the rainfall skill as well as the seasonal pattern and minimizes the meteorological errors as compared to the parent CFSv2 model. The rainfall pattern is simulated quite closer to the observation (IMD) in the WRF model over CFSv2 especially over the significant rainfall regions of India such as the Western Ghats and the central India. Probability distributions of the rainfall show that the rainfall is improved with the WRF. However, the WRF simulates copious amounts of rainfall over the eastern coast of India. Surface and upper air meteorological parameters show that the WRF model improves the simulation of the lower level and upper-level winds, MSLP, CAPE and PBL height. The specific humidity profiles show substantial improvement along the vertical column of the atmosphere which can be directly related to the net precipitable water. The CFSv2 underestimates the specific humidity along the vertical which is corrected by the WRF model. Over the Bay of Bengal, the WRF model overestimates the CAPE and specific humidity which may be attributed to the copious amount of rainfall along the eastern coast of India. Residual heating profiles also show that the WRF improves the thermodynamics of the atmosphere over 700 hPa and 400 hPa levels which helps in improving the rainfall simulation. Improvement in the land surface fluxes is also witnessed in the WRF model.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(42230612,41905071,41620104009)。
文摘A heavy rainfall event in south China was simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model with three microphysics schemes, including the Morrison scheme, Thompson scheme, and Milbrandt and Yau scheme(MY), which aim to evaluate the capability to reproduce the precipitation and radar echo reflectivity features, and to evaluate evaluate their differences in microphysics and the associated thermodynamical and dynamical feedback. Results show that all simulations reproduce the main features crucial for rainfall formation. Compared with the observation, the MY scheme performed better than the other two schemes in terms of intensity and spatial distribution of rainfall. Due to abundant water vapor, the accretion of cloud droplets by raindrops was the dominant process in the growth of raindrops while the contribution of melting was a secondary effect. Riming processes, in which frozen hydrometeors collect cloud droplets mainly, contributed more to the growth of frozen hydrometeors than the Bergeron process. Extremely abundant snow and ice were produced in the Thompson and MY schemes respectively by a deposition process. The MY scheme has the highest condensation and evaporation, but the lowest deposition. As a result, in the MY scheme, the enhanced vertical gradient of condensation heating and evaporation cooling at low levels produces strong positive and weak negative potential vorticity in Guangdong, and may favor the formation of the enhanced rainfall center over there.
基金jointly supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos. 2010CB950404, 2013CB430203, 2010CB950501 and 2012CB955901)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41205058)+1 种基金the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2012M510634)the National Science and Technology Support Program of China (Grant No. 2009BAC51B05)
文摘A strong (weak) East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is usually concurrent with the tripole pattern of North Atlantic SST anomalies on the interannual timescale during summer, which has positive (negative) SST anomalies in the northwestern North Atlantic and negative (positive) SST anomalies in the subpolar and tropical ocean. The mechanisms responsible for this linkage are diagnosed in the present study. It is shown that a barotropie wave-train pattern occurring over the Atlantic-Eurasia region likely acts as a link between the EASM and the SST tripole during summer. This wave-train pattern is concurrent with geopotential height anomalies over the Ural Mountains, which has a substantial effect on the EASM. Diagnosis based on observations and linear dynamical model results reveals that the mechanism for maintaining the wave-train pattern involves both the anomalous diabatic heating and synoptic eddy-vorticity forcing. Since the North Atlantic SST tripole is closely coupled with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the relationships between these two factors and the EASM are also examined. It is found that the connection of the EASM with the summer SST tripole is sensitive to the meridional location of the tripole, which is characterized by large seasonal variations due to the north-south movement of the activity centers of the NAO. The SST tripole that has a strong relationship with the EASM appears to be closely coupled with the NAO in the previous spring rather than in the simultaneous summer.
基金This study was sponsored by Chinese Academy of Sciences under grant " Hundred Talents" for " Validation of Coupled Climate model
文摘The climatic features associated with the eastern China summer rainfalls (ECSR) are examined in the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model Version 3 (CCM3) of the United States of America, and run with time-evolving sea surface temperature (SST) from September 1978 to August 1993. The CCM3 is shown to capture the salient seasonal features of ECSR. As many other climate models, however, there are some unrealistic projections of ECSR in the CCM3. The most unacceptable one is the erroneously intensified precipitation center on the east periphery of the Tibetan Plateau and its northeastward extension. The artificial strong rainfall center is fairly assessed by comparing with the products of the station rainfall data, Xie and Arkin (1996) rainfall data and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis (Gibson et al., 1997). The physical processes involved in the formation of the rainfall center are discussed. The preliminary conclusion reveals that it is the overestimated sensible heating over and around the Tibetan Plateau in the CCM3 that causes the heavy rainfall. The unreal strong surface sensible heating over the southeast and northeast of Tibetan Plateau favors the forming of a powerful subtropical anticyclone over the eastern China. The fake enclosed subtropical anticyclone center makes the moist southwest wind fasten on the east periphery of the Tibetan Plateau and extend to its northeast. In the southeast coast of China, locating on the southeast side of the subtropical anticyclone, the southwest monsoon is decreased and even replaced by northeast wind in some cases. In the CCM3, therefore, the precipitation is exaggerated on the east periphery of the Tibetan Plateau and its northeast extension and is underestimated in the southeast coast of China. Key words Eastern China summer rainfall - Model validation - Subtropical anticyclone - Diabatic heating This study was sponsored by Chinese Academy of Sciences under grant “ Hundred Talents” for “ Validation of Coupled Climate models” and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.49823002), and IAP innovation fund (No. 8-1204).
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.40205008 and 401350201.
文摘Considering the main thermal forcing factor, which is critical for the development of synoptic systems, the concept of the moist ageostrophic vector Q is introduced. A formula of the moist ageostrophic Q and the ageostrophic diabatic equation, in which the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q is taken as a single forcing term, is derived. Meanwhile, the moist ageostrophic Q is applied to diagnose a torrential rain process in North China. The results suggest that the moist ageostrophic Q can clearly reveal the system development during the torrential rain process; the corresponding relationship between the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q and the rainfall area is better than that of the vertical velocity (w) and the divergence of the dry Q; the 6-h rainfall region can be correctly drawn according to the negative area of the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q, and its precipitation is positively correlated to the magnitude of the divergence of the moist ageostrophic Q. The research provides valuable information for improving short-term weather forecast.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 40675041Open Research Program of State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences.
文摘Performances of two LASG/IAP (State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics/Institute of Atmospheric Physics) Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs), namely GAMIL and SAMIL, in simulating the major characteristics of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet (EASWJ) in the upper troposphere are examined in this paper. The mean vertical and horizontal structures and the correspondence of the EASWJ location to the meridional temperature gradient in the upper troposphere are well simulated by two models. However, both models underestimate the EASWJ intensity in winter and summer, and are unable to simulate the bimodal distribution of the major EASWJ centers in mid-summer, relative to the observation, especially for the SAMIL model. The biases in the simulated EASWJ intensity are found to be associated with the biases of the meridional temperature gradients in the troposphere, and furthermore with the surface sensible heat flux and condensation latent heating. The models capture the major characteristics of the seasonal evolution of the diabatic heating rate averaged between 30°-45°N, and its association with the westerly jet. However, the simulated maximum diabatic heating rate in summer is located westward in comparison with the observed position, with a relatively strong diabatic heating intensity, especially in GAMIL. The biases in simulating the diabatic heating fields lead to the biases in simulating the temperature distribution in the upper troposphere, which may further affect the EASWJ simulations. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the simulation of the meridional temperature gradient as well as the diabatic heating field in the troposphere for the improvement of the EASWJ simulation by GAMIL and SAMIL models.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.40925015)the CAS Strategic Priority Research Program(Grant No.XDA01020303)the National Program on Key Basic Research Project(Grant No.2010CB950400)
文摘The simulation characteristics of the seasonal evolution of subtropical anticyclones in the Northern Hemisphere are documented for the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Spectral Version 2 (FGOALS-s2), developed at the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics. An understanding of the seasonal evolution of the subtropical anticyclones is also addressed. Compared with the global analysis established by the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasts, the ERA-40 global reanalysis data, the general features of subtropical anticyclones and their evolution are simulated well in both winter and summer, while in spring a pronounced bias in the generation of the South Asia Anticyclone(SAA) exists. Its main deviation in geopotential height from the reanalysis is consistent with the bias of temperature in the troposphere. It is found that condensation heating (CO) plays a dominant role in the seasonal development of the SAA and the subtropical anticyclone over the western Pacific (SAWP) in the middle troposphere. The CO biases in the model account for the biases in the establishment of the SAA in spring and the weaker strength of the SAA and the SAWP from spring to summer. CO is persistently overestimated in the central-east tropical Pacific from winter to summer, while it is underestimated over the area from the South China Sea to the western Pacific from spring to summer. Such biases generate an illusive anticyclonic gyre in the upper troposphere above the middle Pacific and delay the generation of the SAA over South Asia in April. In mid- summer, the simulated SAA is located farther north than in the ERA-40 data owing to excessively strong surface sensible heating (SE) to the north of the Tibetan Plateau. Whereas, the two surface subtropical anticyclones in the eastern oceans during spring to summer are controlled mainly by the surface SE over the two continents in the Northern Hemisphere, which are simulated reasonably well, albeit with their centers shifted westwards owing to the weaker longwave radiation cooling in the simulation associated with much weaker local stratiform cloud. Further improvements in the related parameterization of physical processes are therefore identified.