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Exponential change of measure for general piecewise deterministic Markov processes 被引量:1
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作者 Zhaoyang Liu Yuying Liu Guoxin Liu 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第4期719-734,共16页
We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process(PDMP) X = {X_t}_(t≥0) with a measure-valued generator A, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily ab... We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process(PDMP) X = {X_t}_(t≥0) with a measure-valued generator A, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily absolutely continuous. A general form of the exponential martingales that are associated with X is given by■By considering this exponential martingale to be a likelihood-ratio process, we define a new probability measure and show that the process X is still a general PDMP under the new probability measure. We additionally find the new measure-valued generator and its domain. To illustrate our results, we investigate the continuous-time compound binomial model. 展开更多
关键词 exponential change of measure PIECEWISE DETERMINISTIC MARKOV process measure-valued GENERATOR STIELTJES exponential
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Fast Fourier Transform Approximation of Foreign Currency Option Pricing Based on Exponential Lévy Model
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作者 陈旭 万建平 《Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(English Edition)》 2007年第3期261-270,共10页
To study the approximation of foreign currency option prices when the underlying assets' price dynamics are described by exponential Lévy processes, the convolution representations for option pricing formulas we... To study the approximation of foreign currency option prices when the underlying assets' price dynamics are described by exponential Lévy processes, the convolution representations for option pricing formulas were given, and then the fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithm was used to get the approximate values of option prices. Finally, a numerical example was given to demonstrate the calculate steps to the option price by FFT. 展开更多
关键词 exponential Lévy model Bilateral Laplace transformation measure change Foreign currency options Fast Fourier transform
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基于重要抽样技术的稀有事件仿真方法 被引量:5
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作者 周泓 邱月 吴学静 《系统仿真学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2007年第18期4107-4110,共4页
传统的Monte Carlo方法仿真稀有事件需要较长的时间,而重要抽样技术可以有效的缩短仿真时间,提高仿真效率。因此,提出一种新的重要抽样实现方法,用来估计仿真模型中的稀有事件的概率。先选取经典的指数变换方法构造重要抽样分布类,再利... 传统的Monte Carlo方法仿真稀有事件需要较长的时间,而重要抽样技术可以有效的缩短仿真时间,提高仿真效率。因此,提出一种新的重要抽样实现方法,用来估计仿真模型中的稀有事件的概率。先选取经典的指数变换方法构造重要抽样分布类,再利用极小化重要抽样估计量方差的方法寻找最优重要抽样分布函数。仿真结果显示了该算法在估计稀有事件概率方面的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 稀有事件 重要抽样 仿真 指数变换
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随机模拟的一些新进展(英文) 被引量:1
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作者 王家礼 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第3期221-260,共40页
此综述文章介绍随机模拟方面的两个新进展:构造小概率事件估计的有效算法,产生形式不封闭的平稳分布的样本.估计一个非常小的量,需要极其准确地取定一个有用的置信区间.这使得慢收敛的小概率事件模拟在有效性和准确性两方面都成为具有... 此综述文章介绍随机模拟方面的两个新进展:构造小概率事件估计的有效算法,产生形式不封闭的平稳分布的样本.估计一个非常小的量,需要极其准确地取定一个有用的置信区间.这使得慢收敛的小概率事件模拟在有效性和准确性两方面都成为具有挑战性的任务.在此文中,我们介绍一些有趣的小概率事件例子以及在估计它们时的困难所在.然后沿着发展脉络,寻求稳健且有效的估计量的各种方法将被讨论和评估.估计破产概率的数值实验则用来显示这些方法的质量.在稳定态模拟中,如何产生平稳随机过程的样本长期以来是一个关键性课题.通常的做法是在初始的短暂时期内丢弃掉所得数据.然而,热身准备必须多长时间则成为另一个没有满意答案的问题.幸运地,经过过去二十年的发展,对一些特定的随机模型,精确模拟已经成为可能.在此文中,我们将介绍两个重要的方法及其相关的应用. 展开更多
关键词 破产概率 对数效率 测度的指数变换 重尾 次指数 重要性抽样 控制变量 条件估计量 马氏链 平稳分布 再生过程 从过去出发的耦合
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On Optimal Proportional Reinsurance and Investment in a Hidden Markov Financial Market
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作者 Qing-bin MENG Xin ZHANG Jun-na BI 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第1期53-62,共10页
This paper investigates the optimal reinsurance and investment in a hidden Markov financial market consisting of non-risky (bond) and risky (stock) asset. We assume that only the price of the risky asset can be ob... This paper investigates the optimal reinsurance and investment in a hidden Markov financial market consisting of non-risky (bond) and risky (stock) asset. We assume that only the price of the risky asset can be observed from the financial market. Suppose that the insurance company can adopt proportional reinsurance and investment in the hidden Markov financial market to reduce risk or increase profit. Our objective is to maximize the expected exponential utility of the terminal wealth of the surplus of the insurance company. By using the filtering theory, we establish the separation principle and reduce the problem to the complete information case. With the help of Girsanov change of measure and the dynamic programming approach, we characterize the value function as the unique solution of a linear parabolic partial differential equation and obtain the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function. 展开更多
关键词 hidden Markov chain exponential utility Girsanov change of measure dynamic programming.
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