80a-Oscillation of Summer Rainfall over the East Part of China and East-Asian Summer Monsoon

Relationship between summer rainfall over the east part of China and East-Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) was studied based on the summer rainfall grade data set from 1470 to 1999 and the rain gauge data set from 1951 to 1999 over the east part of China, and sea level pressure (SLP) data for the period of 1871-2000. A distinct 80a-oscillation of summer rainfall was found over North China (NC), southern part of Northeast China, over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River (YR) and South China (SC). The 80a oscillation of summer rainfall over NC was varied in phase with that over SC, and was out of phase to that along the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Summer rainfall over NC correlated negatively with the SLP averaged for the area from 105 degreesE to 120 degreesE, and from 30 degreesN to 35 degreesN, but positively to that for the area from 120 degreesE to 130 degreesE, and from 20 degreesN to 25 degreesN. Therefore, an index of EASM was defined by the difference of averaged SLP over the two regions. The summer rainfall over NC was greater than normal when the EASM was strong, and while drought occurred along the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. The drought was found over NC, and flood along the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River when the EASM was close to normal. Finally, the interdecadal variability of EASM was studied by using of long term summer rainfall grade data set over NC for the past 530 years.

CAUSATION ANALYSIS OF THE DIRECT CLIMATE EFFECTS OF ANTHROPOGENIC AEROSOL ON EAST-ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON

A regional climate model coupled with an aerosol model is employed to numerically simulate the direct climate effects of the anthropogenic aerosol emitted in South Asia and China in the East Asian summer monsoon during1988 to 2009.Based on the data of the numerical simulation,composite analysis and correlation analysis are used to make diagnostic study of climate dynamics.Results show that the month of maximum emission of the mean column burden of the anthropogenic aerosol in the main emission areas of South Asia is opposite in phase to that in China.Summer is the season of maximum emission amount in China,but the emission amounts are more in South Asia in spring and winter.On the whole,the mean column burden of the anthropogenic aerosol in China is relatively high compared with that in South Asia.The trend of distribution of aerosol is SW-NE in China,and Sichuan Basin is the emission center of aerosol.The effect of negative short wave radiative forcing alters the gradient of pressure between land and sea,weakening the development of East Asian summer monsoon over the northern part of Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin.We also discuss the feedback effect of East-Asian summer monsoon which is changed by the anthropogenic aerosol on the concentration and distribution of aerosol in China.

非结构网格空气质量模式对东亚强沙尘暴的初步模拟研究

基于中国科学院大气物理研究所自主研发的嵌套网格空气质量数值预报模式（NAQPMS）和英国帝国理工学院应用计算与建模小组（AMCG）研制的有限元流体模式（Fluidity）,构建了非结构网格沙尘传输模式（Fluidity-Dust）,并模拟再现了2010年3月19-22日东亚强沙尘暴整个暴发、演变的三维立体动态过程,从整体上对这次沙尘事件有了全新的直观认识和了解。通过利用FY-2D卫星沙尘反演资料及MODIS（Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer）卫星反演的气溶胶光学厚度（AOD）资料,可对模拟结果进行整体上对比验证;同时,利用中国9个城市站点的PM10（空气动力学当量直径小于等于10μm的颗粒物,即可吸入颗粒物）地面观测资料以及日本多个站点的激光雷达资料,逐一对比分析了不同地区PM10的时空分布以及沙尘传输经过时的垂直分布情况;并与NAQPMS模式的沙尘模拟结果进行了模式间的对比分析。对比结果均表明：该模式具有较好的模拟能力,能很好地模拟再现整个沙尘暴过程,为今后进一步运用自适应变网格技术以实现对沙尘暴的高精度追踪模拟奠定了基础。不同模式比较是量化模拟不确定性的重要方法。以往沙尘输送模式比较研究表明：起沙量模拟的不确定性是沙尘暴数值模拟的最大不确定来源。本文通过两个具有相同起沙方案的模式对同一沙尘事件的模拟,发现不同的平流方案以及不同的沉降计算也会对沙尘过程模拟产生重要影响。

A Review of Decadal/Interdecadal Climate Variation Studies in China

Decadal/interdecadal climate variability is an important element in the CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) and has received much attention in the world. Many studies in relation to interdecadal variation have also been completed by Chinese scientists in recent years. In this paper, an introduction in outline for interdecadal climate variation research in China is presented. The content includes the features of interdecadal climate variability in China, global warming and interdecadal temperature variability, the NAO (the North Atlantic Oscillation)/NPO (the North Pacific Oscillation) and interdecadal climate variation in China, the interdecadal variation of the East Asian monsoon, the interdecadal mode of SSTA (Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly) in the North Pacific and its climate impact, and abrupt change feature of the climate.

Review of the Researches on Changma and Future Observational Study(KORMEX)

Changma is the most important supplier of water resource in Korea. However, its interannual variation may cause either floods or droughts time to time in many regions of Korea. A number of studies on Changma have been done in many subjects, such as the on-set and retreat timing, duration of Changma, and its interannual variation, which may cause either wet or dry Changma, and the heavy rainfall phenomena associated with the Changma front. Also, the subjects covered the dynamical situation of Changma compared to that of Baiu and Mei-yu as a part of East Asian monsoon circulation, and relation between Changma and tropical Pacific sea-surface temperature (SST) through atmosphere-ocean interaction, etc. A numerical study is presented in this paper to check the teleconnection between the behavior of Changma front and the variation of tropical Pacific SST. The difference in the lower level streamfunction between theEl Nio event of 1987 and the La Nia event of 1988 illustrates that the cross-equatorial and westerly wind crossing over the India and Indo-China peninsula were weak during the summer of 1988 compared to 1987. This may cause the drought of 1988 in East Asia by reducing moisture supply from the Indian Ocean and the south-western Pacific. Even though there are numerous research activities on the Changma, our knowledge on the Changma is still limited to explain the mechanism of interannual variation of Changma and to provide a proper prediction of precipitation due to both geographical location of Korea and its complex topography. In collaboration with the international field observational projects, such as GAME and SCSMEX, the Korea Monsoon Experiment (KORMEX) has been planned by several scientists in Korea to improve our knowledge on the atmospheric circulation and water cycle related to the East Asian monsoon and to provide necessary information to predict both short- and long-term variation of rainfall during the Changma season.

DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSIS OF PERSISTENT DROUGHT/FLOOD EVENTS IN SUMMER OVER THE TWO-LAKE REGION OF CHINA

Based on the daily regional mean rainfall,the Z-index method is used to identify persistent flood and drought events lasting for at least 10 days over a region where Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake sit(referred to as the"two-lake region"hereafter).The National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)reanalysis data are then utilized to perform a preliminary diagnostic analysis on these events.The results indicate that the composite standardized geopotential height at 500 hPa presents two different meridional wave trains from north to south over the East Asian-Pacific region,i.e.,a"-+-"pattern for the droughts and a"+-+"pattern for the floods,respectively.The developing,maintaining and decaying phases in the drought and flood events are closely related to the intensity and location of a subtropical high and an extra-tropical blocking high.It is shown that the East Asian summer monsoon is strong(weak)with the occurrence of persistent drought(flood)events.Droughts(floods)are accompanied by a weak(strong)tropical convergent system and a strong(weak)subtropical convergent system.Furthermore,the persistent drought(flood)events are associated with a divergence(convergence)of vertically integrated water vapor flux.In the vertical profile of water vapor flux,divergence(convergence)in the mid-and lower-levels and convergence(divergence)in the higher levels are evident in the droughts(floods).Both the divergence in the droughts and the convergence in floods are strongest at 850 hPa.

INFLUENCE OF INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATION ON EAST-ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON

The impact of intraseasonal oscillation on the onset of summer monsoon in the South China Sea (SCS) region is studied by using NCEP reanalysis data,the SCSMEX data and precipitation data in China.It is shown that the onset of summer monsoon in the South China Sea region is closely related to the activity of intraseasonal oscillation.Particularly,the existence of low frequency cyclone over the east of Philippines and its expanding into the South China Sea play an important role in the onset of the SCS summer monsoon.The analyses of the circulation pattern and summer rainfall showed that the climate variations in China caused by the strong and weak summer monsoons are completely different,even are out of the phase.Analyzing the activity of atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation (ISO),we found that the atmospheric ISO at 850 hPa over the SCS and neighboring regions is strong (weak) corresponding to strong (weak) SCS summer monsoon.The comparison of the atmospheric circulation pattern with the circulation pattern of atmospheric ISO showed that strong and weak East-Asian summer monsoon circulations (200 hPa and 850 hPa) should mainly result from the abnormal activity of atmospheric ISO.

NUMERICAL EXPERIMENT WITH PROCESSES FOR EFFECT OF AUSTRALIAN COLD AIR ACTIVITY ON EAST-ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON

Based on diagnostic results,a numerical study is made of the processes of Australian cold air activity affecting East Asian summer monsoon by using Kuo-Qian P-σ incorporated coordinate five-layer primitive equation spherical band model.Analysis is done of the response to the Southern Hemisphere circulation with and without cold air activity in Australia of the flow,rainfall and diabatic heating fields in the monsoon area of Asia,especially,East Asia,with special attention to the intensification and northward march of the monsoon due to the activity.It is found that the processes for the effect transmission are very analogous to the meridional propagation of quasi-40-day oscillation,together with the meridional wind disturbance showing south-north travel and the flow/rainfall fields exhibitirg corresponding movement in this direction,only with a 12-day lag.

INTERRELATION BETWEEN EAST-ASIAN WINTER MONSOON AND INDIAN/PACIFIC SST WITH THE INTERDECADAL VARIATION

Investigated statistically is the interrelation between East Asian winter monsoon(EAWM) and SST over sensitive areas of the Indian and Pacific Oceans.with focus on the relation of EAWM to strong ENSO signal area.i.e.,the equatorial eastern Pacific(EEP)SST.Evidence suggests that the EAWM variation is intimately associated not only with the EEP SST but with the equatorial western Pacific“warm pool”and equatorial Indian/northwestern Pacific Kuroshio SST as well:the EAWM and ENSO interact strongly with each other on the interannual time scales, exhibiting pronounced interdecadal variation mainly under the joint effect of the monsoon QBO and the monsoon/SST background field features on an interdecadal basis—when both fields are in the same phase(anti-phase).strong EAWM contributes to EEP SST rise(drop)in the following winter,corresponding to a warm(cold)ENSO cycle;the EAWM QBO causes ENSO cycle to be strong phase-locked with seasonal variation,making the EEP SST rise lasting from April—May to May—June of the next year,which plays an important role in maintaining a warm ENSO phase.

Japan’s Deconstruction of Traditional Order in East Asia:Theory and Practice

Since the opening of country gate by western powers,though forced to sign unequal treaties,modern Japan still moved toward to the road of expansion rapidly during the process of reforming to save the crisis,and finally broke the Sino-Centered regional order by launching the Sino-Japanese War of 1894-1895.During the process,Japan used“Wanguogongfa”(《万国公法》,Japanese:Bankokukoho)as its new theoretical basis to deconstruct the traditional order in East Asia,they recognized the duality of Wanguogongfa:it emphasizes respecting sovereign authority of every country and preserving peaceful communication among them,but also a tool for powerful countries to bully and annex weak countries.Therefore,Japan utilized the“Principle of Equality”highlighted in the“Wanguogongfa”,which helped Japan obtain equal status with China.Immediately after that Japan forced Joseon to sign treaties successively by utilizing the“Law”and threatening with military force.Finally,Not only Japan accomplished the“Japanese hegemony”that Toyotomi Hideyoshi did not realize in the pre-modern,but also deconstructed the Sino-Centered regional order in East Asia,which had detectable impacts on the historical process.