Fractional Order Environmental and Economic Model Investigations Using Artificial Neural Network

The motive of these investigations is to provide the importance and significance of the fractional order(FO)derivatives in the nonlinear environmental and economic(NEE)model,i.e.,FO-NEE model.The dynamics of the NEE model achieves more precise by using the form of the FO derivative.The investigations through the non-integer and nonlinear mathematical form to define the FO-NEE model are also provided in this study.The composition of the FO-NEEmodel is classified into three classes,execution cost of control,system competence of industrial elements and a new diagnostics technical exclusion cost.The mathematical FO-NEE system is numerically studied by using the artificial neural networks(ANNs)along with the Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation method(ANNs-LMBM).Three different cases using the FO derivative have been examined to present the numerical performances of the FO-NEE model.The data is selected to solve the mathematical FO-NEE system is executed as 70%for training and 15%for both testing and certification.The exactness of the proposed ANNs-LMBM is observed through the comparison of the obtained and the Adams-Bashforth-Moulton database results.To ratify the aptitude,validity,constancy,exactness,and competence of the ANNs-LMBM,the numerical replications using the state transitions,regression,correlation,error histograms and mean square error are also described.

An Intelligence Computational Approach for the Fractional 4D Chaotic Financial Model

The main purpose of the study is to present a numerical approach to investigate the numerical performances of the fractional 4-D chaotic financial system using a stochastic procedure.The stochastic procedures mainly depend on the combination of the artificial neural network(ANNs)along with the Levenberg-Marquardt Backpropagation(LMB)i.e.,ANNs-LMB technique.The fractional-order term is defined in the Caputo sense and three cases are solved using the proposed technique for different values of the fractional orderα.The values of the fractional order derivatives to solve the fractional 4-D chaotic financial system are used between 0 and 1.The data proportion is applied as 73%,15%,and 12%for training,testing,and certification to solve the chaotic fractional system.The acquired results are verified through the comparison of the reference solution,which indicates the proposed technique is efficient and robust.The 4-D chaotic model is numerically solved by using the ANNs-LMB technique to reduce the mean square error(MSE).To authenticate the exactness,and consistency of the technique,the obtained performances are plotted in the figures of correlation measures,error histograms,and regressions.From these figures,it can be witnessed that the provided technique is effective for solving such models to give some new insight into the physical behavior of the model.

A Neural Study of the Fractional Heroin Epidemic Model

This works intends to provide numerical solutions based on the nonlinear fractional order derivatives of the classical White and Comiskey model(NFD-WCM).The fractional order derivatives have provided authentic and accurate solutions for the NDF-WCM.The solutions of the fractional NFD-WCM are provided using the stochastic computing supervised algorithm named Levenberg-Marquard Backpropagation(LMB)based on neural networks(NNs).This regression approach combines gradient descent and Gauss-Newton iterative methods,which means finding a solution through the sequences of different calculations.WCM is used to demonstrate the heroin epidemics.Heroin has been on-growth world wide,mainly in Asia,Europe,and the USA.It is the fourth foremost cause of death due to taking an overdose in the USA.The nonlinear mathematical system NFD-WCM discusses the overall circumstance of different drug users,such as suspected groups,drug users without treatment,and drug users with treatment.The numerical results of NFD-WCM via LMB-NNs have been substantiated through training,testing,and validation measures.The stability and accuracy are then checked through the statistical tool,such asmean square error(MSE),error histogram,and fitness curves.The suggested methodology’s strength is demonstrated by the high convergence between the reference solutions and the solutions generated by adding the efficacy of a constructed solver LMB-NNs,with accuracy levels ranging from 10?9 to 10?10.

Stochastic Investigations for the Fractional Vector-Host Diseased Based Saturated Function of Treatment Model

The goal of this research is to introduce the simulation studies of the vector-host disease nonlinear system(VHDNS)along with the numerical treatment of artificial neural networks(ANNs)techniques supported by Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation(LMQBP),known as ANNs-LMQBP.This mechanism is physically appropriate,where the number of infected people is increasing along with the limited health services.Furthermore,the biological effects have fadingmemories and exhibit transition behavior.Initially,the model is developed by considering the two and three categories for the humans and the vector species.The VHDNS is constructed with five classes,susceptible humans Sh(t),infected humans Ih(t),recovered humans Rh(t),infected vectors Iv(t),and susceptible vector Sv(t)based system of the fractional-order nonlinear ordinary differential equations.To solve the number of variations of the VHDNS,the numerical simulations are performed using the stochastic ANNs-LMQBP.The achieved numerical solutions for solving the VHDNS using the stochastic ANNs-LMQBP have been described for training,verifying,and testing data to decrease the mean square error(MSE).An extensive analysis is provided using the correlation studies,MSE,error histograms(EHs),state transitions(STs),and regression to observe the accuracy,efficiency,expertise,and aptitude of the computing ANNs-LMQBP.

A Comparative Study of Fractional Order Models on State of Charge Estimation for Lithium Ion Batteries

State of charge(SOC)estimation for lithium ion batteries plays a critical role in battery management systems for electric vehicles.Battery fractional order models(FOMs)which come from frequency-domain modelling have provided a distinct insight into SOC estimation.In this article,we compare five state-of-the-art FOMs in terms of SOC estimation.To this end,firstly,characterisation tests on lithium ion batteries are conducted,and the experimental results are used to identify FOM parameters.Parameter identification results show that increasing the complexity of FOMs cannot always improve accuracy.The model R(RQ)W shows superior identification accuracy than the other four FOMs.Secondly,the SOC estimation based on a fractional order unscented Kalman filter is conducted to compare model accuracy and computational burden under different profiles,memory lengths,ambient temperatures,cells and voltage/current drifts.The evaluation results reveal that the SOC estimation accuracy does not necessarily positively correlate to the complexity of FOMs.Although more complex models can have better robustness against temperature variation,R(RQ),the simplest FOM,can overall provide satisfactory accuracy.Validation results on different cells demonstrate the generalisation ability of FOMs,and R(RQ)outperforms other models.Moreover,R(RQ)shows better robustness against truncation error and can maintain high accuracy even under the occurrence of current or voltage sensor drift.

DYNAMIC ANALYSIS AND OPTIMAL CONTROL OF A FRACTIONAL ORDER SINGULAR LESLIE-GOWER PREY-PREDATOR MODEL

In this article,we investigate a fractional-order singular Leslie-Gower prey-predator bioeconomic model,which describes the interaction bet ween populations of prey and predator,and takes into account the economic interest.We firstly obtain the solvability condition and the st ability of the model sys tem,and discuss the singularity induced bifurcation phenomenon.Next,we introduce a st ate feedback controller to elimina te the singularity induced bifurcation phenomenon,and discuss the optimal control problems.Finally,numerical solutions and their simulations are considered in order to illustrate the theoretical results and reveal the more complex dynamical behavior.

Fractional Order Modeling of Human Operator Behavior with Second Order Controlled Plant and Experiment Research

Modeling human operator's dynamics plays a very important role in the manual closed-loop control system, and it is an active research area for several decades. Based on the characteristics of human brain and behavior, a new kind of fractional order mathematical model for human operator in single-input single-output(SISO) systems is proposed. Compared with the traditional models based on the commonly used quasilinear transfer function method or the optimal control theory method, the proposed fractional order model has simpler structure with only few parameters, and each parameter has explicit physical meanings. The actual data and experiment results with the second-order controlled plant illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Modeling and Dynamic Analysis of Fractional-Order Buck Converter in Continuous Conduction Mode

According to the fact that the actual inductor and actual capacitor are fractional, the mathematical and state-space averaging models of fractional order Buck converters in continuous conduction mode(CCM) are constructed by using fractional calculus theory. Firstly, the parameter conditions that ensure that the converter working in CCM is given and transfer functions are derived. Also, the inductor current and the output voltage are analyzed. Then the difference between the mathematical model and the circuit model are analyzed, and the effect of fractional order is studied by comparing the integer order with fractional order model. Finally, the dynamic behavior of the current-controlled Buck converter is investigated. Simulation experiments are achieved via the use of Matlab/Simulink. The experimental results verify the correctness of theoretical analysis, the order should be taken as a significant parameter. When the order is taken as a bifurcation parameter, the dynamic behavior of the converter will be affected and bifurcation points will be changed as order varies.

Fractional-order visco-plastic constitutive model for uniaxial ratcheting behaviors

This paper proposes a novel unified visco-plastic constitutive model for uniaxial ratcheting behaviors. The cyclic deformation of the material presents remarkable time-dependence and history memory phenomena. The fractional(fractional-order)derivative is an efficient tool for modeling these phenomena. Therefore, we develop a cyclic fractional-order unified visco-plastic(FVP) constitutive model. Specifically, within the framework of the cyclic elasto-plastic theory, the fractional derivative is used to describe the accumulated plastic strain rate and nonlinear kinematic hardening rule based on the Ohno-Abdel-Karim model. Moreover, a new radial return method for the back stress is developed to describe the unclosed hysteresis loops of the stress-strain properly.The capacity of the FVP model used to predict the cyclic deformation of the SS304 stainless steel is verified through a comparison with the corresponding experimental data found in the literature(KANG, G. Z., KAN, Q. H., ZHANG, J., and SUN, Y. F. Timedependent ratcheting experiments of SS304 stainless steel. International Journal of Plasticity, 22(5), 858–894(2006)). The FVP model is shown to be successful in predicting the rate-dependent ratcheting behaviors of the SS304 stainless steel.

Modeling and dynamics analysis of the fractional-order Buck-Boost converter in continuous conduction mode

In this paper, the fractional-order mathematical model and the fractional-order state-space averaging model of the Buck-Boost converter in continuous conduction mode （CCM） are established based on the fractional calculus and the Adomian decomposition method. Some dynamical properties of the current-mode controlled fractional-order Buck- Boost converter are analysed. The simulation is accomplished by using SIMULINK. Numerical simulations are presented to verify the analytical results and we find that bifurcation points will be moved backward as α and β vary. At the same time, the simulation results show that the converter goes through different routes to chaos.

Numerical Analysis and Transformative Predictions of Fractional Order Epidemic Model during COVID-19 Pandemic: A Critical Study from Bangladesh

The COVID-19 pandemic is a curse and a threat to global health, development, the economy, and peaceful society because of its massive transmission and high rates of mutation. More than 220 countries have been affected by COVID-19. The world is now facing a drastic situation because of this ongoing virus. Bangladesh is also dealing with this issue, and due to its dense population, it is particularly vulnerable to the spread of COVID-19. Recently, many non-linear systems have been proposed to solve the SIR (Susceptible, Infected, and Recovered) model for predicting Coronavirus cases. In this paper, we have discussed the fractional order SIR epidemic model of a non-fatal disease in a population of a constant size. Using the Laplace Adomian Decomposition method, we get an approximate solution to the model. To predict the dynamic transmission of COVID-19 in Bangladesh, we provide a numerical argument based on real data. We also conducted a comparative analysis among susceptible, infected, and recovered people. Furthermore, the most sensitive parameters for the Basic Reproduction Number (R0) are graphically presented, and the impact of the compartments on the transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic is thoroughly investigated.

Modified Grey Model Predictor Design Using Optimal Fractional-order Accumulation Calculus

The major advantage of grey system theory is that both incomplete information and unclear problems can be processed precisely. Considering that the modeling of grey model(GM) depends on the preprocessing of the original data,the fractional-order accumulation calculus could be used to do preprocessing. In this paper, the residual sequence represented by Fourier series is used to ameliorate performance of the fractionalorder accumulation GM(1,1) and improve the accuracy of predictor. The state space model of optimally modified GM(1,1)predictor is given and genetic algorithm(GA) is used to find the smallest relative error during the modeling step. Furthermore,the fractional form of continuous GM(1,1) is given to enlarge the content of prediction model. The simulation results illustrated that the fractional-order calculus could be used to depict the GM precisely with more degrees of freedom. Meanwhile, the ranges of the parameters and model application could be enlarged with better performance. The method of modified GM predictor using optimal fractional-order accumulation calculus is expected to be widely used in data processing, model theory, prediction control and related fields.

Fractional-order Maxwell model of seabed mud and its effect on surface-wave damping

A fractional-order Maxwell model is used to describe the viscoelastic seabed mud. The experimental data of the real mud well fit the results of the fractional-order Maxwell model that has fewer parameters than the traditional model. The model is then used to investigate the effect of the mud on the surface-wave damping. The damping rate of a linear monochromatic wave is obtained. The elastic resonance of the mud layer is observed, which leads to the peaks in the damping rate. The damping rate is a sum of the modal damping rates, which indicates the wave damping induced by the mud motion of particular modes. The analysis shows that near the resonance, the total damping rate is dominated by the damping rate of the corresponding mode.

Modelling long-term deformation of granular soils incorporating the concept of fractional calculus

Many constitutive models exist to characterise the cyclic behaviour of granular soils but can only simulate deformations for very limited cycles. Fractional derivatives have been regarded as one potential instrument for modelling memory-dependent phenomena. In this paper, the physical connection between the fractional derivative order and the fractal dimension of granular soils is investigated in detail. Then a modified elasto-plastic constitutive model is proposed for evaluating the long-term deformation of granular soils under cyclic loading by incorporating the concept of fac- tional calculus. To describe the flow direction of granular soils under cyclic loading, a cyclic flow potential consider- ing particle breakage is used. Test results of several types of granular soils are used to validate the model performance.

Modeling mechanism of a novel fractional grey mode based on matrix analysis

To fully display the modeling mechanism of the novelfractional order grey model （FGM （q,1））, this paper decomposesthe data matrix of the model into the mean generation matrix, theaccumulative generation matrix and the raw data matrix, whichare consistent with the fractional order accumulative grey model（FAGM （1,1））. Following this, this paper decomposes the accumulativedata difference matrix into the accumulative generationmatrix, the q-order reductive accumulative matrix and the rawdata matrix, and then combines the least square method, findingthat the differential order affects the model parameters only byaffecting the formation of differential sequences. This paper thensummarizes matrix decomposition of some special sequences,such as the sequence generated by the strengthening and weakeningoperators, the jumping sequence, and the non-equidistancesequence. Finally, this paper expresses the influences of the rawdata transformation, the accumulation sequence transformation,and the differential matrix transformation on the model parametersas matrices, and takes the non-equidistance sequence as an exampleto show the modeling mechanism.

Fractional Modeling and SOC Estimation of Lithium-ion Battery

This paper proposes a state of charge(SOC) estimator of Lithium-ion battery based on a fractional order impedance spectra model. Firstly, a battery fractional order impedance model is derived on the grounds of the characteristics of Warburg element and constant phase element(CPE) over a wide range of frequency domain. Secondly, a frequency fitting method and parameter identification algorithm based on output error are presented to identify parameters of the fractional order model of Lithium-ion battery. Finally, the fractional order Kalman filter approach is introduced to estimate the SOC of the lithium-ion battery based on the fractional order model. The simulation results show that the fractional-order model can ensure an acceptable accuracy of the SOC estimation, and the error of estimation reaches maximally up to 0.5 % SOC.

A Novel Rolling and Fractional-ordered Grey System Model and Its Application for Predicting Industrial Electricity Consumption

Accurate and reasonable prediction of industrial electricity consumption is of great significance for promoting regional green transformation and optimizing the energy structure.However,the regional power system is complicated and uncertain,affected by multiple factors including climate,population and economy.This paper incorporates structure expansion,parameter optimization and rolling mechanism into a system forecasting framework,and designs a novel rolling and fractional-ordered grey system model to forecast the industrial electricity consumption,improving the accuracy of the traditional grey models.The optimal fractional order is obtained by using the particle swarm optimization algorithm,which enhances the model adaptability.Then,the proposed model is employed to forecast and analyze the changing trend of industrial electricity consumption in Fujian province.Experimental results show that industrial electricity consumption in Fujian will maintain an upward growth and it is expected to 186.312 billion kWh in 2026.Compared with other seven benchmark prediction models,the proposed grey system model performs best in terms of both simulation and prediction performance metrics,providing scientific reference for regional energy planning and electricity market operation.

Identification of fractional order Hammerstein models based on mixed signals

An algorithm based on mixed signals is proposed,to solve the issues of low accuracy of identification algorithm,immeasurable intermediate variables of fractional order Hammerstein model,and how to determine the magnitude of fractional order.In this paper,a special mixed input signal is designed to separate the nonlinear and linear parts of the fractional order Hammerstein model so that each part can be identified independently.The nonlinear part is fitted by the neural fuzzy network model,which avoids the limitation of polynomial fitting and broadens the application range of nonlinear models.In addition,the multi-innovation Levenberg-Marquardt(MILM)algorithm and auxiliary recursive least square algorithm are innovatively integrated into the parameter identification algorithm of the fractional order Hammerstein model to obtain more accurate identification results.A simulation example is given to verify the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed method.

Numerical Simulations of One-Directional Fractional Pharmacokinetics Model

In this paper,we present a three-compartment of pharmacokinetics model with irreversible rate constants.The compartment consists of arterial blood,tissues and venous blood.Fick’s principle and the law of mass action were used to develop the model based on the diffusion process.The model is modified into a fractional pharmacokinetics model with the sense of Caputo derivative.The existence and uniqueness of the model are investigated and the positivity of the model is established.The behaviour of the model is investigated by implementing numerical algorithms for the numerical solution of the system of fractional differential equations.MATLAB software is used to plot the graphs for illustrating the variation of drug concentration concerning time.Therefore,the numerical simulations of the model are presented for different values ofαwhich verified the theoretical analysis.Besides,we also observed the pattern of the simulations at the three-compartment of the model by using different values of initial conditions.

Dynamics of Fractional Differential Model for Schistosomiasis Disease

In the present study,a design of a fractional order mathematical model is presented based on the schistosomiasis disease.To observe more accurate performances of the results,the use of fractional order derivatives in the mathematical model is introduce based on the schistosomiasis disease is executed.The preliminary design of the fractional order mathematical model focused on schistosomiasis disease is classified as follows:uninfected with schistosomiasis,infected with schistosomiasis,recovered from infection,susceptible snail unafflicted with schistosomiasis disease and susceptible snail afflicted with this disease.The solutions to the proposed system of the fractional order mathematical model will be presented using stochastic artificial neural network(ANN)techniques in conjunction with the LevenbergMarquardt backpropagation(LMBP),referred to as ANN-LMBP.To illustrate the preciseness of the ANN-LMBP method,mathematical presentations of three different values focused on fractional order will be performed.These statics performances are taken in these investigations are 78%and 11%for both learning and certification.The accuracy of the ANN-LMBP method is determined by comparing the values obtained by the database Adams-Bash forth-Moulton scheme.The simulation-based error histograms(EHs),MSE,recurrence,and state transitions(STs)will be offered to achieve the capability,accuracy,steadiness,abilities,and finesse of the ANN-LMBP method.