将FFTA(Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis,模糊故障树分析法)应用到ZPW-2000A轨道电路系统的故障诊断分析之中,可以解决系统各部件之间具有不确定性的联系以及各部件的故障概率数据较少,无法精确获得的问题。将模糊逻辑理论引入到FTA(Fault Tr...将FFTA(Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis,模糊故障树分析法)应用到ZPW-2000A轨道电路系统的故障诊断分析之中,可以解决系统各部件之间具有不确定性的联系以及各部件的故障概率数据较少,无法精确获得的问题。将模糊逻辑理论引入到FTA(Fault Tree Analysis,故障树分析)中,使传统的FTA具备了处理模糊信息的能力。再根据模糊故障树构造BN(Bayesian Networks,贝叶斯网络),利用BN的双向推理功能计算出ZPW-2000A系统的故障概率,并可以寻找出最有可能导致系统发生故障的原因。展开更多
During the past decade, coal dust and gas explosions have been the most two serious types of disasters in China, threatening the lives of miners and causing significant losses in terms of national property. In this pa...During the past decade, coal dust and gas explosions have been the most two serious types of disasters in China, threatening the lives of miners and causing significant losses in terms of national property. In this paper, an evaluation model of coal dust and gas explosions was constructed based on a fuzzy fault tree by taking the Xingli Coal Mine as a research site to identify the risk factors of coal dust and gas explosions.Furthermore, the hazards associated with such explosions were evaluated for this particular coal mine.After completing an on-site investigation, the fuzzy probabilities of basic events were obtained through expert scoring, and these expert opinions were then aggregated as trapezoidal fuzzy numbers to calculate the degrees of importance of all basic events. Finally, these degrees of importance were sorted. According to the resulting order, the basic events with higher probabilities were determined to identify key hazards in the daily safety management of this particular coal mine. Moreover, effective measures for preventing gas and coal dust explosions were derived. The fuzzy fault tree analysis method is of high significance in the analysis of accidental coal mine explosions and provides theoretical guidance for improving the efficiency of coal mine safety management in a scientific and feasible manner.展开更多
文摘将FFTA(Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis,模糊故障树分析法)应用到ZPW-2000A轨道电路系统的故障诊断分析之中,可以解决系统各部件之间具有不确定性的联系以及各部件的故障概率数据较少,无法精确获得的问题。将模糊逻辑理论引入到FTA(Fault Tree Analysis,故障树分析)中,使传统的FTA具备了处理模糊信息的能力。再根据模糊故障树构造BN(Bayesian Networks,贝叶斯网络),利用BN的双向推理功能计算出ZPW-2000A系统的故障概率,并可以寻找出最有可能导致系统发生故障的原因。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.51504008,71371014,and 51774012)the Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Higher Education Institutions of China (No.KJ2015A068)+3 种基金the Anhui Provincial Natural Science Foundation (No.1608085QE115)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation funded project (Nos.2015M571913 and 2018T110612)the Postdoctoral Fund of Anhui Province (No.2017B212)the Scientific Research Foundation for Introduction of Talent of Anhui University of Science & Technology (No.ZY530)
文摘During the past decade, coal dust and gas explosions have been the most two serious types of disasters in China, threatening the lives of miners and causing significant losses in terms of national property. In this paper, an evaluation model of coal dust and gas explosions was constructed based on a fuzzy fault tree by taking the Xingli Coal Mine as a research site to identify the risk factors of coal dust and gas explosions.Furthermore, the hazards associated with such explosions were evaluated for this particular coal mine.After completing an on-site investigation, the fuzzy probabilities of basic events were obtained through expert scoring, and these expert opinions were then aggregated as trapezoidal fuzzy numbers to calculate the degrees of importance of all basic events. Finally, these degrees of importance were sorted. According to the resulting order, the basic events with higher probabilities were determined to identify key hazards in the daily safety management of this particular coal mine. Moreover, effective measures for preventing gas and coal dust explosions were derived. The fuzzy fault tree analysis method is of high significance in the analysis of accidental coal mine explosions and provides theoretical guidance for improving the efficiency of coal mine safety management in a scientific and feasible manner.
