Gazing through the bubble:an experimental investigation into financial risk‑taking using eye‑tracking

Eye tracking can facilitate understanding irrational decision-making in contexts such as financial risk-taking.For this purpose,we develop an experimental framework in which participants trade a risky asset in a simulated bubble market to maximize individual returns while their eye movements are recorded.Returns are sensitive to eye movement dynamics,depending on the presented visual stimuli.Using eye-tracking data,we investigated the effects of arousal,attention,and disengagement on individual payoffs using linear and nonlinear approaches.By estimating a nonlinear model using attention as a threshold variable,our results suggest that arousal positively influences trading returns,but its effect becomes smaller when attention exceeds a certain threshold,whereas disengagement has a higher negative impact on reduced attention levels and becomes almost irrelevant when attention increases.Hence,we provide a neurobehavioral metric as a function of attention that predicts financial gains in boomand-bust scenarios.This study serves as a proof-of-concept for developing future psychometric measures to enhance decision-making.

Research on the Optimization and Upgrading Path of Enterprise Financial Management from the Perspective of the Digital Economy

At present,China has entered the era of the digital economy,the business environment faced by enterprses has changed significantly,and the traditional financial management model is no longer adaptable due to market demand.Hence,enterprises need to study the characteristics of the digital economy and adopt ffective financial management oplimization and upgrading paths.This article summarizes the characteristics of the digital economy,concludes and analyzes the opportunities and challenges faced by corporate financial management from the perspective of the digital economy,investigates the necessity ol optimizing and upgrading corporate financial management,and examines the efective optimization and upgrading paths,hoping to provide reference information for corporate financial managers.

The Logic of Digital Finance in the Age of Digital Economy

This paper explores the development logic,trends,and challenges of digital finance in the era of the digital economy.As a crucial component of the digital economy,digital finance has completely transformed the traditional financial services model through factors such as technological innovation,data intelligence,and personalized user experiences,paving the way for new business models and market opportunities.However,the rapid development of digital finance also faces challenges such as competition,security,and regulation.This paper emphasizes the importance of finding a balance between innovation and security in the development of digital finance and discusses the potential of digital finance in promoting financial inclusion and sustainable development.Through comprehensive analysis,this paper aims to provide valuable insights for academic researchers and industry practitioners,promoting the healthy development of digital finance.

An Econophysics Model of Financial Bubbles

Usually financial crises go along with bubbles in asset prices, such as the housing bubble in the US in 2007. This paper attempts to build a mathematical model of financial bubbles from an econophysics, and thus a new perspective. I find that agents identify bubbles only with a time delay. Furthermore, I demonstrate that the detection of bubbles is different on either the individual or collective point of view. Second, I utilize the findings for a new definition of asset bubbles in finance. Finally, I extend the model to the study of asset price dynamics with news. In conclusion, the model provides unique insights into the properties and developments of financial bubbles.

Why Bubble Economy Occurs and Crashes？ Repeated History of Economic Growth and Collapse

This paper shows that there are two different phases in economics. These are the primal and dual problems. In the primal problem phase, capital expenditures of private corporations grow, creating an impetus towards the maximization of profits. In this case, as Adam Smith once wrote, the ＂invisible hand of God＂ works to lead the economy to a significant growth. This paper defines the concept of economic growth, bubble economy and destruction of bubble economy. And this paper describes why bubble economy occurs and crashes. In the process, this paper shows that primal economy exists before bubble economy and dual economy exists after destruction of bubble economy.

Digital Economy, Financial Inclusion and Inclusive Growth

This paper represents an early attempt to investigate whether digital finance driven by the internet revolution helps promote inclusive growth in China.We match the Index of Digital Financial Inclusion,which measures digital finance development in China,with data of the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),which provide representative household survey data in China.Firstly,based on sub-sample empirical analysis,we find that digital finance has helped increase household income,especially rural household income,in China.Thus,digital finance is conducive to inclusive growth in China by narrowing regional and urban-rural gaps.Secondly,we examine how digital finance spurs inclusive growth in China by bringing rural households equal access to entrepreneurship opportunities.Lastly,we uncover how digital finance interacts with physical capital and social capital in promoting entrepreneurship,concluding that households with less physical or social capital had bene fited more,which is also conducive to inclusive growth.

Financial Risk: a Major Threat in the Development of the World Economy

By the mid-1990s, following nearly a century of struggles-two worldwars, continuous coups and clashes, and 40 years of Cold War with itsnuclear threat-mankind seemingly entered a new period of peace, stabili-

A Study on the Transformation of Enterprise Management and Financial Management Under the“Digital Economy”

Amid“Internet+”era,enterprises development has gradually turned to be digital and integrated.If enterprises want to seize the opportunity of the times and integrate the concept of“digital economy”into enterprise management and financial management,it is essential for them to take advantage of the convenience,efficiency,and intelligence of“digital economy”to promote the development of enterprises.Based on the backdrop of the new era,the following paper will deeply analyze how enterprise management and financial management complete the transformation path under digital empowerment to gradually enhance the competitiveness of enterprises.

Chinese Economy in 2000 Guidedby Positive Financial Policies

China's financial policies in 2000 are being clarfied:China will continue to follow its positive financial policies.This signifies that in 2000,the Chinese economy will operateunder the gridance of positive financial policies.

数字金融创新有助于促进实体经济高质量发展吗?——基于金融服务效率的机制分析与空间计量

中央金融工作会议强调,坚持把金融服务实体经济作为根本宗旨。数字金融作为数字技术与金融业态融合创新的产物,对提升金融服务效率,支持实体经济高质量发展具有重要意义。基于2011-2021年中国31个省级行政区的平衡面板数据,通过构建实体经济高质量发展指标体系和嵌套空间权重矩阵,运用空间计量模型、动态杜宾模型和中介效应检验方法,实证研究数字金融创新对实体经济高质量发展的直接影响、溢出效应和作用机制,得出:数字金融创新不仅能直接促进本地区实体经济的高质量发展,而且具有正向空间溢出效应,对邻近地区实体经济高质量发展呈现渐进、动态的长期影响。中介效应检验结果表明,提升金融服务效率是数字金融创新促进实体经济高质量发展的主要作用机制。在金融科技创新监管试点地区,数字金融创新对实体经济高质量发展的直接影响、溢出效应和中介效应均明显高于非试点地区。因此,要稳步推进金融科技创新监管试点,优化数字金融业态空间布局,畅通数字金融促进实体经济高质量发展的传导机制。

营商环境与企业“脱实向虚”

基于A股上市公司数据,探讨在“以国内大循环为主体,推动国内国际双循环相互促进”背景下的营商环境改善对企业“脱虚向实”的影响及其内在作用机制。研究发现,地区营商环境越好,企业的金融资产投资水平越低;基于“行政审批中心设立”的准自然实验,进一步证实营商环境的改善显著降低了企业的金融资产持有水平。机制检验发现,这一效应的产生是通过降低企业经营风险和提高实体投资效益两条路径实现的。拓展性研究发现,营商环境改善在降低企业金融资产投资的同时,提高了企业对研发的投资;这些效应在中小企业和非国有企业中尤为显著。上述结果表明营商环境的改善有助于激励企业“脱虚向实”,这在政策层面意味着改善营商环境可能是解决经济“脱实向虚”和民营企业、中小企业纾困发展两大问题的一剂良药。

金融科技创新如何促进实体经济高质量发展——基于金融服务效率的机制分析与空间计量

金融科技创新对于提升金融服务效率,服务实体经济具有重要意义。基于2011—2021年我国31个省份的平衡面板数据,运用空间计量模型和中介效应检验,研究金融科技创新对实体经济高质量发展的直接影响、间接效应和作用机制。研究发现:金融科技创新不仅能直接促进本地区实体经济高质量发展,而且具有正向空间溢出,对邻近地区实体经济高质量发展呈现渐进、动态的长期影响。中介效应和异质性检验表明,提升金融服务效率是金融科技创新促进实体经济高质量发展的主要机制。在金融科技创新监管试点地区,金融科技对实体经济高质量发展的直接影响、间接效应和中介效应均明显高于非试点地区。因此,要优化金融科技业态空间布局,提升金融服务效率,深化金融科技创新监管试点,以更好地服务实体经济高质量发展。

基于空间溢出视角下金融科技对企业数字化转型的影响

金融科技是数字经济时代下前沿数字技术与传统金融融合的新业态.为研究金融科技对企业数字化转型的影响机制以及在空间上的影响变化表征,以2011—2021年中国沪深A股上市企业为研究对象,将企业数字化转型作为被解释变量,金融科技作为核心变量,采用普通最小二乘法和边际效应分析进行基准回归分析、稳健性检验、异质性检验和机制识别检验.实证研究发现,金融科技能够有效助推企业数字化转型.异质性检验发现,金融科技对于非国有企业、高科技企业以及东部地区企业而言有着更为显著的驱动力.机制检验发现,金融科技能够改善企业财务状况、优化企业风险配置,强化创新要素投入,进而促进企业数字化转型.不同区域之间的金融科技发展还能产生有效的协同作用,从而更好赋能企业加快数字化转型进程.研究结果对提高金融科技支持效率,切实推动企业数字化转型提供了初步的理论和经验证据.

数字经济发展降低了企业财务风险吗?——基于吸收能力与生命周期的视角分析

使用2011—2020年沪深两市A股上市公司的数据,在运用熵权法构建数字经济指数的基础上,实证检验数字经济发展对企业财务风险的影响以及内在机制。研究发现:(1)数字经济对企业财务风险具有显著的抑制作用,吸收能力在数字经济抑制企业财务风险的过程中具有部分中介效应。(2)处在生命周期不同阶段的企业,数字经济的发展对企业财务风险的影响也不相同。对于成长型和成熟型企业,数字经济的发展对抑制企业财务风险具有显著作用,且吸收能力具有中介效应;对于陷入衰退期的企业,数字经济的发展对降低公司的财务风险没有显著影响,且吸收能力不具有中介效应。(3)数字经济的有效性需要企业内部基本条件的支持。当企业的数字转型良好时,数字经济在遏制企业财务风险方面的作用更加明显。总的来说,数字经济的发展有利于企业提高吸收能力,降低财务风险。研究揭示了财务风险产生的原因,以及数字经济在降低财务风险方面各种差异的作用和机制,为缓解企业财务风险提供了可靠的实证依据和政策启示,具有重要的现实意义。

金融强国视域下数字金融服务实体经济高质量发展路径研究

在金融强国视域下,坚持把金融服务实体经济作为根本宗旨,全面研究数字金融服务实体经济高质量发展的路径,具有重要的现实意义。数字金融作为数字技术与数据要素“双轮驱动”的金融创新,主要通过资源配置效应、普惠金融效应和技术溢出效应三条路径服务实体经济的高质量发展。数字金融在优化金融资源跨时空配置、培育和发展新质生产力、满足实体经济普惠金融需求、赋能实体企业数字化转型等方面发挥着重要作用。上述作用路径已在产业数字金融服务、大数据知识产权融资等实例中得到初步印证。但是,对照金融强国建设的战略目标和丰富内涵,其在创新监管、普惠生态、数实融合等方面仍有待提升。为此,论文提出深化金融科技创新监管试点,完善数字普惠金融生态圈,培育和引进生态圈核心企业,加强前沿数字技术的协同攻关和应用,构建数实融合的数字金融“元宇宙”等对策,以期更好地推动数字金融守正创新,加快建设金融强国,全方位服务实体经济高质量发展。

非对称信息视角下中国区域金融风险的影响机制

本文基于委托代理理论,构建非对称信息视角下中国区域金融风险影响机制的分析框架,并采用TVP-SV-VAR模型探究不同地区区域内金融风险影响机制的异质性。研究表明,非对称信息下金融系统委托代理行为致使商业银行存在信贷配给,资金倾斜助长了地方债扩张和房地产泡沫累积,一旦债务违约及泡沫破裂造成大量银行不良资产积聚,将引发区域金融风险。异质性研究发现,经济发达地区中房地产泡沫是区域金融风险形成的主导因素;经济次发达地区中地方政府过度举债是引致区域金融风险的主要冲击;而经济欠发达地区的区域金融风险是地方政府过度举债与房地产泡沫共同作用所致。国家金融监督管理总局应严控商业银行信贷资金流向,并对地方债扩张和房地产泡沫等区域金融风险影响因素实行“属性+对策”的差异化监管,构建风险治理的区域协作平台,提高区域金融风险的防范处置能力。

财务人员数字化转型路径分析

在建设数字中国的背景下,数字人才已经成为经济全面数字化转型的核心驱动力,面对经济和人才的数字化转型,财务人员该如何应对?传统财务业务结构与数字化建设的融合,要求财务人员及时对接,通过对财务数字化转型的趋势等分析,利用文献研究梳理,发现研究人员转型主要有三个方向,即共享财务、战略财务、业务财务,其转型路径应由企业、人才培养机构、财务人员共同构建,为财务人员数字化转型提供了参考。

金融科技对金融服务实体经济效率的影响研究——基于中国31个省份的数据

选取2012—2021年我国31个省、市、自治区的面板数据,就金融科技对金融服务实体经济效率的影响进行系统的实证检验。研究发现:金融科技显著提升了金融服务实体经济效率的提升;将金融监管纳入模型,发现金融监管对金融科技与金融服务实体经济效率的关系具有正向调节作用;金融科技在东部地区以及金融发展水平较高的地区对金融服务实体经济效率的提升作用更加显著。为推动金融科技的发展、提升金融服务实体经济效率以及实施适度金融监管提供了理论基础和经验证据。

数字金融对实体经济发展的影响机制及空间效应研究——基于制造业数据的实证分析

文章基于2011—2021年我国30个省份的面板数据,运用中介效应模型和空间计量模型实证检验了数字金融对实体经济发展的影响机制和空间溢出效应。研究结果表明:数字金融能够缓解实体经济的融资约束,推动实体经济发展;金融风险、人力资本和绿色创新是数字金融推动实体经济发展的重要机制。降低金融风险能够缓解实体经济的融资约束,提升人力资本和促进绿色创新能够提高实体经济的发展效率;数字金融对实体经济发展的影响存在显著的空间溢出效应,数字金融通过空间溢出效应对邻近地区的实体经济发展产生虹吸效应。据此提出大力发展数字金融,充分发挥数字金融降低金融风险、提升人力资本和促进绿色创新的作用,提高各省间数字金融协调度,以促进实体经济快速发展。