Eye tracking can facilitate understanding irrational decision-making in contexts such as financial risk-taking.For this purpose,we develop an experimental framework in which participants trade a risky asset in a simul...Eye tracking can facilitate understanding irrational decision-making in contexts such as financial risk-taking.For this purpose,we develop an experimental framework in which participants trade a risky asset in a simulated bubble market to maximize individual returns while their eye movements are recorded.Returns are sensitive to eye movement dynamics,depending on the presented visual stimuli.Using eye-tracking data,we investigated the effects of arousal,attention,and disengagement on individual payoffs using linear and nonlinear approaches.By estimating a nonlinear model using attention as a threshold variable,our results suggest that arousal positively influences trading returns,but its effect becomes smaller when attention exceeds a certain threshold,whereas disengagement has a higher negative impact on reduced attention levels and becomes almost irrelevant when attention increases.Hence,we provide a neurobehavioral metric as a function of attention that predicts financial gains in boomand-bust scenarios.This study serves as a proof-of-concept for developing future psychometric measures to enhance decision-making.展开更多
We study the concept of financial bubbles in a market model endowed with a set P of probability measures,typically mutually singular to each other.In this setting,we investigate a dynamic version of robust superreplic...We study the concept of financial bubbles in a market model endowed with a set P of probability measures,typically mutually singular to each other.In this setting,we investigate a dynamic version of robust superreplication,which we use to introduce the notions of bubble and robust fundamental value in a way consistent with the existing literature in the classical case P={P}.Finally,we provide concrete examples illustrating our results.展开更多
This research paper evaluates whether Robotics equities traded on Stock Markets worldwide are a good investment opportunity or not. Robotics seems to become more and more attractive for both institutional investors （...This research paper evaluates whether Robotics equities traded on Stock Markets worldwide are a good investment opportunity or not. Robotics seems to become more and more attractive for both institutional investors （who act rationally and prefer medium to long term investments） and individual investors （who are driven by irrational behaviour and prefer short term investments）. In order to forecast if robotics is an investment opportunity that could inflate a new financial bubble in the oncoming years, this research paper compares robotics equities with Internet equities and analyses what happened during the Dot-com Mania in the 1990s. A number of similarities come out as well as several key enabling factors that confirm robotics is a major investment opportunity for the next decade.展开更多
文摘Eye tracking can facilitate understanding irrational decision-making in contexts such as financial risk-taking.For this purpose,we develop an experimental framework in which participants trade a risky asset in a simulated bubble market to maximize individual returns while their eye movements are recorded.Returns are sensitive to eye movement dynamics,depending on the presented visual stimuli.Using eye-tracking data,we investigated the effects of arousal,attention,and disengagement on individual payoffs using linear and nonlinear approaches.By estimating a nonlinear model using attention as a threshold variable,our results suggest that arousal positively influences trading returns,but its effect becomes smaller when attention exceeds a certain threshold,whereas disengagement has a higher negative impact on reduced attention levels and becomes almost irrelevant when attention increases.Hence,we provide a neurobehavioral metric as a function of attention that predicts financial gains in boomand-bust scenarios.This study serves as a proof-of-concept for developing future psychometric measures to enhance decision-making.
文摘We study the concept of financial bubbles in a market model endowed with a set P of probability measures,typically mutually singular to each other.In this setting,we investigate a dynamic version of robust superreplication,which we use to introduce the notions of bubble and robust fundamental value in a way consistent with the existing literature in the classical case P={P}.Finally,we provide concrete examples illustrating our results.
文摘This research paper evaluates whether Robotics equities traded on Stock Markets worldwide are a good investment opportunity or not. Robotics seems to become more and more attractive for both institutional investors （who act rationally and prefer medium to long term investments） and individual investors （who are driven by irrational behaviour and prefer short term investments）. In order to forecast if robotics is an investment opportunity that could inflate a new financial bubble in the oncoming years, this research paper compares robotics equities with Internet equities and analyses what happened during the Dot-com Mania in the 1990s. A number of similarities come out as well as several key enabling factors that confirm robotics is a major investment opportunity for the next decade.
