Integrating a novel irrigation approximation method with a process-based remote sensing model to estimate multi-years'winter wheat yield over the North China Plain

Accurate estimation of regional winter wheat yields is essential for understanding the food production status and ensuring national food security.However,using the existing remote sensing-based crop yield models to accurately reproduce the inter-annual and spatial variations in winter wheat yields remains challenging due to the limited ability to acquire irrigation information in water-limited regions.Thus,we proposed a new approach to approximating irrigations of winter wheat over the North China Plain(NCP),where irrigation occurs extensively during the winter wheat growing season.This approach used irrigation pattern parameters(IPPs)to define the irrigation frequency and timing.Then,they were incorporated into a newly-developed process-based and remote sensing-driven crop yield model for winter wheat(PRYM–Wheat),to improve the regional estimates of winter wheat over the NCP.The IPPs were determined using statistical yield data of reference years(2010–2015)over the NCP.Our findings showed that PRYM–Wheat with the optimal IPPs could improve the regional estimate of winter wheat yield,with an increase and decrease in the correlation coefficient(R)and root mean square error(RMSE)of 0.15(about 37%)and 0.90 t ha–1(about 41%),respectively.The data in validation years(2001–2009 and 2016–2019)were used to validate PRYM–Wheat.In addition,our findings also showed R(RMSE)of 0.80(0.62 t ha–1)on a site level,0.61(0.91 t ha–1)for Hebei Province on a county level,0.73(0.97 t ha–1)for Henan Province on a county level,and 0.55(0.75 t ha–1)for Shandong Province on a city level.Overall,PRYM–Wheat can offer a stable and robust approach to estimating regional winter wheat yield across multiple years,providing a scientific basis for ensuring regional food security.

Fuzzy stochastic generalized reliability studies on embankment systems based on first-order approximation theorem

In order to address the complex uncertainties caused by interfacing between the fuzziness and randomness of the safety problem for embankment engineering projects, and to evaluate the safety of embankment engineering projects more scientifically and reasonably, this study presents the fuzzy logic modeling of the stochastic finite element method （SFEM） based on the harmonious finite element （HFE） technique using a first-order approximation theorem. Fuzzy mathematical models of safety repertories were introduced into the SFEM to analyze the stability of embankments and foundations in order to describe the fuzzy failure procedure for the random safety performance function. The fuzzy models were developed with membership functions with half depressed gamma distribution, half depressed normal distribution, and half depressed echelon distribution. The fuzzy stochastic mathematical algorithm was used to comprehensively study the local failure mechanism of the main embankment section near Jingnan in the Yangtze River in terms of numerical analysis for the probability integration of reliability on the random field affected by three fuzzy factors. The result shows that the middle region of the embankment is the principal zone of concentrated failure due to local fractures. There is also some local shear failure on the embankment crust. This study provides a referential method for solving complex multi-uncertainty problems in engineering safety analysis.

RBMDO Using Gaussian Mixture Model-Based Second-Order Mean-Value Saddlepoint Approximation

Actual engineering systems will be inevitably affected by uncertain factors.Thus,the Reliability-Based Multidisciplinary Design Optimization(RBMDO)has become a hotspot for recent research and application in complex engineering system design.The Second-Order/First-Order Mean-Value Saddlepoint Approximate(SOMVSA/-FOMVSA)are two popular reliability analysis strategies that are widely used in RBMDO.However,the SOMVSA method can only be used efficiently when the distribution of input variables is Gaussian distribution,which significantly limits its application.In this study,the Gaussian Mixture Model-based Second-Order Mean-Value Saddlepoint Approximation(GMM-SOMVSA)is introduced to tackle above problem.It is integrated with the Collaborative Optimization(CO)method to solve RBMDO problems.Furthermore,the formula and procedure of RBMDO using GMM-SOMVSA-Based CO(GMM-SOMVSA-CO)are proposed.Finally,an engineering example is given to show the application of the GMM-SOMVSA-CO method.

Beam Approximation for Dynamic Analysis of Launch Vehicles Modelled as Stiffened Cylindrical Shells

A beam approximation method for dynamic analysis of launch vehicles modelled as stiffened cylindrical shells is proposed.Firstly,an initial beam model of the stiffened cylindrical shell is established based on the cross-sectional area equivalence principle that represents the shell skin and its longitudinal ribs as a beam with annular cross-section,and the circumferential ribs as lumped masses at the nodes of the beam elements.Then,a fine finite element model(FE model)of the stiffened cylindrical shell is constructed and a modal analysis is carried out.Finally,the initial beam model is improved through model updating against the natural frequencies and mode shapes of the fine FE model of the shell.To facilitate the comparison between the mode shapes of the fine FE model of the stiffened shell and the equivalent beam model,a weighted nodal displacement coupling relationship is introduced.To prevent the design parameters used in model updating from converging to incorrect values,a pre-model updating procedure is added before the proper model updating.The results of two examples demonstrate that the beam approximation method presented in this paper can build equivalent beam models of stiffened cylindrical shells which can reflect the global longitudinal,lateral and torsional vibration characteristics very well in terms of the natural frequencies.

Dynamics of Jaynes-Cummings Model in the Absence of Rotating-Wave Approximation

Jaynes-Cummings 模型(JCM ) 被一种协调状态的扩大技术当 therotating 波浪近似(RWA ) 不在时学习。与协调状态的扩大仅仅在被执行到第三份订单的以前的纸比较，我们在这篇论文的供打包的酒菜没有 theRWA，确切表明 JCM 的动力学的完全的扩大。我们的学习给一个系统的方法解决 non-RWA 问题，它将在各种各样的 physicai 系统是有用的，例如，在有 uitracold 的一个系统，套住的离子经历跑激光飘动。

A population-level model from the microscopic dynamics in Escherichia coli chemotaxis via Langevin approximation

Recent extensive studies of Escherichia coli （E. coli） chemotaxis have achieved a deep understanding of its mi- croscopic control dynamics. As a result, various quantitatively predictive models have been developed to describe the chemotactic behavior of E. coli motion. However, a population-level partial differential equation （PDE） that rationally incorporates such microscopic dynamics is still insufficient. Apart from the traditional Keller-Segel （K-S） equation, many existing population-level models developed from the microscopic dynamics are integro-PDEs. The difficulty comes mainly from cell tumbles which yield a velocity jumping process. Here, we propose a Langevin approximation method that avoids such a difficulty without appreciable loss of precision. The resulting model not only quantitatively repro- duces the results of pathway-based single-cell simulators, but also provides new inside information on the mechanism of E. coli chemotaxis. Our study demonstrates a possible alternative in establishing a simple population-level model that allows for the complex microscopic mechanisms in bacterial chemotaxis.

Stable Routh-Padé-type approximation in model reduction of interval systems

An interval Pade-type approximation is introduced and then Routh-Pade-type method （IRPTM） is presented to model reduction in interval systems. The denominator in reduced model is obtained from the stable Routh table, and its numerator is constructed by the interval Pade-type definition. Compared to the existing Routh-Pade method, IRPTM does not need to solve linear interval equations theoretical analysis shows that IRPTM has example is given to illustrate our method. Hence, we do not have to compute smaller computational cost than that interval division in the process. Moreover, of Routh-Pade method. A typical numerical

Extended Quark Potential Model from Random Phase Approximation

The quark potential model is extended to include the sea quark excitation using the random phase approx-imation. The effective quark interaction preserves the important QCD properties - chiral symmetry and confinementsimultaneously. A primary qualitative analysis shows that the π meson as a well-known typical Goldstone boson andthe other mesons made up of valence qq quark pair such as the ρ meson can also be described in this extended quarkpotential model.

Dynamics of Rabi model under second-order Born Oppenheimer approximation

We apply the second-order Born-Oppenheimer （BO） approximation to investigate the dynamics of the Rabi model, which describes the interaction between a two-level system and a single bosonic mode beyond the rotating wave approxi- mation. By comparing with the numerical results, we find that our approach works well when the frequency of the two-level system is much smaller than that of the bosonic mode.

First-order approximate analytical expressions of oblique incident elastic wave at an interface of porous media saturated with a nonviscous fluid

The analysis technology of Amplitude Variation with Offset(AVO)is one of the important methods for oil and gas reservoir prediction.Zoeppritz equation and its approximations are the theoretical basis of AVO analysis,which assumes that the upper and lower media of a horizontal interface are single-phase media.Limited by this assumption,AVO analysis has limited prediction and identification accuracy for complex porous reservoirs.In view of this,the first-order approximate analytical expressions of oblique elastic wave at an interface of porous media are derived.Firstly,the incident and scattering characteristics of various waves at the interface of porous media are analyzed,and the displacement vectors generated by these elastic waves are described by exponential function.Secondly,the kinematic and dynamic boundary conditions at the interface of porous media are discussed.Thirdly,by substituting the displacement vectors of incident and scattered waves into boundary conditions,the exact analytical equation is derived.Then,considering the symmetry of scattering matrix in the equation,the exact analytical expressions of each scattered wave are obtained.Furthermore,under the assumptions of small incident angle,weak elasticity at an interface of porous media,and ignoring the second-and higherorder terms,the first-order approximate analytical expressions are derived.Establishing a model of sandstone porous media with different porosity in upper and lower media,the correctness of the approximate analytical expressions is verified,and the elastic wave response characteristics of lithology and pore fluids are analyzed.

Effective Hamiltonian of the Jaynes–Cummings model beyond rotating-wave approximation

The Jaynes–Cummings model with or without rotating-wave approximation plays a major role to study the interaction between atom and light. We investigate the Jaynes–Cummings model beyond the rotating-wave approximation. Treating the counter-rotating terms as periodic drivings, we solve the model in the extended Floquet space. It is found that the full energy spectrum folded in the quasi-energy bands can be described by an effective Hamiltonian derived in the highfrequency regime. In contrast to the Z_(2) symmetry of the original model, the effective Hamiltonian bears an enlarged U(1)symmetry with a unique photon-dependent atom-light detuning and coupling strength. We further analyze the energy spectrum, eigenstate fidelity and mean photon number of the resultant polaritons, which are shown to be in accordance with the numerical simulations in the extended Floquet space up to an ultra-strong coupling regime and are not altered significantly for a finite atom-light detuning. Our results suggest that the effective model provides a good starting point to investigate the rich physics brought by counter-rotating terms in the frame of Floquet theory.

Cross Validation Based Model Averaging for Varying-Coefficient Models with Response Missing at Random

In this paper, a model averaging method is proposed for varying-coefficient models with response missing at random by establishing a weight selection criterion based on cross-validation. Under certain regularity conditions, it is proved that the proposed method is asymptotically optimal in the sense of achieving the minimum squared error.

The Mixed Spin-1/2 and Spin-1 Ising–Heisenberg Model in the Mean-Field Approximation: a New Approach

Thermodynamic properties of the mixed spin-1 and spin-1/2 Ising-Heisenberg model are studied on a honeycomb lattice using a new approach in the mean-field approximation to analyze the effects of longitudinal Dz and transverse Dx crystal fields. The phase diagrams are calculated in detail by studying the thermal variations of the order parameters, i.e., magnetizations and quadrupole moments, and compared with the literature to assess the reliability of the new approach. It is found that the model yields both second- and first-order phase transitions, and tricritical points. The compensation behavior of the model is also investigated for the sublattice magnetizations, and longitudinal and transverse quadrupolar moments. The latter type of compensation is observed in the literature but its possible importance is overlooked.

Extended Quark Potential Model From Random Phase Approximation

The quark potential model is extended to include the sea quark excitation using the random phase approx-imation. The effective quark interaction preserves the important QCD properties - chiral symmetry and confinementsimultaneously. A primary qualitative analysis shows that the π meson as a well-known typical Goldstone boson andthe other mesons made up of valence qq quark pair such as the ρ meson can also be described in this extended quarkpotential model.

Quasi-Monte Carlo Approximations for Exponentiated Quadratic Kernel in Latent Force Models

In this project, we consider obtaining Fourier features via more efficient sampling schemes to approximate the kernel in LFMs. A latent force model (LFM) is a Gaussian process whose covariance functions follow an Exponentiated Quadratic (EQ) form, and the solutions for the cross-covariance are expensive due to the computational complexity. To reduce the complexity of mathematical expressions, random Fourier features (RFF) are applied to approximate the EQ kernel. Usually, the random Fourier features are implemented with Monte Carlo sampling, but this project proposes replacing the Monte-Carlo method with the Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method. The first-order and second-order models’ experiment results demonstrate the decrease in NLPD and NMSE, which revealed that the models with QMC approximation have better performance.

Magnetic Properties of One-Dimensional Ferromagnetic Mixed-Spin Model within Tyablikov Decoupling Approximation

In this paper, we apply the two-time Green's function method, and provide a simple way to study themagnetic properties of one-dimensional spin-(S, s) Heisenberg ferromagnets.The magnetic susceptibility and correlationfunctions are obtained by using the Tyablikov decoupling approximation.Our results show that the magnetic susceptibilityand correlation length are a monotonically decreasing function of temperature regardless of the mixed spins.It isfound that in the case of S = s, our results of one-dimensional mixed-spin model is reduced to be those of the isotropicferromagnetic Heisenberg chain in the whole temperature region.Our results for the susceptibility are in agreement withthose obtained by other theoretical approaches.

High—Temperature Cutoff Approximation of the 3D kinetic Ising Model

A single-spin transition critical dynamics is used to investigate the three-dimensional kinetic Ising model on an anisotropic cubic lattice. We first derive the fundamental dynamical equations, and then linearize them by a cutoff approximation. We obtain the approximate solutions of the local magnetization and equal-time pair correlation function in zero field. In which the axial-decoupling terms γ1γ2, γ2γ3 and γ1γ3 as higher infinitesimal quantity are ignored, where γa = tanh(2kα) = tanh(2Jα/kβT) (α = 1,2,3). We think that it is reasonable as the temperature of the system is very high. The result of what we obtain in this paper can go back to the one-dimensional Glauber's theory as long as k2 = k3= 0.

Structural Stability of the Financial Market Model: Continuity of Superhedging Price and Model Approximation

The present paper continues the topic of our recent paper in the same journal,aiming to show the role of structural stability in financial modeling.In the context of financial market modeling,structural stability means that a specific“no-arbitrage”property is unaffected by small(with respect to the Pompeiu–Hausdorff metric)perturbations of the model’s dynamics.We formulate,based on our economic interpretation,a new requirement concerning“no arbitrage”properties,which we call the“uncertainty principle”.This principle in the case of no-trading constraints is equivalent to structural stability.We demonstrate that structural stability is essential for a correct model approximation(which is used in our numerical method for superhedging price computation).We also show that structural stability is important for the continuity of superhedging prices and discuss the sufficient conditions for this continuity.

Approximate solutions of the Alekseevskii–Tate model of long-rod penetration

The Alekseevskii–Tate model is the most successful semi-hydrodynamic model applied to long-rod penetration into semi-infinite targets. However, due to the nonlinear nature of the equations, the rod(tail) velocity, penetration velocity, rod length, and penetration depth were obtained implicitly as a function of time and solved numerically By employing a linear approximation to the logarithmic relative rod length, we obtain two sets of explicit approximate algebraic solutions based on the implicit theoretica solution deduced from primitive equations. It is very convenient in the theoretical prediction of the Alekseevskii–Tate model to apply these simple algebraic solutions. In particular, approximate solution 1 shows good agreement with the theoretical(exact) solution, and the first-order perturbation solution obtained by Walters et al.(Int. J. Impac Eng. 33:837–846, 2006) can be deemed as a special form of approximate solution 1 in high-speed penetration. Meanwhile, with constant tail velocity and penetration velocity approximate solution 2 has very simple expressions, which is applicable for the qualitative analysis of long-rod penetration. Differences among these two approximate solutions and the theoretical(exact) solution and their respective scopes of application have been discussed, and the inferences with clear physical basis have been drawn. In addition, these two solutions and the first-order perturbation solution are applied to two cases with different initial impact velocity and different penetrator/target combinations to compare with the theoretical(exact) solution. Approximate solution 1 is much closer to the theoretical solution of the Alekseevskii–Tate model than the first-order perturbation solution in both cases, whilst approximate solution 2 brings us a more intuitive understanding of quasi-steady-state penetration.

EXTENSION OF CONVEX MODELS AND ITS IMPROVEMENT ON THE APPROXIMATE SOLUTION

In this paper, by means of combining non-probabilistic convex modeling with perturbation theory, an improvement is made on the first order approximate solution in convex models of uncertainties. Convex modeling is extended to largely uncertain and non-convex sets of uncertainties and the combinational convex modeling is developed. The presented method not only extends applications of convex modeling, but also improves its accuracy in uncertain problems and computational efficiency. The numerical example illustrates the efficiency of the proposed method.