As the main link of ground engineering,crude oil gathering and transportation systems require huge energy consumption and complex structures.It is necessary to establish an energy efficiency evaluation system for crud...As the main link of ground engineering,crude oil gathering and transportation systems require huge energy consumption and complex structures.It is necessary to establish an energy efficiency evaluation system for crude oil gathering and transportation systems and identify the energy efficiency gaps.In this paper,the energy efficiency evaluation system of the crude oil gathering and transportation system in an oilfield in western China is established.Combined with the big data analysis method,the GA-BP neural network is used to establish the energy efficiency index prediction model for crude oil gathering and transportation systems.The comprehensive energy consumption,gas consumption,power consumption,energy utilization rate,heat utilization rate,and power utilization rate of crude oil gathering and transportation systems are predicted.Considering the efficiency and unit consumption index of the crude oil gathering and transportation system,the energy efficiency evaluation system of the crude oil gathering and transportation system is established based on a game theory combined weighting method and TOPSIS evaluation method,and the subjective weight is determined by the triangular fuzzy analytic hierarchy process.The entropy weight method determines the objective weight,and the combined weight of game theory combines subjectivity with objectivity to comprehensively evaluate the comprehensive energy efficiency of crude oil gathering and transportation systems and their subsystems.Finally,the weak links in energy utilization are identified,and energy conservation and consumption reduction are improved.The above research provides technical support for the green,efficient and intelligent development of crude oil gathering and transportation systems.展开更多
Drilling costs of ultra-deepwell is the significant part of development investment,and accurate prediction of drilling costs plays an important role in reasonable budgeting and overall control of development cost.In o...Drilling costs of ultra-deepwell is the significant part of development investment,and accurate prediction of drilling costs plays an important role in reasonable budgeting and overall control of development cost.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of ultra-deep well drilling costs,the item and the dominant factors of drilling costs in Tarim oilfield are analyzed.Then,those factors of drilling costs are separated into categorical variables and numerous variables.Finally,a BP neural networkmodel with drilling costs as the output is established,and hyper-parameters(initial weights and bias)of the BP neural network is optimized by genetic algorithm(GA).Through training and validation of themodel,a reliable prediction model of ultra-deep well drilling costs is achieved.The average relative error between prediction and actual values is 3.26%.Compared with other models,the root mean square error is reduced by 25.38%.The prediction results of the proposed model are reliable,and the model is efficient,which can provide supporting for the drilling costs control and budget planning of ultra-deep wells.展开更多
The CRTS Ⅱ slab track, which is connected in a longitudinal direction, is one of the main ballastless tracks in China, with approximately 7365 km of operational track. Temperature loading is a very vital factor leadi...The CRTS Ⅱ slab track, which is connected in a longitudinal direction, is one of the main ballastless tracks in China, with approximately 7365 km of operational track. Temperature loading is a very vital factor leading to slab track damages such as warping and cracking. While existing research on temperature distribution rests on either site tests in special environments or theoretical analysis, the long-term temperature field characteristics are not clear. Therefore, a long-term temperature field test for the CRTS Ⅱ slab track on bridge-subgrade transition section was conducted to analyze the temperature field. A GA-BP(genetic algorithm optimized back propagation) neural network was trained on the test data to predict the temperature field. The vertical and lateral temperature distributions in four typical days were carried out. We found that the temperature along the track was distributed in a nonlinear manner. This was particularly distinct in the vertical direction for depths of less than 300 mm. The highest and lowest daily temperatures and the daily range of the temperature were analyzed. With the increasing depth, the daily highest temperatures and range of the temperature were smaller, the daily lowest temperatures were higher, and the time corresponding to this peak value appeared later in the day. Both the highest and lowest daily temperature could be predicted using the GA-BP neural network, though the accuracy in predicting the highest temperature was higher than that in predicting the lowest temperature.展开更多
Gold price is affected by a variety of factors and has highly nonlinear and random features. Some traditional forecast methods emphasize linear relations excessively and some ignore the price randomness. The predictiv...Gold price is affected by a variety of factors and has highly nonlinear and random features. Some traditional forecast methods emphasize linear relations excessively and some ignore the price randomness. The predictive error is relatively large. Therefore, a BP neural network model based on principal component analysis (PCA) and genetic algorithm (GA) was proposed for the short-term prediction of gold price. BP could establish the gold price forecasting model. The weights and thresholds of BP neural network are optimized by GA, which overcome the shortcoming that BP algorithm falls into local minimum easily. PCA can effectively simplify the network input variables and speed up the convergence. The results showed that, compared with GA-BP and BP, the convergence rate of PCA-GA-BP neural network model was faster and the prediction accuracy was higher in the prediction of gold price.展开更多
为提高硬脆材料微结构的加工效率和精度,需要预测微磨具的不确定性磨损。基于微磨具在位视觉磨损检测和聚类分析,提出基于遗传算法的反向神经网络(genetic algorithm back propagation,GA-BP)模型。选取微磨具磨头截面面积损失量为指标...为提高硬脆材料微结构的加工效率和精度,需要预测微磨具的不确定性磨损。基于微磨具在位视觉磨损检测和聚类分析,提出基于遗传算法的反向神经网络(genetic algorithm back propagation,GA-BP)模型。选取微磨具磨头截面面积损失量为指标,以表征微磨具不确定性磨损特征。利用K-均值聚类算法划分微磨具磨损状态阶段。最后构建以主轴转速、进给率、微槽深度、磨削长度和微磨具初始截面面积为输入层神经元,以磨头截面面积损失量预测值为输出层的GA-BP神经网络模型。设计不同工艺参数条件下的单晶硅微槽微细磨削实验,基于自搭建的机器视觉系统在位测量微磨具的磨头截面面积磨损量。将实验测得的微磨具磨损量作为训练数据,与传统高斯过程回归预测模型对比,验证GA-BP神经网络模型的有效性和准确性。结果表明,GA-BP神经网络模型能够实现不同工艺参数和不同磨削长度下的微磨具磨损预测,比传统高斯过程回归预测模型具有更高预测精度,平均误差精度达到5%,可以实现微磨具磨损阶段状态预测。展开更多
基金This work was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52074089 and 52104064)Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province of China(LH2019E019).
文摘As the main link of ground engineering,crude oil gathering and transportation systems require huge energy consumption and complex structures.It is necessary to establish an energy efficiency evaluation system for crude oil gathering and transportation systems and identify the energy efficiency gaps.In this paper,the energy efficiency evaluation system of the crude oil gathering and transportation system in an oilfield in western China is established.Combined with the big data analysis method,the GA-BP neural network is used to establish the energy efficiency index prediction model for crude oil gathering and transportation systems.The comprehensive energy consumption,gas consumption,power consumption,energy utilization rate,heat utilization rate,and power utilization rate of crude oil gathering and transportation systems are predicted.Considering the efficiency and unit consumption index of the crude oil gathering and transportation system,the energy efficiency evaluation system of the crude oil gathering and transportation system is established based on a game theory combined weighting method and TOPSIS evaluation method,and the subjective weight is determined by the triangular fuzzy analytic hierarchy process.The entropy weight method determines the objective weight,and the combined weight of game theory combines subjectivity with objectivity to comprehensively evaluate the comprehensive energy efficiency of crude oil gathering and transportation systems and their subsystems.Finally,the weak links in energy utilization are identified,and energy conservation and consumption reduction are improved.The above research provides technical support for the green,efficient and intelligent development of crude oil gathering and transportation systems.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Innovation Foundation of CNPC“Multiscale Flow Law and Flow Field Coupling Study of Tight Sandstone Gas Reservoir”(2016D-5007-0208)13th Five-Year National Major Project“Multistage Fracturing Effect and Production of Fuling Shale Gas HorizontalWell Law Analysis Research”(2016ZX05060-009).
文摘Drilling costs of ultra-deepwell is the significant part of development investment,and accurate prediction of drilling costs plays an important role in reasonable budgeting and overall control of development cost.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of ultra-deep well drilling costs,the item and the dominant factors of drilling costs in Tarim oilfield are analyzed.Then,those factors of drilling costs are separated into categorical variables and numerous variables.Finally,a BP neural networkmodel with drilling costs as the output is established,and hyper-parameters(initial weights and bias)of the BP neural network is optimized by genetic algorithm(GA).Through training and validation of themodel,a reliable prediction model of ultra-deep well drilling costs is achieved.The average relative error between prediction and actual values is 3.26%.Compared with other models,the root mean square error is reduced by 25.38%.The prediction results of the proposed model are reliable,and the model is efficient,which can provide supporting for the drilling costs control and budget planning of ultra-deep wells.
基金This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Nos.2021YFB2601000,2021YFF0502100)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52208415)the Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province,China(Nos.2021JQ-255,2022JQ-303).
文摘The CRTS Ⅱ slab track, which is connected in a longitudinal direction, is one of the main ballastless tracks in China, with approximately 7365 km of operational track. Temperature loading is a very vital factor leading to slab track damages such as warping and cracking. While existing research on temperature distribution rests on either site tests in special environments or theoretical analysis, the long-term temperature field characteristics are not clear. Therefore, a long-term temperature field test for the CRTS Ⅱ slab track on bridge-subgrade transition section was conducted to analyze the temperature field. A GA-BP(genetic algorithm optimized back propagation) neural network was trained on the test data to predict the temperature field. The vertical and lateral temperature distributions in four typical days were carried out. We found that the temperature along the track was distributed in a nonlinear manner. This was particularly distinct in the vertical direction for depths of less than 300 mm. The highest and lowest daily temperatures and the daily range of the temperature were analyzed. With the increasing depth, the daily highest temperatures and range of the temperature were smaller, the daily lowest temperatures were higher, and the time corresponding to this peak value appeared later in the day. Both the highest and lowest daily temperature could be predicted using the GA-BP neural network, though the accuracy in predicting the highest temperature was higher than that in predicting the lowest temperature.
文摘Gold price is affected by a variety of factors and has highly nonlinear and random features. Some traditional forecast methods emphasize linear relations excessively and some ignore the price randomness. The predictive error is relatively large. Therefore, a BP neural network model based on principal component analysis (PCA) and genetic algorithm (GA) was proposed for the short-term prediction of gold price. BP could establish the gold price forecasting model. The weights and thresholds of BP neural network are optimized by GA, which overcome the shortcoming that BP algorithm falls into local minimum easily. PCA can effectively simplify the network input variables and speed up the convergence. The results showed that, compared with GA-BP and BP, the convergence rate of PCA-GA-BP neural network model was faster and the prediction accuracy was higher in the prediction of gold price.
文摘为提高硬脆材料微结构的加工效率和精度,需要预测微磨具的不确定性磨损。基于微磨具在位视觉磨损检测和聚类分析,提出基于遗传算法的反向神经网络(genetic algorithm back propagation,GA-BP)模型。选取微磨具磨头截面面积损失量为指标,以表征微磨具不确定性磨损特征。利用K-均值聚类算法划分微磨具磨损状态阶段。最后构建以主轴转速、进给率、微槽深度、磨削长度和微磨具初始截面面积为输入层神经元,以磨头截面面积损失量预测值为输出层的GA-BP神经网络模型。设计不同工艺参数条件下的单晶硅微槽微细磨削实验,基于自搭建的机器视觉系统在位测量微磨具的磨头截面面积磨损量。将实验测得的微磨具磨损量作为训练数据,与传统高斯过程回归预测模型对比,验证GA-BP神经网络模型的有效性和准确性。结果表明,GA-BP神经网络模型能够实现不同工艺参数和不同磨削长度下的微磨具磨损预测,比传统高斯过程回归预测模型具有更高预测精度,平均误差精度达到5%,可以实现微磨具磨损阶段状态预测。
