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西北太平洋热带气旋潜势分布和年际变率的数值模拟 被引量:4
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作者 田方兴 周天军 张丽霞 《气象学报》 SCIE CSCD 北大核心 2013年第1期50-62,共13页
热带气旋潜势指数是定量表征影响热带气旋生成的大尺度环境条件指标,在不能显式模拟热带气旋的气候系统模式中,常被作为热带气旋的代用指标。基于中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室发展的AGCM GAMI... 热带气旋潜势指数是定量表征影响热带气旋生成的大尺度环境条件指标,在不能显式模拟热带气旋的气候系统模式中,常被作为热带气旋的代用指标。基于中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室发展的AGCM GAMIL2.0模式在历史海温驱动下的积分结果,评估了该模式对热带气旋潜势气候态、季节循环和年际变率的模拟能力。并分别从影响热带气旋潜势分布的热力因子(相对湿度、热带气旋最大风速)和动力因子(垂直风切变、绝对涡度、垂直抬升速度)的角度,讨论了造成热带气旋潜势模拟误差的原因。结果表明,在西北太平洋地区,模式能够合理再现热带气旋潜势的气候态分布,但由于GAMIL2.0模拟的相对湿度偏大且向东延伸,造成了热带气旋潜势大值区较之再分析资料偏大且偏东10°。由于GAMIL2.0模拟的季风槽位置偏北偏强,导致模拟的热带气旋潜势季节循环北进偏早而南退偏晚。在年际变化方面,GAMIL2.0能合理模拟出热带气旋潜势在ENSO正负位相东西反向的变化特征,但位于20°—30°N的加强和减弱区的分界线偏西,这与模拟的垂直速度和相对湿度的模拟误差有关,进一步分析表明,这是由于模拟中ENSO事件期间的西北太平洋异常上升中心比观测偏西且偏强造成的。 展开更多
关键词 热带气旋 热带气旋潜势 西北太平洋 模式评估 GAMIL2 0
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Observational analysis and numerical simulation of the interannual variability of the boreal winter Hadley circulation over the recent 30 years 被引量:3
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作者 SUN Yong ZHOU TianJun ZHANG LiXia 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第4期647-661,共15页
The interannual variability of the boreal winter (DJF) Hadley Cell strength during 1979-2008 is investigated using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The results of AMIP simulation of LASG/IAP AGCM GAMIL2.0 are compared aga... The interannual variability of the boreal winter (DJF) Hadley Cell strength during 1979-2008 is investigated using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The results of AMIP simulation of LASG/IAP AGCM GAMIL2.0 are compared against the re- analysis data. Both the reanalysis data and the simulation show that the interannual variability of the Hadley Cell strength has a non-uniform spatial distribution, as evidenced by the 1st Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) mode. The change of Hadley cell strength in the tropics is opposite to that in the subtropical regions. Our analysis indicates that a positive phase of EOF1 is associated with an E1 Nifio-like warmer equatorial central and eastern Pacific and a warmer southern Indian Ocean. Above features are also seen in the results of GAMIL2.0 simulation, indicating that the interannual variability of the Hadley Cell strength is driven by the tropical ocean variability. Our analysis also demonstrates that the contribution of the warmer cen- tral-eastern Pacific to the 1st EOF mode is larger than that of the South Indian Ocean. The SST forcing enhances the local Hadley circulation strength in the central Pacific and Africa (30°S-30°N, 150°E-90°W), while it weakens the local Hadley circulation in other regions (30°S-30°N, 90°-10°W). The western Pacific anticyclone remotely driven by the E1 Nifio forcing leads to a weakened local Hadley cell in the Northern Hemisphere, while the South Indian Ocean anticyclone driven by the remote E1 Nifio forcing and the local warmer SST anomalies in the southern Indian Ocean results in a weakened local Hadley Cell in the Southern Hemisphere. The enhancement of the Pacific local Hadley Cell is stronger (weaker) than that of the Atlan- tic, the western Pacific, and the southern Indian Ocean in the tropical (subtropical) part, thus for the zonal mean condition the strength of the total Hadley Cell is stronger (weaker) in the tropical (subtropical) limb. The amplitude of the Hadley Cell change in the Northern Hemisphere is stronger than that in the Southern Hemisphere. Hence the leading interannual variability mode of boreal winter Hadley Cell exhibits a non-uniform spatial pattern. 展开更多
关键词 Hadley circulation interannual variability gamil2.0
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