The measurement of solar irradiation is still a necessary basis for planning the installation of photovoltaic parks and concentrating solar power systems. The meteorological stations for the measurement of the solar f...The measurement of solar irradiation is still a necessary basis for planning the installation of photovoltaic parks and concentrating solar power systems. The meteorological stations for the measurement of the solar flux at any point of the earth’s surface are still insufficient worldwide;moreover, these measurements on the ground are expensive, and rare. To overcome this shortcoming, the exploitation of images from the European meteorological satellites of the second generation MSG is a reliable solution to estimate the global horizontal irradiance GHI on the ground with a good spatial and temporal coverage. Since 2004, the new generation MSG satellites provide images of Africa and Europe every 15 minutes with a spatial resolution of about 1 km × 1 km at the sub-satellite point. The objective of this work was to apply the Brazil-SR method to evaluate the global horizontal GHI irradiance for the entire Moroccan national territory from the European Meteosat Second Generation MSG satellite images. This bibliographic review also exposed the standard model of calculation of GHI in clear sky by exploiting the terrestrial meteorological measurements.展开更多
In the present study,multimodel ensemble forecast experiments of the global horizontal irradiance(GHI)were conducted using the dynamic variable weight technique.The study was based on the forecasts of four numerical m...In the present study,multimodel ensemble forecast experiments of the global horizontal irradiance(GHI)were conducted using the dynamic variable weight technique.The study was based on the forecasts of four numerical models,namely,the China Meteorological Administration Wind Energy and Solar Energy Prediction System,the Mesoscale Weather Numerical Prediction System of China Meteorological Administration,the China Meteorological Administration Regional Mesoscale Numerical Prediction System-Guangdong,and the Weather Research and Forecasting Model-Solar,and observational data from four photovoltaic(PV)power stations in Yangjiang City,Guangdong Province.The results show that compared with those of the monthly optimal numerical model forecasts,the dynamic variable weight-based ensemble forecasts exhibited 0.97%-15.96%smaller values of the mean absolute error and 3.31%-18.40%lower values of the root mean square error(RMSE).However,the increase in the correlation coefficient was not obvious.Specifically,the multimodel ensemble mainly improved the performance of GHI forecasts below 700 W m^(-2),particularly below 400 W m^(-2),with RMSE reductions as high as 7.56%-28.28%.In contrast,the RMSE increased at GHI levels above 700 W m^(-2).As for the key period of PV power station output(02:00-07:00),the accuracy of GHI forecasts could be improved by the multimodel ensemble:the multimodel ensemble could effectively decrease the daily maximum absolute error(AE max)of GHI forecasts.Moreover,with increasing forecasting difficulty under cloudy conditions,the multimodel ensemble,which yields data closer to the actual observations,could simulate GHI fluctuations more accurately.展开更多
利用表征群落总量、放牧退化的主成份和草场健康指数(Grassland Health Index,GHI)与样方光谱反射率之间的相关性,建立了GHI与可见光、红外光因子的回归模型。应用此模型结合TM卫星遥感数据计算GHI,并与同一TM影像的计算出的NDVI作对比...利用表征群落总量、放牧退化的主成份和草场健康指数(Grassland Health Index,GHI)与样方光谱反射率之间的相关性,建立了GHI与可见光、红外光因子的回归模型。应用此模型结合TM卫星遥感数据计算GHI,并与同一TM影像的计算出的NDVI作对比研究。研究发现GHI在反映放牧等人为干扰因素对草原植被的影响效应方面比NDVI有明显的优点。此外,GHI对植被分布格局,特别是斑块结构有更好的显示效果。应用GHI到历史TM数据,对所研究地域的植被覆盖变化、农牧业的变迁模式等进行了定性研究。研究发现,有较长放牧史的过度放牧区的植被类型没有沿牧压梯度的规律性分布,而是呈随机斑块模式分布。展开更多
There has been extreme utilization of petroleum derivatives in recent decades for the generation of electrical vitality, which is contaminating nature in a regularly expanding approach to respond to the exponential de...There has been extreme utilization of petroleum derivatives in recent decades for the generation of electrical vitality, which is contaminating nature in a regularly expanding approach to respond to the exponential demand for electrical power. In light of the essential vision of Saudi Arabia’s government towards the fractional change of reliance on oil as a national wellspring of economy, there is consideration for dependence on resources available inside the country, especially the potentials of renewable sources as alternatives. Saudi Arabia appreciates its geographical advantage inside the sun-belt zone, which has the most impressive sun-situated radiation total on earth. It is a correlative ideal position to consider interest in this valuable asset, through which it can achieve its vision by virtue of its promising whole deal prospects. This study highlights an approach for creating sunlight-based maps that examines the intensity of sun-radiation and its viability to deliver power. The system is to record the measures of sunlight radiation from several allocated data acquisition sites over the study area and balance them with the standard count, and later, make a sun-map in light of the yield. Likewise, the study will register the rate of energy from sun-situated radiation for the area and make preliminary proposals for the achievement of this test.展开更多
This paper aims to propose monthly models responsible for the theoretical evaluation of the global horizontal irradiance of a tropical region in India which is Sivagangai situated in Tamilnadu. The actual measured glo...This paper aims to propose monthly models responsible for the theoretical evaluation of the global horizontal irradiance of a tropical region in India which is Sivagangai situated in Tamilnadu. The actual measured global horizontal irradiance hails from a 5 MW solar power plant station located at Sivagangai in Tamilnadu. The data were monitored from May 2011 to April 2013. The theoretical assessment was conducted differently by employing a programming platform called Microsoft Visual Basic 2010 Express. A graphical user interface was created using Visual Basic 2010 Express, which provided the evaluation of empirical parameters for model formulation such as daily sunshine duration (5), maximum possible sunshine hour duration (S0), extra terrestrial horizontal global irradiance (H0) and extra terrestrial direct normal irradiance (G0). The proposed regression models were validated by the significance of statistical indicators such as mean bias error, root mean square error and mean percentage error from the predicted and the actual values for the region considered. Comparison was made between the proposed monthly models and the existing normalized models for global horizontal irradiance evaluation.展开更多
Solar radiation resources data are the foundation of knowledge for programs of large-scale deployment of solar energy technologies.This article summarizes the analysis of a new weather stations network in the United K...Solar radiation resources data are the foundation of knowledge for programs of large-scale deployment of solar energy technologies.This article summarizes the analysis of a new weather stations network in the United Kingdom.The analysis used three years(January 2015-December 2017)of data from 27 weather stations distributed across the country.The data comprises global horizontal irradiance(GHI),diffuse horizontal irradiance,direct normal irradiance and the ambient temperature.Network design,implementation and data quality assurance are described to document the network extent and quality.From all observed datasets,we found that Plymouth(located in southwest England)has the dominant GHI and ambient temperature among all other 26 locations.The least GHI is observed for Aberdeen(located in northeast Scotland)estimated at 77.3 kWh/m2.The least average ambient temperature is equal to 9.1℃;the data were detected by the weather station located in the capital of Scotland(Edinburgh).Although continued measurements are needed to understand the interannual resource variability,the current study should have significant applications for preliminary technology selection,power plant modeling and resource forecasting.展开更多
文摘The measurement of solar irradiation is still a necessary basis for planning the installation of photovoltaic parks and concentrating solar power systems. The meteorological stations for the measurement of the solar flux at any point of the earth’s surface are still insufficient worldwide;moreover, these measurements on the ground are expensive, and rare. To overcome this shortcoming, the exploitation of images from the European meteorological satellites of the second generation MSG is a reliable solution to estimate the global horizontal irradiance GHI on the ground with a good spatial and temporal coverage. Since 2004, the new generation MSG satellites provide images of Africa and Europe every 15 minutes with a spatial resolution of about 1 km × 1 km at the sub-satellite point. The objective of this work was to apply the Brazil-SR method to evaluate the global horizontal GHI irradiance for the entire Moroccan national territory from the European Meteosat Second Generation MSG satellite images. This bibliographic review also exposed the standard model of calculation of GHI in clear sky by exploiting the terrestrial meteorological measurements.
基金Innovation and Development Project of China Meteorological Administration(CXFZ2023J044)Innovation Foundation of CMA Public Meteorological Service Center(K2023002)+1 种基金“Tianchi Talents”Introduction Plan(2023)Key Innovation Team for Energy and Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration。
文摘In the present study,multimodel ensemble forecast experiments of the global horizontal irradiance(GHI)were conducted using the dynamic variable weight technique.The study was based on the forecasts of four numerical models,namely,the China Meteorological Administration Wind Energy and Solar Energy Prediction System,the Mesoscale Weather Numerical Prediction System of China Meteorological Administration,the China Meteorological Administration Regional Mesoscale Numerical Prediction System-Guangdong,and the Weather Research and Forecasting Model-Solar,and observational data from four photovoltaic(PV)power stations in Yangjiang City,Guangdong Province.The results show that compared with those of the monthly optimal numerical model forecasts,the dynamic variable weight-based ensemble forecasts exhibited 0.97%-15.96%smaller values of the mean absolute error and 3.31%-18.40%lower values of the root mean square error(RMSE).However,the increase in the correlation coefficient was not obvious.Specifically,the multimodel ensemble mainly improved the performance of GHI forecasts below 700 W m^(-2),particularly below 400 W m^(-2),with RMSE reductions as high as 7.56%-28.28%.In contrast,the RMSE increased at GHI levels above 700 W m^(-2).As for the key period of PV power station output(02:00-07:00),the accuracy of GHI forecasts could be improved by the multimodel ensemble:the multimodel ensemble could effectively decrease the daily maximum absolute error(AE max)of GHI forecasts.Moreover,with increasing forecasting difficulty under cloudy conditions,the multimodel ensemble,which yields data closer to the actual observations,could simulate GHI fluctuations more accurately.
文摘利用表征群落总量、放牧退化的主成份和草场健康指数(Grassland Health Index,GHI)与样方光谱反射率之间的相关性,建立了GHI与可见光、红外光因子的回归模型。应用此模型结合TM卫星遥感数据计算GHI,并与同一TM影像的计算出的NDVI作对比研究。研究发现GHI在反映放牧等人为干扰因素对草原植被的影响效应方面比NDVI有明显的优点。此外,GHI对植被分布格局,特别是斑块结构有更好的显示效果。应用GHI到历史TM数据,对所研究地域的植被覆盖变化、农牧业的变迁模式等进行了定性研究。研究发现,有较长放牧史的过度放牧区的植被类型没有沿牧压梯度的规律性分布,而是呈随机斑块模式分布。
文摘There has been extreme utilization of petroleum derivatives in recent decades for the generation of electrical vitality, which is contaminating nature in a regularly expanding approach to respond to the exponential demand for electrical power. In light of the essential vision of Saudi Arabia’s government towards the fractional change of reliance on oil as a national wellspring of economy, there is consideration for dependence on resources available inside the country, especially the potentials of renewable sources as alternatives. Saudi Arabia appreciates its geographical advantage inside the sun-belt zone, which has the most impressive sun-situated radiation total on earth. It is a correlative ideal position to consider interest in this valuable asset, through which it can achieve its vision by virtue of its promising whole deal prospects. This study highlights an approach for creating sunlight-based maps that examines the intensity of sun-radiation and its viability to deliver power. The system is to record the measures of sunlight radiation from several allocated data acquisition sites over the study area and balance them with the standard count, and later, make a sun-map in light of the yield. Likewise, the study will register the rate of energy from sun-situated radiation for the area and make preliminary proposals for the achievement of this test.
文摘This paper aims to propose monthly models responsible for the theoretical evaluation of the global horizontal irradiance of a tropical region in India which is Sivagangai situated in Tamilnadu. The actual measured global horizontal irradiance hails from a 5 MW solar power plant station located at Sivagangai in Tamilnadu. The data were monitored from May 2011 to April 2013. The theoretical assessment was conducted differently by employing a programming platform called Microsoft Visual Basic 2010 Express. A graphical user interface was created using Visual Basic 2010 Express, which provided the evaluation of empirical parameters for model formulation such as daily sunshine duration (5), maximum possible sunshine hour duration (S0), extra terrestrial horizontal global irradiance (H0) and extra terrestrial direct normal irradiance (G0). The proposed regression models were validated by the significance of statistical indicators such as mean bias error, root mean square error and mean percentage error from the predicted and the actual values for the region considered. Comparison was made between the proposed monthly models and the existing normalized models for global horizontal irradiance evaluation.
文摘Solar radiation resources data are the foundation of knowledge for programs of large-scale deployment of solar energy technologies.This article summarizes the analysis of a new weather stations network in the United Kingdom.The analysis used three years(January 2015-December 2017)of data from 27 weather stations distributed across the country.The data comprises global horizontal irradiance(GHI),diffuse horizontal irradiance,direct normal irradiance and the ambient temperature.Network design,implementation and data quality assurance are described to document the network extent and quality.From all observed datasets,we found that Plymouth(located in southwest England)has the dominant GHI and ambient temperature among all other 26 locations.The least GHI is observed for Aberdeen(located in northeast Scotland)estimated at 77.3 kWh/m2.The least average ambient temperature is equal to 9.1℃;the data were detected by the weather station located in the capital of Scotland(Edinburgh).Although continued measurements are needed to understand the interannual resource variability,the current study should have significant applications for preliminary technology selection,power plant modeling and resource forecasting.