[ Objective] The research aimed to analyze extreme circulation characteristics at 500 hPa of height field in Eurasian region in recent 20 years. [ Method ] Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis daily data at 500 hPa of height...[ Objective] The research aimed to analyze extreme circulation characteristics at 500 hPa of height field in Eurasian region in recent 20 years. [ Method ] Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis daily data at 500 hPa of height field from 1961 to 2009 of Eurasia （15° -80° N, 40° -150° E）, seasonal and monthly change situations of extreme circulation in Eurasia were studied by the method of climatologically equally likely intervals （ CE- Ll）. [Result] Growth rate of extremely low circulation increased in Eurasia in the last 20 years, but the rise amplitude was smaller. In the middle of China and Mongolia, grow rate change of extremely low circulation was the smallest. The growth rates of extremely high circulation in spring, au- tumn and winter gradually decreased as latitude rose. The maximum growth rate of extremely high circulation in summer was in Qinghai -Tibet Plat- eau, which corresponded with the climate characteristics of summer subtropical high going northward and then retreating southward. By contrasting the growth rates of extremely low and high circulation, it was clear that the growth rate of high circulation was higher than that of the low circulation. [Conusion] The research could be as a reference for studying change characteristics of the extreme climate event in China.展开更多
The first six Chebyshev polynomial coefficients (i.e., A00, A01, A10, A11, A02, A20) were derived from monthly mean geopotential height over East Asia for the period 1951-1983. Spectral analysis of these coefficients ...The first six Chebyshev polynomial coefficients (i.e., A00, A01, A10, A11, A02, A20) were derived from monthly mean geopotential height over East Asia for the period 1951-1983. Spectral analysis of these coefficients reveals relative maxima of power in the frequency bands of 200 months (- 16.7 years), 25 months (the quasi-biennial oscillation), 5-6 months, and 2-3 months. Cross-spectral characteristics between Chebyshev coefficients and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) were also explored. Coherence spectrum for the zonal and meridional circulation index (A01 and A 10) with the SOI was significant near 4 years, the QBO, and 2-3 months. Some physical explanations were offered for the spatial linkages (i.e., teleconnections) between the SO and atmospheric circulation anomalies overEast Asia.展开更多
The region of south China is sometimes subject to major climatic catastrophes in winter. To have a clear understanding, the time in which extremely severe cold months occur in the south China wintertime over the past ...The region of south China is sometimes subject to major climatic catastrophes in winter. To have a clear understanding, the time in which extremely severe cold months occur in the south China wintertime over the past 45 years are determined and characteristics of the 500-hPa geopotential fields and SST fields are studied for the simultaneous and preceding 6-month periods. Similarity exists in the 500-hPa geopotential fields between each current severely cold month, with the geopotential pattern of being high in the north, but low in the south, of Asian-Pacific region and meridional circulation developing. The work presents anomalies of the months with significant differences in the 500-hPa geopotential field of the previous periods. The SSTA is continuous in the distribution from each extremely severe cold winter month back to the 6 months leading up to it for the region of south China while the SST pattern is of El Ni?o in January and the preceding 1 ~ 6 months for equatorial eastern Pacific but of La Ni?a in February and December. It is concluded that the prediction of severely cold winter months are possible with the use of the geopotential field at 500 hPa and the SST fields for the months ahead of the target time.展开更多
In this paper,the concept of stationary-wave nonstationarity is presented and elucidated in the framework of the Lorenz circulation decomposition.This concept indicates the relative magnitude of the zonal nonuniform a...In this paper,the concept of stationary-wave nonstationarity is presented and elucidated in the framework of the Lorenz circulation decomposition.This concept indicates the relative magnitude of the zonal nonuniform abnormity to the intensity of stationary waves on the monthly mean scale.Based on the Lorenz circulation decomposition,the nonstationarity degree I_（us）（I_（us）~1） of the global（local） stationary waves is defined,and then used to analyze the stationary-wave nonstationarity at 30°-60°N,where the intensity of stationary waves at 500 hPa in the Northern Hemisphere,as is well known,is very high.The following findings are obtained：（1） There exist seasonal southward and northward movements in the position of the nonstationarity zones of the global stationary waves.The steady stationary waves occur in midlatitudes （35°-55°N） in winter and in the subtropical region（south of 35°N） in summer,associated with the major troughs over East Asia and North America and the weak European trough in winter,and with the relatively steady subtropical high system in summer.A high value center of I_（us） is at 35°N in spring and 50°N in summer,which might be caused by the seasonal variation of stationary-wave intensity,particularly in association with the interannual variability of trough/ridge positions of stationary waves on the monthly mean maps.（2） There exists obvious asymmetry in I_（us）~1,with the steady zones always located in the areas controlled by strong troughs/ridges and the unsteady ones in the areas where the stationary-wave intensity is low.The I_（us）~1 in the subtropics（south of 35°N） is larger in winter than in summer,and vice versa in the midlatitude region（north of 35°N）.The summertime distribution of I_（us）~1 on the whole shows a rather complicated structure.However,North Europe is the most unsteady area for local stationary waves,as represented by high values of I_（us）~1 in both summer and winter,while over the North American continent （about 120°E-60°W）,the I_（us）~1 is slightly less than 1 in summer,indicating that the stationary waves in this region are more steady than those over other mid and high latitude regions.（3） From North China to Northwest Pacific,there is a high value zone of I_（us）~1 in summer,with its center（45°N,130°E） located in the east of Heilongjiang Province.This influences the summer climate of northern China,including Northeast, North,and Northwest China.It is obvious that the nonstationarity is an intrinsic attribute of stationary waves,and can be regarded as being of the same importance as the intensity and energy-spectrum structure of stationary waves in the studies of the general circulation system.展开更多
The precipitation in Shandong in July, August as well as the whole summer (JJA) and the corresponding 500 hPa geopotential height fields are analyzed by means of the SVD (singular value decomposition) methodology. It ...The precipitation in Shandong in July, August as well as the whole summer (JJA) and the corresponding 500 hPa geopotential height fields are analyzed by means of the SVD (singular value decomposition) methodology. It is found that the general circulations in East Asia and the Western Pacific underwent decadal changes around 1979. The geopotential height, in particular over key areas like the South China Sea and the Philippines, increased after 1979. Corresponding to the changes in the geopotential height, the rainfall in Shandong started to decrease around 1979. The synthesized analysis shows that when the geopotential height at 500hPa level decreases in the key areas, the Western Pacific subtropical high shifts northward and an anticyclonic anomalous cell enforces the southerly flow over Shandong-Korea-Japan, Shandong could experience a wet period. A dry period is likely to occur when the geopotential height increases in these key areas, the subtropical high moves southward or expands westward to a great distance, and a cyclonic anomalous cell controls Shandong. Respective conceptual models for the causative mechanism are obtained for the cases of July, August and the whole summer (JJA) .展开更多
文摘[ Objective] The research aimed to analyze extreme circulation characteristics at 500 hPa of height field in Eurasian region in recent 20 years. [ Method ] Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis daily data at 500 hPa of height field from 1961 to 2009 of Eurasia （15° -80° N, 40° -150° E）, seasonal and monthly change situations of extreme circulation in Eurasia were studied by the method of climatologically equally likely intervals （ CE- Ll）. [Result] Growth rate of extremely low circulation increased in Eurasia in the last 20 years, but the rise amplitude was smaller. In the middle of China and Mongolia, grow rate change of extremely low circulation was the smallest. The growth rates of extremely high circulation in spring, au- tumn and winter gradually decreased as latitude rose. The maximum growth rate of extremely high circulation in summer was in Qinghai -Tibet Plat- eau, which corresponded with the climate characteristics of summer subtropical high going northward and then retreating southward. By contrasting the growth rates of extremely low and high circulation, it was clear that the growth rate of high circulation was higher than that of the low circulation. [Conusion] The research could be as a reference for studying change characteristics of the extreme climate event in China.
文摘The first six Chebyshev polynomial coefficients (i.e., A00, A01, A10, A11, A02, A20) were derived from monthly mean geopotential height over East Asia for the period 1951-1983. Spectral analysis of these coefficients reveals relative maxima of power in the frequency bands of 200 months (- 16.7 years), 25 months (the quasi-biennial oscillation), 5-6 months, and 2-3 months. Cross-spectral characteristics between Chebyshev coefficients and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) were also explored. Coherence spectrum for the zonal and meridional circulation index (A01 and A 10) with the SOI was significant near 4 years, the QBO, and 2-3 months. Some physical explanations were offered for the spatial linkages (i.e., teleconnections) between the SO and atmospheric circulation anomalies overEast Asia.
基金Research on short-term climatic prediction systems in China" - a key scientific and technological project in the national 9th
文摘The region of south China is sometimes subject to major climatic catastrophes in winter. To have a clear understanding, the time in which extremely severe cold months occur in the south China wintertime over the past 45 years are determined and characteristics of the 500-hPa geopotential fields and SST fields are studied for the simultaneous and preceding 6-month periods. Similarity exists in the 500-hPa geopotential fields between each current severely cold month, with the geopotential pattern of being high in the north, but low in the south, of Asian-Pacific region and meridional circulation developing. The work presents anomalies of the months with significant differences in the 500-hPa geopotential field of the previous periods. The SSTA is continuous in the distribution from each extremely severe cold winter month back to the 6 months leading up to it for the region of south China while the SST pattern is of El Ni?o in January and the preceding 1 ~ 6 months for equatorial eastern Pacific but of La Ni?a in February and December. It is concluded that the prediction of severely cold winter months are possible with the use of the geopotential field at 500 hPa and the SST fields for the months ahead of the target time.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.40633018
文摘In this paper,the concept of stationary-wave nonstationarity is presented and elucidated in the framework of the Lorenz circulation decomposition.This concept indicates the relative magnitude of the zonal nonuniform abnormity to the intensity of stationary waves on the monthly mean scale.Based on the Lorenz circulation decomposition,the nonstationarity degree I_（us）（I_（us）~1） of the global（local） stationary waves is defined,and then used to analyze the stationary-wave nonstationarity at 30°-60°N,where the intensity of stationary waves at 500 hPa in the Northern Hemisphere,as is well known,is very high.The following findings are obtained：（1） There exist seasonal southward and northward movements in the position of the nonstationarity zones of the global stationary waves.The steady stationary waves occur in midlatitudes （35°-55°N） in winter and in the subtropical region（south of 35°N） in summer,associated with the major troughs over East Asia and North America and the weak European trough in winter,and with the relatively steady subtropical high system in summer.A high value center of I_（us） is at 35°N in spring and 50°N in summer,which might be caused by the seasonal variation of stationary-wave intensity,particularly in association with the interannual variability of trough/ridge positions of stationary waves on the monthly mean maps.（2） There exists obvious asymmetry in I_（us）~1,with the steady zones always located in the areas controlled by strong troughs/ridges and the unsteady ones in the areas where the stationary-wave intensity is low.The I_（us）~1 in the subtropics（south of 35°N） is larger in winter than in summer,and vice versa in the midlatitude region（north of 35°N）.The summertime distribution of I_（us）~1 on the whole shows a rather complicated structure.However,North Europe is the most unsteady area for local stationary waves,as represented by high values of I_（us）~1 in both summer and winter,while over the North American continent （about 120°E-60°W）,the I_（us）~1 is slightly less than 1 in summer,indicating that the stationary waves in this region are more steady than those over other mid and high latitude regions.（3） From North China to Northwest Pacific,there is a high value zone of I_（us）~1 in summer,with its center（45°N,130°E） located in the east of Heilongjiang Province.This influences the summer climate of northern China,including Northeast, North,and Northwest China.It is obvious that the nonstationarity is an intrinsic attribute of stationary waves,and can be regarded as being of the same importance as the intensity and energy-spectrum structure of stationary waves in the studies of the general circulation system.
文摘The precipitation in Shandong in July, August as well as the whole summer (JJA) and the corresponding 500 hPa geopotential height fields are analyzed by means of the SVD (singular value decomposition) methodology. It is found that the general circulations in East Asia and the Western Pacific underwent decadal changes around 1979. The geopotential height, in particular over key areas like the South China Sea and the Philippines, increased after 1979. Corresponding to the changes in the geopotential height, the rainfall in Shandong started to decrease around 1979. The synthesized analysis shows that when the geopotential height at 500hPa level decreases in the key areas, the Western Pacific subtropical high shifts northward and an anticyclonic anomalous cell enforces the southerly flow over Shandong-Korea-Japan, Shandong could experience a wet period. A dry period is likely to occur when the geopotential height increases in these key areas, the subtropical high moves southward or expands westward to a great distance, and a cyclonic anomalous cell controls Shandong. Respective conceptual models for the causative mechanism are obtained for the cases of July, August and the whole summer (JJA) .
